Before we get to Pitch or Ditch, a few interesting notes from Memorial Day weekend, which can easily be renamed “The Weekend of the Longball.” Here are the total number of home runs hit in the Majors broken down by day:
That’s a grand total of 125 home runs hit over the four-day span. Monday was particularly crazy. Think about this. If we divide 46 by the total number of teams in the Majors (30) we get 1.533. And if a team were to average 1.533 homers per game over the course of a 162-game season, they would finish the year with roughly 248 homers, which when stacked up against 2010 team batting stats would rank second in the league, behind only the Jose Bautista-led Toronto Blue Jays (257). I actually thought that this phantom team would rank first, but when one of your guys puts up 54 homers it certainly helps.
Lewis @ Price
Floyd @ Wakefield
Burnett @ Gonzalez
Matusz @ Pineda – good matchup for Matusz to return
Chatwood @ Paulino
Baker @ Porcello
Tomlin @ Drabek – extreme walk rate makes Drabek untrustworthy for now
Oswalt @ Lannan
Myers @ D. Davis – this isn’t the Brett Myers of 2010
Marcum @ Leake
Correia @ Capuano – Pitch or Ditch heaven!
Richard @ Hanson
Vazquez @ D. Hudson
Lincecum @ Westbrook
Jimenez @ Garland – let’s see if Ubaldo can throw some strikes
Wilson @ Sonnanstine
Duensing @ Scherzer – Duensing’s last start was impressive but it was the Mariners.
Talbot @ Morrow – Morrow still a bit erratic but high K potential makes him a worthy start.
Humber @ Aceves – Humber too risky here.
Pineiro @ Francis – 22 hits allowed by Pineiro over his last two starts and KC lineup not as much of a joke as it used to be.
F. Garcia @ Anderson – Garcia doesn’t make it look easy but he gets the job done and I like the matchup.
Guthrie @ Bedard – No point holding onto Guthrie if you don’t feel comfortable pitching him here.
Lee @ Marquis
Vogelsong @ Carpenter – Little reason not to pitch Vogelsong at this point.
Greinke @ TBD
McDonald @ Dickey – McDonald sports a 3.14 ERA in May…risky play but decent gamble.
Latos @ Minor – Latos back on track?
Lyles @ Zambrano – Lyles worth keeping an eye on but I’m not starting him in his big league debut.
An. Sanchez @ Kennedy
Mortensen @ Lilly
CORY’S PICKS FOR SATURDAY
Jackson @ Villanueva
Carrasco @ Shields
Weaver @ Liriano – Liriano seems to be getting it together?
Buchholz @ Oliver – Buchholz definitely has it together
O’Sullivan @ Harrison
Bergesen @ Outman
Nova @ King Felix – only gambling on Nova vs. M’s
Maholm @ Wells
Stauffer @ Zimmermann
J. Sanchez @ Wolf
Duke @ Wandy
Arroyo @ Lowe – could be 8-7 or 2-1, I’d rather not find out which
Hamels @ Pelfrey – Pelfrey worth a look in deep and/or non-mixed leagues
J. Garcia @ Nicasio
TBD @ Kuroda
***SIANO SAYS “E-jack hasn’t been impressing me lately and has struggled on the road so I’m going with bench don’t cut and definitely don’t pick up. Matt Harrison, however, has impressed me (especially if I cover up the walks) and I’m not too worried about the Royals so I’d pitch him. Wolf gets a very messed up Giants lineup but he is unreliable. Buyer beware. Agree on rest.”
ZACH’S PICKS FOR SUNDAY
Beckett @ Verlander
Danks @ Romero – Danks a risky play here…I’ll sit this one out.
Masterson @ Hellickson
Haren @ Pavano – Pavano continuing his erratic ways.
Duffy @ Ogando – Dangerous matchup for Duffy.
Britton @ Moscoso
Sabathia @ Vargas – If it weren’t for his last start, I would’ve tried Vargas here…now I’ll pass.
Worley @ Niese – Worley not a terrible choice if you’re willing to take a gamble.
Moseley @ Gorzelanny
Collmenter @ Norris
Cain @ Gallardo
Karstens @ Dempster – Dempster 1 ER or less in four of last five starts.
Lohse @ Chacin
Nolasco @ Kershaw
Cueto @ Jurrjens
ZACH’S PICKS FOR MONDAY
Blackburn @ Penny – Blackburn outstanding of late. Pitch Penny vs. mediocre Twins’ lineup.
