March 2008

AL ONLY DRAFT RESULTS (NOT TOUT)

 I TALKED A LITTLE BIT THE OTHER DAY ABOUT THE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN MY TWO AL ONLY LEAGUES. ONE OF COURSE IS TOUT , THE OTHER A LEAGUE IVE BEEN IN FOR ALMOST 10 YEARS THAT COST $$$$ .

 

TWO DIFFERENT ANIMALS AND CRAZINESS OF COURSE ENSUED WHEN YOU PUT 12 DIFFERENT BRAINS IN A ROOM AND HAVE THEM EVAULATE BASEBALL PLAYERS.

 

HERE ARE THE RESULTS, CAN YOU FIND THE SHOCKER?????

 

TM 1: SOS
Mike LaManna 
 
Player TM Pos Sal Con

 
Dioner Navarro TB  C 9.00  
 
Kurt Suzuki OAK C 12.00  
 
Daric Barton OAK 1B 1.00 2008 
 
Robinson Cano NYY 2B 20.00 2008 
 
Edgar Renteria DET SS 20.00  
 
Casey Blake CLE 3B 9.00  
 
Eric Chavez OAK 1B/3B 3.00  
 
Danny Richar CWS 2B/SS 2.00  
 
Joey Gathright KC  OF 11.00  
 
Coco Crisp BOS OF 5.00  
 
Jack Cust OAK OF 13.00  
 
Manny Ramirez BOS OF 34.00  
 
Ichiro Suzuki SEA OF 30.00  
 
Travis Hafner CLE UTIL 31.00  
 
Hideki Okajima BOS RP 7.00  
 
Joel Zumaya DET RP 11.00 2008 
 
Joba Chamberlain NYY SP 1.00 2010 
 
Edwin Jackson TB  SP 6.00  
 
Scott Baker MIN SP 1.00 2008 
 
Cliff Lee CLE SP 5.00  
 
Mike Mussina NYY SP 7.00  
 
B.J. Ryan TOR RP 15.00  
 
John Bale KC  SP 1.00  
 
 
TM 2: L.I.T’S
Mike Siano 
 
Player TM Pos Sal Con

 
Jorge Posada NYY C 18.00 2008 
 
Rob Bowen OAK C 1.00  
 
Kevin Youkilis BOS 1B 20.00  
 
Brendan Harris MIN 2B 13.00  
 
Donnie Murphy OAK SS 1.00  
 
Alex Rodriguez NYY 3B 42.00 2008 
 
Chone Figgins ANA 1B/3B 15.00 2009 
 
Nick Punto MIN 2B/SS 1.00  
 
Hideki Matsui NYY OF 21.00  
 
Jason Botts TEX OF 1.00  
 
Brad Wilkerson SEA OF 7.00  
 
Jay Payton BAL OF 2.00  
 
Nick Markakis BAL OF 20.00 2008 
 
Shelley Duncan NYY UTIL 1.00  
 
Chad Gaudin OAK SP 1.00  
 
Scott Kazmir TB  SP 18.00  
 
Jamie Walker BAL RP 1.00  
 
Joe Nathan MIN RP 32.00  
 
Joaquin Benoit TEX RP 4.00  
 
Josh Beckett BOS SP 28.00  
 
Bartolo Colon BOS SP 1.00  
 
Ervin Santana ANA SP 11.00 2008 
 
Scott Linebrink CWS RP 1.00  
 
 

