Two-Start Pitchers – Week of 7/16
After a week off from two-start pitchers, let’s get back at it. I’ve picked eight guys who I consider to be the toughest decisions. Keep in mind that I’m basing my recommendations on 12-team mixed leagues unless otherwise noted.
Jason Vargas (@KC, @TB)
Vargas has rebounded nicely since his June 20th disaster outing @ARI, posting a 1.52 ERA over his last three starts. But here’s the key number: 5.09. That’s Vargas’ road ERA this season. The Royals and Rays aren’t elite offenses but they aren’t terrible either. I have a bad feelingt about this. Ditch.
Scott Diamond (vs. BAL, @KC)
Don’t count on a ton of strikeouts from Diamond, but you can count on a quality start more times than not. He’s 2-0 with a 2.74 ERA over his last three starts and will be facing two middle of the pack offenses. Pitch.
Homer Bailey (vs. ARI, vs. MIL)
Homer proved to be an outstanding two-start choice last week but that was against the Dodgers and Padres on the road. He’s been awful at home this year (1-4, 5.86 ERA in eight starts) and the D-Backs and Brewers are both pretty solid offenses. I’m ditching.
Carlos Zambrano (vs. WAS, @PIT)
Big Z’s last few starts haven’t been pretty but the schedule hasn’t been kind to him (@BOS, vs. STL, @MIL, @STL). He’ll get a bit of a breather next week as the Nationals’ lineup is OK but not great and the Pirates’ offense, although improving, is still sub-par. I could end up regretting this but in 12-team mixed leagues I’ll say pitch.
Joe Blanton (@LAD, vs. SF)
Yeah, the matchups are tempting but Blanton has simply been too inconsistent to trust. The Dodgers will probably have both Kemp and Ethier back in the lineup and the Giants’ offense really isn’t that bad anymore. In an NL-only I might consider throwing him out there, but no way would I start him in a mixed league.
Bronson Arroyo (vs. ARI, vs. MIL)
Anyone notice that Bronson is having a pretty darn good season? With five quality starts in his last six outings and, unlike Homer Bailey, a solid home ERA (3.71), I’m pitching him, even though the matchups aren’t great on paper.
Drew Smyly (vs. LAA, vs. CWS)
After starting the season on fire, Smyly has been a mediocre pitcher since mid-May, as his most recent outing marked his first quality start since May 9th. The Angels and White Sox haven’t been elite offenses this year but both squads have some dangerous hitters in their lineup. In an NFBC-style league (15-team mixed) I might take a chance on Smyly, but in a standard 12-teamer I think you’re better off staying away.
Zach McAllister (@TB, vs. BAL)
I like what I’ve seen from McAllister so far, especially the strikeouts. Next week will be a good test for him. I think he’ll pass it.