Today’s podcast was devoted to discussing our mid-season All-Surprise and All-Disappointment teams, so before you go and listen to it, here are the rosters:
C Jason Castro
1B Chris Davis
2B Jason Kipnis
SS Jean Segura
3B Josh Donaldson
OF Carlos Gomez
OF Starling Marte
OF Domonic Brown
SP Patrick Corbin
SP Jeff Locke
CL Jason Grilli
C Alex Avila
1B Paul Konerko
2B Rickie Weeks
SS Asdrubal Cabrera
3B Brett Lawrie
OF B.J. Upton
OF Melky Cabrera
OF Andre Ethier
SP Ian Kennedy
SP Jason Hammel
CL J.J. Putz
Feel free to comment on our choices and/or share your own teams!
***ALSO, while we’re on this subject, here’s a link to my latest Mastersball column where I discuss my own first half All-Bargain squad. This article covers the pitchers and there’s a link to my previous article, which deals with the hitters.
Hellickson @ Buehrle
Kuroda @ Lackey
Maholm @ Peavy – Maholm too erratic lately to trust.
Verlander @ Shields
Kluber @ Correia – 18 K’s for Kluber over last two starts and this is a great matchup.
Iwakuma @ Bedard – Bedard not a bad play in deeper leagues though.
M. Gonzalez @ Wolf – Playing it safe with Gonzalez @ TEX.
Straily @ Wilson
Hamels @ Wheeler
Burnett @ Latos
Greinke @ G. Gonzalez
Eovaldi @ Gallardo – Eovaldi has been lights out through five starts this season.
Volquez @ Lynn
Villanueva @ Nicasio – I like Villanueva but not here.
Miley @ Cain
Archer @ Dickey – Gotta go with Archer.
Minor @ Quintana
Fister @ Guthrie
Masterson @ Diamond
King Felix @ Lyles
Colon @ Williams – Williams has been awful of late.
Tillman @ Perez – Taking the same approach with Tillman as I am with all the other BAL pitchers @ TEX…better be safe than sorry.
Sabathia @ Lester
Locke @ Bailey – Locke due for regression though.
Lee @ Harvey – Must-see TV.
Kershaw @ Zimmermann – Must-see TV Part Deux.
Alvarez @ W. Peralta – Peralta worth a try here.
Stults @ Wainwright – Stults a dangerous play but can’t ignore the results.
Delgado @ Bumgarner
Jackson @ Chatwood – Only pitch Chatwood on the road until further notice.
TBD (NYY) @ Darvish
Ryu @ TBD (TOR)
Moore @ Dempster
Scherzer @ Sale
Hammel @ W. Davis – Disappointing year for Hammel coming off breakthrough 2012.
OAK @ HOU
Gibson @ Blanton
Jimenez @ TBD (SEA)
Morton @ Haren – Could be 3-2 or 10-9. I’ll take the under.
Teheran @ Gee – Gee an automatic pitch when at home.
TBD (SD) @ Gorzelanny
Koehler @ Pomeranz
Garza @ TBD (ARI) – Will Garza even make this start?
Arroyo @ Lincecum
Hopefully, you have all used your four-day break from fantasy wisely. I’m talking about catching up on some sleep (from all those nights of staying up late only to watch your starting pitcher get bombed) and spending some time outdoors, though here in New York, time outdoors was pretty unbearable thanks to the 97 degree temperature. I couldn’t help but complete a trade on Tuesday morning. I guess I was suffering from withdrawal. I had to do something fantasy-related!
Anyway, time to take a look at some of next week’s two-start pitchers.
Jhoulys Chacin (vs. MIA, vs. MIL)
Why this guy is still owned in just 46 percent of ESPN leagues and 69 percent of CBS leagues is beyond me. Chacin has allowed two earned runs or less in six of his last seven starts and boasts a solid 2.87 BB/9 rate for the season, easily a career-low. With an appealing pair of matchups in store for next week, the Rockies’ righty is a pitch in pretty much any format.
Ivan Nova (@TEX, vs. TB)
Nova has been on quite a roll since getting called back up to the big leagues late last month, pitching to a 2.45 ERA over four starts while whiffing a shade under a batter per inning. But I need to see a little more before I can trust him in a 12-team mixed league. Keep in mind that this is a pitcher who was flat-out awful for most of last season and has spent the majority of this year in the Minors. Next week is a scary time to throw him out there. The @TEX start could very well be a disaster and the Rays’ offense is above average. If Nova registers two quality starts next week, I might hop on the bandwagon. But until then, I’ll play it safe and ditch.
