April 2013

Pitch or Ditch for Friday, April 19

MLB: Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

CORY’S PICKS

T. Hudson @ Wandy – playing it safe on Wandy off hamstring issue and vs. red-hot Braves offense

Ryu @ Hammel

J. Garcia @ Halladay – tough call on both for various reasons, but I’m going for it

Pettitte @ Morrow

Shields @ Buchholz – not buying Buchholz, but ride the wave

Slowey @ Latos

Anderson @ Cobb

Strasburg @ Harvey – appointment viewing

Saunders @ Darvish

Samardzija @ Estrada

Myers @ Harrell – still don’t trust Myers regardless of what he did last time

Worley @ Peavy

Kennedy @ Chacin – tough matchup for Kennedy, but I’ll take a shot

An. Sanchez @ Hanson – would’ve liked Hanson a lot better vs. the Twins

Volquez @ Bumgarner

Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, April 18

MLB: Spring Training-Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves

CORY’S PICKS

Ogando @ Samardzija
Cain @ Gallardo – stick with YoGa
Niese @ Garland – bench but don’t cut Niese in Coors
Verlander @ Iwakuma
Corbin @ Hughes – risk/reward to both, I’ll play it safe
Teheran @ Locke – good matchup for Teheran
Lester @ McAllister – I like McAllister but not the matchup
Wainwright @ Hamels
Price @ M. Gonzalez
Sale @ Dickey
J. Fernandez @ Cingrani

Pitch or Ditch Category Chart (4/16)

MLB: Chicago White Sox at Washington Nationals

Hey everyone,

The inaugural 2013 Pitch or Ditch category chart has arrived! Click on the link below to download the PDF.

POD Chart 4-16

A reminder as to how the chart works:

We’ve divided all of the current starting rotation pitchers in the Majors into five groups: Aces, Grads (pitchers who should not be dropped and can be started almost all the time), Pitch or Ditch (guys who you should be picking up to start in favorable matchups but do not deserve a regular roster spot), DTMs (guys who we are fed up with and would not start under any circumstances for the time being) and Indifferents (guys who we don’t feel any ill-will towards but who just aren’t that good). Keep in mind that we’re basing this on a standard 12-team mixed league.

Feel free to post your questions and/or comments.

Zach

Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, April 17

MLB: Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians

CORY’S PICKS

W. Davis @ Minor

Norris @ Colon – Norris pitching well but not a good road start (yet)

Miley @ Sabathia

Aceves @ Masterson – gotta roll with Masterson while he’s hot

S. Miller @ Burnett

Moore @ Tillman

Quintana @ Happ

Lannan @ Leake

Detwiler @ Nolasco – taking a shot on Nolasco while he’s hot

Grimm @ Villanueva

Hanson @ Worley – taking a shot on Hanson in the favorable matchup

Vogelsong @ Lohse

TBD (NYM) @ Garland

Scherzer @ King Felix – FWIW, The King’s velocity continues to drop…

Ross @ Kershaw

Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, April 16

MLB: Spring Training-New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals

CORY’S PICKS

McCarthy @ Nova – bench but don’t cut McCarthy… stuff is there, results will come

Doubront @ Jimenez

R. Hernandez @ Arrieta

Axelrod @ Johnson

Vargas @ Pelfrey

Peacock @ Griffin

Fister @ Harang

Westbrook @ J. Sanchez – Westbrook not “this good”, but on a roll, and great matchup

Kendrick @ Bailey – reverse the home/away and I’d start both

Haren @ Sanabia – if you can’t start Haren vs. the Marlins you shouldn’t have him on your roster

Zito @ W. Peralta – Zito has earned it, no?

Gee @ Nicasio  (Gm 1 of doubleheader)

Laffey @ Francis  (Gm 2 of doubleheader)

Marquis @ Capuano

Guthrie @ Medlen – Guthrie pitching well with Royals, but awful matchup

Holland @ Wood

***ZACH SAYS “I’d take a chance on Capuano for the K potential and favorable matchup. Agree on rest.”

Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, April 13-15

MLB: Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves

CORY’S PICKS

                                                                                                                                         SATURDAY

Harvey @ Diamond – Harvey has all the marks of a top-10 starter, right now!

Price @ Lester – impressive turnaround for Lester in the early going

Sale @ McAllister

Hammel @ Kuroda

Verlander @ Anderson

Dickey @ Shields – only two starts, hang with ‘em

Harrell @ Richards

Ogando @ Saunders

Bumgarner @ Samardzija

Hudson @ Strasburg

Gallardo @ Wainwright – Gallardo a slow starter who struggles vs. STL so OK to bench if you have a better option

Cueto @ Locke

Hamels @ Fernandez – let’s see what Fernandez does against a better offense…

Ryu @ Kennedy – let’s see what Ryu does against a better offense…

Chacin @ Volquez – Padres may be missing their three best hitters (Headley, Grandal, Quentin)

SUNDAY

Gee @ Correia – bench Gee on the road for now

Peavy @ Myers

Hellickson @ Buchholz

Morrow @ Big Erv

Humber @ Wilson

An. Sanchez @ Parker – Parker’s stuff was fine last time out, but command has been awful… monitor this closely…

Tepesch @ Maurer

W. Chen @ Pettitte

Halladay @ Slowey

Maholm @ G. Gonzalez – play it safe with Maholm on the road vs. a top offense

Latos @ Wandy – Wandy might not start due to a sore hammy

Estrada @ J. Garcia

Lincecum @ Jackson – your call on Lincecum

De La Rosa @ Richard – always start Richard at home

Beckett @ Cahill

MONDAY

R. Hernandez @ Dempster – your call on Dempster; I’ll pass

Floyd @ Buehrle

Blanton @ Pelfrey

Bedard @ Milone

Lee @ Arroyo – your call on Arroyo; I’ll pass

Lynn @ McDonald

Zimmermann @ LeBlanc

Hefner @ Nicasio

Stults @ Billingsley

Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 4/15

MLB: Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees

Hey everyone,

Here’s the second installment of my two-start pitcher notes. Keep in mind that I’ve chosen only the pitchers who I consider to be tough calls. And be sure to listen to today’s podcast, as Cory and Joe will share their thoughts on many of these guys.

