2009 List of 12
The numbers are in and the
2009 List of 12 is attached, this year numbering 16 strong:
* Zack Greinke
* Rich Harden
* Felix Hernandez
* Ervin Santana
* Ian Snell
Take special note of the five guys marked with asterisks… they were “bonus” guys on last year’s list, having come close to 500 IP but not yet crossed the line, which was close enough that we thought they should be mentioned. Erik Bedard and John Patterson were also so included, and clearly Bedard would’ve warranted a high pick. But had you drafted the other five listed here, you would’ve had an extremely competitive rotation in just about any mixed league, even with Snell’s injury-plagued, disappointing season.
Of this year’s “true” qualifiers for List of 12 status, it’s easy to see who the stars are: postseason stars Cole Hamels and James Shields in particular, followed by 2008 disappointments Matt Cain and Justin Verlander. But keep an eye on a trio of lefties — Wandy Rodriguez, Paul Maholm and Scott Olsen – who could all produce strong value in 2009 at a bargain price. Wandy’s four-year MLB stats show almost a perfect trend towards a breakout season, so if you think 2008 was it, there may yet be room for a little more improvement.
As for the stats, everything should be pretty commonly understood, but note the last two columns, where I’ve included strikeout and walk rates as a percentage of total batters faced. Enjoy!