Colon @ Cahill
Big Erv @ Hochevar – Hochevar’s most recent start (7 ER) scares me off.
Arrieta @ Fister – Fister sports a 2.81 ERA at home.
Holland @ W. Davis – I don’t trust Holland. Wouldn’t blame you if you sat Davis for this one.
Carmona @ Reyes – Fausto a roller-coaster ride and I don’t like this matchup.
Peavy @ Lester – Great test for Peavy.
Halladay @ Livan
Harang @ T. Hudson – Harang has earned this one.
Happ @ Coleman – Happ risky but he’s on a roll.
Bumgarner @ McClellan
Narveson @ Wood – Narveson at Cincy scares me. Will give Wood a shot.
Morton @ Gee – Will roll the dice that this game will be 3-2 and not 8-7.
Hammel @ Billingsley
Volstad @ Saunders – Volstad hasn’t been all that bad recently but this is a terrible matchup.
Wakefield @ Porcello – the increase in K’s is making a believer of me
Buehrle @ Drabek – this ain’t interleague play -> ditch Buehrle
Tomlin @ Price
Adcock @ Lewis
Chatwood @ Baker – there’s no gambling at Chatwood, and I never slice!
Tillman @ Gonzalez
Burnett @ Pineda – gotta trust A.J. in Seattle
Correia @ D. Davis
Richard @ Lannan – both worth a look in deep or non-mixed leagues
Oswalt @ Capuano
Leake @ Hanson – Leake worth a look in deep or non-mixed leagues
D. Hudson @ Myers
Lincecum @ Marcum
Westbrook @ Jimenez
Vazquez @ Garland
***SIANO SAYS “I’d start Correia vs. the depleted Cubs if I have him on my roster already.”
Francis @ Guthrie – risk/reward on Guthrie, trust your gut
Aceves @ Scherzer
Anderson @ Pineiro
Humber @ Morrow – Humber hasn’t done anything to not deserve trust here
Bailey @ Lee – big test for Bailey
Dickey @ Zambrano
An. Sanchez @ Vogelsong – Vogelsong keeps getting’ it done!
Owings @ Mortensen
***SIANO SAYS “Lots of in between guys here, not a very attractive lineup of choices which means it may be a good night to relax. Don’t agree on Aceves since he’s still getting stretched out. Humber and Bailey going into the lion’s dens but Cory is right about giving them a chance. Middling options make my head hurt.”
Lester @ Talbot
Sonnanstine @ Penny – Eeww
Reyes @ F. Garcia – Garcia struggling of late
Bedard @ Duensing
Floyd @ Wilson
Hochevar @ Arrieta – risk/reward on both, what’s your gut say?
Cahill @ Big Erv
Minor @ McDonald
Marquis @ Greinke
Lilly @ An. Rodriguez – Astros are awful vs. LHP
Carpenter @ Latos – Hang with ‘em on both
Wood @ Halladay – doubt Wood will be perfect again
Gee @ Coleman
Kennedy @ Hammel – D-backs struggle on the road, even in Coors?
Volstad @ Bumgarner
Beckett @ Carmona – Carmona handles everyone but the White Sox
Duffy @ Britton – Duffy’s a great prospect, but let’s see him get his feet wet first
W. Davis @ Verlander
Romero @ Sabathia
Peavy @ Holland – I guess Peavy is feeling better!
Fister @ Blackburn – have to go for it vs. light-hitting Twins
TBD @ Haren
Saunders @ De La Rosa (Gm 1 of DH)
Jurrjens @ Morton – don’t trust Morton, but he’s hot and Braves banged up
Cueto @ Worley
Billingsley @ Happ
Niese @ Dempster – Niese is a toss-up, but Cubs have been hot in May
Livan @ Narveson
Collmenter @ Chacin (Gm 2 of DH)
McClellan @ Harang – I’ll gamble on Harang at home
Nolasco @ Cain
Mortensen @ Marcum
Myers @ Morrow – Dangerous matchup for the erratic Myers. Morrow not that sharp of late but you gotta love the K’s.
Garland @ Buehrle – Buehrle pitching very well at home so far (1.66 ERA)
Westbrook @ Adcock
Bailey @ Tomlin
Lannan @ Guthrie – Will give Guthrie a try here.
Zambrano @ Aceves – Scary matchup for Big Z. I’m passing.
