Kendrick @ Romero
Bumgarner @ Penny
Westbrook @ W. Davis
An. Sanchez @ Ogando – if Ogando fails this test it might be time to cut bait
Gallardo @ Liriano
Collmenter @ Harden – wait and see on Harden, who will be on a pitch limit
Kuroda @ Chatwood – Chatwood upping the K’s of late
Moseley @ Vargas – Vargas is a grad
Jackson @ Wells – can’t trust either right now
Masterson @ Arroyo – tough matchup for Masterson, but he’s earned it
Nova @ Niese – not trusting Niese vs. Yankees
Guthrie @ Jurrjens
Wakefield @ Norris
Duffy @ Nicasio
Morton @ Gorzelanny
Wolf @ Sabathia *Wolf’s hot so why not?
Pelfrey @ Verlander *Pelf better lately but more an NL-only play than mixed.
Volstad @ Moscoso *Moscoso is very good on the 24th day of the month.
Westbrook @ Matusz *Matusz will get it going but until he strings a few together he is POD, ditch him here.
Karstens @ Villanueva
Lester @ Hamels *Good game to watch while at work and getting nothing done.
Peavy @ Cook *I’m not feeling it on Peavy here, bench don’t cut if he is on roster in a mixed.
Harrison @ Wandy *Harrison picking on some weaker offenses recently, Astros qualify. Recently got a Harrison or Matusz rest of the way question, still like Matusz for obvious reasons but for this day it belongs to Matty H.
Cain @ Zambrano
***CORY SAYS “Disagree on Wolf, Yanks are very familiar with him. Also, Karstens worth a shot in non-mixed/deep leagues.”
Before we get to Pitch or Ditch, I figured I’d share a bunch of interesting historical notes concerning last night’s Dodgers offensive eruption, besides the fact that Nick Blackburn saw his ERA rise by a half-run. We were debating whether or not to make Blackburn a grad on our latest Pitch or Ditch category chart but ultimately decided against it. Glad we did!
- The 15 runs in a shutout are the most by the Dodgers since they defeated the Padres 19-0 on June 28, 1969.
- The Dodgers 25 hits are the most by the club since May 19, 2006, when they collected 25 in a 16-3 win over the Angels.
- The Dodgers 25 hits are tied for the second most in interleague play. The Red Sox – with 28 on June 27, 2003 – have the most. In addition to the two 25-hit games compiled by the Dodgers (this one and the one on May 19, 2006), only one other team – the Orioles on June 13, 1999 – had 25 hits in an interleague game.
- The Dodgers 25 hits are the most in the Majors this season, and the most since the Brewers had 26 in an 18-1 win on August 2, 2010.
- Los Angeles had nine different players have at least two hits, one run scored and one RBI. The last time a team had nine different players do that in a game was on July 14, 1997, when the Red Sox accomplished the feat against the Tigers. The last time a National League club did this was on May 1, 1985, when the Braves did it against the Reds. In that game, Braves pitcher Rick Mahler was one of the nine. Last night, the Dodgers were using a DH while visiting Minnesota. Since the dawn of the liveball era, the Dodgers had never had nine players do this in a game.
- Three different Dodgers players – Tony Gwynn, Jr., Matt Kemp, and Trent Oeltjen – had four hits. The last time three Dodgers players collected four hits in a game was on July 26, 2002, against the Giants.
- Matt Kemp was one of the three Dodgers players with a four-hit game. Kemp singled twice, doubled, and hit his 22nd home run of the year. Kemp’s 22 home runs through 80 games tie him with Roy Campanella (1953), Gil Hodges (1954) and Steve Garvey (1977) for the sixth most by any Dodgers player at this point in the season. Hodges (28 in 1951) and Duke Snider (28 in 1955) are tied for the most. That pair is followed by Gary Sheffield (27 in 2000), Shawn Green (25 in 2002) and Eric Karros (23 in 2000).
