Fantasy 411 Q&A: March 18, 2009 (Cory Mock Draft Results)
FEATURED QUESTION OF THE DAY
I had my main draft last week and my big mistake was to forget that K-Rod and Lidge were still on
the board when I took my first RP. I saw Valverde vs Fuentes and went
with Fuentes. I backed him up later on with Capps and Hanrahan, so I am
happy enough. But what are the chances that Fuentes might perform well
enough to not make me regret that slip up all season long?
Kevin in England
Kevin, I am very bullish on Fuentes this year. Even though he’s
moving to the tougher league, trading Coors for Angels Stadium is a big
plus, and I think his changeup is among the best in the game and gives
him a great weapon against hitters who haven’t seen him that much. I
don’t think he’s among the elite, but I think he could be the 7th or
8th best closer this year and I’m hoping to get him as my #2 in NFBC. I would NOT take Fuentes over K-Rod, but I would very much consider him over Lidge and/or Valverde.
Hey folks, sorry I haven’t been hanging out on the blog much lately. I drew the 13th overall pick in NFBC on Saturday so I’ve been spending all of my free time working on draft prep. So far that has included three mock drafts out of the 13th slot, so I can prepare for the different combinations of players I might be able to get. I’m hoping to get Ian Kinsler or Chase Utley with my first round pick, but I’m not expecting it, so I started out with B.J. Upton and Carlos Beltran in my first draft and here’s how it turned out:
Enh. A lot of guys I like, but not a good team overall. Taking Carlos Quentin in the fourth round was a major mistake, not because I don’t think he’s worth the pick, but there’s no reason whatsoever to take three outfielders in the first four rounds. That bad start had me playing catchup at every other position for the rest of the draft, and exemplifies the risks of not building category and positional balance with your early core picks.
In my second attempt, I did actually get Utley at 13, but just missed Upton with 18 and took Beltran there again…
Much better, but a little bit short in the OF and again in the SP this time. Last night I tried a third different approach, going with last year’s first rounder Ryan Howard again, followed by Upton at 18, and also a more balanced approach to OF and SP.
That’s what I’m talkin’ about! Note that I pulled out a classic old-school 411 tactic in this draft, “stacking” my picks to take the top two catchers (Russell Martin and Brian McCann) at 3/4, and spaced my OF’s and other positions much more carefully to produce a much more balanced roster. I probably should’ve taken my first SP a little bit earlier and passed on my man Edwin Encarnacion, or hoped for him to slip, but at the point I felt he was the best bat available and I wanted to grab him.
One thing you’ll noticed throughout these drafts is that if I don’t get the elite 2B I’m targeting early, I’m shooting for Kelly Johnson again, who I still think has great upside and is very undervalued, and I’m focusing on Mike Fontenot and Felipe Lopez (right) as late-round MI’s. Fontenot is flat-out a better hitter than Aaron Miles, is right in his prime and is having a monster spring, so I think he’s going to win the 2B job in Wrigleyville. Lopez is having a poor spring but I like him batting at or near the top of that Diamondbacks lineup in Chase Field.
The other key so far has been spacing out my OF’s… the elite guys are always worth targeting, but there are a lot of very solid options available in the middle rounds (Jason Werth) and plenty of good hitters who have been slipping into the very late rounds, like Jason Kubel, Chris Dickerson, Colby Rasmus, etc. With that depth, it really reduces the need to rush out and build a stacked OF.
I’m going to try for one more mock draft tonight or tomorrow then focus on getting my paperwork and Excel tools ready for Saturday. I’ll post everything as soon as time allows.
Now, off to answer a few other questions elsewhere on the blog… keep ’em coming!