Capuano @ Burnett – A.J. pretty effective this year and gets injury-ravaged Mets’ lineup.
Hanson @ Pineiro
Price @ Vazquez – Don’t be surprised if Vazquez gets released in the near future.
Scherzer @ Correia
Anderson @ Lincecum
Lewis @ Lee
Pineda @ Richard – Richard a must-start here!
Baker @ Owings – Pitch on Baker, though I wouldn’t be surprised if he struggles here…could be HR derby.
Jimenez @ Wolf – Last Ubaldo outing very encouraging. Wolf extremely shaky of late.
Volquez @ Carrasco – Volquez way too erratic.
Pelfrey @ Nova – Nova not a terrible play here but I don’t trust him.
Wandy @ Drabek
Zimmermann @ Tillman
Kuroda @ Jackson – Edwin just too unpredictable for my taste.
J. Garcia @ O’Sullivan
Lowe @ Chatwood – Lowe a real toss-up so I’d understand if you decide to ditch.
Garza @ Wakefield
Shields @ Johnson
Porcello @ Maholm – Porcello a solid option here.
Harrison @ Oswalt
Gonzalez @ J. Sanchez – This could be a 1-0 game with the two pitchers combining for 10 walks!
King Felix @ Stauffer
Liriano @ D. Hudson – Liriano such an enigma but I’ll pitch.
Buchholz @ Masterson – Tough challenge for Masterson vs. his old club but I think he’s up for it.
Hellickson @ Coke
Litsch @ Colon
Danks @ Ogando – Danks very disappointing so far…I wouldn’t blame you if you sit this one out.
Vargas @ Pavano – If you don’t pitch Pavano here why own him?
McCarthy @ Weaver
Arroyo @ Hamels – Arroyo a questionable call.
Kershaw @ Norris
Gorzelanny @ Gallardo – Gorzelanny enjoying a fine year but I still see him as too risky.
Lohse @ Moseley – Moseley starting to fade and has actually pitched a lot worse at Petco than on the road.
Hammel @ Greinke – tough matchup for Hammel but he’s been good on the road
Wood @ White – both are high risk/high reward
Dickey @ F. Garcia
Marquis @ TBD
An. Rodriguez @ Reyes
D. Davis @ Lester
Lilly @ Humber – Lilly risky vs. ChiSox right-handed power
Carpenter @ Francis – not ditching Carpenter yet…
T. Hudson @ Big Erv
Penny @ Karstens – Penny’s on a hot streak, run with it
Wilson @ Halladay
Sonnanstine @ An. Sanchez
Duensing @ Kennedy
Bedard @ Latos – good place to gamble with Bedard
Cahill @ Vogelsong - run with Vogelsong while it lasts
Hammel @ Greinke – Starting to lose faith in Hammel but I’ll give it a go here.
Wood @ White – Wood on a roll. Will take a chance on him.
Dickey @ F. Garcia – Pass on both soft-tossers.
Marquis @ TBD – Still don’t trust Marquis
An. Rodriguez @ Reyes
D.Davis @ Lester
Lilly @ Humber – Go for it on Humber. Dangerous matchup for Lilly though. Won’t blame you if you decide to sit him.
Carpenter @ Francis
T. Hudson @ Big Erv – Erv very erratic lately. Sit until further notice.
Penny @ Karstens – Very favorable matchup for Penny.
Wilson @ Halladay
Sonnanstine @ An. Sanchez
Duensing @ Kennedy
Bedard @ Latos – Bedard improving and great matchup.
Cahill @ Vogelsong – Vogelsong 2 ER or less in three of his four starts this year.
Blackburn @ Ross – Ross is legit, and a great matchup
Haren @ Fister
Sabathia @ Guthrie – Guthrie has some decent numbers on surface if you cover up his record. If you start him you’re basically chasing a W.
W. Davis @ Romero – Davis too erratic to trust
Verlander @ Beckett
Carmona @ Floyd
Holland @ Hochevar
McDonald @ Cueto - Cueto impressive since DL stint
Livan @ Gee
Happ @ McClellan
Chacin @ Blanton
Coleman @ Volstad
Jurrjens @ Collmenter – Jurrjens en fuego!
Narveson @ Harang – good matchup for Narveson despite Padres’ recent run-scoring prowess
Bumgarner @ Billingsley
Blackburn is a decent play, A’s aren’t much better than Twins.
Carmona deserves start vs. struggling White Sox.
Agree on rest.