CORY’S PICKS

CORY’S PICKS

Worley @ Maholm – Maholm is useful vs. weak offenses

Parker @ Tepesch – bench but don’t cut Parker; better of late but hasn’t handled a top offense yet

Hellickson @ Buehrle – K/BB says Hellickson will get better, but HR rate says not yet

Kuroda @ Hammel

Buchholz @ Sale – tasty

Latos @ Harvey – yummy

Cahill @ De La Rosa – DLR has four scoreless outings this year; I’ll take my chances

Samardzija @ Liriano – Liriano throwing well and Cubs are a good matchup

Maurer @ Wilson

Shields @ Lyles

Ryu @ W. Peralta – Peralta struggling too much to use even vs. Dodgers

G. Gonzalez @ Bumgarner

Verlander @ Jimenez – if Ubaldo can handle the Tigers, though…

Lee @ Slowey – well that ended badly

Lyons @ B. Smith

CORY’S PICKS

Garza @ Wandy – great matchup for Garza’s return

Scherzer @ Kluber

Hughes @ M. Gonzalez – Hughes a better road play, but tough matchup… pass

Cobb @ Ortiz

Leake @ Niese – perfect home/away setting for both

Pelfrey @ T. Hudson – hang with ‘em on Hudson vs. weak Twins

Cloyd @ J. Fernandez – Cloyd an underrated prospect, and of course great matchup

Straily @ Darvish

Doubront @ Quintana – Quintana risky but plenty of upside

W. Davis @ Norris – Norris solid at home and Royals don’t’ score much

Greinke @ Burgos

Kennedy @ Chacin – playing it safe on Kennedy in Coors… bench but don’t cut

Harang @ Williams – Williams gets SEA/KC in weekly leagues, oh baby!

Wainwright @ Volquez

Strasburg @ Cain

Hey everyone,

This week’s two-start pitcher choices were unappealing to say the least and for the most part, it’s more of the same for next week. Here are my notes, and as always be sure to listen to today’s podcast as we’ll have our usual two-start pitcher segment with Cory, Mike and special guest Nando Di Fino of CBS Sports!

-Zach

Julio Teheran  (vs. MIN, @NYM)

After getting off to a shaky start to the season, Teheran has settled down nicely, allowing three runs or less in each of his last four starts while posting a superb 14-to-1 K/BB ratio. He gets a pair of appealing matchups next week, as the Twins are a mid-pack offense while the Mets’ lineup has struggled mightily of late. Pitch.

Scott Kazmir  (vs. SEA, @BOS)

There’s no denying that Kazmir has pitched fairly well over his last four starts, but I still don’t trust him to the point where I’d roll him out there in a two-start week where one of the matchups (@BOS) is very scary. This is a situation where one blowup could ruin the entire week. I need to see more. Ditch.

Carlos Villanueva  (@PIT, @CIN)

The month of May has not been kind to Villanueva, who has gone 0-2 with a 7.27 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in three starts. And he will likely be the odd man out once Matt Garza returns from the DL, which will probably happen sometime next week. While there’s no way I’d start him in a mixed league, you can do a lot worse in an NL-only. Villanueva still offers some strikeout upside, the @PIT matchup is a decent one, and he actually pitched very well at Great American Ball Park back in April. But like I said, in a mixed league I’m passing.

Bartolo Colon  (@TEX, @HOU)

Colon’s the type of pitcher who can dominate or get roughed up by any lineup. His strikeouts are down this year but you’ve got to like the two walks over 47 1/3 innings! On the other hand, you can’t like the seven homers through eight starts. In a 12-team mixed league, I’d take the conservative route and ditch since the @TEX matchup certainly comes with disaster potential. But in a deeper mixed league and of course an AL-only, I think I’d give it a shot and hope he gets through the first outing in decent shape before tossing a gem @HOU. Then again, would you be at all surprised if the reverse happens?

Wade Davis  (@HOU, vs. LAA)

Although Davis has managed to piece together a few quality performances this year, he’s also gotten lit up on a bunch of occasions. I’m not a big fan of these feast or famine types, especially when their strikeout rate is nothing special and their WHIP is 1.89. Even in a deeper mixed league and despite the semi-attractive matchups, I’d let Davis be someone else’s problem. Ditch.

Shaun Marcum  (vs. CIN, vs. ATL)

I had high hopes for Marcum heading into the season, as one of the more consistent yet underrated hurlers in the Majors over the past few years would get a chance to pitch his home games at Citi Field. But neck and shoulder injuries kept him sidelined for almost the entire month of April and he’s kicked off his Mets’ career in mediocre fashion. And that’s being kind. The good news is that his latest outing (6 2/3 IP, 2 ER) on the road against the Cardinals was his best one to date, so maybe Marcum is finally putting it together. That said, both of these matchups are very tough, even at home. In an NL-only league, you probably don’t have many better options, so you’ll have to start Marcum out of necessity. But in a mixed league, I’m staying away. Keep an eye on Marcum though. He could be mixed league relevant rather soon.