TM 3: FRESH
Doug Findlay 
 
Player TM Pos Sal Con

 
Mike Redmond MIN C 3.00  
 
Jose Molina NYY C 1.00  
 
Ryan Garko CLE 1B 28.00  
 
Ian Kinsler TEX 2B 11.00 2008 
 
Orlando Cabrera CWS SS 24.00  
 
Jack Hannahan OAK 3B 1.00  
 
Ryan Shealy KC  1B/3B 2.00  
 
Jose Lopez SEA 2B/SS 11.00 2008 
 
Carlos Gomez MIN OF 13.00  
 
Gary Matthews Jr. ANA OF 15.00  
 
Tike Redman BAL OF 1.00  
 
Garret Anderson ANA OF 6.00 2008 
 
Jose Guillen KC  OF 14.00  
 
Gary Sheffield DET UTIL 20.00  
 
George Sherrill BAL RP 1.00 2009 
 
Joe Blanton OAK SP 16.00  
 
Joe Saunders ANA SP 7.00  
 
Mark Buehrle CWS SP 19.00  
 
Erik Bedard SEA SP 24.00 2009 
 
Adam Loewen BAL SP 4.00  
 
Kenny Rogers DET SP 7.00  
 
Troy Percival TB  RP 19.00  
 
Jon Garland ANA SP 11.00  
 
 
TM 4: ASYOUWERE
Mike Valenti 
 
Player TM Pos Sal Con

 
Ramon Hernandez BAL C 12.00  
 
Rod Barajas TOR C 2.00  
 
Mike Lamb MIN 1B 6.00  
 
Maicer Izturis ANA 2B 8.00  
 
David Eckstein TOR SS 8.00  
 
Brandon Inge DET 3B 5.00  
 
Matt Stairs TOR 1B/3B 9.00  
 
Michael Young TEX 2B/SS 23.00  
 
Jacoby Ellsbury BOS OF 5.00 2009 
 
Curtis Granderson DET OF 29.00  
 
Delmon Young MIN OF 18.00 2009 
 
Marlon Byrd TEX OF 4.00  
 
Vernon Wells TOR OF 24.00  
 
Jason Giambi NYY UTIL 2.00  
 
Pat Neshek MIN RP 3.00  
 
Jeremy Guthrie BAL SP 1.00 2008 
 
Shaun Marcum TOR SP 12.00  
 
Brian Bannister KC  SP 9.00  
 
James Shields TB  SP 10.00 2009 
 
J.J. Putz SEA RP 34.00  
 
Paul Byrd CLE SP 4.00  
 
Andy Pettitte NYY SP 16.00  
 
Al Reyes TB  RP 6.00 2008 
 
 

TM 5: SHEN
Frank & Tom 
 
Player TM Pos Sal Con

 
Kenji Johjima SEA C 13.00  
 
Miguel Olivo KC  C 3.00  
 
Dan Johnson OAK 1B 13.00 2008 
 
Mark Ellis OAK 2B 20.00  
 
Derek Jeter NYY SS 26.00  
 
Morgan Ensberg NYY 3B 1.00  
 
Mike Lowell BOS 1B/3B 7.00 2008 
 
Juan Uribe CWS 2B/SS 6.00  
 
Carlos Quentin CWS OF 7.00  
 
Mark Teahen KC  OF 13.00  
 
Carlos Gonzalez OAK OF 6.00  
 
David DeJesus KC  OF 15.00  
 
J.D. Drew BOS OF 11.00  
 
Jeff Clement SEA UTIL 4.00 2009 
 
C.J. Wilson TEX RP 15.00  
 
Nick Adenhart ANA SP 7.00  
 
Clay Buchholz BOS SP 3.00 2010 
 
John Lackey ANA SP 15.00  
 
Jeremy Bonderman DET SP 17.00  
 
Kevin Millwood TEX SP 7.00  
 
Javier Vazquez CWS SP 19.00 2008 
 
Kelvim Escobar ANA SP 15.00  
 
Justin Duchscherer OAK SP 3.00  
 
 
TM 6: SQUIDDLY
Robert Calamari 
 
Player TM Pos Sal Con

 
Jeff Mathis ANA C 4.00  
 
Toby Hall CWS C 1.00  
 
Paul Konerko CWS 1B 25.00  
 
Asdrubal Cabrera CLE 2B 11.00  
 
Tony Pena Jr. KC  SS 2.00  
 
Alex Gordon KC  3B 15.00 2008 
 
Willy Aybar TB  1B/3B 1.00  
 
Aaron Hill TOR 2B/SS 27.00  
 
Ryan Sweeney OAK OF 3.00  
 
Jermaine Dye CWS OF 26.00  
 
Raul Ibanez SEA OF 22.00  
 
Bobby Abreu NYY OF 35.00  
 
Magglio Ordonez DET OF 19.00 2008 
 
Mike Sweeney OAK UTIL 1.00  
 
Jonathan Papelbon BOS RP 13.00 2008 
 
Rafael Perez CLE RP 1.00  
 
Joakim Soria KC  RP 2.00 2009 
 
Jensen Lewis CLE RP 1.00  
 
Francisco Liriano MIN SP 11.00 2008 
 
Justin Verlander DET SP 29.00  
 
Dana Eveland OAK SP 1.00  
 
Curt Schilling BOS SP 1.00  
 
Boof Bonser MIN SP 8.00  
 
 

