Unreads for 12/4
5 Keeper league…Planning on keeping David Wright anyone else worth keeping?
A good way to look at this is to think about who would classify as a top five round selection. Assuming this is a 12 teamer, that would translate to a top 60 pick. Roberts certainly fits this description. Roberts is as consistent as they come at the second base position, providing around a .290 average, 40 or so steals, 100+ runs, and double digit homers. He’s no worse than a late fourth rounder, and will likely be drafted even before then. Adrian Gonzalez is another guy you should hold onto. There’s a slight chance he’ll last into the sixth round, but don’t take that risk! Once again, the key is consistency. Adrian’s averaged 33 homers, 110 RBIs, and 102 runs scored over the last two seasons while playing half his games at Petco. Pretty impressive.
Beyond the Wright-Roberts-Gonzalez trio, I’d stay put and take those extra draft picks. Keeping V-Mart is tempting, but chances are he will still be on the board by the time you make your first regularly scheduled pick. The fact that Martinez returned from elbow surgery to hit .288 with a .475 slugging percentage in the month of September bodes well for his ’09 outlook, especially if he’s available at a discount. Considering V-Mart at that spot could pay big dividends.
It’s great to have you guys back for the winter – Dustin Pedroia was taken 14th overall in your mock draft, and I was surprised that nobody’s talked about him and whether that’s where his value lies for next season. Could you guys elaborate a little bit on where Pedroia fits in the early rounds and among other second basemen?
Thanks, as always!
Adam in St. Louis
No way is Pedroia anywhere close to the 14th best player in fantasy baseball. This is yet another example of fans overvaluing players on their favorite teams. And the number of Red Sox fans is constantly growing! Take advantage of that. There’s no question Pedroia’s across the board numbers can help any fantasy club, but he doesn’t have a track record of dominance in multiple categories, a prerequisite for any first or second rounder. Looking at that mock draft, I’d much rather have Beltran, Upton, Ichiro, Carlos Lee, Berkman, Holliday, Morneau, or even Brandon Phillips and Brian Roberts. All in all, I view Pedroia as more of a fourth round player, and would rank him fifth among second basemen, after Utley, Kinsler, Phillips, and Roberts.