411 Mock Draft is Complete
We’re done! Here are the complete 23-round mock draft results along with comments from the various participants on their best and worst picks, general strategy and/or any other random thoughts. I’ll add more comments as I get them so stay tuned. We’d love to hear your feedback.
-Zach
1 – JB – Albert Pujols
2 – Sheehan – Troy Tulowitzki
3 – Chaprales – Hanley Ramirez
4 – Feldman – Miguel Cabrera
5 – Kay – Ryan Braun
6 – Steinhorn – Evan Longoria
7 – Stryshak- Carlos Gonzalez
8 – Nando – Joey Votto
9 – Siano – Robinson Cano
10 – Schwartz – Carl Crawford
11 – Costa – Adrian Gonzalez
12 – Collette – David Wright
13 – Collette – Chase Utley
14 – Costa – Ryan Zimmerman
15- Schwartz – Alex Rodriguez
16 – Siano – Mark Teixeira
17 – Nando – Josh Hamilton
18 – Stryshak – Jose Reyes
19 – Steinhorn – Matt Holliday
20 – Kay – Prince Fielder
21 – Feldman – Kevin Youkilis
22 – Chaprales – Ryan Howard
23 – Sheehan – Joe Mauer
24 – JB – Justin Upton
25 – JB – Andrew McCutchen
26 – Sheehan – Matt Kemp
27 – Chaprales – Dustin Pedroia
28 – Feldman – Nelson Cruz
29 – Kay – Shin-Soo Choo
30 – Steinhorn – Roy Halladay
31 – Stryshak – Dan Uggla
32 – Nando – Felix Hernandez
33 – Siano – Brian McCann
34 – Schwartz – Ian Kinsler
35 – Costa – Brandon Phillips
36 – Collette – Cliff Lee
37 – Collette – Jose Bautista
38 – Costa – Tim Lincecum
39 – Schwartz – Victor Martinez
40 – Siano – Jacoby Ellsbury
41 – Nando – Zack Greinke
42 – Stryshak – Adam Dunn
43 – Steinhorn – Jayson Werth
44 – Kay – Adrian Beltre
45 – Feldman – Jason Heyward
46 – Chaprales – Ichiro Suzuki
47 – Sheehan – Clayton Kershaw
48 – JB – Buster Posey
49 – JB – Rickie Weeks
50 – Sheehan – B.J. Upton
51 – Chaprales – Jon Lester
52 – Feldman – Elvis Andrus
53 – Kay – Mike Stanton
54 – Steinhorn – Jimmy Rollins
55 – Stryshak – Hunter Pence
56 – Nando – Alex Rios
57 – Siano – Jay Bruce
58 – Schwartz – Derek Jeter
59 – Costa – Chris Young
60 – Collette – Andre Ethier
61 – Collette – CC Sabathia
62 – Costa – Colby Rasmus
63 – Schwartz – Carlos Marmol
64 – Siano – Mariano Rivera
65 – Nando – Curtis Granderson
66 – Stryshak – Carlos Santana
67 – Steinhorn – Kendry Morales
68 – Kay – Drew Stubbs
69 – Feldman – Adam Wainwright
70 – Chaprales – Justin Morneau
71 – Sheehan – Josh Johnson
72 – JB – Neftali Feliz
73 – JB – Joakim Soria
74 – Sheehan – Justin Verlander
75 – Chaprales – Shane Victorino
76 – Feldman – Heath Bell
77 – Kay – Alexei Ramirez
78 – Steinhorn – Brian Wilson
79 – Stryshak – Cole Hamels
80 – Nando – Francisco Liriano
81 – Siano – Grady Sizemore
82 – Schwartz – Torii Hunter
83 – Costa – Andrew Bailey
84 – Collette – Billy Butler
85 – Collette – Martin Prado
86 – Costa – Stephen Drew
87 – Schwartz – Yovani Gallardo
88 – Siano – Jonathan Papelbon
89 – Nando – Jason Bay
90 – Stryshak – Tommy Hanson
91 – Steinhorn – Michael Bourn
92 – Kay – Ubaldo Jimenez
93 – Feldman – Adam Lind
94 – Chaprales – Pedro Alvarez
95 – Sheehan – Nick Markakis
96 – JB – Jered Weaver
97 – JB – Mark Reynolds
98 – Sheehan – Kelly Johnson
99 – Chaprales – Delmon Young
100 – Feldman – Pablo Sandoval
