September 2010

Pitch or Ditch for Friday, October 1

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 15.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

2010 All-Surprise and All-Disappointment Teams

2010 All-Fantasy Team

Richard_clayton.jpg
CORY’S PICKS

Porcello @
Tillman

Pettitte @ Matsuzaka
- do you trust either? Not me!

Weaver @
Holland

Carmona @ Pena – solid
comeback year for Carmona (Lo12 guy!)

Shields @ Chen – good
matchup for Shields

Romero @ Pavano -
spike in Romero’s walk rate suggests he’s gassed

Cahill @
French

Rogers @
Wood

Maholm @
Mendez

Zimmermann @
Misch

Kendrick @
Beachy

Coleman @
Norris – one more shot on Bud

De La Rosa @
Westbrook

Kroenke @
Ely

Richard @ Zito
- Richard too erratic lately, and on the road, to trust

***Zach says “I’d ditch Pavano in a tough matchup vs. TOR. He’s been flat out awful over his last two starts (12.00 ERA). Richard is a tough call but coming off poor outing I’ll agree with Cory and say ditch.”

Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, September 29

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 15.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

2010 All-Surprise and All-Disappointment Teams

2010 All-Fantasy Team

Cueto_2.jpg
CORY’S PICKS

Vargas @ Harden -
time to draw the curtain on the surprising hit that was the Vargas
show

Cramer @
Pineiro

Verlander @
Tomlin

Pettitte @ Cecil -
Cecil is 3-0 in September with a 7.40 ERA. Don’t chase
wins!

Millwood @
Niemann

Beckett @ F.
Garcia

Baker @
Hochevar

McDonald
@
Walters

Kershaw @
Chacin
– Chacin could shut
out the offensively putrid Dodgers

Gallardo @
Dickey

Bush @
Niese

Miller @
Lowe

Blanton @
Detwiler

Figueroa @ Cueto -
Cueto a huge coin-toss, I’d play it safe

Wells @ Young – Wells is
hot again, so pick on the weak Padres offense

Kennedy @
Bumgarner

***Zach says “I’d be careful with Beckett @ home run haven U.S. Cellular…pitch only if you have to. Pitch on Cueto. Last outing was as bad as it gets but he was coming off five straight quality starts and Astros’ lineup still mediocre. Agree on rest.”

 

Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, September 28

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 15.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

2010 All-Surprise and All-Disappointment Teams

2010 All-Fantasy Team

Wolf_2010.jpg
CORY’S PICKS

Scherzer @
Talbot

Sabathia @
Drabek

Bergesen @
Price

King
Felix
@ Feldman – Felix
could lead the Majors in ERA and K’s

Lackey @ Jackson -
gambling on Lackey as White Sox play out the string

Blackburn @
O’Sullivan

Braden @
Haren

Oswalt @
Marquis

An. Sanchez @ Minor -
both might be toast this year, play it safe

Wandy @
Volquez

Wolf @ Niese – Wolf on
fire down the stretch

Burres @
Suppan

Kuroda @
Francis

Dempster @ Latos -
Dempster’s last 6 starts: 3 shutout, 3 disaster. Flip the
coin.

R. Lopez @ J.
Sanchez

***Zach says “Blackburn cruising of late. I’d pitch him @ KC. Agree on rest.”

***Siano saysBlackburn
is red hot and it’s the Royals, pitch. Agree on rest.”

 

A Few Articles to Check Out

Hey everyone,

Over the past several weeks I’ve written a series of articles for Fantasy Goodness, a blog run by the guys at our fantasy department. Just thought I’d share these with 411 Nation!

Good luck to all of you who are still in contention. Remember, every extra run and RBI counts. 10 days left…

-Zach

Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, September 25-27

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 15.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

2010 All-Surprise and All-Disappointment Teams

2010 All-Fantasy Team

Jurrjens.jpg
ZACH’S PICKS

SATURDAY

Guthrie @
Romero - Guthrie coming off rough start vs. NYY…I’m sitting this one out

Holland @
Gonzalez

Lester @
Nova – Playing it safe and ditching Nova

Greinke @
Gomez

Pavano @
Bonderman

Fister @
Garza – Fister great at home but awful on the road this year (4.96 ERA)

Danks @
Kazmir – Kazmir pitching OK lately but he’s still DTM in my book

Carpenter @
Coleman

Lowe @
Maya – Lowe 8 IP 0 ER 12 K last start vs. Nats

Wood @
Garland – Johnny Sinkers excellent at home (3.10 ERA)

Gee @
Kendrick

Norris @
Duke – Great matchup for Norris

Volstad @
Narveson – Both high-risk medium-reward

Zito @
Hammel – I don’t trust Zito in Coors

Ely @ D.
Hudson

 

SUNDAY

Chen @
Carmona

Duensing @
Porcello

TBD @
Marcum

French @
Shields – Big Game James so inconsistent but it’s the Mariners!

