February 2009
Fantasy 411 Q&A: Feb. 27, 2009
Pitchers, pitchers, pitchers. We’re only two days into Spring Training game action and already two aces have been scratched from today’s starts. While I’m not overly concerned about Johan Santana or Brandon Webb, this just goes to show the risk you’re taking in drafting a starter in the first three or four rounds. While hitters tend to play through injuries, especially minor ones, pitchers usually need to be very close to 100 percent healthy in order to take the hill every fifth day. Arm discomfort? Forget it!
Anyway, make sure to check out the updated mock draft results through Round 21 which are posted below. Two more rounds to go. January 12th was the start date, so forgive me if I’m having trouble remembering my first few picks.
Let’s get to your questions.
-Zach
FEATURED QUESTION OF THE DAY
In every single mock draft I have done so far, Mark DeRosa has fallen to
the extreme late rounds. Do you guys consider him to be a sleeper?
I can’t understand why he is so underrated. He may not hit 21 home runs
again, but I would still view him as a top 10 2B. What do you think of
him this year and is it smart to target him in my drafts?
DeRosa’s not a sleeper in the pure sense, but yeah, potentially undervalued for
a guy who could hit 12-15 homers (if not more) with 2B/3B/OF
eligibility. I think he’s slipping in drafts since he’s viewed as a
late bloomer and is moving to the tougher league, but he’s definitely a
good value in the late teens or later.
-Cory
Updated Mock Draft (through Round 21)
Alex Cushing – MLB.com
Joe Sheehan – Baseball Prospectus
Jeff Erickson – Rotowire.com
Mike Siano – MLB.com
Jeffrey Ma – Citizen Sports
Jason Collette – Fanball.com
Nando Di Fino / Tom Herrera - WSJ.com / AOL.com
Will Carroll – Baseball Prospectus
Cory Schwartz – MLB.com
Lawr Michaels – CREATiVESPORTS.com
Zach Steinhorn – MLB.com
Tony Cincotta – Fantasypros911.com
R1 P1 Alex Cushing Ramirez, Hanley
R1 P2 Joe Sheehan Reyes, Jose
R1 P3 Jeff Erickson Rodriguez, Alex
R1 P4 Mike Siano Pujols, Albert
R1 P5 Jeffrey Ma Wright, David
R1 P6 Jason Collette Sizemore, Grady
R1 P7 Nando Di Fino Howard, Ryan
R1 P8 Will Carroll Upton, B.J.
R1 P9 Cory Schwartz Braun, Ryan
R1 P10 Lawr Michaels Utley, Chase
R1 P11 Zach Steinhorn Rollins, Jimmy
R1 P12 Tony Cincotta Cabrera, Miguel
R2 P1 Tony Cincotta Hamilton, Josh
R2 P2 Zach Steinhorn Teixeira, Mark
R2 P3 Lawr Michaels Morneau, Justin
R2 P4 Cory Schwartz Kinsler, Ian
R2 P5 Will Carroll Santana, Johan
R2 P6 Nando Di Fino Hamels, Cole
R2 P7 Jason Collette Longoria, Evan
R2 P8 Jeffrey Ma Lincecum, Tim
R2 P9 Mike Siano Beltran, Carlos
R2 P10 Jeff Erickson Holliday, Matt
R2 P11 Joe Sheehan Soriano, Alfonso
R2 P12 Alex Cushing Lee, Carlos
R3 P1 Alex Cushing Ramirez, Manny
R3 P2 Joe Sheehan Kemp, Matt
R3 P3 Jeff Erickson Suzuki, Ichiro
R3 P4 Mike Siano Pedroia, Dustin