101 – Kay – Mat Latos
102 – Steinhorn – Dan Haren
103 – Stryshak – Aramis Ramirez
104 – Nando – Chone Figgins
105 – Siano – David Price
106 – Schwartz – Roy Oswalt
107 – Costa – Shaun Marcum
108 – Collette – Corey Hart
109 – Collette – Paul Konerko
110 – Costa – Jose Valverde
111 – Schwartz – Ben Zobrist
112 – Siano – Max Scherzer
113 – Nando – Michael Young
114 – Stryshak – Matt Cain
115 – Steinhorn – Aaron Hill
116 – Kay – Jonathan Broxton
117 – Feldman – John Axford
118 – Chaprales – Chris Carpenter
119 – Sheehan – Travis Snider
120 – JB – Brett Gardner
121 – JB – Jose Tabata
122 – Sheehan – David Ortiz
123 – Chaprales – Jonathan Sanchez
124 – Feldman – Brandon Morrow
125 – Kay – Chad Billingsley
126 – Steinhorn – Geovany Soto
127 – Stryshak – Huston Street
128 – Nando – Adam Jones
129 – Siano – Ian Stewart
130 – Schwartz – Mike Napoli
131 – Costa – Matt Wieters
132 – Collette – Rafael Furcal
133 – Collette – Francisco Rodriguez
134 – Costa – Daniel Hudson
135 – Schwartz – Chris Perez
136 – Siano – Ian Desmond
137 – Nando – Josh Beckett
138 – Stryshak – J.J. Putz
139 – Steinhorn – Brad Lidge
140 – Kay – Brian Roberts
141 – Feldman – Juan Pierre
142 – Chaprales – Francisco Cordero
143 – Sheehan – Gordon Beckham
144 – JB – Carlos Pena
145 – JB – Tim Hudson
146 – Sheehan – Drew Storen
147 – Chaprales – Matt Thornton
148 – Feldman – Gio Gonzalez
149 – Kay – Joel Hanrahan
150 – Steinhorn – Wandy Rodriguez
151 – Stryshak – Angel Pagan
152 – Nando – Carlos Beltran
153 – Siano – Matt Garza
154 – Schwartz – Ricky Nolasco
155 – Costa – Nick Swisher
156 – Collette – Colby Lewis
157 – Collette – Miguel Montero
158 – Costa – Casey McGehee
159 – Schwartz – Carlos Quentin
160 – Siano – Jorge De La Rosa
161 – Nando – Derrek Lee
162 – Stryshak – Ted Lilly
163 – Steinhorn – Carlos Lee
164 – Kay – Brett Anderson
165 – Feldman – Jhoulys Chacin
166 – Chaprales – Ryan Dempster
167 – Sheehan – Jorge Posada
168 – JB – Kurt Suzuki
169 – JB – Craig Kimbrel
170 – Sheehan – Aroldis Chapman
171 – Chaprales – Clay Buchholz
172 – Feldman – Trevor Cahill
173 – Kay – Leo Nunez
174 – Steinhorn – Joe Nathan
175 – Stryshak – Jeremy Hellickson
176 – Nando – Ian Kennedy
177 – Siano – Vernon Wells
178 – Schwartz – Howard Kendrick
179 – Costa – Madison Bumgarner
180 – Collette – Frank Francisco
181 – Collette – Bobby Abreu
182 – Costa – Austin Jackson
183 – Schwartz – Gaby Sanchez
184 – Siano – Rajai Davis
185 – Nando – Jake McGee
186 – Stryshak – Denard Span
187 – Steinhorn – Adam LaRoche
188 – Kay – Ike Davis
189 – Feldman – Ryan Raburn
190 – Chaprales – Domonic
Brown
191 – Sheehan – James Loney
192 – JB – John Danks
193 – JB – David Aardsma
194 – Sheehan – Hong-Chih Kuo
195 – Chaprales – Manny Ramirez
196 – Feldman – Chris Sale
197 – Kay – Neil Walker
198 – Steinhorn – Starlin Castro
199 – Stryshak – Jonny Venters
200 – Nando – Alfonso Soriano
201 – Siano – Fernando Rodney
202 – Schwartz – Hiroki Kuroda
203 – Costa – C.J. Wilson
204 – Collette – Carlos Ruiz
205 – Collette – Jake Peavy
206 – Costa – Omar Infante
207 – Schwartz – Edwin Encarnacion
208 – Siano – Asdrubal Cabrera