TM 7: DTWA
Mike Brown 
 
Player TM Pos Sal Con

 
Kelly Shoppach CLE C 4.00  
 
Joe Mauer MIN C 21.00  
 
Richie Sexson SEA 1B 15.00  
 
Esteban German KC  2B 3.00  
 
Yuniesky Betancourt SEA SS 7.00  
 
Evan Longoria TB  3B 7.00 2010 
 
Ross Gload KC  1B/3B 4.00  
 
Luis Hernandez BAL 2B/SS 1.00  
 
Franklin Gutierrez CLE OF 17.00  
 
Jonny Gomes TB  OF 9.00  
 
Jerry Owens CWS OF 11.00  
 
Carl Crawford TB  OF 40.00  
 
Vladimir Guerrero ANA OF 36.00  
 
Jim Thome CWS UTIL 5.00  
 
Manny Delcarmen BOS RP 3.00  
 
Bobby Jenks CWS RP 26.00  
 
Fausto Carmona CLE SP 2.00 2009 
 
Jose Contreras CWS SP 4.00  
 
Jon Lester BOS SP 1.00 2008 
 
Luke Hochevar KC  SP 2.00 2008 
 
Rafael Betancourt CLE RP 7.00  
 
C.C. Sabathia CLE SP 25.00 2009 
 
Eddie Guardado TEX RP 3.00  
 
 
TM 8: Alex
Alex Cushing 
 
Player TM Pos Sal Con

 
Mike Napoli ANA C 14.00  
 
A.J. Pierzynski CWS C 7.00 2008 
 
Kevin Millar BAL 1B 1.00 2008 
 
Brian Roberts BAL 2B 27.00  
 
Carlos Guillen DET SS 31.00  
 
Hank Blalock TEX 3B 21.00  
 
Eric Hinske TB  1B/3B 1.00  
 
Jason Kubel MIN OF 14.00  
 
Adam Jones BAL OF 21.00  
 
Travis Buck OAK OF 16.00  
 
Luke Scott BAL OF 12.00  
 
Milton Bradley TEX OF 11.00  
 
Emil Brown OAK OF 8.00  
 
Freddie Bynum BAL UTIL 2.00  
 
Huston Street OAK RP 16.00  
 
Kason Gabbard TEX SP 1.00  
 
Matt Garza TB  SP 13.00  
 
Phil Hughes NYY SP 17.00  
 
Kevin Slowey MIN SP 7.00 2008 
 
Andy Sonnanstine TB  SP 4.00 2008 
 
Gil Meche KC  SP 12.00  
 
Dan Wheeler TB  RP 1.00  
 
Alan Embree OAK RP 3.00  
 
 

TM 9: FRANCHISE
Fran O’Connell 
 
Player TM Pos Sal Con

 
Kevin Cash BOS C 2.00  
 
John Buck KC  C 4.00 2008 
 
Justin Morneau MIN 1B 35.00  
 
Mark Grudzielanek KC  2B 1.00  
 
Julio Lugo BOS SS 17.00  
 
Akinori Iwamura TB  3B 14.00  
 
Ben Broussard TEX 1B/3B 7.00  
 
Jhonny Peralta CLE 2B/SS 19.00 2008 
 
Wladimir Balentien SEA OF 2.00 2008 
 
Chris Denorfia OAK OF 5.00  
 
Grady Sizemore CLE OF 35.00 2008 
 
Jacque Jones DET OF 6.00  
 
Torii Hunter ANA OF 26.00  
 
David Ortiz BOS UTIL 36.00  
 
Masahide Kobayashi CLE RP 2.00  
 
Kazuo Fukumori TEX RP 1.00  
 
Chris Ray BAL RP 1.00  
 
John Danks CWS SP 5.00  
 
Zack Greinke KC  SP 4.00 2009 
 
A.J. Burnett TOR SP 19.00  
 
Tim Wakefield BOS SP 2.00  
 
Nate Robertson DET SP 6.00  
 
Jake Westbrook CLE SP 11.00  
 
 
TM 10: QUIXOTES
Don Chiossi 
 
Player TM Pos Sal Con

 
Victor Martinez CLE C 23.00 2008 
 
Gerald Laird TEX C 6.00  
 
Lyle Overbay TOR 1B 19.00  
 
Howie Kendrick ANA 2B 25.00 2008 
 
Adam Everett MIN SS 2.00  
 
Joe Crede CWS 3B 4.00  
 
Aubrey Huff BAL 1B/3B 6.00  
 
Placido Polanco DET 2B/SS 4.00 2008 
 
Alexei Ramirez CWS OF 6.00  
 
Craig Monroe MIN OF 1.00  
 
Alex Rios TOR OF 32.00  
 
David Dellucci CLE OF 5.00  
 
Johnny Damon NYY OF 17.00  
 
Jose Vidro SEA UTIL 1.00  
 
Brandon Morrow SEA RP 3.00  
 
Nick Blackburn MIN SP 3.00  
 
Felix Hernandez SEA SP 28.00  
 
Dontrelle Willis DET SP 15.00  
 
Matt Guerrier MIN RP 1.00  
 
Chien-Ming Wang NYY SP 15.00 2008 
 
Livan Hernandez MIN SP 2.00  
 
Justin Speier ANA RP 1.00 2008 
 
Mariano Rivera NYY RP 29.00  
 
 

