The Real Fantasy League
Ever wonder how the actual MLB clubs would fare if they played each other in a 30 team 5×5 fantasy league? I did, and decided to go through the long process of figuring it all out. Using the team stats from the 2008 regular season, I went ahead and assigned roto point values for each of the five hitting and five pitching categories. How different are these fantasy standings from the real ones? Are the standard 10 categories accurate measures in explaining a team’s performance on the field? Below you’ll find the end of season fantasy standings broken down by division along with the roto point totals. I’ve also attached the Excel spreadsheet so you can see all the raw data.
Red Sox 249.5
Blue Jays 179.5
White Sox 198
I expected it to be close, but not quite to this extent! The only differences that have postseason implications is the Red Sox winning the AL East over the Rays with Tampa being the wildcard and the Mets edging out the Brewers for the NL wildcard. Also, the 100-win Angels are far from the best team in baseball, trailing the Red Sox, Rays, and Phillies while barely squeaking by the Yankees and Mets. Instead, the Cubbies take home the title.
While there are certainly other fantasy relevant stats that could serve as more effective predictors, these 10 seem to do just fine. However, there’s one pretty obvious problem. The playoffs aren’t included here, so the “Curse of the Billy Goat” doesn’t apply! Only in fantasy can the Cubs actually win a championship.
Feel free to post your feedback. Looking forward to hearing from all of 411 Nation.