Fantasy 411 Q&A: Feb. 3, 2009
It’s a beautiful day today. The Steelers will have their parade and the fantasy season is in my book officially underway. Many of us will start setting our draft dates and signing up on sites to host our leagues and finalize our keeper lists. In honor of that Cory and I will chat today at 2pm ET on MLB.com so come on over and join us. The chat room should be open around an hour before. Petey Mac and Cory are getting ready to shoot the show in a few minutes. They will look at Ollie Perez’s return to Flushing and some players who put some numbers up in Winter Leagues. Anyone see the game yesterday? Ronnie Belliard totally wishes he was Manny.
The crew is ready for your questions so fire when ready. We will post the chat transcript and update the mock draft once round 13 ends in a few picks.
FEATURED QUESTION OF THE DAY
I have seen a very rosy projection for Mike Jacobs on another site,
namely a .285 BA. When I asked for some depth behind their reasoning,
it was a three part answer. One, the mound in Florida is higher than
other stadiums, leading to more strikeouts. Two, Jacobs’ road BA was
.270 last year. And three he has had an xBA (sorry that probably gives
the site away) higher than his BA. So moving out of Florida should mean
lower strikeout totals for Jacobs (i.e. more balls in play), a better
BA away from Florida in his history (skill he owns) and trend with xBA
that usually means a reversion to the mean. All this leads to a much
higher BA. Two questions. One, have you heard the theory about the
mound in Florida leading to higher strikeout totals? And two, what do
you think about the reasoning on Jacobs’ BA projection for this year.
Thanks, Jeff in Minny
I’m not one to poo poo on someone else’s hard work, but if Jacobs moving to the AL is worth that much of a jump in BA I’m not sure I buy it. I like him a ton, don’t get me wrong, and think he is going to be a nice fit and definitely worth drafting, but I am not drafting him to help my average. I am drafting him to produce and hope that he can bat .260 to .270. Jacobs is a lifetime .262 hitter so I’ll hope for better and expect it not to be worse. To answer the Marlins mound question, I have heard about it but never really gave much into it. I mean it didn’t seem to affect the infielders from going out and blasting the ball all over the place, did it? Granted they all struck out a bunch too (Cantu, Hanley and Uggla) but Hanley still hit .301.