Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 4/21

Zach here,

Back with another round of two-start pitcher notes. This latest installment isn’t nearly as pessimistic as last week’s version, as there are a number of intriguing candidates that could easily be available on your league’s waiver wire. So let’s get to it.

PITCHES

Ian Kennedy (@MIL, @WAS)

At this point, there’s no reason why Kennedy should be on any league’s waiver wire. Pick him up now! Look, it’s clear that 2011 was an outlier, but 2013 was an absolute disaster and I’m not expecting a repeat. Kennedy’s chief nemesis has always been the longball, but he’s given up just one home run through his first four starts this season to go along with a superb 23-to-5 K/BB ratio. Plus, pitching his home games at Petco Park should help considerably in his quest to lower that home run total. I’d feel totally comfortable pitching Kennedy in all but the toughest of matchups. Next week’s schedule does not fit that description.

MLB: St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers

Wily Peralta (vs. SD, vs. CHC)

Peralta is hoping that this is the year he finally puts it all together. So far boasting a 1.96 ERA and 1.09 WHIP, he’s off to a promising start. Oh, and the Padres and Cubs rank last and next to last respectively in the NL in runs scored.

Zach McAllister (vs. KC, @SF)

McAllister has been a Fantasy 411 breakout candidate for a couple of years now, and he’s coming off two consecutive gems, one of which was against a tough Tigers lineup. The Royals rank near the bottom of the AL in runs scored and AT&T Park is always a favorable place to pitch. Outside of shallow mixed leagues, feel free to start McAllister next week.

Dan Straily (vs. TEX, @HOU)

Straily’s 5.40 ERA through three starts is skewed by his particularly poor showing vs. the Angels on Tuesday. And even though he allowed seven hits and one walk in just 3 2/3 innings, his overall WHIP still stands at a solid 1.20. Pitching Straily at home vs. the Rangers is a borderline call, but I like him so much for the @HOU start that I’d be willing to take a chance on him for the two-start week in mixed leagues of 12 teams or more.

DITCHES

R.A. Dickey (vs. BAL, vs. BOS)

It seems like every time I say to ditch on Dickey, he goes out there and turns in a dominant performance, but I don’t like R.A. for next week. He’s allowed at least five runs in three of his four starts this year and has issued at least five free passes in two of those outings. The bottom line is that the former Cy Young award winner is too erratic to trust from one start to the next, and although the Red Sox and Orioles have had a tough time consistently scoring runs in the early going, I’m not expecting their struggles to continue for much longer. There’s too much talent in those lineups.

MLB: Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers

Garrett Richards (@WAS, @NYY)

After struggling with inconsistency through parts of three seasons in the big leagues, Richards has opened 2014 with two terrific outings and one mediocre performance. I’m a believer in Richards and his strikeout potential, and I like his chances of earning permanent roster status in 12-team mixed leagues by year’s end, but in a weekly league, I’d be hesitant to pitch him for this pair of starts. I did recommend to play him @WAS but the @NYY matchup scares me, as the Yankee offense has finally woken up. Also keep in mind that Richards’ two strong starts this month came against the Mariners and Astros, not exactly offensive juggernauts.

Jenrry Mejia (vs. STL, vs. MIA)

Mejia bounced back nicely from a shaky performance vs. the Braves to fire five shutout innings against the Diamondbacks on Tuesday. The 18 K’s over 16 innings are nice. The 11 walks? Not so much. Keep a close eye on Mejia going forward, but for now, he’s strictly an NL-only option.

10 Comments

I know this may not come soon but when Denard Span comes back, who do you drop for him… Schierholtz, Cutch, Morse, Junior Lake, Mesoraco, Montero or Domonic Brown? I’m thinking Schierholtz. Thanks!

Robby,

Yup, agreed on Schierholtz. I’d consider Lake but he’s younger with a higher ceiling and can contribute in both power and speed.

Zach

Zach

My pitching is pretty terrible this year. I’m in a 12-team H2H mixed league that counts QS, ERA, WHIP, K/9, and SVHD (saves + holds). I typically win SVHD and sometimes K/9, but always lose the other three. We have 5 SP spots and 4 RP spots. Pitching and ditching has not worked for me thus far and I wanted to hear your take on the following strategy I devised:

-Drop my three lousiest SP for 3 RP with SP eligibility.
-I’ll have my 4 regular RP + 3 RP with SP eligibility going every day.

I’d be sacrificing QS, but hopefully my 3 RP with SP eligibility would give me enough innings to impact my ERA and WHIP for the better and also lock in K/9 on a weekly basis. What are your initial thoughts? Thank you for your time.

Andrew

Andrew,

I couldn’t agree more with this. The fact that your league uses K/9 instead of K’s changes everything. It’s pretty much a guaranteed improvement in three of the four categories.

Zach

What do you think of this trade i get jose fernandez and i give tanaka. thanks

John,

Seems like a wash at this point, but I would lean towards Fernandez since we’ve already seen him pitch for nearly a full season. Plus, there’s the NL factor.

Zach

Thanks was really on the fence for this one

AWESOME! Hearing Nando and Cory talk fantasy baseball, get him the job and ramp up the daily podcast with two fun and informative personalities.

It will be a LEGEN…… wait for it………..DARY podcast!

Think you got my potential deal confused bud, id be getting Puig and Donaldson, and yeah Donaldsons a rental just for this year and cant be kept. Here it is again:
Getting Donaldson ($5 rental) and Puig ($0, resignable long term) for C Davis ($12, through 2016).
I know its early but im slightly concerned by Davis so far, only one home run and doesnt seem to be driving the ball like last year. Which side would you rather have?

Ah, yes, I’d make that trade then!

Zach

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