Unreads for 6/30

Hey guys, I have two trade offers on the table right now.  One I think is worthwhile and the other would pretty much secure giving up this year for the future.

It’s a 14 team points keeper with salaries based on drafted rounds The deal I consider decent is giving up Jered Weaver for Troy Percival.  My current closers are Morrow and Rauch.  This deal would help me in case my current guys lose their jobs when regulars come back, but this doesn’t change anything for me keeper wise.

The second deal is getting Bruce & Longoria for Sheets & Beckett.  This would hurt my SP obviously but I would gain two keepers with a minimum salary.

I have Headley and Zimmerman at 3B and Longoria is the main guy I want.  The other owner countered with this deal after rejecting Sheets/Rauch for Longoria.  I assume this is way too much to give up but wanted your thoughts.

Jason in MI

Hey Jason,

Not only is the first deal worthwhile, it’s one that makes perfect sense for you.  Now I understand why your fellow owner is interested in Weaver.  After all, he’s coming off six hitless innings vs the Dodgers.  But his overall stats (7-8, 4.30 ERA) are nothing special and the strikeout rate (77 K in 102 2/3 IP) is less than impressive.  Weaver’s been fairly erratic all season long, and though he’s a useful fantasy option, Jered is at best a #4 SP in mixed leagues and easily replaceable.  

Percival obviously comes with injury risk.  The Rays stopper has already missed 12 games due to a strained hamstring, and readily admits that his legs are still not 100 percent.  But the 38-year-old has something that many other closers don’t …job security.  Percival continues to pitch at a high level, and as long as his health cooperates, the saves will be there.  That said, it’s definitely a good idea to snatch up Dan Wheeler, if available, just in case.  Having another source for saves is vital considering that both Morrow and Rauch, though very solid, could be middle relievers within the next month.

As for the second trade, where are you in the standings?  Although Bruce and Longoria can help you in 2008, I’d sit tight if there’s any chance of you winning the league this year.  It seems like for now you’re really just interested in Longoria to improve a weak 3B situation, so why take on Bruce and in turn lose both pitchers?  If there’s no other fair way to get Longoria in a deal involving either Sheets or Beckett, shop one of these guys for a different third baseman.  I’m sure another team could use an ace pitcher.  In a keeper league with this type of salary format, I understand Longoria’s appeal.  But assuming you’re in it to win it, Sheets or Beckett could net you an even better return.

Zach Steinhorn

Hey guys love the show,

10 team keeper, H2H points 23 man rosters.

Just did a deal. Traded Papelbon, Tulo, and Wainwright and got back Hanley and Saito.
Do you think I overpaid? I am trying to win now and I was getting nothing from Wainwright and Tulo and Ramirez is the best player in the deal. Saito is no Papelbon but he is still a decent replacement in my mind. What do you guys think? (I also have Lidge as a closer).

Tzvi in Israel

Hey Tzvi,

I think you hit the nail on the head when you backed up your claim that you are trying to win by stating “Ramirez is the best player in the deal.” The shortstop is adept at hitting for average (hitting .294), for power (14 doubles and 18 homers), producing runs (35 RBIs) and providing speed (20 steals). He was one home run short of 30/50 status last year, and he could realistically turn in a similar campaign this year, though he might have to rev up the stolen base attempts.

Now, he is certainly a better option at short than Tulowitzki. Despite hitting his second homer on Sunday, Tulo is just 5-for-29 (.172) since returning to the Rockies from a torn quadriceps injury. Of course, Hanley is a better option even if Tulo were hitting at a high level. Hanley’s elite speed/power combo, along with his ability to hit for a high average, makes him nearly irreplaceable on fantasy teams.

I think the tradeoff of giving up Papelbon and Wainwright for Saito is worth it. Papelbon has been utterly dominant for most of the season, converting 24 of 28 save opportunities and posting a 2.00 ERA, a 0.86 WHIP and a ridiculous 47/6 K/BB ratio in 36 innings. He has blown two saves in the last two weeks, but he remains a top-three closer, especially with the Red Sox destined to win many more games in the final three months of the regular season.

Saito isn’t a bad alternative, though, especially when you’re turning Tulo into Hanley at shortstop. Saito has probably been overlooked since he has only 12 saves, but the Dodgers’ low-scoring offense and struggling starting rotation haven’t given Saito many save opportunities in the first place; he has blown three save opps, although two of those came in April. The 38-year-old has still been impressive, posting a 47/11 K/BB ratio in 33 2/3 innings, and he has given up only five fly balls in his last 11 innings. He’s primarily striking out hitters or inducing ground balls, so he should be a great option for saves if and when the Dodgers put together an extended winning streak.

It wasn’t a bad idea to give up Wainwright if that’s what it took to close the deal. He is in a fairly tenuous injury situation, since his sprained right middle finger is actually a rupture of the pulley that holds the tendon to the bone in the finger. The slow pace with which the injury heals, coupled with the fact that the injury might negatively affect his grip on the ball, means that he may have limited success for the remainder of the season. He’s expected to return in late-July at the earliest, but his timetable is mostly up in the air.

All in all, your shortstop situation improved more than your closer situation worsened. Saito can play an instrumental role in your team’s success and acquiring a player like Hanley Ramirez could provide the boost your team needs to finish atop your league.

Kyle Stack

4 Comments

Thanks for the input Zach (this is Jason btw). I’m currently in 9th of the 14 teams & about 300 points out of the lead. For what it’s worth, the rest of my pitching staff includes:
Randy Johnson, Luke Hochevar, Jesse Litsch, Justin Masterson, Clayton Kershaw, & Cliff Lee.

wut site is the chat on?

the chat is on mlb.com like it normally is. Usually, they post a link to the chatroom on the frontpage nearer the time.

Hey Jason…Cordero now done for the year so Rauch’s job IS safe…I’d still do that first deal though, but with Percival hurt again, hope you picked up Wheeler! With regards to the other trade, definitely do not give up that second pitcher. Other than Lee, there’s really no pitcher on your list who’s a must-start. Good luck!

Zach

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