June 2007

Distinguishing the Wolves from the Bushes

Hey guys, I really want to pick up Homer, but not sure who to drop to make room.  I’ve got 4 guys that I’m still not convinced about.  Dave Bush, Tom Glavine, Randy Wolf and Orlando Hernandez.  Who should get cut?

Thanks
Chris in Canada

Chris,

All of the names you mention with the exception of Bush have pitched really well this year (Glavine, Hernandez, and Wolf each have a sub 3.75 ERA).  So you might (or might not) be surprised to hear my advice…cut El Duque.  Even though Bush has been incredibly inconsistent, a strikeout to walk rate that’s better than 4 to 1 simply doesn’t belong on the waiver wire.  Bush’s main problem throughout his career has been a tendency to give up too many home runs, but he’s roughly on pace to match last season’s HR allowed number of 26 while having an ERA (5.64) over a full run higher.  Expect that ERA to fall considerably.  If anything, Bush should be traded FOR in leagues while his value is at a low.

Wolf, on the other hand, is a good sell high option.  In his first full season back from Tommy John surgery, you’ve got to be concerned about Wolf potentially hitting an innings wall at some point during the second half.  But I’d still keep him while he’s on a roll.  Randy’s 74 strikeouts rank fourth in the NL, and a fly ball pitcher in Dodger Stadium is always a nice fit.

As for the two Mets pitchers, the difference between them can be found in these numbers…73 1/3 and 45.  That’s the number of innings Glavine has pitched compared to El Duque’s innings total.  And that’s where Glavine holds the considerable edge.  Hernandez is always injured, while Glavine is a model of durability.  While Bailey comes to the majors with loads of potential, he’s still unproven at this level, which makes holding onto a guy like Glavine all the more important.  With Glavine, you know what you’re going to get.

Zach Steinhorn, MLB.com

The renewed Atkins diet

Hey guys,
over the weekend pulled the trigger on ryan Howard and g. Atkins for

Upton, Sosa, and Valverde
– i get the Howard/Atkins side. 20 team, 28man rosters, mixed 5×5. was looking
for hr and rbi’s, way ahead in saves with Hoffman and Putz as well. what do u
guys think?

 

thanks,  Tyler in Toronto

 

 

Well done, Tyler.
Few hitters scream buy low quite like Atkins. He’s putting more fly balls in
the air than last year, when he thumped 29 jacks, so the power surge is bound
to come. Also, only once did he bat below .300 in the Minors, a strong sign of
hope for his batting average. And while Howard surely won’t match last year’s
MVP campaign, you’re sure to get the meat and potatoes of his season, numbers
that could yield a .300 batting average with 25 homers from here on out.

 

Kudos for selling high, too. Upton strikes out way too
much to sustain his current .318 batting average, Sosa provides more name recognition
than he does fantasy value, and Valverde — while solid — is still prone to
the occasional wild streak.

A text-book example of staying ahead of the trading curve.

 

– Alex Cushing, MLB.com

Snagging pair of cheap Yanks

Hey
Guys, love the show.  I have a trade on the table of Robinson Cano and
Johnny Damon for Brian Fuentes, Adam LaRoche, and Corey Patterson.  I
would get Cano and Damon.  Is this a smart trade?

 

Matt
from Cincy

 

 

Matt,

 

This one’s
close…As bad as the Yankees’ offense has looked of late, I’d still do the deal
provided that you have depth at closer.  Maybe it’s because I’m a Yankee
fan, but I just cannot see Cano finishing the season in the same brutal way
that he’s started it.  Robby is still a very nice option at a shallow
position.  Expect a turnaround soon!  I’m a little more concerned
about Damon because he’s always banged up and is no longer an upper tier No. 2
fantasy outfielder.  But the recent news that Jason Giambi will likely
miss the rest of the season provides some hope for Damon owners.  With
Giambi out, Joe Torre plans on frequently using Damon at DH while playing Melky
Cabrera in center.  Not having to roam the outfield should help to
maximize both Johnny’s at bats and his health.  Patterson gives you more
steals, but Corey’s poor plate discipline will always prevent him from reaching
that next level.  LaRoche is a useful player who will have a tough time
ever duplicating last year’s numbers considering the lack of a supporting cast
in

Pittsburgh

.
Even though you’re taking a risk by completing this trade, the upside is
significant.

 

Zach
Steinhorn, MLB.com 

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