Pena @
Weaver

Lewis @
Cahill

Matsuzaka @
Hughes – I don’t trust either

Jurrjens @
Livan – Jurrjens too erratic right now

Pelfrey @
Hamels – Tough test for Big Pelf but I think he’s up for it

Happ @
Maholm

Mendez @
Capuano

Westbrook @
Samardzija

Cain @ De La
Rosa

Bailey @
Richard
– Pitch Homer if you’re feeling lucky

Billingsley @
Saunders – Saundo not a bad gamble vs. awful Dodgers’ lineup

 

MONDAY

Galarraga @
Carrasco – Galarraga too inconsistent lately

Burnett @
Rzepczynski – This one could get ugly for Burnett

Matusz @
Davis – Davis lights out in September (3.10 ERA)

Pauley @
Wilson

Buchholz @
Buehrle – Buehrle slumping lately…I’ll pass

Baker @
Davies – Baker a worthy risk vs. weak lineup

Anderson @ Big
Erv

Halladay @
Lannan

Sanabia @
Minor

Bush @
Niese – Good spot for Bush…Niese breaking down

Morton @
Lohse

Lilly @
Jimenez

Zambrano @
Stauffer

 

Pitch or Ditch for Friday, September 24

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 15.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

2010 All-Surprise and All-Disappointment Teams

2010 All-Fantasy Team

Beckett_josh.jpg
CORY’S PICKS

Beckett @
Pettitte

Hochevar @
Tomlin

Liriano @
Verlander

Guthrie @ Cecil – great
second half by Guthrie

Vargas @ Niemann -
Vargas finally faded, especially on the road

F. Garcia @
Pineiro

Hunter @ Cramer – Hunter
still useful in easy matchups

Wainwright @
Gorzelanny

T.
Hudson
@
Zimmermann

Myers @
McDonald

Gee @ Blanton
- Blanton still useful in easy matchups

Miller @ M.
Rogers

Lincecum @ Chacin
-
Chacin better away than home, but overall worth the gamble

Ely @ Enright
- mirror images!

Arroyo @
Young

***Zach says “I’m passing on Beckett. He’s 0-2 with an 11.17 ERA and 2.28 WHIP in four starts vs. the Yankees this year. This one could get ugly. Agree on rest.”

Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, September 23

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 15.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

2010 All-Surprise and All-Disappointment Teams

2010 All-Fantasy Team

Braden_2.jpg
CORY’S PICKS

King
Felix
@
Hill

O’Sullivan @
Talbot

Price @
Sabathia

Lee @ Braden – Braden
fading in September

Suppan @
Burres – Burres pitching well and Cards mailing it
in

Figueroa @
Detwiler

Bumgarner @
Dempster

An. Sanchez @
Gallardo

Francis @
Kennedy – Kennedy on a serious finishing kick

Latos @
Kuroda
– hang with
‘em!

 

2010 All-Fantasy Team + Final Grades

ALL-FANTASY TEAM   
Gonzalez_carlos.jpg   
C    Joe Mauer
1B  Miguel Cabrera
2B  Robinson Cano
3B  Jose Bautista
SS  Hanley Ramirez
OF  Josh Hamilton
OF  Hunter Pence
OF  Carlos Gonzalez
SP  Roy Halladay
SP  Adam Wainwright
RP  Billy Wagner

FINAL GRADES

Overrated-underrated 092010.xls

Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, September 22

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 15.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

2010 All-Surprise and All-Disappointment Teams

Niese.jpg
CORY’S PICKS

Carrasco @
Blackburn

Jackson @
Anderson

Davies @
Scherzer

Davis @ Burnett -
Burnett unsafe at any speed

Pauley @
Drabek

Millwood @
Lackey – giving Lackey one more shot

Wilson @
Haren

Hanson @
Oswalt

Wandy
@
Marquis

Lohse @
Morton

Niese @ Sanabia -
Niese has faded badly

J.
Sanchez
@ Wells – wish I
could trust Wells. Maybe next year.

Cueto @
Wolf

- Wolf is finishing with a flourish

Jimenez @
Lopez

Stauffer @ Lilly
-
the Dodgers can’t score, so roll with Stauffer


2010 All-Surprise and All-Disappointment Teams

Hey everyone,

It’s that time of year again! Time to unveil the 2010 All-Surprise and All-Disappointment teams. Be sure to watch today’s 411 to get in-depth analysis from Siano and Schwartz but here are the rosters. On tomorrow’s show we’ll reveal the All-Fantasy team and grade Mike and Cory on their preseason underrated and overrated picks.

-Zach

ALL-SURPRISE TEAM   
Bautista.jpg
C    John Buck
1B  Aubrey Huff
2B  Martin Prado
3B  Jose Bautista
SS Alex Gonzalez
OF  Carlos Gonzales
OF  Chris Young
OF  Andres Torres
SP  C.J. Wilson
SP  Brett Myers
RP  John Axford

ALL-DISAPPOINTMENT TEAM   
Sandoval.jpg   

C    Chris Iannetta   
1B  Lance Berkman
2B  Gordon Beckham
3B  Pablo Sandoval
SS  Yunel Escobar
OF  Grady Sizemore
OF  Nate McLouth
OF  Matt Kemp
SP  Javier Vazquez
SP  A.J. Burnett
RP  Chad Qualls

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