May 2009

Cory chatting on Baseball Daily Digest

Hey folks sorry for the late notice on this, but if you happen to be catch it in time I will be doing a live chat at 2:00 p.m. ET today (Saturday, May 30) at Baseball Daily Digest… check it out!  http://www.baseballdailydigest.com/blogs/2009/05/29/bdd-live-blog-3-super-saturday-mlb-arathon-blog-1-pm-to/

Thanks,

Cory

 

Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday May 30-June 1

CORY’S PICKS

SATURDAY

 
Penny @
Tallet

Liriano @
***Price (tough call on both, but Liriano is on life support for his
rotation spot, and I think Price is better than he showed last
time)

***Verlander @
Guthrie

***Sabathia @
Carmona

***Buehrle @
Meche

Anderson @
McCarthy

***King Felix @
Palmer

***J. Johnson @
***Maine

***Vazquez @
Davis

Stults @
***Dempster

***Harang @
***Bush

***Wandy @
Karstens

Martis @
Hamels

***Young @
Hammel

***Carpenter @ Zito (Zito’s nice
run from earlier in the season seems to have run out)

 

SUNDAY

 
***Hughes @ Pavano (Pavano has
pitched great in May, but do you trust him yet? Not me)

***Lester @
Romero

***Jackson @
Berken

Blackburn @
***Garza

***Danks @
***Greinke

Braden @ ***Millwood
(A’s suck)

Jakubauskas @ ***Big
Erv

***Volstad @
Livan

Hampton @
***Maholm

Lannan @
Moyer

Owings @
***Gallardo

Gaudin @ De La
Rosa

***Wainwright @ J.
Sanchez

Medlen @
***Scherzer

Milton @
***Marshall

 

MONDAY

 
***Chamberlain @
Sowers

Cahill @ ***Colon
(A’s suck)

R. Hill @
***Washburn

***Johan @
Snell

Suppan @
Miller

Cook @
***Oswalt

Volquez @
***Wellemeyer (Reds suck; I don’t trust Volquez right now, especially in his
first start off the DL)

Blanton @
Correia

Buckner @
***Kershaw

 

MIKE’S PICKS

SATURDAY

Penny @
Tallet

Liriano @
***Price *Liriano is very close to
DTM

***Verlander @
Guthrie

***Sabathia @ Carmona *funny matchup

***Buehrle @
***Meche

Anderson @
McCarthy *looks like McCarthy could stick around,
Holland has been eh, not that I would pitch B-Mac, just
sayin.

***King Felix @
Palmer *Palmer is strictly a win chase. I
ditch

***J. Johnson @
***Maine

***Vazquez @
***Davis

Stults @
***Dempster *I cut Stults in an NL only, nuff
said.

***Harang @
***Bush

***Wandy @
Karstens

Martis @
***Hamels

***Young @
Hammel

***Carpenter @
***Zito

 
SUNDAY


Hughes @ Pavano *both hot, feeling lucky punks? I’m not,
ditch.

***Lester @ ***Romero *Is Lester right behind Liriano? Romero is better than
his first start back so not the worst risk.

***Jackson @
Berken

***Blackburn @
***Garza

***Danks @
***Greinke

Braden @
***Millwood

Jakubauskas @ ***Big
Erv
*nice team to get back on track
vs.

***Volstad @
Livan

Hampton @
***Maholm

Lannan @
Moyer

Owings @
***Gallardo

Gaudin @ De La
Rosa

***Wainwright @ ***J.
Sanchez
*Sanchez 4 runs and 11 K last 11
IP.

Medlen @
***Scherzer *Scherzer shouldn’t be on the
wire.

Milton @
***Marshall

 
MONDAY

 
***Chamberlain @
Sowers

Cahill @
Colon

R. Hill @
***Washburn

***Johan
@
Snell

Suppan @
Miller

***Cook @
***Oswalt

***Volquez @
***Wellemeyer
*Wellemeyer heating back
up

***Blanton
@
Correia *Blanton off 11 K in SD why
not?

Buckner @
***Kershaw

NFBC post-Memorial Day update

Hey folks, it’s been a while since I’ve posted but I wanted to provide an NFBC update since we’re past the quarter pole and Memorial Day, and nearly at
the one-third mark of the season, the point where teams start to get a feel for whether or not they have a shot to win this year. My draft recap was the subject of some pretty pointed debates, too, so I think it’s a worthy topic to revisit. Plus I just like writing about my own teams!

s of this morning I’m in third place in my league, with
109.0 points and only 3.0 points out of first. (Checking the live standings tonight, I’ve closed to only 2.0 points out of first.) I’m up to 41st in the country
out of 390 teams, ahead of folks including NFBC “big names” like Eddie Gillis
and Mark “Gordon Gekko” Srebo, three-time champions Shawn Childs and Stephen
Jupinka, Jeff Erickson (RotoWire), Brian Walton (Creative Sports and Tout
Wars), and 2009 overall champ Terrence Jurney.