R3 P5 Jeffrey Ma Sabathia, CC
R3 P6 Jason Collette Crawford, Carl
R3 P7 Nando Di Fino Markakis, Nick
R3 P8 Will Carroll Berkman, Lance
R3 P9 Cory Schwartz Roberts, Brian
R3 P10 Lawr Michaels Youkilis, Kevin
R3 P11 Zach Steinhorn Phillips, Brandon
R3 P12 Tony Cincotta Ramirez, Aramis
R4 P1 Tony Cincotta Ramirez, Alexei
R4 P2 Zach Steinhorn Bay, Jason
R4 P3 Lawr Michaels Drew, Stephen
R4 P4 Cory Schwartz Fielder, Prince
R4 P5 Will Carroll McCann, Brian
R4 P6 Nando Di Fino Rios, Alex
R4 P7 Jason Collette Martin, Russell
R4 P8 Jeffrey Ma Ellsbury, Jacoby
R4 P9 Mike Siano Quentin, Carlos
R4 P10 Jeff Erickson Webb, Brandon
R4 P11 Joe Sheehan Peavy, Jake
R4 P12 Alex Cushing Ortiz, David
R5 P1 Alex Cushing Granderson, Curtis
R5 P2 Joe Sheehan Mauer, Joe
R5 P3 Jeff Erickson Soto, Geovany
R5 P4 Mike Siano Papelbon, Jonathan
R5 P5 Jeffrey Ma Hart, Corey
R5 P6 Jason Collette Gonzalez, Adrian
R5 P7 Nando Di Fino Guerrero, Vladimir
R5 P8 Will Carroll Jones, Chipper
R5 P9 Cory Schwartz Victorino, Shane
R5 P10 Lawr Michaels Haren, Dan
R5 P11 Zach Steinhorn Dunn, Adam
R5 P12 Tony Cincotta McLouth, Nate
R6 P1 Tony Cincotta Rodriguez, Francisco
R6 P2 Zach Steinhorn Nathan, Joe
R6 P3 Lawr Michaels Billingsley, Chad
R6 P4 Cory Schwartz Rivera, Mariano
R6 P5 Will Carroll Halladay, Roy
R6 P6 Nando Di Fino Furcal, Rafael
R6 P7 Jason Collette Oswalt, Roy
R6 P8 Jeffrey Ma Lidge, Brad
R6 P9 Mike Siano Abreu, Bobby
R6 P10 Jeff Erickson Davis, Chris
R6 P11 Joe Sheehan Hernandez, Felix
R6 P12 Alex Cushing Soria, Joakim
R7 P1 Alex Cushing Martinez, Victor
R7 P2 Joe Sheehan Lackey, John
R7 P3 Jeff Erickson Tulowitzki, Troy
R7 P4 Mike Siano Young, Michael
R7 P5 Jeffrey Ma Liriano, Francisco
R7 P6
Jason Collette Shields, James
R7 P7 Nando Di Fino Beckett, Josh
R7 P8 Will Carroll Uggla, Dan
R7 P9 Cory Schwartz Pence, Hunter
R7 P10 Lawr Michaels Napoli, Mike
R7 P11 Zach Steinhorn Matsuzaka, Daisuke
R7 P12 Tony Cincotta Hardy, J.J.
R8 P1 Tony Cincotta Santana, Ervin
R8 P2 Zach Steinhorn Young, Chris
R8 P3 Lawr Michaels Ordonez, Magglio
R8 P4 Cory Schwartz Votto, Joey
R8 P5 Will Carroll Bruce, Jay
R8 P6 Nando Di Fino Kazmir, Scott
R8 P7 Jason Collette Valverde, Jose
R8 P8 Jeffrey Ma Iannetta, Chris
R8 P9 Mike Siano Doumit, Ryan
R8 P10 Jeff Erickson Cano, Robinson
R8 P11 Joe Sheehan Pena, Carlos
R8 P12 Alex Cushing Lee, Derrek
R9 P1 Alex Cushing Vazquez, Javier
R9 P2 Joe Sheehan Chamberlain, Joba
R9 P3 Jeff Erickson Lee, Cliff
R9 P4 Mike Siano Huff, Aubrey
R9 P5 Jeffrey Ma Marmol, Carlos
R9 P6 Jason Collette Jeter, Derek
R9 P7 Nando Di Fino Ludwick, Ryan
R9 P8 Will Carroll Maybin, Cameron
R9 P9 Cory Schwartz Peralta, Jhonny
R9 P10 Lawr Michaels Figgins, Chone
R9 P11 Zach Steinhorn Damon, Johnny
R9 P12 Tony Cincotta Molina, Bengie
R10 P1 Tony Cincotta Burnett, A.J.
R10 P2 Zach Steinhorn Fuentes, Brian
R10 P3 Lawr Michaels Ryan, B.J.
