Two-Start Pitchers – Week of 6/25
As promised, here are my in-depth two-start pitcher notes for next week. We also discussed these guys on today’s podcast, so be sure to check that out!
Justin Masterson (@NYY, @BAL)
Masterson has been on a roll of late (23 IP, 1 ER, 24 K over last three starts) but he’s in store for a challenging week. Yankees and Orioles rank 1st and 3rd respectively in Majors in homers and Masterson’s home/road splits are pretty drastic (7.07 ERA in five road starts this year). BUT the good news is that he’s a ground ball pitcher and has allowed only seven home runs through 15 starts this season. The bottom line though is that he’s been pitching too well for you to sit him in mixed leagues of 12 teams or more.
Francisco Liriano (vs. CWS, vs. KC)
Although I’m happy that Liriano’s making major progress, something in me still doesn’t trust him. If we were only talking about the vs. KC start, I’d say pitch, but the White Sox are a potent offense and Liriano is simply too prone to the disaster outing. I’d play it safe and ditch.
Dillon Gee (@CHC, @LAD)
Gee’s working on a streak of seven straight quality starts, during which time he’s posted a 3.02 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 46 K’s in 47 2/3 IP. The Cubs and Dodgers both rank in the bottom half of the NL in runs scored and batting average in the month of June. The wheels could fall off at any moment, but I don’t see it happening next week. Pitch.
Tommy Milone (@SEA, @TEX)
Here’s all you need to know. Milone has a 7.42 ERA in eight road starts this season The @TEX matchup is enough of a reason to bench him, and if you’re tempted by the @SEA matchup, keep in mind that Milone was mediocre in his start at Safeco on April 14 (6 IP, 4 ER). No way am I pitching him next week.
Gavin Floyd (@MIN, @NYY)
Floyd’s strong outing vs. the Cubs on Wednesday night marked his first quality start since May 11th, which goes to show how ineffective he’s been for most of the year. In a daily league, I’d be willing to gamble on him @MIN, but on the road against the Yankees is too scary, despite their hitting with runners in scoring position issues. Ditch.
Erik Bedard (@PHI, @STL)
Bedard’s a guy who I trust regardless of the matchup. A DL stint is always right around the corner, but as long as he’s healthy he deserves to start. When he’s on his game, he can dominate any lineup. With one decent matchup and one frightening matchup on tap, I’ll admit that he’s a bit risky, but you know the K’s will be there, and that’s an important factor when we’re talking about two-start pitchers.
Joe Blanton (vs. PIT, @MIA)
Don’t overrate the complete game victory in Minnesota. Blanton has allowed at least five earned runs in six of his last seven starts. The recent increase in K’s is nice, but he’s never been a strikeout pitcher, so I’m not expecting him to sustain this. In NL-only leagues, I’d trot him out there, as these are appealing matchups. But mixed leaguers shouldn’t take the risk.
Daisuke Matsuzaka (vs. TOR, @SEA)
I’m taking a wait and see approach on Dice-K for now. Owning him is always a roller coaster ride and his first two starts were OK but nothing special. He’s got one tough matchup and one easy matchup next week, but with him nothing is guaranteed. When his control is off, it doesn’t matter who he’s facing. He’s strictly an AL-only option in my mind.
Jake Westbrook (@MIA, vs. PIT)
Coming off a gem @DET, some would think he’s a no-brainer for next week as both of these matchups are far from scary. Not so fast! Westbrook isn’t a consistent source of K’s and is a hard guy to play matchups with, as he can struggle against any team if his sinker isn’t working and his defense lets him down. He’s high-risk, medium-reward. In mixed leagues, I’m ditching.
Nate Eovaldi (@SF, vs. NYM)
Through five starts, Eovaldi has been quite impressive. He hasn’t given up more than three runs in any one of his starts and boasts a 2.35 ERA. I love the @SF matchup while the vs. NYM one isn’t great but isn’t terrible either. He’s a solid option in NL-only leagues and deeper mixed formats, though I might hold off on him in 12-team mixed leagues.