November 2006

Category winning totals

Thanks to GP, here are the category winning totals for each of the five listener leagues this year, along with the average winning total across all five leagues:

Stat/Lg.      411       G          K          M         S          AVG

AVG           .293      .289      .300      .289      .289      .292

R                1288     1184     1282     1304     1331     1278

HR              376       347       329       386       351       358

RBI             1242     1149     1242     1277     1246     1231

SB              201       166       210       206       188       194

W               111       103       106       107       104       106

SV              118       119       126       146       137       129

K                1327     1379     1120     1194     1336     1271

ERA           3.84      3.86      3.42      3.74      3.83      3.74

WHIP          1.27      1.25      1.19      1.25      1.26      1.24

G = Gentile

K = Klayman

M = Miccucci

S = Paul C. Smith

Although it may look like our basic draft-day guidelines are a little low (1200 K’s, etc.), I think they’re pretty accurate when you consider that the above totals include free agents, trades, etc., which can’t be counted on draft day. So let’s take 85% (or 80% or 90% if you prefer) of these numbers and call them draft-day targets… hit three or four or five of them and you’ll win your league!

Thanks,

Cory

First mock draft for ’07!

Hi gang,

I did my first mock draft of the winter last night, for a fantasy publication coming out in the spring. I picked second out of 15 in a standard 5×5 league, serpentine draft. The results:

Round     Pick                                      Comment

R1>>       Jose Reyes (SS)                     Speed, power and improved plate discipline too!

R2<<       Justin Morneau (1B)               Already damn good and getting better

R3>>       Hanley Ramirez (SS)               Made a believer out of me in ’06

R4<<       Francisco Rodriguez (CL)        You know I love a power bullpen…

R5>>       B.J. Ryan (CL)                        …And these two are the best

R6<<       Prince Fielder (1B)                  Rapidly improving young slugger

R7>>       Alex Rios (OF)                       Healthy again and ready for a power spike

R8<<       Barry Bonds (OF)                    Needed the power… hey, someone had to do it!

R9>>       Danny Haren (SP)                   Signs point to a breakout year… Lo12 fave

R10<<     Chris Capuano (SP)                Solid K’s, improving control… another Lo12 guy

R11>>     Kenji Johjima (C)                  Very consistent in ’06 and should repeat

R12<<     Josh Barfield (2B                   Trade to Cleveland could mean more power

R13>>     Josh Willingham (OF)             Big finish in ’06 shows major upside

R14<<     Jose Valverde (CL)                 Another closer with a high K rate

R15>>     Chuck James (SP)                  Just needs to control the HR’s to excel

R16<<     Mike Piazza (C)                      Value pick, since all the full-timers were gone

R17>>     Carlos Quentin (OF)                XBH machine in a hitters’ park… me likey!

R18<<     Andy Marte (3B)                     Might need one more year, but the rest were gone

R19>>     Nate Robertson (SP)               Solid, consistent, but unspectacular… Lo12 guy

R20<<     Boof Bonser (SP)                    Impressive debut, but can he repeat?

R21>>     Justin Duchscherer (MR)         Solid ratios and vulture saves if Street can’t go

R22<<     Garrett Anderson (OF)            Hey, I needed an outfielder and I hear he is one

R23>>     Kevin Kouzmanoff (UT)           High AVG’s should hold up in SD, but the power… ?

The player picking before me in the even rounds took Sizemore, Damon and Swisher in three straight rounds, each time when I was going to take that player with my next pick. As a result I ended up with a pretty mediocre outfield, especially if Bonds continues to fade in ’07. Overall we’re a little shy of power throughout the lineup.

Otherwise, though, the basic 411 strategy played out fairly well: good speed, a deep power bullpen, mid-round starting pitching bargains… note that I went for THREE list of 12 guys, plus 411 fave Chucky James and Boof Bonser.

Also, given the depth of a 15-team league vs. 12 teams, I ended up gambling on a lot of younger players (Morneau, Ramirez, Fielder, Barfield, Quentin, etc.). A few more established players might’ve lent a little bit more predictability to my roster.

Thoughts?

Also… anyone out there with the Gentile or Klayman leagues, can you please post the winning totals in each of the 10 categories this season? Thanks to GP I have the results of the other three leagues so once I get those two I will post all five and we can fine-tune our draft-day goals for ’07.

Happy baseball!

CS

Show news and the 2007 List of 12!!!!!

hey all , congrats to the cards now back to bidness.

show is Monday and Thursday’s from noon to 1pm ET. Special fill in hosts for my lazy butt will be Mark Feinsand and Casey Stern to name a few.

Download 2007_list_of_12.xls . Feel free to post your thoughts.

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NAME TEAM W L ERA IP H R ER HR HB BB SO AVG STRD SO/PA BB/PA HR/PA K/BB SO/9 BB/9 HR/9 GO/AO
Bedard, Erik Baltimore 15 11 3.76 196.3 196 92 82 16 5 69 171 .258 .659 .203 .082 .019 2.48 7.84 3.16 0.73 1.48
Bedard, Erik Major League Totals 27 29 4.08 476.0 486 242 216 39 17 197 418 .263 .654 .200 .093 .019 2.12 7.90 3.72 0.74 1.08
Capuano, Chris Milwaukee 11 12 4.03 221.3 229 108 99 29 9 47 174 .265 .621 .186 .046 .031 3.70 7.08 1.91 1.18 1.02
Capuano, Chris Major League Totals 37 36 4.20 561.7 559 287 262 81 32 186 453 .261 .631 .188 .072 .034 2.44 7.26 2.98 1.30 0.95
Contreras, Jose Chi. White Sox 13 9 4.27 196.0 194 101 93 20 10 55 134 .256 .610 .161 .061 .024 2.44 6.15 2.53 0.92 1.10
Contreras, Jose Major League Totals 48 27 4.28 642.0 589 333 305 78 32 244 510 .242 .615 .186 .086 .028 2.09 7.15 3.42 1.09 1.10
Cook, Aaron Colorado 9 15 4.23 212.7 242 107 100 17 7 55 92 .288 .648 .101 .048 .019 1.67 3.89 2.33 0.72 2.58
Cook, Aaron Major League Totals 28 28 4.58 552.3 656 299 281 44 26 180 213 .298 .653 .087 .064 .018 1.18 3.47 2.93 0.72 2.46
Haren, Dan Oakland 14 13 4.12 223.0 224 109 102 31 10 45 176 .258 .609 .189 .042 .033 3.91 7.10 1.82 1.25 1.14
Haren, Dan Major League Totals 34 35 4.12 558.7 565 277 256 70 23 137 414 .262 .618 .177 .053 .030 3.02 6.67 2.21 1.13 1.24
Lee, Cliff Cleveland 14 11 4.40 200.7 224 114 98 29 8 58 129 .278 .607 .146 .062 .033 2.22 5.79 2.60 1.30 0.57
Lee, Cliff Major League Totals 49 28 4.39 644.3 653