Bronson Arroyo (@SF, @LAD)
A 3.42 ERA and 1.13 WHIP through 19 starts. Who would have expected this? I know I didn’t. Even more crazy is that he’s allowed more than three earned runs in just five of those 19 outings. At 36 years of age, outside of a mediocre strikeout rate, Arroyo is putting together arguably the finest season of his career. Sure, he’s prone to a blow up every now and then, but I don’t see it happening next week. Pitch.
Dillon Gee (vs. ATL, @WSH)
Although Gee’s road numbers are on the ugly side, I think he’s pitched well enough on the whole this year to deserve serious consideration in a two-start week in which he will be making at least one home start. Plus, the fact that his road outing comes against the Nationals, a club that he has dominated this season (3-0, 0.96 ERA), makes next week all the more promising. I’m starting Gee in all mixed leagues of 12 teams or more and would even think about using him in a 10-team mixed, depending of course on your other options.
Hector Santiago (vs. DET, vs. KC)
Like Chacin, Santiago simply isn’t getting enough respect. A 5.8 ownership percentage in ESPN leagues? Really? Hector has allowed two earned runs or less in five of his seven starts since moving back into the rotation and he’s putting up excellent strikeout numbers. I’d be a bit concerned about next week though. Starting any mid-tier type pitcher against the Tigers is playing with fire and Santiago’s home ERA (4.15) dwarfs his road mark (2.73). In a very deep mixed leagues, I might give him a try, as I’m a fan of Santiago, but I’d sooner go with someone else if I could.
Rick Porcello (@CHW, vs. PHI)
Although Porcello’s 4.80 ERA leaves a lot to be desired, his quality 1.26 WHIP suggests that his ERA is bound to go down. I also like what I’m seeing the strikeout department, where the 24-year-old is making great strides. The White Sox rank dead last in the AL in runs scored and the Phillies’ offense is OK but not great. All this adds up to a pitch.
Phil Hughes (@TEX, vs. TB)
To some, this might not seem like an obvious ditch. To me, I wouldn’t even think twice about leaving Hughes on my bench next week. The reality is that, despite a number of strong performances, Hughes has been wildly inconsistent this year. Next week doesn’t look good at all. First, he heads to Arlington to face a powerful Rangers’ lineup in a hitter-friendly ballpark. Then, he returns home, where his ERA is more than two full runs higher than his road mark. Pass.
Deduno @ Hughes – Favorable matchup for Hughes but it’s at home (5.74 ERA).
Santiago @ Lannan – Santiago’s last two starts have been solid.
Bailey @ Minor
Redmond @ Hammel – Jays’ offense dangerous enough to scare me away from Hammel.
Keuchel @ R. Hernandez
Guthrie @ Kazmir – Could be 2-1 or 9-8. I’ll pass.
Chatwood @ Greinke – Tough matchup for Chatwood but it’s on the road (1.26 ERA).
Torres @ Burnett
Lynn @ Garza
Holland @ Scherzer – Tall task for Holland, who got roughed up by DET on 5/19.
Haren @ J. Fernandez – If you can’t trust Haren here, why is he still on your roster?
Lester @ Griffin – Lester has been awful on the road and Griffin inconsistent of late.
Weaver @ King Felix
Lohse @ Delgado – I’m willing to give Delgado a shot.
Lincecum @ Volquez – Logic says Lincecum does well here.
Shields @ Jimenez – I’ll roll the dice on Ubaldo, but not without trepidation.
Gibson @ Sabathia
Perez @ Verlander
Jordan @ Slowey – Both are decent gambles in deeper leagues though.
Quintana @ Hamels
Cingrani @ Teheran – Nice!
Gee @ Locke – Gee is strictly a home play for now.
Johnson @ Feldman
Bedard @ Archer – Gotta go with Archer vs. HOU.
TBD (BOS) @ Colon
Blanton @ Iwakuma – Iwakuma due for regression though. Selling high not a bad idea.
Chacin @ Nolasco – Chacin 2 ER or less in five of his last six starts.
W. Peralta @ Kennedy – Both are risky.
Zito @ Stults – Zito more of an NL-only option.
Wainwright @ Wood
Kelly @ Villanueva – Bad matchup for Villanueva. Kelly worth a look in deeper leagues.
