Pitch or Ditch for Friday, July 30

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next guy. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD
chart July 23.pdf

Baker_scott.jpg
Owning Scott Baker this year has been a roller-coaster ride to say the least!

CORY’S PICKS

Hughes @ W. Davis – Hughes has given up all 15 homers at home this year
Masterson @ Marcum
Galarraga @ Lester
Anderson @ D.Hudson – Hudson’s K rate means I’ll give him one more shot vs. weak A’s
Arrieta @ O’Sullivan
Fister @ Baker – Baker at home, vs. weak lineup… gotta try it
Feldman @ Big Erv – OK, OK
TBD @ Stammen
Medlen @ Cueto
Kennedy @ Pelfrey – Kennedy better at home than on the road?!
Parra @ TBD
Karstens @ Carpenter
Dempster @ Francis
Volstad @ LeBlanc – LeBlanc happy to be back home
Monasterios @ Lincecum

14 Comments

I’m in a 3 way dogfight for the league lead, 11 team mixed vanilla 5×5 non-keeper. 5th place team offers me ARod and Jeter for Teixeira and Tim Hudson. Adam LaRoche would become my regular 1B, Jeter would go in for Pennington and/or Desmond at SS. I’ve been rotating those 2 and using Uribe at MI. Hudson’s ERA and WHIP would be hard to replace (plus the Braves have been getting him wins too), and I think Tex is the best player in the deal right now. I don’t wanna screw up my battle for a three-peat just to help out my buddy. Interesting offer, but I don’t know if it’s enough. I think Tex’ best days are still ahead of him. What do you think?

Greg in Cincy

PS. I don’t really need a 3B or CI right not, I got Zimmerman and Beltre. I might test him to see if he’s paying attention and see if he’ll swap closers with me, give him Gregg for Broxton. Would this help the deal any?

Greg in Cincy

Hey guys,
As the trade deadinline in my league is approaching, I need to be considering the future as I am in a partial keeper league. I am also currently in good position to make the playoffs in my league. The league is 5×5, with OBP instead of average. The league starts 5 OF and a CI and MI in addition to normal positions. It is clear that my strength is pitching, but I cannot decide how I should manage this situation for next year/try to trade one of my valuable pieces to make an upgrade to win now. I can keep any 5. Here is my team:

Ruiz
Glaus
N. Walker
A. Gordon
Zobrist
Smoak
Alexei Ramirez
J. Bautista
Dunn
Abreu
Delmon Young
Bruce
Bourn
Pedroia

Wainwright
Price
Greinke
Floyd
J. Sanchez
J. Garcia
Leake
Bumgarner
Br. Wilson
Soriano
K-Rod

Thanks a lot,
JZ

Hey guys. So I look over the blue jays final two months and it is ugly…really ugly. They play The Yanks, Bo Sox, and Rays in 4 (!) series each, plus rangers, angels and tigers. That’s 12 series or 30+ games against perhaps 3 of the top 6 lineups in the majors, not even considering Texas. Damn the AL east! I hate to do it but I am thinking I might have to drop R Romero for Brett Myers. Nobodys biting on trades and my roster is pretty full. I am in a dogfight for ERA and scrapping for WHIP pts (got ks on lock) What do you guys think? Please rank: kuroda, myers, a sanchez, medlen, Travis wood for rest of the season. Myers seems like the guy, no? Thanks for any insight and time, Adam

Just curious – are you ditching on Anderson today because it’s his first start off the DL? In his last return from the DL in May, he pitched 5 2/3 innings, gave up just 3 hits, struck out 4, walked none, and allowed no runs. Granted, his opponent was Detroit then, and it’s CWS this time around – who is in a pennant race – but Hudson is far from a sure win for Chicago. Thoughts?

Greg,

Yeah, tough to give up Tex now as you’ve stuck with him through the bad times so it would be a bummer to deal him now. I’d pass on the original deal as you’re already deep at the corners, but if Gregg and Broxton were added I think I’d do it.
**********************************************
JZ,

Always play to win now so long as you have a legitimate shot at making the playoffs. I wouldn’t worry too much about trading young guys if you think you can improve your current roster. You’re right that pitching is your clear strength so I’d consider dealing one of your front three (Greinke, Price, Wainwright) for a big bat, particularly a power guy. Your only legitimate 35-plus HR players are Dunn and Bautista, so a pitcher for hitter swap makes a lot of sense.
******************************************
Adam,

Romero for Myers sounds reasonable considering the league factor and Myers’ remarkable consistency. As for those pitchers, I’d rank them Myers, Kuroda, Sanchez, Wood, Medlen, though Wood and Medlen are close.
*******************************************
chip,

Good catch. Pitch on Anderson. That was a mistake.

Zach

hey zach. thoughts on pitching gorzo today? who would you prefer him or dan hudson? thx

disregard, just noticed gorzo is on the hill tomorrow, not today…also, since I traded for rauch a few weeks back, I had to pick up clippard to hedge, reducing my pod flexibility somewhat..

I just dropped the mediocre Stephen Drew and am now without a shortstop. Juan Uribe, Jason Bartlett and Marco Scutaro are all on the waiver wire. Who would be the best option to add to my team?

Who do I drop in a roster move to make room for a shortstop addition? Brad Lidge or Octavio Dotel?

How do you think capps should fare in minnesota, do you think he will strugle, and would now be a good time to see if i can trade him.

I’ve just spotted two sneaky under the radar shortstops on the waiver wire – Cliff Pennington and Ian Desmond. Both are under 15% owned. Are either of these guys worthy additions?

gryffson,

A lot depends on your category needs but overall, I’d take Bartlett. I’m very encouraged by his strong month of July and the fact that he’s stealing more now. Plus, as a career .281 hitter, you have to think that his current .243 mark is bound to continue rising. By the way, I also prefer Bartlett to Pennington or Desmond.
********************
I thought you already dropped Drew to clear space for the SS, no? Anyway, I’d rather see you hold onto both of those closers…at least through the trade deadline as we’re not sure whether or not Dotel will get traded and possibly return to a setup role.
**********************************************
dmack,

I definitely think that Capps’ value is hurt by his move to the Twins as he’s going to the tougher league and isn’t even assured of the closer job. Sure, the Twins have anointed him the closer for now, but that could easily change should he struggle considering that Rauch will be looming as a viable alternative.

Zach

One of the other managers in my 14 team 6×6 (OPS & Holds) is offering Nunez for a slugger. I have a huge lead in HRs and RBIs. I’m thinking of offering Vernon Wells or Ike Davis. Which do y’all think is the more likely to get accepted?

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