Two-Start Pitchers – Week of 5/14
We didn’t spend a ton of time on today’s podcast on two-start pitchers so I hope that these in-depth notes are helpful. Here are my thoughts on 10 not totally obvious two-start pitchers for next week. Check out the podcast when it comes out to hear what Cory has to say about his Pitch pick (Ross Detwiler) and his Ditch choice (Homer Bailey).
Drew Smyly: @CWS, vs. PIT
He’s been absolutely dominant over his first six big league starts. White Sox offense is middle of the pack overall and ranks just 12th in AL in runs scored at home. The Pirates are, well, the Pirates. Pitch!
Jason Hammel: vs. NYY, @WAS
I keep waiting for him to implode but it hasn’t happened. Maybe this is his breakout year. Pitch despite the less than favorable matchups. He’s already pitched well against the Yanks this year, and that was on the road.
Max Scherzer: @CWS, vs. PIT
He’s been so erratic this year that it’s hard to trust him vs. anyone. But coming off two straight solid performances, I’m giving Scherzer a shot here. He’s got the same two matchups as Smyly does and, as discussed above, I love them!
Josh Beckett: vs. SEA, @PHI
Two disaster starts have skewed his ERA and these are tasty matchups. Generally, I’m not a big fan of the guy as he can blow up at any moment, but you can’t possibly bench him here.
Jason Vargas: @BOS, @COL
Can you say stats correction? Vargas has been exceptional so far this season but he’s in for a rough week, even though the Red Sox lineup has underperformed. I still see him as Pitch or Ditch material for the time being. Ditch.
Ivan Nova: @BAL, vs. CIN
I had high hopes for Nova going into the season and he’s been OK but not great. The much improved K rate is nice but he’s also giving up a ton of hits. We recently demoted him from grad to PoD and these matchups aren’t all that appealing. But in any two-start week, he’s a viable option due to the strikeout and win potential. Pitch.
Joe Blanton: vs. HOU, vs. BOS
Blanton’s been a real pleasant surprise this year. I own him in an NL-only and will certainly be starting him there. But in a 12-team mixed, I’d be worried. Despite the Red Sox lineup’s perceived struggles, they still rank second in the majors in runs scored and the Astros’ offense has exceeded all expectations. Like Vargas, Blanton is due for a blowup. Don’t be surprised if it happens next week. Ditch.
John Danks: vs. DET, @CHC
The Detroit start will be a challenging one but the Cubs rank 14th in the NL in runs scored. I know he’s been frustrating to own this season, but I’d gamble on Danks, who is coming off his best outing of the year.
Dillon Gee: vs. MIL, @TOR
Who’s the real Dillon Gee? I have no idea. You just never know what you’re going to get with this guy. The first matchup is OK but not great. The second one is scary. He’s an NL-only play. Too risky for mixed leagues.
Christian Freidrich: @SF, vs. SEA
The more I look at his minor league numbers the more impressed I get, particularly the exceptional strikeout rate. That said, I wouldn’t go crazy over one strong outing vs. the Padres at Petco. But you can’t ask for a more favorable pair of matchups. He’s a must-start in NL-onlys and a worthy flier in larger mixed leagues, but in a standard 12-teamer I’d take a wait and see approach.