R10 P4 Cory Schwartz Encarnacion, Edwin
R10 P5 Will Carroll Milledge, Lastings
R10 P6 Nando Di Fino Volquez, Edinson
R10 P7 Jason Collette Gordon, Alex
R10 P8 Jeffrey Ma Atkins, Garrett
R10 P9 Mike Siano Lester, Jon
R10 P10 Jeff Erickson Wood, Kerry
R10 P11 Joe Sheehan Kendrick, Howie
R10 P12 Alex Cushing Zimmerman, Ryan
R11 P1 Alex Cushing Greinke, Zack
R11 P2 Joe Sheehan Broxton, Jonathan
R11 P3 Jeff Erickson Gallardo, Yovani
R11 P4 Mike Siano Cordero, Francisco
R11 P5 Jeffrey Ma Wieters, Matt
R11 P6 Jason Collette Cruz, Nelson
R11 P7 Nando Di Fino Hoffman, Trevor
R11 P8 Will Carroll Jenks, Bobby
R11 P9 Cory Schwartz Bell, Heath
R11 P10 Lawr Michaels Ethier, Andre
R11 P11 Zach Steinhorn Zambrano, Carlos
R11 P12 Tony Cincotta Lindstrom, Matt
R12 P1 Tony Cincotta Matsui, Kaz
R12 P2 Zach Steinhorn Beltre, Adrian
R12 P3 Lawr Michaels Werth, Jayson
R12 P4 Cory Schwartz Nolasco, Ricky
R12 P5 Will Carroll Harden, Rich
R12 P6 Nando Di Fino Blalock, Hank
R12 P7 Jason Collette Lopez, Jose
R12 P8 Jeffrey Ma Aviles, Mike
R12 P9 Mike Siano Verlander, Justin
R12 P10 Jeff Erickson Loney, James
R12 P11 Joe Sheehan Upton, Justin
R12 P12 Alex Cushing Capps, Matt
R13 P1 Alex Cushing Gonzalez, Mike
R13 P2 Joe Sheehan Hawpe, Brad
R13 P3 Jeff Erickson Ibanez, Raul
R13 P4 Mike Siano Cain, Matt
R13 P5 Jeffrey Ma Bradley, Milton
R13 P6 Jason Collette Devine, Joey
R13 P7 Nando Di Fino Sheets, Ben
R13 P8 Will Carroll Guzman, Cristian
R13 P9 Cory Schwartz Wainwright, Adam
R13 P10 Lawr Michaels Span, Denard
R13 P11 Zach Steinhorn Myers, Brett
R13 P12 Tony Cincotta Hunter, Torii
R14 P1 Tony Cincotta Taveras, Willy
R14 P2 Zach Steinhorn Johnson, Kelly
R14 P3 Lawr Michaels Navarro, Dioner
R14 P4 Cory Schwartz Wells, Vernon
R14 P5 Will Carroll Wilson, Brian
R14 P6 Nando Di Fino Iwamura, Akinori
R14 P7 Jason Collette Dye, Jermaine
R14 P8 Jeffrey Ma Jackson, Conor
R14 P9 Mike Siano Delgado, Carlos
R14 P10 Jeff Erickson DeRosa, Mark
R14 P11 Joe Sheehan Price, David
R14 P12 Alex Cushing Polanco, Placido
R15 P1 Alex Cushing Danks, John
R15 P2 Joe Sheehan Scherzer, Max
R15 P3 Jeff Ericks
on Garza, Matt
R15 P4 Mike Siano Dempster, Ryan
R15 P5 Jeffrey Ma Escobar, Yunel
R15 P6 Jason Collette Lowe, Derek
R15 P7 Nando Di Fino Tejada, Miguel
R15 P8 Will Carroll Kershaw, Clayton
R15 P9 Cory Schwartz Lilly, Ted
R15 P10 Lawr Michaels Baker, Scott
R15 P11 Zach Steinhorn LaRoche, Adam
R15 P12 Tony Cincotta Burrell, Pat
R16 P1 Tony Cincotta Suzuki, Kurt
R16 P2 Zach Steinhorn Posada, Jorge
R16 P3 Lawr Michaels Sanchez, Jonathan
R16 P4 Cory Schwartz Hanrahan, Joel
R16 P5 Will Carroll Reynolds, Mark
R16 P6 Nando Di Fino Bedard, Erik
R16 P7 Jason Collette Slowey, Kevin
R16 P8 Jeffrey Ma Weeks, Rickie
R16 P9 Mike Siano Cabrera, Orlando
R16 P10 Jeff Erickson Qualls, Chad
R16 P11 Joe Sheehan Stewart, Ian
R16 P12 Alex Cushing Weaver, Jered
R17 P1 Alex Cushing Nady, Xavier
R17 P2 Joe Sheehan Dukes, Elijah
R17 P3 Jeff Erickson Jones, Adam
R17 P4 Mike Siano Cantu, Jorge
R17 P5 Jeffrey Ma Gomez, Carlos
R17 P6 Jason Collette Guillen, Carlos
R17 P7 Nando Di Fino Konerko, Paul
R17 P8 Will Carroll Johnson, Randy
R17 P9 Cory Schwartz Pierzynski, A.J.