209 – Nando – Ricky Romero
210 – Stryshak – Sean Rodriguez
211 – Steinhorn – Phil Hughes
212 – Kay – Dexter Fowler
213 – Feldman – Lance Berkman
214 – Chaprales – Russell Martin
215 – Sheehan – Chase Headley
216 – JB – Alcides Escobar
217 – JB – Chris Coghlan
218 – Sheehan – Ervin Santana
219 – Chaprales – Daniel Bard
220 – Feldman – Tsuyoshi Nishioka
221 – Kay – Edinson Volquez
222 – Steinhorn – Brandon Lyon
223 – Stryshak – Michael Cuddyer
224 – Nando – J.J. Hardy
225 – Siano – Matt LaPorta
226 – Schwartz – Aubrey Huff
227 – Costa – Luke Scott
228 – Collette – Seth Smith
229 – Collette – James Shields
230 – Costa – Anibal Sanchez
231 – Schwartz – Ryan Franklin
232 – Siano – Rafael Soriano
233 – Nando – Magglio Ordonez
234 – Stryshak – Raul Ibanez
235 – Steinhorn – Jason Kubel
236 – Kay – Mike Minor
237 – Feldman – Jordan Zimmermann
238 – Chaprales – Javier Vazquez
239 – Sheehan – J.D. Drew
240 – JB – Jaime Garcia
241 – JB – Jair Jurrjens
242 – Sheehan – Rick Porcello
243 – Chaprales – John Lackey
244 – Feldman – J.P. Arencibia
245 – Kay – Chris Iannetta
246 – Steinhorn – Johnny Cueto
247 – Stryshak – Brian Matusz
248 – Nando – Koji Uehara
249 – Siano – A.J. Burnett
250 – Schwartz – Gavin Floyd
251 – Costa – Mitch Moreland
252 – Collette – Matt Joyce
253 – Collette – Brandon League
254 – Costa – Tim Stauffer
255 – Schwartz – Kevin Gregg
256 – Siano – Nate McLouth
257 – Nando – Miguel Tejada
258 – Stryshak – Vladimir Guerrero
259 – Steinhorn – Cameron Maybin
260 – Kay – Andres Torres
261 – Feldman – Kila Ka’aihue
262 – Chaprales – Jesus Montero
263 – Sheehan – Joel Peralta
264 – JB – Mike Aviles
265 – JB – Justin Smoak
266 – Sheehan – Brett Wallace
267 – Chaprales – Freddie Freeman
268 – Feldman – Yadier Molina
269 – Kay – Jarrod Saltalamacchia
270 – Steinhorn – John Buck
271 – Stryshak – Josh Thole
272 – Nando – Nick Hundley
273 – Siano – A.J. Pierzynski
274 – Schwartz – Covelli Crisp
275 – Costa – John Jaso
276 – Collette – Jason Hammel
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COMMENTS
Siano says:
My strategy was the usual, ignore SP for as long as I could and get some position scarcity and my CL locked up. Took care of catcher and 2B early with Cano/McCann and love the Rivera/Papelbon combo. Very happy with Price/Scherzer up top and didn’t have to take them until 9/10. One place I could be hurting is 3B but tough to be perfect. Favorite picks were Ellsbury in the 4th, Rajai Davis in the 16th and Garza in the 14th. Hated taking Vernon Wells but at least it was the 15th.
Schwartz says:
My typical strategy in a 12-team mixed daily league is to go heavy on bats, get two top-tier closers early, and fill in starting pitchers later. Unfortunately, I drafted this with a 15-team weekly league in mind and ended up overpaying for starting pitchers, which hurt my outfield (in particular) and bullpen. I’m glad it was only a mock draft!
Best pick: Edwin Encarnacion (19.10). Yes, everyone may think I’m kidding about him at this point, but I’m expecting a .270 season with a worst-case scenario of 25 homers, making him a bargain in the 19th round.