PITCH OR DITCH FOR WEDNESDAY
Volquez @ Shields – Volquez is DTM
R. De La Rosa @ Baker
Lowe @ King Felix
Marcum @ Burnett – play it safe on sore-hipped Marcum
Capuano @ Coke
Carpenter @ Jakubauskas – good bounce-back matchup for Carp
Zimmermann @ Haren
Maholm @ Morrow
Nolasco @ Godfrey
Chen @ Stauffer
Carrasco @ Duke – Carrasco is a grad
Lackey @ Worley
Lewis @ Myers – Hang with ‘em
Buehrle @ Jimenez – Ubaldo 6.86 ERA at Coors this year with 1 QS in 8 starts
Lincecum @ Dempster – good matchup for erratic Dempster
Greinke @ F. Garcia – tough matchup for the Chief… strength loves certainty, weakness loves risk
Dickey @ Porcello
Lohse @ Britton – Lohse drifting back to earth
Correia @ Reyes – Under Correia, see “Lohse”
Cueto @ Price
Lilly @ Duensing
Vazquez @ Gonzalez
Marquis @ Pineiro – risk/reward on both
Hanson @ Pineda
Beckett @ Lee
Wilson @ Lyles – tough matchup for Lyles, playing it safe again
Floyd @ Hammel – Hammel only trusty on the road
Tomlin @ D. Hudson
Paulino @ Richard
Vogelsong @ D. Davis (Gm 1 of doubleheader)
Zito @ Lopez (Gm 2 of doubleheader) – eewww
Hot off the press, here’s an updated version of our Pitch or Ditch category chart:
For those of you who are new to the chart, here’s how it works.
In an effort to help you make those all important Pitch or Ditch decisions, the 411 tribunal of Mike, Cory and I have divided all the starting pitchers in the Majors into five groups: Aces, Pitch or Ditch Graduates, Pitch or Ditch guys, DTMs and Indifferents.
The difference between Indifferent and DTM is that Indifferent refers to guys who we simply have no interest starting at this time. DTMs are pitchers who we’ve lost patience in but used to seriously consider starting at some point in the recent past.
Here’s a list of the notable changes that we’ve made since the last version of the chart posted a few weeks ago:
Carrasco PoD to grad
Liriano PoD to grad
Britton PoD to grad
Vargas PoD to grad
Wolf PoD to grad
Pelfrey DTM to PoD
Karstens indifferent to PoD
Floyd grad to PoD
Hammel grad to PoD
Correia grad to PoD
Carmona PoD to DTM
Happ PoD to DTM
Volstad PoD to DTM
Westbrook PoD to indifferent
Cook PoD to indifferent
Let us know what you think!
Cook @ Sabathia
Niese @ Ogando – Niese struggled last time so I’ll pass here
Gorzelanny @ Danks
Collmenter @ Verlander
Arroyo @ Matusz – could be 2-1 or 12-11, I’ll pass
Zambrano @ Duffy – do you trust Big Z? Not me
Chatwood @ Kuroda
Masterson @ Cain – good matchup for Masterson
Beckett @ Karstens – not risking Karstens here
Cahill @ Hamels – good test of Cahill’s resurgence
W. Davis @ Norris
Liriano @ Gallardo
Villanueva @ J. Garcia – Villanueva worth a look in deep/unmixed leagues
Vargas @ Volstad – Stats don’t lie: Vargas is a graduate
Jurrjens @ Moseley
***SIANO SAYS “I agree on all. People may want to run Collmenter out there due to his recent success but I don’t see the high reward.”
Saunders @ Penny
Bailey @ Guthrie – I’ll sit Homer first start back. Don’t like matchup for Guthrie.
Nicasio @ Nova – Nova’s earned this one.
Wells @ Hochevar – Wells very unpredictable so start with caution.
Livan @ Humber
Gee @ Holland – Disaster alert for Gee. Holland a decent play in deeper leagues.
Miller @ McDonald – Will play it safe on McDonald here.
Outman @ Halladay – I like Outman but don’t like the matchup.
