Fantasy 411 Q&A: Feb. 13, 2009
So here we are. The official start of spring training is upon us, and what a surprise, Manny is the only notable free agent left still looking for a job. With the Giants’ interest diminishing with each passing day, it looks like the Dodgers have all the leverage. That’s not to say Manny won’t get a good deal, but don’t expect any “mystery team” games from Boras this time.
By the way, nice story with Ken Griffey Jr. on the verge of heading back to Seattle, even though as a Yankee fan, I can’t bear to watch that ’95 ALDS Game 5 again. Once was enough.
Our mock draft is at a standstill in the 17th round, so at the moment no fresh news to report there.
Programming Alert from the Fantasy Kingdom!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
RotoWire (Jeff Erickson) is re-launching Fantasy Focus, on Blog Talk Radio, starting at noon ET every day:
Let’s hear your questions…
FEATURED QUESTION OF THE DAY
I have Matt Capps in this NL keeper league @ $9 and need to make a long-term contract decision. He’ll stay at $9 in 2009 but will increase by $5 each year after and I can sign him up to 3 additional years (through 2012, when he would be $24) but my fear is he won’t be a closer that long. He’s signed by the Pirates through 2010, arbitration-eligible in 2011 and FA-eligible in 2012, so what is the optimal contract to sign him to the way the Pirates churn through relievers?
Thanks for the knowledge,
Capps had an excellent year when healthy, so you have him at a nice discount this year regardless of contract. If I’m reading service time correctly, he is already arbitration-eligible but won’t be a free agent until after the 2011 season, so that would be the max extension I would give him. However, what are the odds of any closer holding the job reliably for five straight seasons, or that he’ll lose it via ineffectiveness or injury or a trade away from the Pirates as he becomes more expensive? His track record suggests performance won’t be an issue, but the other two are never a given, so I’d go for this year at $9 and next year at $14, and let him go after that. To guarantee him at $19 means he’d have to be the closer and have to have an excellent year to give you a profit; lock him in for two years at a clear discount and then cash in your profits.