R17 P10 Lawr Michaels Saunders, Joe
R17 P11 Zach Steinhorn Harang, Aaron
R17 P12 Tony Cincotta Sandoval, Pablo
R18 P1 Tony Cincotta Johnson, Josh
R18 P2 Zach Steinhorn Hernandez, Ramon
R18 P3 Lawr Michaels Sherrill, George
R18 P4 Cory Schwartz Young, Chris
R18 P5 Will Carroll Francisco, Frank
R18 P6 Nando Di Fino Byrnes, Eric
R18 P7 Jason Collette Lewis, Fred
R18 P8 Jeffrey Ma Balfour, Grant
R18 P9 Mike Siano Morrow, Brandon
R18 P10 Jeff Erickson Matsui, Hideki
R18 P11 Joe Sheehan Renteria, Edgar
R18 P12 Alex Cushing Lopez, Felipe
R19 P1 Alex Cushing Crisp, Coco
R19 P2 Joe Sheehan Saltalamaccia, Jarrod
R19 P3 Jeff Erickson Lind, Adam
R19 P4 Mike Siano Young, Delmon
R19 P5 Jeffrey Ma Hermida, Jeremy
R19 P6 Jason Collette Clement, Jeff
R19 P7 Nando Di Fino Kendall, Jason
R19 P8 Will Carroll Theriot, Ryan
R19 P9 Cory Schwartz Cameron, Mike
R19 P10 Lawr Michaels Jurrjens, Jair
R19 P11 Zach Steinhorn Maine, John
R19 P12 Tony Cincotta Street, Huston
R20 P1 Tony Cincotta Wang, Chien-Ming
R20 P2 Zach Steinhorn Pettitte, Andy
R20 P3 Lawr Michaels Drew, J.D.
R20 P4 Cory Schwartz Shoppach, Kelly
R20 P5 Will Carroll Ankiel, Rick
R20 P6 Nando Di Fino Perez, Oliver
R20 P7 Jason Collette Parra, Manny
R20 P8 Jeffrey Ma Hafner, Travis
R20 P9 Mike Siano Pierre, Juan
R20 P10 Jeff Erickson Duchscherer, Justin
R20 P11 Joe Sheehan Butler, Billy
R20 P12 Alex Cushing Kotchman, Casey
R21 P1 Alex Cushing Cueto, Johnny
R21 P2 Joe Sheehan Lyon, Brandon
R21 P3 Jeff Erickson Hanson, Tommy
R21 P4 Mike Siano Laird, Gerald
R21 P5 Jeffrey Ma Penny, Brad
R21 P6 Jason Collette Rodriguez, Wandy
R21 P7 Nando Di Fino Varitek, Jason
R21 P8 Will Carroll Floyd, Gavin
R21 P9 Cory Schwartz Meche, Gil
R21 P10 Lawr Michaels Blake, Casey
R21 P11 Zach Steinhorn Putz, J.J.
R21 P12 Tony Cincotta Jacobs, Mike
Fantasy 411 Q&A: Feb. 26, 2009
Siano’s out the rest of the week, so it’ll be Schwartz and I getting to your questions for the next couple of days. Remember to check out today’s podcast, which will be available on the site sometime this afternoon. For the first time in a really long time, you will see neither Mike nor Cory. Petey Mac will run the show alongside new addition to the 411 family Corey Gottlieb. They’ll talk underrated/overrated heading into ’09.
I stand by my guarantee that we’ll complete our mock draft before the start of the regular season. We’re in the middle of the 21st round now. I’ll post an update upon the conclusion of the round. Hopefully, a final mock draft result list will follow shortly after.
That’s all for now. Fire away!