TM 11: Kohn’s
Marc Kohn 
 
Player TM Pos Sal Con

 
Guillermo Quiroz BAL C 1.00  
 
Gregg Zaun TOR C 3.00  
 
Casey Kotchman ANA 1B 19.00  
 
B.J. Upton TB  2B 8.00 2010 
 
Bobby Crosby OAK SS 12.00  
 
Adrian Beltre SEA 3B 16.00 2008 
 
Miguel Cabrera DET 1B/3B 44.00  
 
Marco Scutaro TOR 2B/SS 1.00  
 
Nick Swisher CWS OF 30.00 O 
 
Melky Cabrera NYY OF 13.00 O 
 
Juan Rivera ANA OF 1.00  
 
Marcus Thames DET OF 3.00  
 
Frank Catalanotto TEX OF 1.00  
 
Billy Butler KC  UTIL 21.00  
 
Jeremy Accardo TOR RP 2.00 2008 
 
Yasuhiko Yabuta KC  RP 1.00  
 
Jered Weaver ANA SP 19.00  
 
Ian Kennedy NYY SP 1.00 2008 
 
Dustin McGowan TOR SP 5.00 2008 
 
Fernando Rodney DET RP 1.00  
 
Francisco Rodriguez ANA RP 31.00  
 
Roy Halladay TOR SP 26.00  
 
Chad Bradford BAL RP 1.00  
 
 
TM 12: Cape
Chet Wolak 
 
Player TM Pos Sal Con

 
Ivan Rodriguez DET C 14.00  
 
Jason Varitek BOS C 11.00 2008 
 
Carlos Peña TB  1B 1.00 2010 
 
Dustin Pedroia BOS 2B 14.00  
 
Jason Bartlett TB  SS 6.00 2009 
 
Scott Rolen TOR 3B 14.00  
 
Melvin Mora BAL 1B/3B 10.00  
 
Erick Aybar ANA 2B/SS 10.00  
 
Reggie Willits ANA OF 1.00 2008 
 
Michael Cuddyer MIN OF 24.00  
 
Josh Hamilton TEX OF 27.00  
 
Shannon Stewart TOR OF 3.00  
 
Cliff Floyd TB  OF 6.00  
 
Frank Thomas TOR UTIL 12.00  
 
Daniel Cabrera BAL SP 11.00  
 
Daisuke Matsuzaka BOS SP 28.00  
 
Joe Borowski CLE RP 19.00 2008 
 
Jarrod Washburn SEA SP 5.00  
 
Carlos Silva SEA SP 4.00  
 
Rich Harden OAK SP 17.00  
 
Gavin Floyd CWS SP 3.00  
 
Todd Jones DET RP 18.00  
 
Miguel Batista SEA SP 2.00
 

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Forward Thinking

Hey Mike/Cory/Casey or Zach,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Thought I would drop you a question regarding my upcoming draft in another keeper league.  Just wanted some of your insight for my first pick.  It is a 14 team, 12 man keeper, no dollar values, mixed H2H 5×5 with OB%.  We also can protect 2 rookies.

Here are some of the top guys NOT protected, I have the 8th pick in the first round (essentially the 13th round).

Billy Wagner, Ellsbury, John Smoltz, Takashi Saito, Rafael Soriano, Chipper, F. Cordero, Rowand, K. Escobar, Oliver Perez, Carmona, Snell, and Howie Kendrick.

Here are my protected players.
McCann
Fielder
Cano
Peralta
Zimmerman
Figgins
Markakis
Hawpe
Adam Jones (rookie)

Harang
Hamels
Liriano
Buchholz (rookie)
Valverde

Just wondering who you would go with considering my roster, and what players I could wait on for a couple rounds.  Maybe rank them?  What weaknesses do you see in my roster?

Thanks guys…always value your opinions!  This will help me out for the draft this weekend.

Rokhed Brett
Calgary

Brett,

Wow…this is a tough one…so many players to choose from!  In the HR and RBI areas, you’re stacked.  The clear weakness in this keeper group is speed.  The two middle infielders (Cano and Peralta) might give you about 8 combined stolen bases at positions that almost always require steals.  Figgins and to a lesser extent Markakis are your only sources.  The one guy listed here who will help in this department is Ellsbury, someone you can wait a bit before drafting.  My first choice would be to get an SB specialist like Taveras or Pierre with your first pick.  If that’s not possible, I’d turn my attention to grabbing a starter and closer with the first two picks and trading for speed once the season starts.  In a 14 team league, the pitching depth is nowhere near what it is in a 12 teamer, and though your rotation can be an excellent one if Liriano’s healthy, snatching up another #2-3 type isn’t a bad idea.  I’m actually shocked that Smoltz may be available.  I’ll rank him first among the SP’s but be careful!  A 40 year old who will likely start the season on the DL with shoulder issues is scary.  Consider Snell a fallback option with Carmona close behind.  Snell offers more strikeouts while Carmona has the higher win potential.  As for the closers, I’d rank them Wagner, Saito, Cordero, Soriano.  If you wind up with Saito, make sure to get Broxton as insurance.  Addressing a weakness is always a first step, but don’t be afraid to go in a different direction and deal from strength later on.