Worst pick: Yovani Gallardo (8.3). It’s fair value for him, but an unneeded departure from my usual strategy.
Zach says:
Usually I wouldn’t even think about taking a starting pitcher in the third round, but when you’re in a draft with 11 other guys who seem to be strictly adhering to the 411 “wait on pitching” philosophy, going against the grain isn’t always a bad idea. Among starters, Halladay is in a class by himself and I do not at all regret taking him at pick #30. In my opinion, he was simply the most valuable player left on the board.
Best pick: Joe Nathan at pick #174: I understand there’s some injury risk here but it sounds like Nathan has a good chance of being ready for the start of the season. Even if he misses the first couple weeks, this is a small price to pay for potential top-tier closer production.
Worst pick: I hate Jayson Werth this year, and I’m still trying to figure out why I took him at pick #43. At the time, I was zeroing in on the outfield position and was faced with a Werth/Ichiro/Heyward dilemna and felt Werth was the best combination of experience and power/speed. In retrospect, I probably should have just reached for the outfielder I really do like…Hunter Pence.
Overall, my team is OK but not one I’d be thrilled about. The pitching is strong and I think I’ve covered the categories pretty well, but I have too many specialists and not enough across-the-board contributors. This could lead to problems in the event of injuries.
Nando says:
I loved getting JJ Hardy in the 19th round. I think he’s one of those guys who could really break out this year. He’s definitely on par with someone like Stephen Drew, who went 86th (Hardy went 224th). He’s a sneaky late round pick.
Obviously, my worst pick might turn out to be Beckett in the 12th round. But he could also turn out to be my best pick. I don’t know which Beckett is going to show up. I’m like 51% sure that it’ll be Good Beckett, and 49% that it’ll be Bad Beckett, but I’d rather have him on my bench tanking than have him on another team beating me.
I kind of (and this is up for debate) screwed up in not knowing how long the draft was going to be and how many rounds I had left to fill out my starters, so I had to drop Soriano and Magglio–picks I loved–for Varitek and Arroyo–who were just the first two available names I could think up. My mind is stuck in Boston, c. 2003. But I drafted like I always draft. Pick the best guys, fill most of my spots, then wait until the day before the season starts and drop my two worst players for a couple guys like Varitek and Arroyo.
I’m also pissed that I lost out on Sean Rodriguez. He’s my super-sleeper this year. It’s like that King you hold on to in “War” until the very end. Unfortunately, Stryshak got him right after I picked Ricky Romero. My bad. I’m not going to cry over it, but it’s good to know that I’m not the only one who is on to Rodriguez, so I’ll remember that in my upcoming non-mock drafts. This is, after all, part of the reason we do the mocks.
Stryshak says:
Best Pick: No doubt: Brian Matusz. Getting a rookie 10-game winner (in the AL East!) that late in the draft was the kind of unexpectedly happy accident that makes drafts so much fun. Matusz killed it down the stretch last year, going 6-0 with a 1.57 ERA and 43 Ks in his last eight starts despite the O’s offense scoring exactly four runs in six of those victorious efforts. A full year of Buck Showalter at the helm and a retooled offense finally offering some backup, I wouldn’t rule out 15 Ws.
Worst Pick: I wouldn’t call it the worst because that word doesn’t belong in the same sentence as Carlos Gonzalez, but immediately
after I took him with the seventh overall selection I began second-guessing myself and wondering if David Wright would have been the better choice.
Ultimately I think they’ll wind up posting similar stats in the 5x5s, but I felt just a bit more secure in going with the younger player who owns a considerable home park advantage.
General Strategy/Comments: Although it contradicts nearly every piece of “expert” draft advice you’re ever likely to hear, I’ve done well for myself in leagues past by focusing on starting pitching early and often. If everyone else is zigging, I have no problem pulling a prolonged zag. If my stable of aces stay healthy, I should have a profound edge in four of the 10 categories and I won’t have to make decisions like, “Am I really going to spot start Carlos Silva today?” I was preared to put my pitching-centric plan into action once again but early on it became pretty clearly that this collection of owners had a pitching phobia as severe as I’ve ever seen, so I decided, on the fly, to play along – and I’m glad I did. I took my first starter in the seventh round where I happily snatched up Cole Hamels, who I expect to capitalize on his big second half last year with a career year in ’11. It just goes to show that you can’t ever be too locked into one particular strategy on draft day. Sure, execute your plan as best you can, but also try to get a sense for what commodities are being over/undervalued and think about how to use that information to your advantage.