-Zach
FEATURED QUESTION OF THE DAY
I am in the process of finalizing my keeper list for my 12 team mixed
auction league. I have Orlando Hudson at $3. I am worried about the
wrist and the move from Chase Field to Dodger Stadium and wonder if it
would be better to have the roster spot…or is $3 worth the risk due
to his past production? I am pretty weak at the MI position and do not
yet know who will be available at the draft this year.
Chris
Chris, I don’t mind O-Dawg for $3… as Mike and I discussed on
Tuesday’s podcast, he should be good for a strong AVG, 10-12 homers and
steals, and decent run/RBI numbers depending on where he hits in the
lineup. But he’s no superstar, so this is a case where you have to
weigh his consistently good production vs. “roster spots have value.”
Who will be out there who might be more worthwhile that you think you
can get for a good price? The available market should make the call for
you here… if it’s deep, you might want to gamble and let him go, but
if not he’s a very reasonable keeper at that price.
-Cory
Fantasy 411 Q&A: Feb. 25, 2009
I keep forgetting to tell you guys about some things cooking in the fantasy world.
To all current and former RotoWire.com members:
We wanted to let you know that RotoWire’s “Fantasy Focus” daily audio baseball show, hosted by Jeff Erickson, is moving to BlogTalkRadio.com and RotoWire.com from XM Radio.
Fantasy Focus will be broadcast live on BlogTalkRadio.com at noon ET each Monday through Friday (at http://www.blogtalkradio.com/RotoWire ). It will later be available by podcast at http://www.rotowire.com/podcast/, BlogTalkRadio.com and iTunes. It’s totally free to listen to live or podcast for later use.
Erickson’s slate of guests next week includes: Jason Grey from ESPN.com, Scott Pianowski from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports, injury guru Will Carroll and minor league expert John Sickels. Similar to the XM format, Erickson will be taking listener calls plus answering live questions in an online chat room.
“Fantasy Focus” ran on XM Radio’s Home Plate 175 channel from 2005 to 2008. Host Jeff Erickson is the two-time winner of the Fantasy Baseball Writer of the Year from the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. His lengthy experience in the industry (since 1997) brings in many high-profile guests on the show. Find Erickson’s writing on RotoWire at his weekly Rounding Third column.
The “RotoWire Fantasy Sports Hour” hosted by Chris Liss is not available via podcast at the moment. We plan to debut that show on rotowire.com later this spring.
Featured Question of the Day:
|
Mike. What are your expectations of Travis Hafner this season? I know some people are down on him because he had 2 bad seasons, but I think Pronk can have a nice rebound season in 2009. What do you think Mike?
-Kenny in Ohio |
Kenny
I think the whole Indians lineup is due for a rebirth. With a stud like Sizemore, Peralta having a nice year and Choo and Francisco ready to make their way onto the scene Hafner can now focus on hitting and not carrying the lineup. If he doesn’t have a good 09′ he is pretty much done so knowing his work ethic and pride I think he is in line for a solid if not spectacular season. The only thing I don’t like about Hafner is his lack of flexibility in your lineup. After Big Papi’s injury plagued 08′ I am so down on DH only guys I can’t even think straight. Hafner is going pretty late in drafts so I see good returns but it’s still a buyer beware.
-Siano
Fantasy 411 Q&A: Feb. 24, 2009
Going to shoot the show in a few. Vernon has jumped into the headlines along with the Crede, Anderson and Hudson signings so stay tuned for that.
Let’s get to your questions……..Siano
FEATURED QUESTION OF THE DAY
Hey Guys,
I am in a 12 team Head to Head points league with the points being HR=4, 3B=3, 2B=2, 1B=1, SB=2, R=1 and RBI=2
I just made the pick of Jayson Werth and I was debating between him and
Lastings Milledge. Did I make the right choice and how do these two
players compare?
Thanks, Kampy
Most projection systems have Werth comfortably ahead of Milledge this
season due to his power upside, and that gives him a clear edge in your
scoring system. But I will say this… as Siano noted, I think Werth is
already as good as he’s going to be, but I’m convinced Milledge can
approach what McLouth did last year… maybe a few less homers, but the
overall development and production spike can be very similar.
-Cory
Fantasy 411 Q&A: Feb. 23, 2009
Not a huge weekend as far as star power goes but we did have some dominoes fall. Orlando Hudson to the Dodgers, GA to the ATL and Joe Crede and his back to the Twins. We will get into detail on all of them on Tuesday’s show, but if you really can’t wait then ask away.