Zach Steinhorn, MLB.com      

 

3 down one to go

I have my 4th of 4 draft tonight in Jersey.

It is an AL Only 5×5 auction but very different from Tout so what I learned in Tout will only help so much.

Tout is a non keeper this is a keeper. We get to keep up to 5 players and the inflation is zero for year one and then $5 increments for year two and three.

I am keeping
Posada at $18
A-Rod at $42
Markakis at $20
Figgins at $15 (have to put him at CO)
Ervin Santana $11 (traded for him two years ago and this is final year) COME ON ERV MAKE DADDY HAPPY!!!!!!!

Tout has a 6 man taxi squad that is drafted after the auction. This league has a 3 man taxi squad that is filled with FAAB on sunday’s.

Tout has a $100 FAAB Bank, this league has a $260.

**** of a lot easier to trade in this league due to keepers and smaller taxi squads.

My results hopefully tomorrow, but I fly to Memphis for Civil Rights Game Weekend so not sure.

-Siano

My draft stuff

Two spreadsheets are attached, the one I used for NFBC (15-team mixed draft, 23 rounds plus a 7-round reserve draft) and the one I used for NL Tout Wars (13-team NL auction with a 6-round reserve draft). I’m not going to detail how this or that feature works;Baseballrichharden_392 if you’re interested enough to lift these I assume you can figure out Excel well enough. But if there any specific questions please post them on the comments and I’ll try to respond to what I can.

And in case anyone is thinking this right now, no, these are not perfect and I’ve already been thinking about some features I’d like to build in for next year to make these more useful during drafts.

BTW, Harden looked pretty good this morning, huh?? I got him in the 21st round in the 411 listener league draft! Oh, baby! :-)

–Cory

Tout Wars recap (Mixed League)

My team …

CA     Johjima     13
CA     Navarro     1
1B     Lee, D     22
2B     Sanchez     3
3B     Braun, R     34
SS     Rollins     39
MI     S. Drew     2
CI     Gordon     9
OF     Rios, Alex     26
OF     Kemp     15
OF     Francoeur     9
OF     Victorino     20
OF     Kearns     1
UT     Butler     3

P1     Lackey     8
P2     Soria     14
P3     Greinke     5
P4     Hill, R     11
P5     Gagne     5
P6     Sherrill     5
P7     Francis     5
P8     Ryan     3
P9     Accardo    7

BN    Jay Bruce   
BN    W. Rodriguez   
BN    E. Santana   
BN    M. Jacobs   
BN    R. Wolf   
BN    And. LaRoche   

General strategy
My strategy going in was to build a strong well-balanced offense centered around five-category dudes who all hit for respectable averages and a staff full of inexpensive potential breakout pitchers. For the most part, I think I executed that plan, grabbing Rollins, Braun, Rios and Lee as my offensive core, and additional all-category threats in Kemp, Victorino and Gordon.

Strengths: Steals, average and a deep bullpen. I’ve got steals coming out of my nose here, and I may have to trade some away down the line. Making a concerted effort to avoid .260 hitters paid off, as I stayed away from the Nick Swishers and Adam Dunns of the world and generally targeted high-contact hitters. Do I expect Gagne to stay healthy? No. That’s why I locked up Soria, Sherrill and Toronto’s closers (Accardo and Ryan), which should be enough insurance.

Weaknesses: I admit – my starting pitching is probably the worst in the league. In my experience, spending too much money on starters has proven to be a risky strategy, as they’re all generally unreliable or injury prone. I’m hoping Lackey gets back on the mound by May, Francis throws 200 quality innings again, Hill makes the jump to 200 Ks, and Greinke enjoys the breakthrough season he’s capable of. I’m kicking myself for not getting my favorite $1 guys in Garza, Baker or Unit, but that’s life. I ended up with a deeper bullpen instead.

Regrets: Getting Victorino instead of Pence. I overspent on Victorino simply because I have a man crush on him, not because I needed him. In retrospect, Pence would have been a much better buy. Don’t ask me why I spent $13 on Johjima instead of waiting around for a cheaper Soto, whom I love.

Best buys: I was absolutely shocked to snag Francoeur for $9. That may be the move I’m most proud of down the line. Also, I’m thrilled to have stashed away Jay Bruce, who will probably take the Majors by storm whenever he’s called up.

Random Note: Going out drinking the night before draft day with fellow league members Nando and David Gonos from CBS.Sportsline didn’t work to my advantage – Gonos still ended up with a strong team!

