Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, August 11

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD
chart July 23.pdf

McDonald_james.jpg
CORY’S PICKS

Garza @ Verlander
Greinke @ Weaver
Braden @ French
Bergesen @ Tomlin – Bergesen worth a gamble for those desperate in deeper leagues
Buchholz @ Marcum
Vazquez @ Lee – tough matchup for Vazquez, who’s struggled since the All-Star break
Slowey @ Danks - Slowey too erratic to trust, especially on the road
Wainwright @ Arroyo
Hanson @ Wandy – glad to see Wandy back!
Volstad @ Olsen
Billingsley @ Oswalt
Francis @ Niese – both are toss-ups but this is the time of the year for conservatism
D. Hudson @ Bush
McDonald @ Correia – I wouldn’t start McDonald yet but he’s worth tracking
Gorzelanny @ Zito

***Siano says “I’m gonna roll the dice on McDonald because he can get Ks and it’s the Padres lineup. Agree with the rest.”

 

7 Comments

Who do you think will get more HR and RBI by the end of the season Howie Kendrick or Casey McGehee?
John from Texas

John,

McGehee is definitely the safer bet for HRs and RBIs as he currently leads Kendrick in both of those categories (homers by a margin of 7). Also, Kendrick has yet to show the ability to hit for power on a consistent basis in the Majors.
*******************************************
sdoty,

To my understanding, points leagues tend to place a little more importance on homers and OBP than the standard roto format, so I’d actually hold onto Fielder. Also, the fact that you would be inserting either player into your utility slot takes away the position scarcity factor that would favor the third baseman over the first baseman.

Zach

Guys,
In a h2h points league. Was offered longoria for Fielder. Would use either as my utility so pos. does not matter. Who performs better form here to the end.. Again it`s points. Thanks

Our league is a 6×6 roto with 14 teams, so pretty deep. I too am a ‘draft pitchers late’ type player. However, we have transaction fees in our league as well, so while you can “pitch or ditch” all you want, it will cost. That said, on the pitcher’s side, we use K, W, QS, S, ERA, and WHIP. My question is this: it appears you always “pitch” good pitchers who are on a roll, regardless of the matchup. Very rarely are any of the guys you highlight going to be available on the FA list. So, for example, today has Wandy against Tommy Hanson, both good pitchers (if Wandy is truly back to form) who are pitching well, and you have them both starting. Obviously, only one guy can get the win. I assume you figure that the 4 other categories (K, ERA, WHIP, QS) outweigh the W one, and thus start both? Anyway, I alway come and use you guys as a reference, I was just curious as to how you approach the decisions you make.

12 team roto league we keep 4 players.

I currently have Grady Sizemore, Justin Morneau, Andrew Bailey and Martin Prado on the DL – and just 1 DL spot. What are your expectations for Grady Sizemore next season and do I cut him

thanks

I’ve been scoping out the trading block on my league with the deadline coming this Sunday, and noticed some interesting trade possibilities. One guy has CC Sabathia on the block and looking for SS, SP, and RP focusing on HR, SB, AVG, K, and ERA. I don’t have **** to trade, but I could try this deal in which I would give up Romero or Hanson in addition to Chris Perez or Axford for CC. Another guy put Torii Hunter, Felix Hernandez and Barry Zito up looking for 1B, SP. For him, I could try to deal Romero or Hanson and Huff (who qualifies as a 1B) for Hunter and Felix. What do you think of these trade possibilities? I’m noticing a serious decline in power numbers, most notably, AVG, OPS, HR, and RBI, while my pitching’s ERA and WHIP are soaring up. Would these trades solve my problems? Thanks.

Glenn–NY

bloodfury,

To me, the most important factors when determining whether or not to start a pitcher is recent performance, and, to a lesser extent, the opponent. That said, if an established veteran pitcher is struggling I would give him a longer leash due to his track record. Approach these decisions on a case-by-case basis, but these are the general rules I follow.
**********************************************
Tim,

I’ve got no problem with you cutting Grady, particularly if you’re playing to win this year. No one really knows what to expect from Sizemore but one thing is for certain…he won’t be a top-4 round player. There’s no point keeping him on your roster if you can make better use of that DL slot.
*****************************************
Glenn,

I like both of those trades, especially the second one. The move from Huff to Hunter is at worst a break even swap while Hanson/Romero for Felix is a clear upgrade. I don’t think you’re losing any offense at all here.

Zach

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