Did anyone watch the 30 in 30 shows on the Network? I think 60 minutes is 30 minutes too long and when watching the Twins I would have liked some more insight on what could happen in their OF this year since it is so crowded with talented players, but then again it is only February. What I thought was really interesting and I’m going to talk to Joe Sheehan about this today is that thenetwork used the Pecota forecast for standings. For a major network to not just have their analysts make blanket predictions in just it’s second month is a good sign to me. More details on that to come when I find out. Oh and not sure how many people care but hate that they use the opening song from Rescue Me.
I will have some Listener League News in the next few days so keep an eye out for that.
My two cents on the Oscars since the only movie I saw was Dark Knight. I thought the best thing of the night was actually the Barbara Walters Special before the show when she interviewed Mickey Rourke, his take on what it would be like to win was classic.
-Siano
FEATURED QUESTION OF THE DAY
With all the hype
given to Wieters, Iannetta and Teagarden this year, are we overlooking
last years crop of up and coming catchers?
In a keeper league I have to decide on one of Napoli, Clement or Salty.
Napoli is the more established player but I can’t help but think
that Clement and Salty while flying under the radar this Spring, may be
ready to take the next step forward and actually outproduce those
other more hyped young backstops. Is the argument for Clement and Salty
valid or should I stick with Napoli at this point?
Thanks,
Robert
Napoli
probably offers the greatest degree of certainty in terms of both playing time
and production. Napoli will definitely be the number one catcher in Anaheim,
although Jeff Mathis will still see plenty of action, and he’ll hit plenty of
homers despite a medicore batting average. A best-case scenario for Napoli would
look something like one of Mickey Tettleton’s best seasons: 30 or so homers, a
.265 average and tons of walks and strikeouts. Saltalamacchia is likely to offer
the better batting average and also solid power, but his playing time is less
guaranteed due to the presence of Taylor Teagarden and hard-charging Max
Ramirez, who produced monster numbers in the winter leagues. Clement will rotate
between catcher, designated hitter and first base, but is coming off a knee
injury, was not terribly impressive in his MLB debut last season, and will be
hamstrung by a very week supporting lineup. Long-term he might be the best of
the bunch but he’s the least valuable of the three in non-keeper drafts this
year.
-Cory
Oscar night mock draft
Did another mock draft tonight because, let’s face it, it’s a lot better way to spend a night than watching another industry awards show, which I think is just a self-serving exercise in ego gratification. Anyway, here are the pick-by-pick results, my team and the projected standings.
Obviously this didn’t turn out to be not one of my finer efforts, but there’s a lot of upside here with guys like Chase Utley (a steal at 2.11), Lastings Milledge (9.5), Colby Rasmus (18.11), Mike Fontenot (22.11) and Kendry Morales (23.5). Of course, there’s also plenty of risk with those guys, plus most of my pitching staff, Adam LaRoche (13.5), Kevin Kouzmanoff (14.11) and others. This is the kind of team that could finish anywhere in the top three spots or the bottom three spots depending on health and luck.
I will say this, though… I think Milledge is going to have a monster season; in fact, I’m saying to anyone who will listen that Milledge : 2009 :: Nate McLouth : 2008. Meanwhile, Fontenot (right) is a great late-round gamble in the middle infield or utility spots. That guy is a solid hitter, he’s in his prime and he could put up very good numbers in that Cubs lineup as long as they don’t stick him in the #8 hole.
Anyway, I’ll keep posting my mock draft results as I do them and hopefully the results will get better as we close in on draft day!
Thanks,
Cory
Fantasy 411 Q&A: Feb. 20, 2009
From the ‘I’m Just saying Department”………
Below is an excerpt of Willy Taveras chatting with Hall of Fame scribe Hal McCoy
”I didn’t play all the time last year, for some reason, “I can only remember playing one Sunday game all year. I can be a consistent hitter if I’m in the lineup. I know I can get my average up and my on-base average up. A leadoff hitter who plays every day can get 600 to 700 at-bats. I stole 68 with only 479 at-bats and a low average and on-base percentage. So yes, stealing 100 is possible if I get the at-bats and have a .350 on-base average. And I’m working on bunts and plan to bunt at least once a game.”
