Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 7/1
The bad news is that there wasn’t a podcast today. The good news is that my two-start pitcher notes will never go on a hiatus! So let’s get started.
Bronson Arroyo (vs. SF, vs. SEA)
Arroyo has always been an incredibly frustrating guy to own, as he could blow up at any moment. But the end-of-year numbers are usually pretty good. The annoying thing though is that it’s tough to play the matchups with him, as he could dominate an elite offense in one start and then struggle against a light-hitting team his next time out. While Bronson is coming off a poor performance @OAK, he’s allowed three earned runs or less in seven of his last nine starts. The fact that the Giants and Mariners both rank second to last in their respective leagues in runs scored this month only adds to his appeal. Pitch.
Jason Hammel (@CHW, @NYY)
Hammel’s overall numbers this year aren’t pretty, but if last season showed us anything, the Orioles’ righty still carries a decent amount of upside. The longball has been his biggest problem thus far, as he’s served up 16 of them through 16 starts, and the low K rate hurts his value. That said, I do like these matchups. Hammel is pitching a lot better on the road than at home, and the White Sox and Yankees’ lineups are both having trouble scoring runs of late. In deeper mixed leagues and of course AL-only formats, I’d be willing to roll the dice on Hammel.
Jason Marquis (@MIA, @WAS)
I don’t care how well Marquis was pitching, prior to his ugly outing on Tuesday, or how enticing these matchups might be. My longstanding policy of ditching Marquis under any circumstances will remain intact. He cannot be trusted. It’s really as simple as that. Maybe he’s worth a try in an NL-only league but I don’t see him as mixed league material. To tell you the truth, I don’t see him as fantasy material. But that’s just me.
Phil Hughes (@MIN, vs. BAL)
Just when you start to think that Hughes’ days as a mixed league contributor are numbered, he pitches a game like he did on Thursday, when he held the mighty Rangers to two runs on five hits over eight innings. He’s been a far better pitcher on the road than at home this season, which is the main reason why I’m scared about the vs. BAL matchup. But I love the @MIN matchup and would be fine with throwing Hughes out there next week with the hope that he can start performing at a more consistent level.
Shaun Marcum (vs. ARI, @MIL)
I was very high on Marcum heading into the season, so I’m a little surprised that the results have been this poor. But he was outstanding versus the White Sox on Wednesday and his peripheral stats suggest that his ERA should be a lot lower than its current 5.08 mark. These matchups aren’t great and Marcum has yet to string a few strong starts together, so sitting him is certainly understandable. But in deeper mixed leagues, I’d lean towards pitching him. I view him as a nice second half sleeper pick, health permitting of course.
Jeremy Hefner (vs. ARI, @MIL)
Did you know that Hefner sports a 1.80 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in five June starts. Let me tell you a secret. I didn’t until I just looked it up. So being that I said to pitch the erratic Marcum, the more consistent Hefner, who has the same two matchups, is most certainly a pitch.
Justin Grimm (vs. SEA, vs. HOU)
This is strictly an AL-only play, as Grimm has been way too unreliable to trust in a mixed league. But you could do a lot worse in an AL-only, as the Mariners and Astros rank in the bottom three in the AL in both runs scored and batting average.
Wily Peralta (@WAS, vs. NYM)
Although pitching Peralta in a standard-sized mixed league is probably too risky, those of you in particularly deep mixed formats might want to consider it. After a brutal start to the season, he’s pitching a little better in June, and the matchups here are quite tasty!