Niemann @ Happ
Pavano @ Narveson – PoD special!
Romero @ McClellan
Weaver @ Kershaw
Carmona @ Bumgarner – Will give Madison another chance despite horrific last outing.
Fister @ An. Sanchez – Fister’s excellent season has gone unnoticed by many.
T. Hudson @ Luebke
Leake @ Hellickson – Leake on a roll…worth a shot here.
Billingsley @ Blackburn – Billingsley was better last time out and this is a great matchup.
Lannan @ Big Erv
Beachy @ Bedard
Talbot @ Kennedy
Francis @ Latos – Pitch on Francis but he’s always risky.
Stewart @ Scherzer
Chacin @ Garza
Duke @ Coke
Volquez @ Jakubauskas – Edinson seems to have righted the ship in AAA
Jimenez @ Burnett – big test for Ubaldo, but hang with ‘em.
Pelfrey @ Harrison – Pelf is on a tear, but we’ve seen that before…
Dempster @ Chen
Zimmermann @ Jackson
Lester @ Maholm
Moscoso @ Worley – Worley OK in deep/unmixed leagues
Shields @ Wandy
Baker @ Wolf – Wolf keeps getting it done…
Morrow @ Westbrook – Morrow very risky
Haren @ R. De La Rosa
King Felix @ Nolasco – last chance for Nolasco?
Carrasco @ J. Sanchez
Lowe @ Stauffer
***SIANO SAYS “I’m benching but not cutting Ubaldo. Two poor outings + calf issues + Yankees lineup has the gut growling. I’m back on Morrow bandwagon after he shut down the Reds. CS is right it’s a little risky but the reward is there as well due to high K potential. Agree on rest.”
D. Hudson @ Paulino – Paulino is intriguing, but bad matchup
Pineda @ Marquis
Godfrey @ Capuano – favorable matchup for Capuano
Duensing @ Lincecum
Oswalt @ Carpenter – Carp isn’t what he once was, but worth a shot
D. Hudson @ Paulino *Paulino seems trustworthy at home
Pineda @ Marquis *Chasing a win with Marquis but you don’t pitch him here you never will. Final score someone wins zero to negative 1.
Godfrey @ Capuano
Duensing @ Lincecum
Oswalt @ Carpenter
Richard @ Lackey
Hammel @ Tomlin – Hammel has excellent road numbers
Myers @ Lewis – both rebounded nicely last time; only one gets to face the Astros
Kennedy @ Francis
D. Davis @ Peavy – good matchup for Peavy’s DL return
Britton @ Correia
F. Garcia @ Leake – not gambling on Leake vs. Yankees
Reyes @ Beachy
Price @ Marcum – assuming Marcum is healthy
Porcello @ Lilly
Bedard @ Lannan – good spot to gamble on Lannan in deep/unmixed leagues
Pineiro @ Hand
Gonzalez @ Dickey
Lee @ Lohse
Blackburn @ Vogelsong
***WHY DITCH ON BLACKBURN?
1. ERA nearly a run and a half higher on the road than at home
2. 96 hits allowed in 91 IP, with only 47 K’s… stuff is not that good
3. Ultra-lucky strand rate, combined with poor K rate, suggests an ERA at least a run higher
I get that the Giants aren’t that good, and his ground ball rate is good, and all that, but I look at his stats and see smoke’n’mirrors.
Chacin @ Talbot
Latos @ Aceves *Bench don’t cut on Latos
Lyles @ Wilson
Saunders @ Hochevar
Garza @ Buehrle
Guthrie @ McDonald
Fister @ Livan
Big Erv @ Vazquez
Gordon @ Wood
Outman @ Gee
Stewart @ Minor *Stewart an AL-only play , Minor barely hanging on as an NL- only.
Hellickson @ Greinke
Scherzer @ Billingsley
Pavano @ Bumgarner
Halladay @ McClellan
***CORY SAYS “Agreed on all, including the bench/don’t cut on Latos… I benched him in NFBC.”