I mentioned earlier this year that if Taveras can get his priorities about how he should be getting on base straight he could do some damage and way exceed his draft value. Right now he is going around the 13th round or so. It’s hard to call him a sleeper however when he led the land in stelas last year, but you see where I am going……………………Siano
FEATURED QUESTION OF THE DAY
Guys, Some quick
advice on a keeper question? Which two of these three would you keep in
a 5 by 5 league, Alexei Ramirez, Chris Davis, Joey Votto.
Rob
Davis and Ramirez seem like easy picks to me. Potential big time masher
and Ramirez is looking very legit and getting drafted that way as well.
You can argue back that Votto and Ramirez are similar but the easy tie
breaker is Ramirez qualifies at 2B and MI.
Siano
2008 GxP and 2009 projections
As requested, here’s a complete 2008 games-by-position list (
2008 GxP 2009 projections.zip) for every MLB and minor league player, plus the 2009 composite batting and pitching projections, with the league column added. You ask, the 411 delivers! It’s a .zip file with a big Excel workbook included.
A few of the other Q&A threads have included some questions about the projections that were answered in the original posts, so please re-read those:
* About the composite pitching projections
* About the composite batting projections
* Last year’s projections and FAQ
As far as the GxP list, this includes one row each for MLB games and one for all total minor league games, including short-season “complex” leagues (Dominican Summer League, etc.) but NOT including the Mexican League since it is not affiliated. All three spreadsheets list each player’s 2009 team and league as of a couple of days ago.
I’m currently tinkering with my own formulas to convert projections into rankings and will probably post those in the next two weeks or so, hopefully including a formula to convert to dollar values. This is all work-in-progress stuff that I use to prep for my own drafts, so whatever I figure out, you all are welcome to share in as well.
BTW, there’s no good reason I included this picture of Yovanni Gallardo (right). I just wanted to include a picture so this wouldn’t look so boring.
Enjoy!
Thanks,
Cory
Fantasy 411 Q&A: Feb. 19, 2009
Just shot today’s show. Topics included Junior’s return to Seattle, the fantasy value of the Rockies rotation in 2009 and an e-mail about Billingsley and Joba. When you see the show you will see a new face. Corey Gottlieb joins the 411 on air family today and we are excited to have him. He will fill in as an analyst and Schwartz will start doing some ring leader work as the year progresses. Be sure to welcome Corey. Here is a mini bio and photo.
A member of MLB.com’s team since the start of 2008, Corey Gottlieb is an editor who works in fantasy content development and production. Corey is a graduate of Amherst College, where he was an English major; before that, he was a starting pitcher for the Brookline High School baseball team (an achievement not shared by fellow BHS alum Theo Epstein). Despite the better wishes of his father, a lifelong Yankee fan who witnessed Roger Maris’ legendary 61st homer, Corey is a Red Sox fan and is by no means afraid to say it. When he’s not obsessing over his fantasy lineups, Corey enjoys playing sports … and watching “Gossip Girl.”
Questions time………..
Featured Question of the Day
I’m a little surprised to see that Rick Ankiel has not yet been taken in your mock draft. If healthy, can’t he put up numbers similar to what we can expect from Carlos Pena?
Charlie Saponara
I’m a big fan of Ankiel and think he has 30-35 homer power, although some might be turned off by the potential playing time crunch in the St. Louis OF with the emergence last year of Ludwick, the arrival of Rasmus this year and the return of Chris Duncan. Still, he should be gone by now and I’m surprised he’s not; I’d take him but I drafted OF much earlier so I’m filled up now!
Cory

Off last years stats this is pretty much a wash, but Milledge had
more at bats. However, I think Cory will agree with me that it could
again be a wash but the chance for Milledge to have a breakout season
is greater. We could also argue this is Werth’s ceiling.
With all that said I don’t have a problem with Werth being picked over
Milledge since it is a safer pick, and in a non-keeper that is OK. They
have almost identical ADPs by the way. 135 for LM and 139 for JW. So
don’t sweat this one even though it was a good comp question.
-Siano
Milledge and
Werth are ranked 41 and 42 respectively on MLB.com’s preseason
rankings, so this is about as close as it gets. In my mind, the
difference between the two is that Werth will give you a few more
homers while Milledge will steal some more bags. Considering your
league’s scoring and without knowing your specific needs at the time of
the pick, I too would’ve probably gone Werth. Better team, better park,
more 4-pointers.
-Zach