Danks @ Pettibone – Pettibone pitching well but I’m not feeling this matchup.
B. Chen @ Kluber – Kluber strictly an AL-only play. These aren’t your older brother’s Royals.
Diamond @ Kuroda
Hefner @ Morton – NL-only owners should consider Morton though.
Buehrle @ Tillman
Grimm @ Fister
Cosart @ Price – Cosart a must-pickup in AL-only leagues but I wouldn’t use him yet.
Strasburg @ Eovaldi
Arroyo @ Medlen – Logical to think Arroyo blows up here, so watch him throw a two-hitter!
Gorzelanny @ Corbin
Lackey @ Parker – Tough test for Parker but he’s been solid for awhile now.
J. Williams @ Saunders – Williams’ last two outings have been dreadful.
Nicasio @ Kershaw
Gaudin @ O’Sullivan – Great matchup for Gaudin.
Maholm @ Turner – Maholm 5.18 ERA on the road, 4.75 in his last 5 overall
Leake @ Hellweg
Wheeler @ Cain – good matchup for both to iron things out
W. Davis @ Nova
Milone @ Liriano
Lindblom @ W. Chen
Rogers @ Masterson
G. Gonzalez @ Lee
Axelrod @ Porcello – Porcello worth the gamble if you’ve got the guts
Correia @ Hellickson
Wilson @ Samardzija
Lyles @ S. Miller – not chancing Lyles vs. the top offenses (yet)
Ryu @ Skaggs – tempting on Skaggs, but Dodgers are en fuego
Doubront @ Harang
De La Rosa @ Cashner
Shields @ Sabathia
Straily @ Cole – first test for Cole against a top offense, I’ll play it safe
Perez @ Britton – same for Britton as Cole… conservatism vs. top offenses
Johnson @ Jimenez – toss-up on Ubaldo but trust is in short supply
Jordan @ Hamels
Quintana @ Verlander – Quintana has upside, but too risky vs. Tigers
Teheran @ Alvarez
Gibson @ Archer – Gibson a toss-up but I’ll put him with Cole and Britton
Blanton @ Wood – Blanton is on a tear and Wood is an All-Star!
Cingrani @ W. Peralta – I would’ve liked Peralta much better vs. the Mets!
Norris @ Wainwright
Nolasco @ Kennedy
Webster @ Iwakuma
Chacin @ Stults – Chacin 2.05 ERA in 7 road starts
Gee @ Zito – Zito 1.98 ERA in 10 home starts
Tillman @ Pettitte – Pettitte very erratic lately, so if you want to sit him, I wouldn’t blame you
Pelfrey @ Dickey – Great matchup for Dickey
Parker @ Big Erv
An. Sanchez @ Carrasco
Keuchel @ Darvish
Sale @ Moore
Dempster @ TBD (LAA)
Eovaldi @ Kelly – Kelly a blue-plate special
Morton @ Jackson
Marquis @ Zimmermann
Bonderman @ Latos
Marcum @ Gallardo – Yo-Ga testing my patience but it’s the Mets
Maholm @ Kendrick – This could be 2-1 or 10-9
Fife @ Bumgarner
Pomeranz @ Miley
Hammel @ Kuroda
Fister @ Kluber – Kluber falling back down to earth and this matchup is too tough
Diamond @ Redmond
Danks @ Price – Danks worth considering in deep/non-mixed leagues
Griffin @ Mendoza
Bedard @ Grimm
Lackey @ Weaver
Saunders @ Arroyo
Erlin @ Strasburg
Medlen @ Pettibone
Hefner @ W. Peralta – Hefner is red-hot
J. Fernandez @ Lynn
Gomez @ Villanueva – Villanueva a nice under the radar play
Kershaw @ Gaudin
Oswalt @ Corbin
Guthrie @ Hughes – Your call on Guthrie but I just don’t see the upside
Holland @ Feldman
Scherzer @ Kazmir
Deduno @ R. Hernandez
Garza @ Santiago – Good matchup for Santiago
Lester @ King Felix – If you don’t feel comfortable pitching Lester here, you shouldn’t have him on your roster
Haren @ Lannan – Taking a wait and see approach on Haren
Colon @ Locke
Minor @ Slowey
Bailey @ Lohse
Greinke @ Delgado – Delgado is on a roll
Chatwood @ Volquez – Chatwood has been especially great away from Coors
Harvey @ Lincecum