Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 5/19

Zach back with you,

This is without question the most positive edition of the 2014 Two-Start Pitcher Notes series, as long-term, I’m even optimistic about my three ditches.. So let’s get started.

PITCHES

Wei-Yin Chen (@PIT, vs. CLE)

Chen has been far from dominant this year, and he’s still giving up too many hits. But he’s allowed two runs or less in five of his last six outings and is a guy who has always issued very few free passes (2.54 career BB/9). The Pirates and Indians are both middle of the pack offenses, so if you’re in need of an extra two-starter, Chen makes for a gamble worth taking.

MLB: Detroit Tigers at Los Angeles Dodgers

Josh Beckett (@NYM, @PHI)

Although no longer the ace of years past, Beckett has been a pleasant surprise for his fantasy owners this year. He carries an outstanding 2.38 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 8.64 K/9 rate into next week’s play and his two opponents, the Mets and Phillies, happen to be the two lowest scoring teams in the NL at home this season.

Drew Smyly (@CLE, vs. TEX)

Smyly opened the season in the Tigers’ bullpen before moving into the rotation, and after getting roughed up in his first start, he’s settled down nicely, allowing two runs or less in three of his last four outings while whiffing 22 batters over that span (24 1/3 innings). The young lefty entered the year as a legitimate breakout candidate, and I’m fully aboard the Smyly bandwagon. The matchups here aren’t easy, but at least for the time being, I’d feel comfortable pitching Smyly against any team.

DITCHES

Drew Pomeranz (@TB, @TOR)

Not too long ago, Pomeranz ranked among the game’s top prospects, and maybe the move from Colorado to Oakland was all he needed to take his professional career to the next level. Pomeranz did a fine job pitching out of the bullpen to begin the season, and he’s been even better since shifting into the rotation (10 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 13 K). I’m high on Pomeranz going forward, but I’m nervous about these matchups. The Blue Jays lead the AL in both runs scored and home runs while the Rays rank 3rd in the Junior Circuit in runs scored at home. In a 12-team mixed league, I’d play it safe for next week.

MLB: New York Yankees at New York Mets

Rafael Montero (vs. LAD, vs. ARI)

I liked what I saw from Montero in his big league debut, and he could very well become a must-add in all mixed leagues at some point in the near future. But in 12-team mixed leagues, I’d be wary of starting him here, as the vs. LAD matchup kind of ruins the two-start week. That said, in deeper mixed leagues and of course NL-onlys, Montero is probably worth starting. And if you’re in a 12-team mixed and have an open roster spot, it’s not a bad idea to stash him and then start him going forward if he pitches well next week.

Jake Odorizzi (vs. OAK, vs. BOS)

I’m including Odorizzi here because it certainly seems like he’s turning the corner in his development, and you’ve got to love all those strikeouts. Be careful with him next week, however, as these are very dangerous matchups. In fact, I’d bench him in all mixed leagues. But if he somehow gets through the week in good shape, be ready to scoop him up!

11 Comments

What do you think of this deal?

Josh Hamilton, Zach wheeler, Shelby miller and Wilson Ramos
For
Clayton Kershaw, David Price and Wil Myers

Thank you for your time.

I’d take the Kershaw side. And it’s not even close.

Zach

Josh Hamilton, Wilson Ramos, Zack Wheeler and Shelby Miller
for
Clayton Kershaw, David Price and Wil Myers

What do you think?
Thank you for your time.

Hey Zach, someone dropped Dom Brown in my league, thinking about dropping Jason Castro to try and pick him up. I have Mesoraco. Do you think Brown will rebound? He’s been hitting a ton of GB this year. Thanks.

Yeah, I think it’s worth a shot to make that move. Low risk/high reward.

Zach

Would you add Kolten Wong in an NL only league and drop Scooter Gennett or Derek Dietrich… In need of SB and AVG, thinking of dropping Dietrich.

If those are your category needs, yeah, Dietrich is a safer drop than Scooter.

Loved the closer comments post, exactly how I feel about them! Few comments, still not trusting Hawkins to keep it for too long, he’s been knocked around a little lately and that K rate is still atrocious. Still think Brothers will be the man before too long. As for the Mets I think Mejia is the only one owning right now, hopefully he runs with it. So much turnover, closers have become almost worthless! I’ll rarely ever trade for closers now, so many changes, so many new candidates become available. Need to get your low ERA and WHIP from starters though!

Most of the top-tier guys have been fine though (Jansen being the exception), which helps support the 411 philosophy of drafting two high-end closers!

Zach

Hey Zach,

Hope you had a great weekend. I’m currently in first in a league where Billy Butler and Ben Revere were dropped. My bench spots are taken by Polanco and Morales and my worst performing player is Khris Davis. Also have Dickerson who will be losing time. I could use some help in steals and runs. Would you rather have Revere or Butler for Dickerson? Would you drop Davis for the other?

Also, I have Cobb coming off the DL soon. Do I drop Montero or Duffy to activate? Also, drop the other for Trever Bauer?

Thanks!

If you need SB’s, Revere is your guy. Revere for Dickerson seems like a no-brainer. I’d also add Butler for Morales. I’ll take the stats now as opposed to waiting for what I might get in a month. The SP question is tough. Let’s see another start from Montero and Duffy first.

Zach

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