Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 5/26

Zach back with you,

Next week is chock full of intriguing two-start options who could very well be available in your league. In fact, it’s so chock full that a strong case could even be made to pitch my two ditches. Let’s take a look.

PITCHES

Wade Miley (vs. SD, vs. CIN)

Miley has been an incredibly frustrating pitcher to own this year, as he’s had a few dominant outings mixed in with a few stinkers and has posted back-to-back quality starts just once. The optimist can point to his solid 1.30 WHIP and .251 BAA while the pessimist can focus on the 4.85 ERA through 11 starts, which has been fueled by a whopping ten home runs allowed. The biggest reason why Miley is a risky play for next week is his 7.14 home ERA. But he will be facing a Padres club that ranks dead last in the Majors in both runs scored and batting average followed by a Reds lineup that has vastly underperformed, with injuries being partly to blame. Although I’m not ultra-confident about Miley for 12-team mixed league purposes, I’d give it a shot.

MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs

Brandon McCarthy (vs. SD, vs. CIN)

McCarthy’s overall stat line looks fairly similar to Miley’s, but after getting off to a rough beginning to the season (7.78 ERA over his first three starts), Brandon has settled down nicely, allowing three runs or less in six of his last seven starts, and his 1.75 BB/9 rate for the season is exceptional. Aided by the same favorable matchups as Miley, McCarthy makes for a strong two-start option.

Tyler Skaggs (@SEA, @OAK)

With four quality starts in his last six outings to go along with an overall WHIP of 1.13 and a miniscule 2.15 BB/9 rate, Skaggs has emerged onto the mixed league radar. The @SEA matchup is a promising one, as the Mariners are tied for last in the Majors in runs scored at home. The A’s are the highest scoring team in the AL, but their offense hasn’t been quite as good at home. Throw in Skaggs’ 1.57 road ERA and I’m liking him for next week.

Wei-Yin Chen (@MIL, @HOU)

Chen is a true borderline call as he is coming off a shaky performance last night. But prior to that, he had allowed three runs or less in six straight starts, and I do like these matchups. The Brewers lineup has struggled in the month of May, ranking 26th in the Majors in both runs scored and batting average, and we all know how fun it is to pick on the Astros! Although Chen is more of a last resort in a 12-team mixed league, he’s a worthwhile option in deeper formats.

DITCHES

Phil Hughes (vs. TEX, @NYY)

I’ll admit it. I completely gave up on Hughes after his first three starts (7.20 ERA, 1.67 WHIP). Fed up by his continued mediocrity, I decided to drop him in my Tout Wars league. Bad decision, but how could I have possibly predicted that he would go 5-0 over his next six starts while posting a 1.60 ERA and 1.02 WHIP? Hughes will be tested next week, and I’m especially concerned about the @NYY matchup, as we all know that the new Yankee Stadium hasn’t exactly been kind to him. Hughes might be worth the risk in deeper mixed leagues, but in a 12-teamer, I’d play it safe and bench him. If he gets through next week unscathed, I’ll seriously consider hopping onto the bandwagon.

Jacob deGrom (vs. PIT, @PHI)

Although deGrom has done a fine job through his first two big league starts, I still need to see a bit more before I can comfortably start him in 12-team mixed leagues. He was fortunate to post a quality start in his most recent outing, as all three of the home runs he allowed were of the solo variety. The Pirates offense has really picked it up in the month of May, ranking 4th in the NL in runs scored and 2nd in batting average. The Phillies lineup has been erratic this season but Citizens Bank Park is never an easy place to pitch. Just like in the case of Hughes, in a 12-team mixed, I’ll hold off on converting into a true believer for a little while longer.

4 Comments

Hey Zach. In my 10-team H2H OPS dynasty league, I just go offered Springer ($12), Shelby ($2), and Uehara ($1) for my Stanton ($28). (No inflation or contract lengths, btw. I know, right?) Take it, leave it, or ask for more? Stanton’s elite, and pitching’s plentiful in our league. But Springer’s heating up, and I like his power-speed combo. I’d probably drop Rondon and Beckett (even after Sun’s performance).

I like it. Stanton for $28 is solid, but in the long run I think Springer for $12 will be more valuable. He has Mike Trout level upside. And you’re getting even more than just Springer.

Zach

Thanks Zach. If I were thinking of going with a win now at (almost) any cost, would that change the dynamic of this situation much? Miller’s been sketchy, and Uehara’s solid but who knows which way the Red Sox are going.

I still like it. Uehara remains an elite-level closer and I’d even make the trade if it was just Springer and Uehara for Stanton. Springer for $12 makes everything worth it.

Zach

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 257 other followers

%d bloggers like this: