Musings from Wednesday’s Games
Coco Crisp hit his 19th home run (yes, 19th!) of the season last night, and he’s done it in just 116 games. Crisp’s previous single-season career high was 16 back in 2005, and that was in 145 games. Is this power surge for real? I’m not buying it. An inflated 9.6% HR/FB ratio (this compared to his career 5.5% HR/FB) coupled with the fact that he entered 2013 with only three double-digit HR seasons to his record suggests that luck is playing a factor here. Be careful not to overrate Crisp in drafts next year. Draft him for his speed, not his power. But also keep in mind that at least one trip to the DL is likely. Personally though, I’m staying away. He’ll be 34 in November and isn’t even running as much this season as in years past.
After getting roughed up by the Reds yesterday, Jeff Samardzija has now allowed five runs or more in each of his last three starts. He’s tailed off big time since the All-Star break (5.09 ERA, 1.46 WHIP) and simply cannot be trusted down the stretch, especially since two of his final three projected starts will come against the Braves and Cardinals. Unless you’re desperate for strikeouts, feel free to cut “The Shark” in all non-keeper formats.
Continuing on the frustrating starting pitchers theme, Dan Haren delivered a gem last night vs. the Mets, this after getting pounded by the lowly Marlins. So in the one league where I own Haren, guess what I did? Yep, I started him against the Marlins and benched him last night. Look, Haren has been a longtime favorite of mine, but I give up trying to predict what he is going to do from one start to the next. He’s both YPNM (your problem, not mine, for those of you unfamiliar with this legendary 411 acronym) and DTM.
Jose Fernandez clearly has some growing up to do when it comes to his on-field behavior, but when it comes to the rookie’s on-field performance, he’s been nearly flawless. Last night, Fernandez ended his inaugural big league campaign in impressive fashion, dominating a strong Braves’ lineup and even hitting his first career homer for good measure. Can we just give him the NL Rookie of the Year award right now? I’m very curious to see where Fernandez gets taken in drafts next spring. I’m a believer in him, but chances are his price in redraft leagues will be way too high for my liking being that I usually wait until at least the 7th round in a 12-team mixed league to take my first starting pitcher and I wouldn’t feel all that comfortable with Fernandez as my ace. But this is all a mute point, as the chances of Fernandez even lasting into the 7th round are minute.
An all-new podcast will be coming your way tomorrow with the special guest being Paul Sporer of Baseball Prospectus.