Feel free to post any feedback…

- Alex Cushing, MLB.com Fantasy

AL TOUT Recap

Friday night was AL Tout Draft. It was a fun exhausting day. You may not know this but this years AL Tout is the subject of a new documentary based on Sam Walker’s book titled Fantasyland. A regular joe named Jed Latkin was picked as the "lead" and he met with us on camera before the draft and I sat next to him during. He is good people and I like him already. We hung out all night after the draft. The whole league came to Foley’s for pints and dinner after the draft including Cory and Alex. After that Jed and I along with some others headed downtown to make me look and feel not so good the next day. Jed is not a shy guy but he by no means a loud mouth (that’s Berry’s title ;-). I don’t know how well he will do but nobody does since the draft is usually full of balance and a little luck goes a long way. Like when I missed out on Granderson and was bummed, but he goes on DL next day. Toutwars

Below is a full breakdown of my draft. I will list my targeted player with MLB.com value, what he actually went for in Tout and who I got at that position with dollar vale and comment. I look forward to reading your comments.

C:
Target: Navarro $5
Went For: $6
I Got: Jeff Mathis for $1
Comment: I stopped at 5 for Navarro because I didn’t feel need to go past my budget if $6 total for two catchers. I used the plus $4 elsewhere.

C:
Target: Redmond $1
Went For: $3
I Got: Curtis Thigpen for $1
Comment: He’ll be back up. I like this buy.

1B:
Target: Gordon $20
Went For: $21
I Got: Brad Wilkerson for $8
Comment: I stopped at 20 for Gordon because I didn’t want to overspend and get in a war that my ego made me win. I also thought I’d still get Konerko but he went for $25  This is my biggest regret of draft the way I handled 1B. Silver linings. Wilk is a sleeper this year who plays OF and 1B and he will play everyday and McLaren loves him and I could have spent $11 on Millar who I got into a bidding war with Ron Shandler over because he was in same boat as me. We’ll see. 

2B:
Target: Asdrubal Cabrera $7
Went For: $13
I Got: Alexi Casilla for $3
Comment: I threw him out for a buck and am glad I got him. I think he will work his way to the big club and steal me some bags. I never spend high on MI in AL Only auction leagues. Prefer to get cheap speed with upside.

 
SS:
Target: Adam Everett $2
Went For: $2
I Got: Adam Everett for $2
Comment: If he can give me 2005 counting stats (11 HR and 21 SB) I’ll be giddy. Average is a concern but I like his change of scenery upside.

3B:
Target: A-Rod $48Arodhead_1
Went For: $45
I Got: A-Rod for $45
Comment: After winning Alex fairly easily Jeff Erickson of rotowire.com claimed nobody puts baby in the corner Dirtydancingmovie09_1 and nobody denies Siano A-Rod. I was willing to go higher but glad I didn’t have to. The guys try to get in my head that I like Yankees but it doesn’t bother me because they have good players plain and simple.

MI:
Target: Eckstein $3
Went For: $7
I Got: John MacDonald for $1
Comment: He’ll be used by John Gibbons and should give me a little something something. If Hill or Eck goes down maybe I get more then expected. Eck hasn’t played more then 123 game the past two seasons.

CO:
Target: Fields $10
Went For: $10
I Got: Aki Iwamura for $17
Comment: Missing out on Fields may have been a blessing. Aki went for $7 more but should run and will have 2B eligibility in a week plus so I really liked this audible.

OF:
Target: Markakis $24
Went For: $29
I Got: Bobby Abreu for $29
Comment: Abreu went a little high but to be honest with his steadiness this could be a wash between him and Markakis in 08′. Keeper league would have been different.

OF:
Target: Matsui $21
Went For: $20
I Got: Matsui for $20
Comment: Last year was a disaster for my OF in Tout. I had to make sure it didn’t happen again. If anything it was at the expense of Catcher and 1B which is half fine being that my MI is cheap on purpose.

OF:
Target: Melky Cabrera $4
Went For: $15
I Got: Coco Crisp for $14
Comment: This was a late game pickup and I had some money. I love this pickup if he gets traded since we keep the stats to the other league. If the prices surprise you this is typical, but I learned that the hard way last year.

OF:
Target: Jerry Owens $3
Went For: $14
I Got: Jonny Gomes for $10
Comment: See a trend for speed in the OF. No way I spend that much on Owens, too risky this year. Gomes had a good counting stat second half last year. Hope he builds on it to make this a great buy.

OF:
Target: Dollar OF $1
Went For: $1
I Got: Jason Botts for $1
Comment: For a buck I love this scrub pickup. My average is hurting but I can mash.

