Zach’s Musings (10/18)

THANKS FROM THE 411

Some postseason! We’ve got closer demotions, trade rumors involving guys who are still playing and the Yankees’ lineup all of a sudden looking like the Astros’ lineup while their pitching, which was considered a weakness heading into the season, has been absolutely lights out in October. Anyway, here are my fantasy-related thoughts on some of the recent developments from around the league.

Jose Valverde yanked from the closer role after imploding in Game 1 vs. the Yankees

Fortunately for the Tigers, Valverde’s horrendous outing didn’t cost them the win, but this performance was on the heels of an equally disastrous nightmare appearance vs. the A’s that actually did cost Detroit a win. I’m not one to pay too much attention to postseason results when ranking a player for the following year, but this is just another reminder that Valverde is far from a sure thing. Let’s also note that he’s entering free agency this winter and it remains to be seen if the Tigers want him back. If he’s still closing in 2013, I view him as a decent second closer in 12-team mixed leagues. Gone are the days of him being a high-end #2 or low-end #1.

Brian McCann to face six months of rehab following shoulder surgery

This means that McCann will miss the first few weeks of the 2013 season and maybe even the entire month of April. We had him ranked as the #6 backstop heading into next season, and that seems about right for now. But you should obviously monitor this situation very closely in the weeks leading up to draft day. Be careful not to pay for past performance, as McCann was a pretty big disappointment in 2012. You might be better off taking Salvador Perez, Wilin Rosario or Jonathan LuCroy for a fraction of the price. That’s what I’ll be doing!

A-Rod, 3-for-23 with no RBIs this postseason, is all of a sudden a part-time player

Now this is strange. I know he’s been terrible, but Eric Chavez is 0-for-14! There has to be more to this story. Cashman can dismiss the Rodriguez to Miami rumors all he wants, but it’s clear that the Yankees are trying to make life as uncomfortable as possible for their aging third baseman. For fantasy purposes, he’s YPNM, even if I could draft him at a bargain basement price. I just don’t need the drama.

Curtis Granderson is 3-for-29 this postseason with one homer, one RBI, one run scored and 15 strikeouts

Somewhat lost amidst the Grandy Man’s 43-homer regular season is that he hit just .232 with 195 strikeouts. Also, he stole a pedestrian 10 bases after swiping 25 bags in 2011. Are we looking at the next Adam Dunn here? Or even worse, Adam Dunn without the high OBP? I’m not willing to go that far just yet, but I wouldn’t feel comfortable drafting Granderson before the fifth or sixth round of a 12-team mixed. Someone in almost every league will snatch him up sooner.

Ryan Ludwick will reportedly turn down his $5 million mutual option for 2013, but the Reds will attempt to keep him.

As well they should. Ludwick enjoyed a major bounce back season in his first year with the Reds and would continue to benefit from playing half of his games at Great American Ballpark. While he’s been very inconsistent over the past few years, I wouldn’t be against drafting him in the mid to late rounds should he stay with Cincy. Just make sure you’re not passing on more reliable alternatives. Ludwick does come with some risk.

Well, that’s all for this week. I’ll be back next week with some more notes. In the meantime, feel free to post your keeper questions.

-Zach

4 Comments

I’m getting an absolute headache listening to the talking heads on Sports Radio, ESPN, etc. as they go on and on and on about ARod / Yankees and almost completely ignore the real story of the postseason. The St. Louis Cardinals could very well be defending their World Championship in the World Series! About that, I’m hearing crickets….

Very true, Philip. But A-Rod is a lot more inyeresting to talk about than the boring Cardinals, no?:-) Honestly though, I’m sick of the Cardinals. In a Cardinals-Tigers World Series (the same one we had six years ago BTW), I won’t be rooting for either team. And I can’t even root for my fantasy players! Very strange.

Zach

Who do you like as a keeper, LaRoche ($3), Werth ($1), or J. Shields ($2)?

Joe,

As much as I usually shy away from keeping pitchers, two bucks for Shields is too good to pass up. Of the three, I see Shields as the highest quality player relative to the rest of the guys at his position.

Zach

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