Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 7/22

Zach here,

Hopefully, you have all used your four-day break from fantasy wisely. I’m talking about catching up on some sleep (from all those nights of staying up late only to watch your starting pitcher get bombed) and spending some time outdoors, though here in New York, time outdoors was pretty unbearable thanks to the 97 degree temperature. I couldn’t help but complete a trade on Tuesday morning. I guess I was suffering from withdrawal. I had to do something fantasy-related!

Anyway, time to take a look at some of next week’s two-start pitchers.

                                                                                                                                             Jhoulys Chacin  (vs. MIA, vs. MIL)

Why this guy is still owned in just 46 percent of ESPN leagues and 69 percent of CBS leagues is beyond me. Chacin has allowed two earned runs or less in six of his last seven starts and boasts a solid 2.87 BB/9 rate for the season, easily a career-low. With an appealing pair of matchups in store for next week, the Rockies’ righty is a pitch in pretty much any format.

Ivan Nova  (@TEX, vs. TB)

Nova has been on quite a roll since getting called back up to the big leagues late last month, pitching to a 2.45 ERA over four starts while whiffing a shade under a batter per inning. But I need to see a little more before I can trust him in a 12-team mixed league. Keep in mind that this is a pitcher who was flat-out awful for most of last season and has spent the majority of this year in the Minors. Next week is a scary time to throw him out there. The @TEX start could very well be a disaster and the Rays’ offense is above average. If Nova registers two quality starts next week, I might hop on the bandwagon. But until then, I’ll play it safe and ditch.

Bronson Arroyo  (@SF, @LAD)

A 3.42 ERA and 1.13 WHIP through 19 starts. Who would have expected this? I know I didn’t. Even more crazy is that he’s allowed more than three earned runs in just five of those 19 outings. At 36 years of age, outside of a mediocre strikeout rate, Arroyo is putting together arguably the finest season of his career. Sure, he’s prone to a blow up every now and then, but I don’t see it happening next week. Pitch.

MLB: New York Mets at Atlanta Braves

Dillon Gee  (vs. ATL, @WSH)

Although Gee’s road numbers are on the ugly side, I think he’s pitched well enough on the whole this year to deserve serious consideration in a two-start week in which he will be making at least one home start. Plus, the fact that his road outing comes against the Nationals, a club that he has dominated this season (3-0, 0.96 ERA), makes next week all the more promising. I’m starting Gee in all mixed leagues of 12 teams or more and would even think about using him in a 10-team mixed, depending of course on your other options.

Hector Santiago  (vs. DET, vs. KC)

Like Chacin, Santiago simply isn’t getting enough respect. A 5.8 ownership percentage in ESPN leagues? Really? Hector has allowed two earned runs or less in five of his seven starts since moving back into the rotation and he’s putting up excellent strikeout numbers. I’d be a bit concerned about next week though. Starting any mid-tier type pitcher against the Tigers is playing with fire and Santiago’s home ERA (4.15) dwarfs his road mark (2.73). In a very deep mixed leagues, I might give him a try, as I’m a fan of Santiago, but I’d sooner go with someone else if I could.

Rick Porcello  (@CHW, vs. PHI)

Although Porcello’s 4.80 ERA leaves a lot to be desired, his quality 1.26 WHIP suggests that his ERA is bound to go down. I also like what I’m seeing the strikeout department, where the 24-year-old is making great strides. The White Sox rank dead last in the AL in runs scored and the Phillies’ offense is OK but not great. All this adds up to a pitch.

Phil Hughes  (@TEX, vs. TB)

To some, this might not seem like an obvious ditch. To me, I wouldn’t even think twice about leaving Hughes on my bench next week. The reality is that, despite a number of strong performances, Hughes has been wildly inconsistent this year. Next week doesn’t look good at all. First, he heads to Arlington to face a powerful Rangers’ lineup in a hitter-friendly ballpark. Then, he returns home, where his ERA is more than two full runs higher than his road mark. Pass.

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