UT:
Target: Swisher $21
Went For: $25
I Got: Jim Thome for $16
Comment: Wish I had Swish at 1B and Thome here so really happy with the price for Thome. Like Abreu he is steady.

P:
Target: Bedard $28
Went For: $33
I Got: Sabathia for $31
Comment: $30 on pitching is not really my style but with Lackey, Kazmir and Beckett hurt and Johan in NL this was a move I had to make and was comfortable with. I had Escobar and Carmona last year but that was a ton of luck so I wanted to come at the league with some legit arms which leads to…

P:
Target: Verlander $26
Went For: $29
I Got: Dice-K for $23
Comment: Love it love it love it! Spent $3 over what I wanted on my aces but got two high K, high wins guys.

P:
Target: Ian Kennedy $4
Went For: $9
I Got: Daniel Cabrera for $3
Comment: More K’s for Mikey but huge risk here. Sam Walker couldn’t believe nobody went to $4 and I was very pleased with this. If this is the year of Cabrera then I can smoke pitching this year.

P:
Target: Ervin Santana $3
Went For: $7
I Got: Gavin Floyd for $4
Comment: I love big Erv but I love Floyd better for $3 less. This kid has potential and is in a good situation. Hoping like Cabrera this is his maturation year.

P:
Target: Dollar Starter $1
Went For: $1
I Got: Luke Hochevar for $1
Comment: He got sent down 48 hours after the draft, but that’s fine. He’ll be back up and hopefully can contribute.

P:
Target: Dollar Middle Reliever $28
Went For: $1
I Got: Cliff Lee for $1
Comment: Bailed on a $1 MR when I saw I had a shot at Lee. Jeffrey Ma’s favorite pick and it paid off with the news that Sowers and Laffey got sent down just now.

P:
Target: Dollar Middle Reliever $1
Went For: $1
I Got: Jamie Walker for a $1.
Comment: Shot at cheap saves.

P:
Target: Dollar Middle Reliever $1
Went For: $1
I Got: Brandon Morrow for a $1.
Comment: Closer if Putz gets hurt. Possible starter as well. Great buy.

P:
Target: K-Rod $29
Went For: $23
I Got: Joe Nathan for a $27.
Comment: Nathan got tossed out before K-Rod ($23) and Papelbon ($26) and after Putz ($26). Not sure how Nathan went the highest and it bothered me but at least I got one of the big 4. This is one thing about Tout and auctions in general that is maddening. Sometimes things just go wacky.

After the auction is over we do a 6 round reserve snake draft. I had pick #7.
Round 1: David Price – Shocked and elated he fell to me.Price_1
Round 2: Kenny Lofton – Heard a few I should have done that groans
Round 3: Adam Miller – If Miller and Price get called up I’ll have depth to    deal from I hope.
Round 4: Freddy Guzman – Could be first break of 08 since he could fill in for Granderson.
Round 5: Bob McCrory – sleeper for saves in Baltimore.
Round 6: Taylor Teagarden – If Laird gets traded or hurt and Salty isn’t ready maybe this other prospect is.

Closing thoughts:
I spoke to Rick Wilton the next morning at the NL and Mixed drafts and I agree with his assessment that no team stands out which is what sets Tout apart from your normal 12 guys in a room draft. The luck of health, breaks and good use of FAAB are key to winning this thing. Trades are scarce because it’s a non keeper so both sides have to be 100% comfortable with the players they get back so there is a bunch of scouring the wires and pouncing.

Looking forward to your comments.

Mike

NL Tout Wars draft recap

Special thanks to Jason Collette of Rotowire.com for doing — as we say in 411 parlance — yoeman’s work to post the complete draft results of today’s NL Tout Wars draft. Here’s how it came out for yours truly:

Dirty_utley_1

                              
POS PLAYER $$
C Martin 26
C E.Alfonzo 1
1B Howard 36
3B Braun 36
CI Jacobs 17
2B Utley 37
SS Greene 18
MI J.Castillo 1
UT Dobbs R1
OF J.Upton 13
OF Freel 4
OF De Aza 1
OF Pearce 1
OF Nixon R6
POS PLAYER $$
P Myers 18
P Wainwright 15
P Kuroda 7
P Zito 6
P Marquis 1
P Od.Perez 1
P K.Hart 1
P Proctor R3
P C.Cordero 17
POS PLAYER $$
2B Antonelli 1
OF Bonds 1
OF McCutcheon R5
P C.Perez 1
P Scherzer R2
P Ledezma R4

As you can see I took a pretty much straightforward "stars and scrubs" approach, but unfortunately I got not enough stars and too many scrubs. For my fourth straight year in Tout Wars, I took one too many hitters in the $15-18 range, leaving myself unable to make competitive bids on the handful of useful $5 players sprinkled throughout the end game. As a result, I not only ended up with a bunch of fill-in players, I don’t even have five active Major Leaguers to put in my outfield! At least I have a killer infield and Russell Martin…

One thing I did do well though, which I started doing last year, is using some of my end game picks on the prospects who would usually go in the reserve round; in particular this year that meant Matt Antonelli, Steve Pearce and Chris Perez. If the alternative is to take cannon fodder like Jose Castillo (I did that too!) or a guy who might actually help me in the second half of the season. Unfortunately that’s how I ended up without a fifth outfielder, but after a week or so of games, either Jason Marquis or Odalis Perez will be cut loose to make room for someone from free agency, if anyone even slips through.

