September 2010

Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, September 21

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 15.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

Hughes_phil_2010.jpg
CORY’S PICKS

Chen @
Galarraga

Shields @ Hughes -
both are too HR prone to trust here

French @
Rzepczynski

Bergesen @
Buchholz

Carmona @ Pavano -
hang
with ‘em!

Buehrle @
Cahill

Lewis @ Big
Erv

Minor @
Halladay

Happ @ Lannan – Happ too
hot prior to last start to ditch yet

Westbrook @
Maholm

Pelfrey @ Mendez – Pelfrey
finishing strong

Cain @
Zambrano
– Big Z pitching…
good

Volquez @ Bush – Volquez a
big risk but high reward

De La
Rosa

@ Saunders

Richard @
Billingsley

***Zach says “I’d pitch Richard. Don’t get discouraged by one dreadful start @ Coors. Clayton had allowed 2 ER or less in each of his previous six outings. Agree on rest.”

The Final POD Category Chart

Hey guys,

So here it is. One final update to the Pitch or Ditch category chart before we put a stamp on the 2010 season.

PoD chart September 15.pdf

Most of you are probably very close to reaching your innings limit so feel free to take an even stricter approach when deciding whether or not to pitch a borderline guy. But as you’ll notice, we too have raised the bar, adding a couple more DTMs and demoting a few pitchers from grads to PoD.

A reminder as to how the chart works:

We’ve
divided all the starting
pitchers in the Majors into four groups:
Aces, Pitch or Ditch graduates, Pitch or Ditch guys and DTMs (players
you shouldn’t even think about starting right now). Keep in mind that
these
classifications are geared towards 12-team mixed leagues.

Good luck to all as you make your final push towards a title!

-Zach

Pitch or Ditch for Friday, September 17

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 2.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

Blackburn_2009.jpg
ZACH’S PICKS

Burnett @
Millwood – Promising matchup for Burnett but there are much better ways to use your remaining innings.

Haren @ Davis – Haren 1.00 ERA over last four starts.

Cecil @
Lackey – Cecil a bit risky coming off blowup vs. TB but I’ll take the gamble.

Carrasco @
Davies – Carrasco dominant so far and great matchup.

Scherzer @ Jackson

Anderson @
Blackburn – Blackburn a viable option but I’m worried that the wheels are about to fall off.

Wilson @ King
Felix

Kennedy @
Burres

Marquis @
Oswalt

Hanson @
Niese
– Niese a little inconsistent lately so be careful here.

Dempster @
Sanabia

Cueto @
Wandy

Latos @
Lohse

Jimenez @
Kuroda

Wolf @
Bumgarner – Wolf solid of late and I like the matchup.

Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, September 16

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 2.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

Stauffer_2010.jpg
CORY’S PICKS

Big Erv @
Carmona
– not trusting Erv
much but it’s the Indians!

Pavano @
Buehrle

R. Lopez @ Volquez -
not trusting Volquez but a decent gamble

Morton @
Pelfrey
– Pelf doing better lately, and it’s the
Pirates!

Stauffer @
Westbrook

Lilly @ J.
Sanchez

***Siano says I’m
a little concerned about Stauffer since it’s not cushy Petco but Cards are
looking lifeless so not a terrible gamble if chasing a
win. Agree
on rest.”

***Zach says “I’d sit Stauffer. One solid outing vs. the Giants isn’t enough to gain my trust, and the Cards rank 3rd in the NL in runs scored. Agree on rest.”

Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, September 14

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 2.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

Dice-K_2010.jpg
CORY’S PICKS

Kazmir @ Tomlin – can
Kazmir do it twice? I’ll watch and wait

S. Hill @ Arrieta -
Arrieta as many walks as K’s this year

Nova @
Garza

Bonderman @
Holland

Liriano @
Danks

Gonzalez @
Greinke

Matsuzaka @ French -
Dice-K likes Seattle but I don’t trust him

D.
Hudson
@
Wood

Hamels @
Mendez

Duke @ Dickey
– Dickey sub-2.00 ERA at home

Livan @
Jurrjens – Jurrjens erratic but I trust him at home vs.
WSH

Capuano @ Norris -
Norris too erratic to trust vs. good offense

Wells @
Wainwright

Garland @
Hammel

Kershaw
@
Zito

ZACH’S PICKS

Kazmir @
Tomlin – Kazmir pitching a little better of late but I still don’t trust him.

