Pitch or Ditch for Friday, June 4

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next guy. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

POD Category Chart


SIANO’S PICKS

Buchholz @ Tillman

Burnett @ Cecil  *Cecil red hot and at home but
ya never know when Yanks come to town. Proceed w/ caution.

W. Davis @ Wilson  *This has softball game written all over
it I’m not taking the chance.

Masterson @ Danks

Scherzer @ Chen  *Max has the momentum and the
opponent, might be a little risky but I say do it.

Baker @ Braden  *Baker back on the radar and gets the
A’s.

TBD @ Snell

Harang @ L. Hernandez  *No on Livan. Reds are NL #1 O. Harang an interesting matchup so I’ll say pitch
with my eyes closed. He hasn’t been that bad in May.

Latos @ Halladay  *JVD watch is on w/ Doc vs SD.
Latos has a 1.01 WHIP by the way.

J. Sanchez @ Duke

A. Sanchez @ Dickey

Zambrano @ Paulino

Wolf @ Wainwright  *I’m done with Wolf can’t peg
him, maybe when he plays the Stros.

Cook @ Kennedy  *I’m a Kennedy fan and we ain’t
talking Jack and Bobby.

Kawakami @ Kershaw

***Cory saysI’ll
agree with Siano’s picks across the board, although I’m a little more optimistic
about Davis vs. Wilson and a little less so about Harang, but not enough to
argue the other way on any of them.”

16 Comments

JVD?

Trade question…would you accept M. Reynolds for P. Konerko?
Thanks Josh

Josh,

Two months ago, I never thought I’d be saying this but I actually wouldn’t make that trade. Reynolds may go on to hit 40 homers but his low AVG is so damaging that it almost isn’t worth it. Konerko’s having a huge contract year, and even if he finishes, with, say, 32 homers (and this looks like a conservative projection), he’ll post a respectable AVG. I’d rather have the 30 points in AVG than the eight homers.

Zach

I was offered Roy Halladay for Pujols. Should I accept or not?

Hey zach would you take hamels and magglio for ortiz ? Still not confident ortiz will hit 30-100 like you said before. And that is a lot to get back right?

What do you think of the following matchups I have made for next week? That PoD Category Chart was pretty helpful since I plan on starting 3 Aces, a Grad, and Strasburg (Any idea what to categorize him as? Too soon to tell?) and Gallardo (Ace), Niemann (Grad) and Strasburg all have 2 matchups next week. Here are my starting 5 and 3 backups. I’m interested in your opinions and if any changes should be made.

Starting 5

Hanson @ Arizona

Strasburg vs Pittsburgh, @ Cleveland

Gallardo vs Cubs, vs Texas

Kershaw vs St. Louis

Niemann vs Toronto, vs Florida

Backups

Davis vs Toronto

Nolasco @ Tampa Bay

Buehrle @ Cubs.

Glenn–NY

I was offered Ryan Zimmerman for CC Sabathia. I already have Youkilis as 3B. What should I do?

Hey guys have a lot of pitching and am having trouble trading it for an upgrade in offense. Have been offering an arm and a bat for a better bat (so I get the better bat) as a 2 for 1 and similarly also 3 for 2s. But noones biting or even countering.

Im targeting the guys who need pitching, is there anything more I can do? It’s difficult to determine fairness of trades I find with 2 for 1s, would say Johan and Magglio for Braun be about fair value?

Big Barry
East end, England

Which Struggling 2B do you think most likely to recover, A. Hill or J. Lopez? Thanks

Argghh. Had Morales as my primary 1B with Cantu as backup/utility. Grabbed G. Sanchez off the wire for the moment (14 team league, not a lot on the FA market).

