Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 8/19

Zach here,

Not a whole lot to choose from this week, as the vast majority of two-starters are either no-brainer pitches or obvious ditches. But here’s what we do have.

Miguel Gonzalez  (vs. TB, vs. OAK)

Although his overall numbers are still solid, Gonzalez has been prone to the occasional ugly outing, and both of these matchups are a bit scary. Gonzalez has not pitched as well at home (4.18 ERA) as he has on the road (3.58 ERA) and the Orioles and A’s rank 3rd and 4th, respectively, in the AL in road scoring. But in 12-team mixed leagues, I’d be willing to risk it, as Miguel is always a good bet for a quality start. In shallower mixed formats, there are probably better options.

Dillon Gee  (@MIN, vs. DET)

This is a tricky one. Gee’s home ERA is 2.21 yet his home start comes against the Tigers (tied for 1st in AL in runs). His road ERA is 5.23 yet his road start comes against the Twins (11th in AL in runs). We’re looking at a real toss-up, but in the end I’d lean towards ditching. Better to be safe than to be sorry, and the quality of the opponent carries more weight than the game’s venue.

Marco Estrada  (vs. STL, @CIN)

Yeah, Estrada’s last couple of starts have been encouraging. But am I ready to trot him out there in an unfavorable week, even with the strikeout upside? Nope. The Cardinals and Reds both rank in the top-4 in the NL in runs scored and Estrada has gotten absolutely torched by the Cards this year (9.00 ERA, 2.00 WHIP in three starts). For now, he should only be used in favorable matchups.

MLB: Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves

Jacob Turner  (vs. LAD, vs. COL)

Turner’s last two starts have been mediocre at best, as he followed up a rough outing against the Braves with a six-walk performance on Wednesday vs. the Royals. But I still have faith in this guy. Come on, a 2.89 ERA and 1.27 WHIP through 14 starts? How can you not have faith in him? Sure, I’ll pitch him next week, despite the tough matchup against the Dodgers. But I do see some red flags, suggesting that his ERA is due for a correction. First, there’s the below average .270 opponent BABIP. Then, there’s the uninspiring 6.18 K/9 rate and 1.67 K/BB ratio. Going forward, just be careful with Turner.

Danny Salazar  (@LAA, vs. MIN)

Salazar was supposed to be a two-start pitcher this week, but scheduling changes have pushed him to next week. So to those of you who hurried over to the waiver wire to grab him for this week, I offer my condolences, as all you got was a 4 IP, 3 ER line in what was supposed to be a favorable matchup @MIN. That said, I’ll go back to the well once more with Salazar, as neither of these offenses are anything to write home about. In other words, I’m still on the bandwagon.

Randall Delgado  (@CIN, @PHI)

Delgado is coming off a strong performance versus a talented Orioles club, but the reality is that he’s not much of a strikeout pitcher and these matchups aren’t all that promising. Would I pitch Delgado if we were only talking about the @PHI start? Maybe. But I just don’t feel comfortable committing to him for the entire week. High risk and minimal reward is how I see it.

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