Sheehan says:
balance. Taking Big Papi was completely out of character for me, but the chance for power numbers at that point in the draft was too good to pass up.

Hey love the show and the insights you provide. I’m in a 10 team 8 keeper league. I’m planning on keeping Pujols, Hanley, A-Gone, Cruz, Posey and Sabathia.
Who should I keep with my remaining two spots: Pence, Kinsler, Latos, Oswalt or Wainwright?
I’m leaning towards Pence and Kinsler or should I keep more than one pitcher?
Thanks in advance for the help,
Jim
Hey guys I love the show,
I’m inheriting a team that finished in the basement last year in a 10 team mixed 3-keeper league. We use OPS and quality starts along with the standard vanilla categories, and saves/hold instead of just saves.
Looking over the roster, the only players I see that are worth keeping are Buster Posey, Carpenter, Josh Johnson, Joe Nathan, and Cliff Lee. I’m not sure how to pick out of those, but I was thinking of doing a Carpenter/Johnson/Lee trio and just completely rolling the dice on the batting this year.
Thanks for any insight you might have!
Whats up guys,
Just last night I had my NFBC satellite draft (15 teams). I won’t crowd your post with the results, but I’ll leave the link to the draft board below. I’m looking for some feedback as to how I did. I feel like I got some really good value in the draft. I’m never one to pay for pitching or saves as I chase them every year so you’ll see that I didn’t put much of an investment into them, unless of course they came at good value.
I had the 7th pick in the draft and my strategy was to take players with power, speed and up side on the front end and then just go value after that.
My draft was done after the Zack Greinke and Chase Utley news broke so as you can imagine they fell in the draft. Oddly enough they both ended up on my team. Check out where I drafted them and let me know if I did Team Fantasy 411 good. My team name is O’s before Bro’s.
Also, Stephen Strasburg did not get drafted. Should he have?
http://nfbc.stats.com/baseball/draft/snake_board.asp
P.S.
Brian Matusz this year is last years David Price. Look at their stats from there rookie season and see how similar they are. It’s automatic. Get him this year!
Thanks,
Charles (George Mason University)
Hi guys,
I’m in a 10 team keeper league with the deadline this Monday to submit my keepers. I’m down to Utley or Cliff Lee for my final spot. Who would you take with the recent news on Chase? It just seems with each new report, the prognosis sounds grimmer and surgery becomes more likely meaning 2 months on the DL.
Hi guys got a 1st keeper league draft upcoming, and wondering should I approach the draft different to a non-keeper. Should I ‘bump-up’ the younger players by a buck or two, or should I still just go by best available.
Thanks
Dan, Sheffield, England
I like pitching if it falls to you. works for me.
Zack,
So today I dropped Brignac and picked up span off the wire. Someone had dropped him and I picked him up in anticipation of a trade that i offered another owner. that owner accepted the deal and i was wondering what you would think about it.
I gave up Pence and Lackey and in return I received Ortiz and Weaver.
the deal allowed me to adjust my rotation in a great way i think. it now looks like this.
CC , Weaver, J.Sanchez, Marcum and Nolasco.
I Can move Rasmus into pence’s spot in my OF and use a combination of Span and Ortiz in my utility slot. what do you think?
Also I offered another owner Dunn and Uggla for K.Morales and Cano. our league has strikeouts as a category and i figured id be giving up a little bit of power but cutting way down on my strikeout totals and also raising my avg a bit. what do you think? thanks in advance.
Dmenz
Tropical mug**Tropical mug: depending on the length of time you can keep each player, I would def keep Posey over one of JJ and Carp. He is as good a young hitter as there is in the majors, and he plays at arguably the shallowest position. He’s only gonna get better and I’m pretty sure your league mates would be happy to see him thrown back into the player pool of a keeper league. As far as carp vs JJ, that’s tough as carp is getting older while JJ has injury concerns. Carp is the safer play but JJ has the higher upside at this point in their careers.