To a team with weak 3B offered
Callaspo and G. Sanchez for Figgins and A Gonz. (they have 3 1B) *yeah weak offer, but mostly testing the waters* they came back with:

Cano and Ryan Zimmerman for Utley, Figgins, A.Gonzalez
(his other 1B are Loney and V. Martinez) (my C is Doumit and he has Napoli on his roster)

I hate to blow up my squad. But will Figgins come back? Can Callaspo hold 3B?
Do I go Cano and Zimm for V. Mart, Utley and Figgins?

e_gossage,

Nope. Pujols is the clear-cut #1 player in fantasy. To trade him, you would need more in return than just Halladay. Even though Halladay is in the midst of an insanely good year (second-best to Ubaldo), I’ll always opt for the hitter over the pitcher. In my mind, Albert is pretty much untradeable.
**********************************************
pdtraina,

Yeah, I’d do that. I threw out 30-100 as best case scenario for Ortiz but you’re getting back more than enough here. It’s very possible that Magglio has a better year than Papi plus you get Hamels. Cole’s numbers aren’t that pretty right now but a .333 BABIP suggests that he’s pitched into some bad luck this year. Expect #2 SP type production by season’s end.
***********************************************
Glenn,

Totally agree with those pitcher choices. I think it’s safe to think of Strasburg as a POD grad right off the bat but this is obviously subject to change depending on his first few starts. I’d start him next week though, especially since it’s a two-start week.
********************************************
abuonann,

Assuming that you have an open spot on your roster elsewhere (CI or Util?), and the player you’d be benching isn’t too significant, I’d do the deal. This is a classic pitcher for hitter trade where the values are close but the hitter gets the edge. Keep in mind that you could also shift Youk to 1B, depending of course on what the rest of your lineup looks like.
*******************************************
Big Barry,

Yeah, it’s often tough to find matches in those situations as owners are generally wary of any trade in which they’re giving up the best player. You can try that offer for Braun but I really doubt that it’ll be accepted. Just keep floating trades out there. Really nothing else you can do. I’m in a few leagues where no one likes to make any trades and it’s frustrating, I know.
*******************************************
frankiejay,

I’d have to go with Lopez at this point as he’s actually showing some signs of life while Hill continues to struggle, though Hill has the higher upside. I’m just not convinced that he can right the ship.

Zach

Hey 411,

I’m thinking of dropping Wieters and using Posey as my catcher.

I’m struggling with my closers as I have Jenks, Qualls, and Wood. Should I drop Wieters and add Contreras (hoping Lidge falters), or maybe pick up Frasor, Downs, Lyon, Heilman, Rodney? I’ve tried to trade Wieters but there are no takers.

Thanks as always

I have Pujols, Morneau, and Votto on my team and looking to shop one of them for some pitching. What do you think I can expect in return? 12 team 5×5. I currently have J Johnson, Hudson, Marmol, Dotel, Rauch, Andrew Bailey, E Santana, Randy Wells, Jurrjens, and Street on the DL. The league seems to overvalue pitching right now so I’m afraid of having to give up too much to get a good arm. I’m at the top of all offensive categories but middle of the road for pitching.

bloodfury,

No way does that first offer get accepted but I’d actually take the counteroffer. Let’s say Utley came into the season as the clear-cut #1 2B but let’s for arguments sake call Cano to Utley a wash considering Cano’s ridiculous start. Then it comes down to A-Gon and Figgins for Zimmerman. I like it. Figgins is starting to come around (9 hits over his last 26 ABs with two steals) and he’s got enough of a track record for us to think he’s due for a hot streak. A-Gon’s stock is very low right now so you’re getting him at a discount as well.
***********************************************
maysways,

I’m not giving up on Wieters just yet. Not really high on any of those closer candidates and relying on Posey for the long haul is a bit risky. Who knows, there’s even a chance he gets sent back down once DeRosa comes off the DL.

Zach

Hey Zach,
One last question from me. Which side do you like and is it close or not: Granderson/Bruce vs. B.Butler/Gardner. Thanks a bunch.
Adam

ndog,

Depends on which one of those 1Bs you’re willing to deal but I think you should be getting back a legit ace regardless. Go ahead and throw some offers out there (preferably not your best offers) just to get a feel for the market.
************************************************
Adam,

I’ll go with Granderson/Bruce. Not lopsided but I didn’t have to think too long about this one!

Zach

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