Fantasy 411 Q&A: Feb. 17, 2009
The only news out there bigger than A-Rod’s presser is me and Cory rocking the mic for a Tuesday extravaganza. We’ll talk Reyes moving out of the lead off spot (not sure I buy this 100% yet), also chat about the same thing possibly happening to Alfonso Soriano and then Jason Collette of Ownersedge.com joins us to talk about his first ten picks in our mock draft and his switch from NL only to AL only in Tout Wars this year.
FEATURED QUESTION OF THE DAY
Which Aaron Harang do you think we’ll see this year, the ’07 or ’08 one?
I think Harang is a very good bounceback candidate this year. Check
his stats from last season broken out into three distinct sections:
G ERA IP AVG K/BB HR/9
11 3.50 74.7 .258 3.50 1.21
11 8.41 55.7 .343 2.60 2.59
8 2.83 54.0 .250 3.17 1.50
The first one is his first 11 starts of the season… vintage
Harang. The middle one is his ill-fated relief outing in San Diego on
May 25, plus his next 8 starts before going on the DL, plus his first
two starts after coming off the DL. Obviously not good. But the last 8
starts are how he finished the season, presumably after getting back
into the groove after struggling in his first two post-DL outings. The
K/BB and HR/9 rates aren’t as good as the ERA suggests, but clearly he
was back in form down the stretch.
It’s a little too easy to selectively parse any player’s seasons
into chunks like this to try and tell a story, but I think in Harang’s
case the data does fit the story: the relief outing screwed him up for
a good long while, but once he recovered, he was the Aaron Harang of
old. He’s a good gamble for this season.