Britton @ Colon (Gm 1 of doubleheader)
TBD (BAL) @ Nova (Gm 2 of doubleheader)
Holland @ Mills – I’m still afraid to start Holland in tough matchups.
Haren @ Below
Cobb @ Pineda – Cobb pitching pretty well of late and this is about as good matchup there is.
Paulino @ Masterson – Paulino worth starting in deeper leagues for the strikeouts.
Lester @ Humber – Humber coming off two straight poor outings. I’m sitting him here.
Blackburn @ Moscoso – Start Blackburn if you’re feeling lucky but I don’t think he even deserves a roster spot in a 12-team mixed. I’ll give Moscoso a shot.
Lopez @ Lohse - I’m running out of patience with Lohse though…he’s on thin ice.
Dickey @ Marquis – Dickey holds a 3.09 ERA and 1.15 WHIP since the beginning of June.
McDonald @ Lee – McDonald on a nice roll but Phils on the road is too tough of a matchup.
An. Sanchez @ T. Hudson
Happ @ Gallardo
Bumgarner @ Leake – Even with Beltran now aboard, Giants offense still below average.
Jimenez @ Harang – Harang’s money at home (5-2 2.92 ERA)
Owings @ Billingsley
Weaver @ Verlander – This will be fun to watch.
Arrieta @ F. Garcia – Garcia totally unpredictable, but if you own him you gotta start him.
Davies @ Carmona – Carmona a decent option in deeper leagues if you want to take the risk.
Wilson @ Morrow – Morrow very risky after getting roughed up by O’s but I’ll give him another chance.
Miller @ Buehrle – Buehrle’s been so good at home (5-1 2.25 ERA) that you have to play him.
Pavano @ McCarthy – Great opportunity for Pavano to get back on track.
Price @ Vargas
Zito @ Cueto – Zito might not make this start.
Nolasco @ Hanson – I’ve given up trying to figure out Nolasco…just leave him in there and don’t think about it!
Niese @ Zimmermann
Karstens @ Worley – Dangerous matchup for Karstens but he’s been too good to sit. Ride Worley until he turns back into a pumpkin!
Myers @ Narveson – Myers coming off three straight quality starts. Narveson also solid of late.
Nicasio @ Moseley – I just don’t see much upside in Moseley, and he’s not even that good at home (1-6 4.05 ERA)
Saunders @ De La Rosa – Rubby 3 ER or less in each of his last five starts.
Dempster @ Westbrook – Dempster hard to trust but highy K rate is appealing.
Tomlin @ Lackey – Risk outweighs reward for Tomlin here. I’m cautiously optimistic about Lackey.
Sabathia @ Peavy – Peavy not trustworthy vs. Yanks.
Cahill @ Fister – Great matchup for both.
Jurrjens @ Livan – Livan too erratic lately. Pass.
Zambrano @ Maholm
Vazquez @ Pelfrey – Decent matchup for Vazquez.
Arroyo @ Norris – So when will Arroyo’s traditional second half surge begin? We’re still waiting.
Carpenter @ Greinke
Hamels @ Chacin – Playing it safe on Chacin vs. Phils.
Kershaw @ Luebke
Kennedy @ Cain
Chatwood @ Porcello – still not trusting either
Guthrie @ Burnett – not trusting either
Francis @ Carrasco – still trusting him
Ogando @ Cecil – Texas not quite so fearsome on the road
Wakefield @ Floyd
Liriano @ Gonzalez
Niemann @ Bedard – don’t like Niemann but it’s the Mariners
Gee @ Wang
Morton @ Halladay
Vogelsong @ Willis
Hensley @ Beachy
Lyles @ Wolf
Garza @ Jackson
Hammel @ Stauffer – good matchup for struggling Hammel
Collmenter @ Lilly – I can take or leave Teddy Ballgame
If you are still hesitant to bench your less than elite starters when they face the Rangers on the road, last night’s 20 run outburst might have changed your thinking. Not only does Texas lead the Majors in runs scored at home with 324, but the second place team, the Yankees, trail them by a whopping 34 runs! Barring injury concerns or very poor recent performance, I’m not usually one to bench a solid starting pitcher. But in this case, I just think you’re better off playing it safe. Guard against those disaster outings and save yourself the headache.
Here’s Pitch or Ditch for tomorrow.
Big Erv @ Huff *Erv is on a roll baby.
King Felix @ Hughes *Hughes 6 BB and 13 Hits in last 10.1 IP. If you don’t start him vs Mariners you probably should cut him.
Scherzer @ Danks
Simon @ Romero
Chen @ Lackey *I’ll bite on Lackey.
Duensing @ Lewis
Shields @ Cahill *Could be a great game.
Vazquez @ Livan *Javy bounces back after run in with Padres juggernaut.
Cain @ Hamels
Pelfrey @ Arroyo
Maholm @ Jurrjens
Zambrano @ Greinke *Little too risky for Big Z here.
Norris @ Carpenter *Bud scuffling a little bit but I’d roll him out.
Kennedy @ Luebke *Luebke quietly putting together a nice little run.
Cook @ Kuroda *The best 6-12 SP in MLB makes his last start in Dodger Blue?
***CORY SAYS “Pitch on Hughes simply because it’s the Mariners. Agree on all the rest.”
It must have been tough for Desmond Jennings owners in both keeper and non-keeper formats to watch top prospect after top prospect get called up while the Rays simply refused to promote Jennings. As a Jennings owner in a keeper league, I was extremely frustrated. But all can be forgiven now. After going 4-for-6 with three extra-base hits and two steals over the weekend, Jennings is clearly here to stay, and a B.J. Upton trade (which as of now seems imminent) would signal that the Rays are 100 percent committed to the 24-year-old speedster. For keeper leaguers who are still in title contention, Jennings might just be the missing piece that puts their squad over the top. But even for those who are out of hope for 2011, Jennings offers plenty of hope for 2012 and beyond.