CORY’S PICKS

SATURDAY

Saunders @ McAllister

Morrow @ Phelps – playing it safe on Morrow ‘til he proves he’s healthy

R. Hernandez @ Jurrjens

Santiago @ Blanton

Dempster @ Diamond

An. Sanchez @ Grimm – tough matchup for Grimm, play it safe

Big Erv @ Milone – love Milone at home

Hefner @ Feldman

Arroyo @ Kendrick – Kendrick has to be trusted until he proves otherwise

Bedard @ Burnett

Capuano @ Medlen

McCarthy @ Koehler – McCarthy appears to be “back”

Estrada @ Lynn – Estrada was superb last time, but this ain’t the Pirates

Lincecum @ Nicasio

Zimmermann @ Stults

                                                                                                                                               SUNDAY

King Felix @ Masterson

Dickey @ Sabathia

Moore @ Tillman

Lackey @ P. Hernandez – Lackey has been solid, back on the radar

Peavy @ Vargas – Vargas worth a look in deeper leagues, though

Mendoza @ Griffin

Fister @ Holland

Miley @ Nolasco

Magill @ Minor

Bailey @ Pettibone

Norris @ Locke – Locke worth a shot at home vs. Astros

Lohse @ Gast

Gee @ Wood – Gee a pure home/away matchup play

Haren @ Cashner

Zito @ Chatwood

                                                                                                                                             MONDAY

Iwakuma @ Kazmir – gotta go with Kazmir at home vs. Mariners

TBD (TB) @ Ortiz

Hughes @ F. Garcia – tough matchup for Hughes, but I’ll take the shot on the road

Colon @ Lindblom

Lester @ Axelrod

Guthrie @ Harrell

Correia @ Teheran

Cueto @ Marcum – whose spot is Cueto taking, Cingrani or Leake??

Hamels @ Sanabia – mismatch of the day, so Marlins will probably win 7-2

Kershaw @ Gallardo

Corbin @ Garland

S. Miller @ Marquis

Detwiler @ Vogelsong – Detwiler not 100%, Vogelsong simply terrible

***ZACH SAYS “For Sunday, I’d take a chance on Tillman. He’s now strung together five straight quality starts and the Rays’ offense currently ranks next to last in the AL in runs scored on the road. For Monday, there’s no way I’m starting Hughes coming off his dreadful performance vs. the Mariners. In fact, I wouldn’t be opposed to flat out dropping him in any mixed league. He’s been way too erratic this year.”

CORY’S PICKS

Hellickson @ Hammel – both have pitched better than the ERA would show

Maurer @ Jimenez – Ubaldo’s velocity is up, mechanics are tighter and it’s the Mariners

Buehrle @ Kuroda

Porcello @ Tepesch

Buchholz @ Worley

Sale @ Wilson – Wilson isn’t very good, but frankly neither are the White Sox

Shields @ Parker – Parker slowly rounding into form

Harvey @ Jackson

Cingrani @ Lee – important outing for Cingrani with Cueto back on Monday

Lyles @ Gomez

Cahill @ Slowey – back on Slowey train at home despite blowup in L.A.

Ryu @ Maholm

W. Peralta @ J. Garcia

Bumgarner @ De La Rosa – not sold on DLR yet, not at home

G. Gonzalez @ Smith

Zach here,

Alright, the time has finally arrived for an updated Pitch or Ditch category chart! Click on the link below to download the PDF

POD Chart 5-15

A quick reminder as to how the chart works:

We’ve divided all of the current starting rotation pitchers in the Majors into five groups: Aces, Grads (pitchers who should not be dropped and can be started almost all the time), Pitch or Ditch (guys who you should be picking up to start in favorable matchups but do not deserve a regular roster spot), DTMs (guys who we are fed up with and would not start under any circumstances for the time being) and Indifferents (guys who we don’t feel any ill-will towards but who just aren’t that good). Keep in mind that we’re basing this on a standard 12-team mixed league.

Here are the changes we’ve made to the chart since the mid-April version:

PROMOTIONS

Harvey grad to ace

Bailey PoD to grad

Jimenez DTM to PoD

Kazmir indifferent to PoD

Grimm indifferent to PoD

Feldman indifferent to PoD

Slowey indifferent to PoD

DEMOTIONS

Vogelsong grad to PoD

Jackson grad to PoD

Niese grad to PoD

Beckett grad to PoD

Worley PoD to indifferent

Sanabia PoD to indifferent

By the way, Ryan Vogelsong has completely ruined the ERA/WHIP of two of my teams (fortunately, I had the sense to bench him Wednesday night). Personally, he’s DTM, but to be nice, we’ve listed him as PoD. He’s on a short leash though.

Feel free to post your questions and/or comments.

CORY’S PICKS

CORY’S PICKS

Marquis @ F. Garcia

Axelrod @ Pelfrey

Gallardo @ Wandy – going on the working assumption that Gallardo actually pitches better at some point

Lester @ Price

Marcum @ S. Miller

Kluber @ Hamels

Ogando @ Straily – Straily hasn’t earned the trust to face tough offenses

Iwakuma @ Hughes

Leake @ Sanabia – Leake on the road, vs. the Marlins? Have to go for it

W. Davis @ Enright – the Angels are struggling so bad right now, take a shot on Davis

Keuchel @ Scherzer – over/under on Scherzer K’s? 14?

T. Hudson @ Kennedy

Vogelsong @ R. Ortiz – Morrow pushed back to Saturday

Garland @ Samardzija

Detwiler @ Greinke – Detwiler regressing a little but Dodgers are soooo bad

CORY’S PICKS

Kazmir @ Pettibone – time to start taking Kazmir seriously…

King Felix @ Sabathia

Lackey @ Moore – Lackey looking very good so far…

Peavy @ Correia

Guthrie @ Vargas – Vargas worth a look in deeper leagues, for the home start

Lohse @ Locke – tough matchup for Locke and K/BB says play it safe

Zito @ Dickey – don’t trust Zito on the road but like Dickey vs. Giants

Bailey @ Nolasco

Gee @ Gast

Holland @ Colon – Colon still worth a look at home though.

Cashner @ Tillman  - could be a lot of K’s here

Harrell @ Fister

Francis @ Villanueva – Villanueva fading as Garza nears return

Teheran @ Corbin

Haren @ Kershaw