S. Hill @
Arrieta

Nova @
Garza
– Nova risky play here…pitch only if you’re chasing wins.

Bonderman @ Holland

Liriano @
Danks

Gonzalez @
Greinke
– Gio red hot…7-2  2.23 ERA  1.07 WHIP since All-Star break.

Matsuzaka @
French – Dice-K struggling but gotta like this matchup.

D. Hudson @ Wood

Hamels @
Mendez

Duke @
Dickey

Livan @
Jurrjens – Livan: 5 or more ER in three of his last four starts.

Capuano @
Norris

Wells @
Wainwright

Garland @
Hammel – Not the time or place to gamble on Garland.

Kershaw @
Zito
– I like Zito at home vs. inconsistent L.A. lineup.

Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, September 11-13

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 2.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

Matusz_brian.jpg
CORY’S PICKS

SATURDAY

Davis @ Romero

Guthrie @
Scherzer

Davies @ Jackson

Blackburn @
Carrasco

Burnett @ Hunter – too risky for
either

Lackey @
Anderson

King Felix @ Big
Erv
– overall Big Erv has been solid
this year if a little erratic

An.
Sanchez
@
Marquis

Kendrick @
Pelfrey

Bumgarner @
Stauffer

Westbrook @
Hanson

Ely @ Wandy

Dempster @ Wolf – Dempster very
risky, only if chasing K’s and wins

Morton @
Harang

R. Lopez @ Jimenez

 

ZACH’S PICKS

SUNDAY

 

Tillman @
Verlander

Slowey @
Talbot – Not a Slowey fan but this is a decent matchup for him if you need wins

Niemann @
Marcum
– Niemann absolutely awful of late

O’Sullivan @ F.
Garcia – Favorable spot for Freddy but let’s take the conservative route

Moseley @
Lee – Lee no sure thing vs. Yanks but how can you bench him?

Vargas @
Haren – Vargas slumping lately and much better at home (2.58 ERA) than on the road (5.27 ERA)

Beckett @
Braden – Still don’t trust Beckett but this is a great matchup

Oswalt @
Niese – Niese = high-risk medium-reward…ditch

Burres @
Cueto

Volstad @
Zimmermann – Zim not a bad gamble if you’re willing to roll the dice

Padilla @
Figueroa – Figueroa a decent option in deeper formats vs. erratic Dodgers lineup

Coleman @
Gallardo

Kennedy @
Chacin – Kennedy on a roll but I’m passing on the HR prone pitcher at Coors

Lincecum @ Latos

Lohse @ T.
Hudson

 

MONDAY

 

Gonzalez @
Bannister

Rzepczynski @
Matusz – Matusz pitching well but he’s a risky play here

Sabathia @
Price
– Cy Young showdown!

Lester @
Fister
- Fister great at home but I’d be careful here

Maya @
Lowe – Lowe extremely inconsistent this year and offers little upside

Enright @
Arroyo - Enright coming off his worst start of the year

McDonald @ TBD - McDonald an OK option in deeper formats

Blanton @
Miller – Blanton locked in right now but too erratic to trust

Narveson @
Myers – Narveson worth using here

Silva @ J.
Garcia
– I’m willing to give Garcia another chance

Luebke @ Francis

Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, September 9

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 2.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

Norris_bud.jpg
CORY’S PICKS

Floyd @ Porcello -
Porcello OK if risking ratios to chase wins

Lewis @ S. Hill -
Lewis should bounce back but play it safe here

Wood @ Hammel – see
Porcello… high-risk, high reward on both, Hammel in
particular

Wainwright @
Jurrjens
– hang with
‘em

Lilly @ Norris – can’t
risk Bud right now

Cain @
Garland
– Garland fine at
home

 

***Siano says Agree
on all. CS says it so smoothly I can’t make it any better.”

Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, September 4-6

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 2.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

Zambrano_carlos_2010.jpg
CORY’S PICKS

SATURDAY

Rzepczynski @ Vazquez
– not risking Vazquez in his rotation return

Weaver @
Cahill

Lewis @
Pavano

Shields @ Guthrie -
both present plenty of risk and reward… gamble accordingly

Floyd @
Lackey
– Siano-style
gut-check on Lackey… strong finisher

Porcello @
Chen

Talbot @
Pauley

Mejia @
Coleman

Wood @
Wainwright – conservatism dictates “ditch” on Wood

Hammel @ Garland -
Johnny Sinkers worth using at home

Bush @
Halladay

Lannan @
Maholm

Jurrjens @
Johnson
– Jair coming off terrible start and struggles on the
road

Norris @ R. Lopez – Norris
risky in Arizona but big upside here

Cain @
Lilly

 