-Zach

                                                                                                                                                     James McDonald  (vs. STL, vs. ATL)

We’ve seen one outstanding performance and one mediocre outing from McDonald so far, and while I do like him as a bounce back candidate this year after a brutal second half last season, this is not the week to take a gamble. Both the Cardinals and Braves boast top-notch lineups, and although McDonald will be at home, where he pitched to a 2.73 ERA last year, this is just too dangerous until we see more consistency from him. Ditch.

Homer Bailey  (vs. PHI, vs. MIA)

Despite enjoying a breakthrough 2012 campaign, Bailey continued to struggle at Great American Ballpark (4-8, 5.16 ERA). The vs. MIA matchup is tempting but the vs. PHI one has disaster written all over it, especially considering that he’s coming off a 5 IP, 7 ER performance vs. the Cards…and that was on the road! Ditch.

Kyle Kendrick  (@CIN, vs. STL)

Cory’s a Kendrick believer and even he says to ditch him for next week. I’m not as high on him in general, so you know where I stand. These are both brutal matchups. No thanks.

Brandon McCarthy  (@NYY, @COL)

Another Cory favorite, B-Mac has gotten off to a shaky start this season. He’s simply giving up way too many hits and doesn’t possess the strikeout ability to escape jams, although he does sort of make up for this by inducing a ton of ground balls. The bottom line is that you can’t feel comfortable trotting him out there next week, particularly in mixed leagues. But definitely monitor him over the next month or so, as he could emerge as a viable option once his schedule lightens up a bit.

Gavin Floyd  (@TOR, vs. MIN)

Over the past few years, I’ve had a hard time figuring this guy out. Matchups just don’t seem to matter to him. He could just as easily get lit up by a light-hitting offense as he could dominate a strong lineup. I view Floyd as someone who you should just start regardless of the matchup or avoid entirely on draft day. He’s so frustrating to own. That said, I like the vs. MIN matchup so much that I’d be willing to gamble on the possibility of at least a QS @TOR. Pitch, but don’t be surprised if he throws a shutout at Toronto and then gets roughed up by the Twins!

Chad Billingsley  (vs. SD, @BAL)

A quality season debut has me back on the Billingsley bandwagon. Gotta love the vs. SD matchup and while the Orioles can hit, I see Billingsley’s upside as being the highest of any other pitcher on this list. If you own him, start him.

Mark Buehrle  (vs. CWS, vs. NYY)

While I appreciate Buehrle’s consistency and believe him to be a vastly underrated pitcher, he’s now thrown two stinkers to kick off the season and this pair of matchups is far from favorable, especially at the homer-friendly Rogers Centre. I haven’t given up on Buehrle, but like McCarthy, let’s be patient.

Wily Peralta  (vs. SF, vs. CHC)

Two intriguing matchups here and I do like how Peralta rebounded his second time out after a shaky season debut. In deeper mixed leagues, I’d take a shot on the former top prospect. You know he’ll give you some strikeouts and I doubt that either of these outings will be of the disaster variety.

Pitch or Ditch for Friday, April 12

MLB: Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers

CORY’S PICKS

M.Gonzalez @ Sabathia

Quintana @ Masterson – Masterson has pitched well his first two times, roll with it… Quintana is a strikeout-upside pick

Cobb @ Doubront

Happ @ Mendoza

Scherzer @ Colon

Norris @ Hanson – take a shot on Hanson at home vs. weak (recent games notwithstanding) Astros offense

Darvish @ Iwakuma

Cain @ Villanueva

Teheran @ Detwiler – one bad start has me not trusting Teheran all over again

Leake @ Burnett – Leake is much better on the road and Pirates scuffling offensively

Lannan @ Nolasco

Lohse @ S.Miller

Kershaw @ Corbin

Garland @ Ross

Niese @ Worley

Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, April 11

MLB: Los Angeles Angels at Cleveland Indians

CORY’S PICKS

Johnson @ Fister – tough matchup for both but worth trying
Hughes @ McAllister – not ready to use either yet
Tillman @ Aceves
Griffin @ Vargas
Grimm @ King Felix
Vogelsong @ Villanueva
Greinke @ Marquis
Axelrod @ Haren – another try at home for Haren

Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, April 10

MLB: Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics

CORY’S PICKS

Buehrle @ Porcello

Moore @ Holland

Nova @ Myers

Arrieta @ Dempster – I could take or leave either of ‘em

Hendriks @ W. Davis – gamble on Davis vs. weak Twins lineup

Milone @ Blanton – Milone was terrible on the road last year

Peacock @ Beavan – gamble on Beavan a) at home and b) vs. weak Astros

Bailey @ Westbrook

J. Sanchez @ Miley

Francis @ Zito

Hefner @ Kendrick – trying Kendrick again at home

Minor @ Sanabia

Lohse @ Feldman

Billingsley @ Stults

Floyd @ Zimmermann

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