The success of my team so far may surprise those who trashed my
draft in the comments on my post-draft blog post back in March, but I’m not
here to brag, it’s too early for that. Obviously there is a long way to go, and to be fair, some of the criticisms
made about some of my picks have been pretty accurate so far. But rather than re-hash that, below
is a look back and how my picks are doing so far and what I expect from them
going forward.

The first row of stats for each player are his 2009
projections that I used on draft day, and the second row is his “on pace” stats
through May 27. This is not to say that I expect each guy to produce these
exact numbers all season, but is intended to provide a context for how the
player is doing so far compared to my expectations.

Enjoy, and post your comments!

Thanks,

Cory

1 – B.J. Upton

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

2 – Prince Fielder

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

3 – Russell Martin

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

4 – Shane Victorino

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

5 – Joe Nathan

W         SV        ERA      IP         SO       WHIP

6 – Derek Jeter

AVG   AB      R      HR     RBI    SB

7 – Jonathan Broxton

W         SV        ERA      IP         SO       WHIP

8 – Chris Iannetta

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

9 – Edwin Encarnacion

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

nolasco.jpg



















10 – Ricky Nolasco

W         SV        ERA      IP         SO       WHIP

11 – Matt Garza

W         SV        ERA      IP         SO       WHIP

12 – Jered Weaver

W         SV        ERA      IP         SO       WHIP

13 – Wandy Rodriguez

W         SV        ERA      IP         SO       WHIP

14 – Adam LaRoche

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

15 – Ryan Spilborghs

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

16 – Jason Kubel

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

17 – Alexi Casilla

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

18 – Manny Corpas

W         SV        ERA      IP        SO       WHIP

19 – Joe Saunders

W         SV        ERA      IP         SO       WHIP

20 – Cody Ross

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

21 – Colby Rasmus

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

22 – Asdrubal Cabrera

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

23 – Kelvim Escobar

W         SV        ERA      IP         SO       WHIP

24 – Homer Bailey

W         SV        ERA      IP         SO       WHIP

25 – Matt LaPorta

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

26 – Justin Masterson

W         SV        ERA      IP         SO      WHIP

27 – David Aardsma

W         SV        ERA      IP       SO       WHIP

28 – Lyle Overbay

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

29 – Wilson Betemit

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

30 – James McDonald

W         SV        ERA      IP       SO       WHIP

* * *

Now, you may or may not know that there is no trading allowed
in NFBC, so the only way to improve your team is through the free agent market.
Each team starts with $1,000 and bids are done on a weekly basis. Here are my
key free agent pickups so far (full-season projections provided as with drafted
players):

Apr 5 ($8) – Edwin
Jackson (SP)

W         SV        ERA      IP         SO       WHIP

Apr 5 ($15) – Russell
Branyan (3B)

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

Apr 19 ($1) – Joel
Pineiro (SP)

W         SV        ERA      IP         SO       WHIP

May 3 ($21) – Andrew
Bailey (RP)

W         SV        ERA      IP         SO       WHIP

May 10 ($65) – Brett
Cecil (SP)

W         SV        ERA      IP         SO       WHIP

May 10 ($95) – Chris
Coghlan (2B)

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

May 17 ($2) – Grant
Balfour (RP)

W         SV        ERA      IP         SO       WHIP

May 17 ($50) – Gary
Sheffield (OF)

AVG     AB        R          HR        RBI       SB

* * *

Pitch or Ditch for Friday, May 29

CORY’S PICKS

Outman @
Hunter

Willis @ Bergesen
(not sold on Dontrelle yet)

Wakefield @
Janssen

Richard @
Bannister

***Billingsley @
***Lilly

Detwiler @ Happ
(ditch on both, but both are interesting for gamblers)

***Cueto @
Looper

***Jurrjens @
Garland

Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, May 28

SIANO’S PICKS

Niemann @
Huff

***Beckett @
Swarzak

Galarraga @ TBD

Wolf @ R.
Wells

***Lowe @
***Haren

***Cory saysI start both Wolf and Wells too. Dodgers can’t score without Manny
(Coors notwithstanding) and Wolf has been excellent all year.”

Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, May 27

CORY’S PICKS

***Halladay @ R.
Hill

***Porcello @
Davies

***Bedard @
Cahill

Sonnanstine @
Huff

***Burnett @ Holland (Holland
has been impressive, but vs. the Yankees? Not yet)

Dice-K @
***Slowey

Floyd @ ***Jered
Weaver

Wellemeyer @ Parra
(both if you love to gamble, neither if you have a weak
stomach)

***Duke @ ***Zambrano
(Duke is on a roll, Cubs are erratic)

Kershaw @ Jimenez
(Kershaw too unpredictable to trust in Coors)

Badenhop @
***Myers

Paulino @
Arroyo

***Zimmermann @
***Johan

***Peavy @
Buckner

***Kawakami @ ***R.
Johnson


Siano says:

I
would have said pitch on Ubaldo but he has had major trouble with
LAD.

I
pitch Dice-K

Arroyo
coming off gem I roll the dice.

Fantasy 411 QA: May 26, 2009

AP090408028075.jpg                                                      
Hey Guys,

Tons to discuss on today’s podcast.  It’s been one injury after the other over the past few days with Kazmir, Percival, Iannetta and Quentin all going down and Phillips trying to play through a broken finger.  Initial X-rays on Matt Capps came back negative but we should know more about him tomorrow.  I like to think of Memorial Day as a good time to really examine your team and figure out the strengths and weaknesses.  There’s now enough of a sample size to make an accurate assessment, but these injuries tend to throw everything off.  Now is the point where everyone should seriously consider trades, especially those of you who have one or more key players sidelined.

-Zach

Fantasy Q + A for May 22, 2009 + Blue Jays / Rays Breaking News

RAYS PLACE KAZMIR, PERCIVAL ON 15-DAY DL;

RECALL BRIGNAC, THAYER FROM DURHAM


ST. PETERSBURG, FL—The Tampa Bay Rays have placed left-handed pitcher Scott Kazmir on the 15-day disabled list, retroactive to May 21, with a right quadriceps strain.  The Rays also placed right-handed relief pitcher Troy Percival on the 15-day DL with right shoulder tendinitis.  To replace them on the roster, infielder Reid Brignac and right-handed relief pitcher Dale Thayer have been recalled from Durham (AAA) and will be active for tonight’s game at Florida.

Brignac, 23, was hitting .291 (41-141) for Durham with three home runs, 15 RBI, 13 doubles, 24 runs scored and two stolen bases.  He played in 36 games, 32 at shortstop and four at second base.  Brignac made his major league debut last season and played in four games at shortstop, including two starts.  Entering this season he was named the Best Defensive Shortstop in the International League and the No. 4 prospect in the Rays organization by Baseball America.

Thayer, 28, is added to the active major league roster for the first time of his seven-year career.  He leads the Bulls bullpen with six saves and a 0.93 ERA (19.1-IP, 2-ER) over 16 appearances.  In 341 career minor league appearances, he is 26-16 with 138 saves, a 2.27 ERA (393.1-IP, 99-ER) and 403 strikeouts.  Thayer was originally added to the Rays 40-man roster on November 20, and was acquired in 2006 as the player to be named in the trade that sent Russell Branyan to the San Diego Padres.  The Padres signed him as a non-drafted free agent out of Chico State in California.

Kazmir, 25, is 4-4 with a 7.69 ERA (45.2-IP, 39-ER) in nine starts this season.  After beginning the year by going 3-1 with a 3.97 ERA over his first four starts, he has compiled a 1-3 record with an 11.35 ERA in the five starts since.  His 19.2 pitches per inning pitched are the most in the majors.  Although he is the youngest member of the starting rotation, he is the longest tenured Rays pitcher and is the club’s all-time leader with 51 victories, 764.1 innings pitched, 815 strikeouts, 132 starts and a 3.79 ERA.

Percival, 39, is 0-1 this year with a team-high six saves and a 6.35 ERA over 14 appearances.  His 358 career saves rank eighth on the all-time list and fourth among active pitchers.  He led the Rays with 28 saves last season despite three separate stints on the disabled list.  The four-time All-Star is one of four pitchers to record seven straight 30-save seasons (1998-2004).  He has held opponents to a lifetime .188 batting avg., lowest of any pitcher in major league history with 400 or more appearances.  

