Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, September 16

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 2.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

Stauffer_2010.jpg
CORY’S PICKS

Big Erv @
Carmona
– not trusting Erv
much but it’s the Indians!

Pavano @
Buehrle

R. Lopez @ Volquez -
not trusting Volquez but a decent gamble

Morton @
Pelfrey
– Pelf doing better lately, and it’s the
Pirates!

Stauffer @
Westbrook

Lilly @ J.
Sanchez

***Siano says I’m
a little concerned about Stauffer since it’s not cushy Petco but Cards are
looking lifeless so not a terrible gamble if chasing a
win. Agree
on rest.”

***Zach says “I’d sit Stauffer. One solid outing vs. the Giants isn’t enough to gain my trust, and the Cards rank 3rd in the NL in runs scored. Agree on rest.”

6 Comments

Hey Guys (I think I missed the window for yesterdays posts),

I am trying to make up a few points in my pitching categories. I am currently 2nd in saves and have that pretty well secured. I am 4th in wins and only behind by 3 games against 2 other guys. I have been cycling through PoD guys and thanks to you I have moved up significantly in the wins. I have two more categories I can make strides in.
I am currently tied for 5th in WHIP at 1.24 with 2 guys tied at 1.23 and 1.22. I also am in 5th for Ks with 2 guys within 5 ks. My concern is this, I have 125 innings left which is significantly less than the guys I am chasing. For closers I have
Pap,
Bell,
Lyon,
Ardsma,
Broxton (if you can count him),
and for starters I have
Gonzalez,
Hughes,
Lester,
Danks,

My question is on strategy. Should I at this point add in some middle relief guys that will get me low WHIP and high Ks or should I keep chasing wins by cycling starters that may or may not help me in the other categories?

Thanks – Vande

Vande,

As long as you have high-quality starters (and that group of 4 certainly fits the bill), I’d try to stress starting pitching. Strikeouts looks like the area in which you can easily gain the most points. Picking up middle relievers is a tempting idea but at this point in the season, I don’t think you can count on gaining points in WHIP. And remember that it’s entirely possible a middle reliever gets roughed up in an outing or two. By my calculations, you still have enough innings to play four starters plus two closers from here on out, so I’d stick with the four starters in addition to Papelbon and Bell.

Zach

Yo! Keeper question for ya. My league is winding up it’s playoffs right now (3rd or 4th place for me out of 6, after being 2nd seed heading into the playoffs :-( ) and I’m trying to prepare for next year. The commish is changing the roster type next year to the following:

12 KEEPERS

40 player rosters
20 Batting positions
20 Pitching positions

NO BENCH!

6 DL slots

Batting:
2 C
2 1B
2 2B
2 SS
2 3B
6 OF
4 UTIL

Pitching:
10 SP
10 RP

Here are the batters I’m thinking of keeping

McCann C
Votto 1B
Utley 2B
Longoria 3B
Jeter SS
Hamilton OF
Rios OF
B.J Upton OF
Would you substitute any of those guys for Paul Konerko, Kendry Morales, Jason Werth, Aubrey Huff, or Brett Gardner? I was thinking Konerko and Huff would not repeat their sucess next year and that Upton would have a break out year (since he will be 27 yrs old) compared to Gardner and his steals make him better than Werth. Jeter isn’t great but I’m taking him b/c I need **** and I think he will be better than Alexei Rameriz or Stephen Drew.
Which 4 of these pitchers should I keep? They are in ranked order according to the yahoo! stats we are using.

Adam Wainright
Trevor Cahill (not many strikeouts and I’m afraid of his advanced metric stats)
Rafael Soriano (paying for saves?)
Brett Myers (career year? bad team?)
Mariano Rivera (getting old?)
Justin Verlander (K’s and W but other stats so-so?)
Francisco Liriano
Shaun Marcum
Johnny Cueto
Daniel Hudson
David Aardsma
Brandon Lyon

I guess I could just keep a couple pitchers and keep more position players too? What do you think Oh Wise Ones? BTW, HTML FTW!

That should have said “a shortstop” where it has ****. my html code got switched off or something too, so no bold or underlines :-(

mick d,

Yup, that last idea is exactly what I’d do. My 12 would be the above list of 8 hitters plus Werth plus Wainwright, Verlander and Rivera. I would’ve had a real tough time choosing between Werth and Upton and am still a little concerned about Liriano’s durability long-term. Even Morales is very tempting here but I think there’s a chance you can get him back in the opening round of the standard draft. The same cannot be said for Werth.

Zach

Thanks Zach. My only worry with Werth is that in a contract year he didn’t exactly light it up. How is he going to do after he gets a big deal in the offseason? And the unknown of which team/stadium he will be with is disconcerning. I’ll probably go with your rec but I’m tempted to take Soriano because I need to fill 10 relief pitcher slots and I hate trolling for saves.

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