Jim,
Pence and Kinsler. In a 10 teamer, there’s always plenty of good pitching available on the wire so I wouldn’t feel the need to keep more than one pitcher…and CC is a true ace.
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tropicalmug,
I think you’d be making a mistake by not keeping Posey…an elite option at a thin position. My choices would be Posey, Johnson and Lee. Carpenter will be 36 next month and has a ton of mileage on his arm. I’d rather cut ties with him a year too early than a year too late. He won’t be on any of my teams, that’s for sure.
Zach
Charles,
Your link doesn’t work!
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sobesurfer,
Just answered your question on the earlier blog post.
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Dan,
Yeah, definitely bump up the young guys with upside by a couple bucks but don’t get so enamored with them that you pass up an opportunity to draft an established vet at a reasonable price. Try to find the right mix and use the latter rounds to grab a couple of top prospects/rookies.
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dmenz,
I was on the fence about the first trade until I saw the note about replacing Pence with Rasmus. Now I like it. I’m also on board with the second trade. Morales comes with some injury risk but only a small amount, and you’d be greatly improving your AVG in addition to cutting down on strikeouts. Keep in mind that Uggla, a career .263 hitter, batted .287 last year, so regression should be expected.
Zach
Hey guys, looking forward to the season coming
what tips would you someone about to join into a 20 team mixed league? (outside of being on everyday)
Jon form Dallas
(and last year)
Hej guys,
12tm mxd, Y! h2h, only have only Crawford, A. Escobar for speed, need more, could drop Beckham, Raburn or Luke Scott for Posednik. Should I do it? Who should I drop?
Greets from Germany, thx!
Danny
I am the reigning 2010 champion thanks to you guys. But it’s a new year. So the question is who should be my 4 keepers?
Here are the guys I am debating.
Derek Jeter, Jose Bautista, Brian McCann, Ian Kinsler, Cliff Lee, Roy Oswalt
Last Year I Kept: Jeter, McCann, Kinsler and Lee.
What do you guys think for this year?
Also I forgot to mention it is a 14 team league.
14 team h2h that is.
I have tweeted you guys before but want to write my question with using more than 140 characters. I am in a 10 team h2h and we keep 6 players. Mine are Kemp, A-Gon, Ryan Zimmerman, Heyward, Hanley and Justin Upton. I don?t have a 1st or 3rd rounder and I am pondering trading Kemp: Here are my options
A: Kemp for 1st round 7th pick(7th round) and a 4th rounder. Keep either Bruce or Prado?
B: Kemp for Pedroia and a pick(Probably a second rounder, but if I can get a first I should take it right)?
C: Kemp for Morales and 1st rounder?
Thanks for the help!
Scooter
Hey 411,
Whats your thoughts on Mike Minor this year? He has some great things to like as well as not to like…Would you retain him in a 12 team mixed auction for $5 as a back of the rotation type or toss him in the auction pool? I’m on the fence and have a fairly decent rotation without him but his k potential is nice.
chillaxin
Jon,
Finding useful starting pitching off the waiver wire is a lot tougher in a 20-team league, so you might want to pay slightly more attention to starters than you normally would. Also, addressing position scarcity early in the draft could give you a huge edge. Grab Hanley or Tulo, Longoria or Wright and you’ll be way ahead of the competition. One team will actually have to start Miguel Tejada at SS. Ugh!
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Danny,
I wouldn’t drop any of those guys for Podsednik. Pods isn’t even guaranteed a big league roster spot and has missed a good chunk of spring training due to plantar fasciitis. Foot problems and stolen bases don’t go well together. Don’t panic about not having enough speed and rush to make a move before the season starts. Either look for a different option now (and cut a pitcher instead) or see how the first couple weeks of the season go and make a decision then.
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hmangnx,
Knock out Jeter and replace him with Bautista. I think you’ll be able to get Jeter back in the draft.
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Scooter,
I like Kemp a lot this year but I like Trade B even more. If you can get a first rounder in addition to Pedroia, great. But even a second rounder is fine.
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chillaxin,
Depends on who you’re picking to fill the other keeper slots but $5 is a very reasonable price to pay for Minor. Not much risk there.
Zach