The TORONTO BLUE JAYS have recalled RHP CASEY JANSSEN & INF JOE INGLETT effective today May 22. LHP RICKY ROMERO will be recalled in time to make his scheduled start on Tuesday May 26 in Baltimore. OF TRAVIS SNIDER, LHP BRETT CECIL & RHP BOBBY RAY have all been optioned to Las Vegas of the Pacific Coast League (AAA).

JANSSEN, 27, has made five minor league starts between Dunedin (A) and New Hampshire (AA) this season, posting a 0.76 ERA, with five walks and 17 strikeouts in 23.2 innings. The Huntington Beach, California resident last pitched in the majors in 2007, spending 2008 rehabbing a torn labrum. In 89 career games (17 starts), he has recorded an 8-13 record with a 3.89 ERA. The 6’4, 210 pound right-hander will start at Atlanta tomorrow.

ROMERO, 24, is 2-0 with a 1.71 ERA after three starts this season, his first in the major leagues, prior to suffering an oblique strain. The 6-0, 210 lb, left-hander, has since made three minor league starts, going 0-1 with a 6.91 ERA at three levels. Romero won his major league debut on April 9th over the Detroit Tigers (6.0IP, 7H, 2ER, 2BB, 5K).   Ricky was the Blue Jays first round selection, sixth overall in the 2005 first year player draft.

INGLETT, 30, has been limited to seven games at Las Vegas (AAA) due to a hamstring pull. In his 29 at-bats, is hitting .310 with one double. The Copley, Ohio resident appeared in 109 games last season with the Blue Jays, posting a .297 average with 3 homeruns and 39 RBI.

______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________-


I guess home is where the heart is for Jake Peavy. This helps keep his value strong. Not that he would stink in Chicago but him not wanting to be there, going from cozy Petco to The Cell and the cushy NL West lineups to some decent hitters in the Central added up to not wanting to take the chance for Peavy owners. He still will get dealt but at least you bought some time. May 22nd and July 22nd are two different worlds for a player, the closer you get to the end of the season the better it is for your family. Peavy has some time left on that deal he signed so if he wants to go somewhere it might as well be somewhere he can stay a few more years, I can’t blame him on this one, it’s not like he is going to a first place team………Siano

***NOTE  I’m putting a bunch of the blog questions from the last few days on the list of questions for tonight’s Sirius/XM show.  Even though some have already been answered by one of us, it’ll be interesting to hear the different (or similar) opinions.

-Zach

 

Jake%20Peavy.jpg

Pitch or Ditch for Friday, May 22

SIANO’S PICKS

***Ubaldo @
***Porcello

Myers @
***Burnett

***Johan @ ***Dice-K *Don’t blame you if you sit this one out with
Dice-K.

***Parra @ ***Slowey

***Duke @ Floyd *Floyd’s a mess

Buckner @
Cahill

***R. Johnson @
***Vargas *
Vargas survived Rangers and Red Sox surely
he can survive
the Giants right?

***Zambrano @ ***Peavy

R. Hill @
Zimmermann *Zimm has been awful, Hill needs to show
me more.

Anthony Reyes @
***Arroyo

Sonnanstine @
***Nolasco *Once more with
feeling?

***Halladay
@
Kawakami

Padilla @
Paulino

Davies @
Wellemeyer

***Jered Weaver @
***Kershaw
*Nice
matchup

***Cory disagrees with a bunch of these:

Ditch on Dice-K, I still have nightmares of the Cardinals giving
him a 2nd-inning knockout in his DL return from last year.

Ditch Parra, he’s too erratic and the Twins showed today that
they are at least capable of putting up some runs.

Ditch Vargas, you gotta be kidding me.

Pitch Zimmermann, he’s pitched in bad luck… K/BB rates are
strong.

Ditch Arroyo, too inconsistent and gets beat up by AL lineups. Side
note: HOMER TIME on Saturday!!

 

Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, May 21

***Millwood @
***Jackson

***Blackburn @
Colon

Pavano @
***Greinke

Braden @
***Garza

Eaton @
***Chamberlain

Ray @
***Lester

***Saundo @ ***Bedard  *Bedard needs to avoid the red hot bat of Torii Hunter!!!

Blanton @
Owings

Cook @
Medlen

Snell @ Cabrera *back to avoiding Snell

***Scherzer @ Miller  *Scherzer is showing signs of consistency, needs to get
more Ks.

Suppan @
***Oswalt

Marshall @
***Wainwright

***Lincecum @
Correia

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