SUNDAY

Cecil @ Hughes -
high-risk,
high-reward on both

Buehrle @
Beckett

Davis @ Matusz
– Matusz is on a roll, go with it

Galarraga @ Davies – Galarraga
hot and Royals not

Wilson @
Blackburn

Big
Erv

@ Mazzarodon’t trust Erv but it’s the A’s

Masterson @ King
Felix

Minor @
Sanabia

Wolf @
Kendrick

Marquis @
Morton

Bailey @
Carpenter

Niese @ Zambrano -
don’t trust Zambrano AT ALL

De La Rosa @
Richard

Happ @ Saunders – Happ
risky but has been red hot with Astros

J. Sanchez @
Kuroda

 

MONDAY

Jackson @
Scherzer
-
awesome

Arrieta @ Burnett -
don’t trust A.J. just yet

Hunter @
Romero – don’t trust Hunter vs. homer-happy Jays

O’Sullivan @
Liriano

Vargas @
Anderson

Niemann @
Lester

Carrasco @
Haren – Carrasco sharp his first time, let’s see it
again

Pelfrey @ Zimmermann
– both risky but Zimmermann has upside

An. Sanchez @
Oswalt

Hanson
@
Karstens – hope you didn’t give up on Hanson!

Westbrook @
Gallardo
– Gallardo should be
OK, hang with ‘em

Wandy @
Dempster

Harang @
Jimenez

Bumgarner @
Kennedy

Volstad @
TBD

Monasterios @ LeBlanc
– LeBlanc too homer-prone right now, even at home

***Siano says:

SAT:
Pitch Shields (red hot), ditch Norris (don’t trust enough here). Agree on
rest.

 

SUN:
Wade Davis looks like he has his feet back under him. I’d trot him out there.
Agree on all, even Big Z.

 

MON:
I’m sticking with AJ coming off season high 8 Ks. Agree on
rest.

***Zach says “Pitch Shields (on a roll), ditch Norris (don’t trust him), pitch Big Z (I like picking on the Mets lineup). Agree on the rest of Cory’s picks.”

 

Updated POD Category Chart (9/2)

Top 10 by position for 2011

Hey guys,

Hot off the press, here’s our updated Pitch or Ditch category chart:

PoD chart September 2.pdf

Notice that we’re becoming stricter graders as the season winds down. As Cory likes to say, now is the time to be conservative since many of you are rapidly approaching innings limits.

Just a reminder as to how the chart works:

We’ve
divided all the starting
pitchers in the Majors into four groups:
Aces, Pitch or Ditch graduates, Pitch or Ditch guys and DTM’s (players
you shouldn’t even think about starting right now). Keep in mind that these
classifications are geared towards 12-team mixed leagues. In all likelihood, we’ll be making one more update to the chart before the 2010 campaign comes to a close.

Agree? Disagree? Let’s hear from you!

-Zach

Pitch or Ditch for Friday, September 3

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart August 10.pdf     UPDATED CHART COMING SOON!

Top 10 by position for 2011

Morrow_brandon.jpg
CORY’S PICKS

Morrow @ Nova – go with
Morrow in his final start

Garza @
Millwood

Danks @
Buchholz
– did you know
Buchholz leads the MAJORS in ERA?!

Bonderman @
Greinke

Holland @
Blackburn

Kazmir @ G.
Gonzalez

Carmona @
Pauley

Dickey @ Wells
-
Wells erratic but good matchup.

Capuano @
Hamels

Livan @ Duke -
Livan’s ERA at a season high… finally going pumpkin?

Kawakami @
Miller

Arroyo @ J.
Garcia

Myers @ D.
Hudson

Cook @
Luebke

Zito @
Billingsley

 

 ***Siano says:

Ditch
on Morrow. Yanks have given him some decent beatings in NY.

 Yes
I did know Clay led MLB in ERA.

 Pitch Carmona. Mariners literally can’t hit.

 Agree
on rest.

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