Now on to Pitch or Ditch…
Weaver @ Tomlin – gotta go with Tomlin vs. erratic Angels
Fister @ Sabathia
Arrieta @ Morrow
Duffy @ Miller – won’t risk Duffy vs. BOS; don’t trust Miller at all
Pavano @ Wilson
Verlander @ Peavy – hard to trust Peavy right now
Price @ McCarthy – McCarthy strong at home
Nolasco @ Zimmermann – hang with ‘em on the Nolasco Kid
Lincecum @ Worley – Worley is on a tear
Niese @ Cueto
Karstens @ Hanson – how long can Karstens keep this up!?
Dempster @ Narveson
Myers @ Westbrook – good game for deep league gamblers
Saunders @ Moseley
Chacin @ Kershaw – bench but don’t cut Chacin
Harden @ Burnett – Harden an intriguing play in deeper leagues but I won’t chance it.
Penny @ Baker – Penny just too inconsistent. I’ll hold off on Baker in first start back.
Pineiro @ Bergesen – Pineiro pounded last time out…and it was the A’s!
Jackson @ Huff – Favorable matchup for Edwin.
Beavan @ Beckett
Niemann @ Francis – Niemann 1 ER or less in four of his last five outings.
Villanueva @ Harrison – Scary matchups for both.
Wandy @ Wells – Can’t trust Wells at all right now.
Lowe @ Bailey – Braves’ lineup not scary.
Latos @ Kendrick – Latos solid over his last four starts. Beware of the Padres’ lineup!
J. Garcia @ Correia
Capuano @ Hensley
Hammel @ Collmenter – Gotta stick with Collmenter while he’s hot!
Wolf @ Vogelsong
Gorzelanny @ Lilly – Gorzelanny’s a decent gamble in deeper leagues. I don’t trust Lilly.
Humber @ Masterson
Gonzalez @ Colon – Bartolo’s back on track.
Chatwood @ Guthrie – Guthrie coming off QS but hasn’t posted back-to-back quality starts since late-April.
Pineda @ Wakefield
Cobb @ Paulino – I’d gamble on Paulino here vs. mid-tier Rays lineup.
Porcello @ Liriano
Cecil @ Ogando – Scary matchup for Ogando but the results have been there all season.
Gee @ An. Sanchez
Stauffer @ Halladay
Lohse @ Morton – Lohse has been very shaky of late and Pirates are no longer a joke.
Lyles @ Garza - Not a good matchup for HR-prone Lyles.
Gallardo @ Bumgarner
Jimenez @ TBD (ARI)
Marquis @ Billingsley – Marquis 3 ER or less in four of his last five starts. Pitch if you’re willing to take some risk.
Beachy @ Willis
Haren @ Tomlin – Haren’s traditional second half fade already in the works…try trading him if you can get full value back.
Vargas @ F. Garcia
Davies @ Lester
Blackburn @ Holland – Holland torched last time out but deserves another start.
Below @ Buehrle
Hellickson @ Moscoso – I was feeling good about Moscoso…before last start.
Harang @ Lee – Harang has earned this one.
Dickey @ Leake – Dickey a bit risky so wouldn’t blame you for sitting him here.
McDonald @ T. Hudson – McDonald just too inconsistent.
Happ @ McClellan
Nicasio @ De La Rosa
Big Erv @ Simon
Floyd @ Carrasco
Cahill @ Hughes
King Felix @ Lackey – trust Lackey at home vs. the M’s? Hmmm…
Reyes @ Lewis
Scherzer @ Duensing
W. Davis @ Hochevar
Norris @ Zambrano
Luebke @ Hamels
Carpenter @ Maholm – look for a strong finish from Carpenter
Jurrjens @ Arroyo
Pelfrey @ Volstad
Cook @ D. Hudson
Lannan @ Kuroda
Marcum @ Cain – good matchup for slumping Marcum
It’s been awhile so here’s the updated Fantasy 411 Pitch or Ditch category chart:
A reminder as to how it works:
In an effort to help you make those all important Pitch or Ditch decisions, the 411 tribunal of Mike, Cory and I have divided all the starting pitchers in the Majors into five groups: Aces, Pitch or Ditch Graduates, Pitch or Ditch guys, DTMs and Indifferents.
Here’s a list of the notable changes that we’ve made since the last version of the chart that was posted in late-June:
Morrow PoD to grad
Santana PoD to grad
Fister PoD to grad
Garza PoD to grad
Luebke PoD to grad
Carmona DTM to PoD
Lilly grad to PoD
Peavy grad to PoD
Porcello grad to PoD
Zambrano grad to PoD
McClellan grad to PoD
That’s all for now. We’d love to hear your feedback!
Fister @ Romero
Wilson @ Weaver
Sabathia @ Shields
Verlander @ Pavano
Moseley @ Vazquez
Westbrook @ Niese
Hanson @ Chacin
Greinke @ Kennedy
Miller @ Arrieta – eeww
Tomlin @ Blackburn
McCarthy @ Below – not trusting B-Mac on the road
Vargas @ Morrow – tough matchup for Vargas
F. Garcia @ Price
Danks @ Chen
Holland @ Haren – tough matchup for Holland but he’s done well on the road
Cueto @ Karstens – have to ride Karstens while it lasts
Livan @ Myers – only going with Myers based on matchup
Worley @ Dempster
Kershaw @ Lincecum
Harang @ Nolasco
McClellan @ Dickey
T. Hudson @ Nicasio – Hudson risky in Coors, but he’s on a good run
Narveson @ Saunders