As for the projected standings, well, they’re not too favorable to this unit, putting me near the bottom of the league. But my strategy is to have reinforcements ready for the second half — possibly including Barry Bonds for a dollar! — so hopefully I can make a run after the All-Star break.

Look for AL and mixed recaps from Siano and Cushing, respectively, in the next day or so.

Enjoy!

Cory

411 Listener League draft results

The original 411 Listener League draft was tonight… 060813_martin_vmed_8pwidec

Projected standings are attached

using each team’s "best available" 23-man starting roster and the projected stats I’ve been using for my drafts.

Obviously that’s not a very telling picture of team strength, given how many teams go light on SP’s so they do pitch-or-ditch, etc. And if you don’t like or agree with any projection for any player, don’t tell me about it, I don’t wanna hear it, I don’t care! These are for entertainment and trash-talking purposes only… enjoy!

UPDATE (3/22): Here’s a link to the complete pick-by-pick results.

To answer a question in the comments, I thought McCann was an excellent value with the 71st pick, and looking at how the next round went, there’s no one I passed on that I would have rather had. So if nothing else I should have the best catching tandem in the league, for whatever that’s worth! :-)

Here’s a quick overview of my feelings on my own selections:

BEST PICK: Despite the risk that always comes with him, it’s hard to not feel great about getting Rich Harden in the 21st round (242nd overall). If healthy, he can be one of the dominant starters in the league. If not, he only cost me a 21st round pick so I can move on to my pitch-or-ditch routine. All upside, almost no risk.

WORST PICK: Well, of course I think they are all great ones, but I probably didn’t need to use a 17th round pick on Zack Greinke when both B.J. Ryan and Jeremy Accardo were still on the board, not to mention George Sherrill, Carlos Marmol, Brandon Lyon and Joe Borowski. Never can have too many saves:

ONES THAT GOT AWAY: The South Larson Hamptonians and Gluttons, who bookended my picks, took my "next" picks several times when I was all set to take them next: Jose Valverde (8th round by Siano, I took Huston Street), Joakim Soria (12th round by Gluttons, I took Brett Myers), who was then followed by Kelly Johnson (12th round by Sianimals, I took Kevin Kouzmanoff), Dustin McGowan (14th round by Gluttons… that one really hurt, since I took Oliver Perez instead), C.J. Wilson (19th round by Siano, I took Mike Jacobs) and Franklin Gutierrez (22nd round by Gluttons, I took Ian Kennedy). As you can tell by all of the above comments, I really was trying to grab a fourth closer but couldn’t get the ones I wanted at what I felt was the right point.

Let’s get this party started!!

–Cory

Banking on Oliver

Hi Guys,
Trade question for you, 12 team 5 X 5:
I give up Javy Vazquez and get back Oliver Perez and Manny Corpas.
My other pitchers are Haren, Kazmir, Cain, Hughes, Soria, Gregg, Accardo, Al Reyes and Heath Bell
Thanks
Tom in Chicago

Tom,

Go for it!  While Javy was underrated heading into last year, I think he’s a bit overrated as we enter 2008.  Don’t get me wrong, Vazquez will always be a valuable fantasy option due to his consistently high strikeout rate.  But last season was the first since 2003 in which he posted an ERA below 4.40.  And the home runs have always been an issue, resulting in a fluctuating ERA that’s largely based on how many runners are on when he serves them up.  Now Oliver Perez is far from a sure thing.  In fact, he’s probably the single most frustrating pitcher to own.  That being said, I’ve got two words for you…contract year.  Coming off his best season since the magical 2004 campaign with the Pirates, Perez has all the incentive in the world to perform at a high level.  The main criticism of Oliver throughout his career has been his lack of focus.  I just have a feeling that won’t be a problem this time around!  Perez will match if not exceed Vazquez’s strikeout total, and pitches in a much more favorable home ballpark.  Though it’s quite possible that Perez can have a better year than Vazquez, I’m not even counting on that.  But factoring in the addition of Corpas to what looks like a shaky closer situation (Gregg’s on a short leash and Accardo’s the setup man as long as Ryan is healthy), the swap is well worth the risk.

Zach Steinhorn, MLB.com      

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