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Zach’s Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 5/30

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Ervin Santana

Hey everyone,

As is the Friday ritual, here’s a sampling of my latest two-start pitcher article. For the complete version, click on the link at the bottom of this post.

12-team mixed leagues

Ervin Santana (@OAK, vs. TB)

Fresh off his worst performance of the season (3 2/3 IP, 9 H, 6 ER vs. Royals on Tuesday), Santana will look to regroup next week. Considering these matchups, the Twins righty has a good chance of getting back on track, as the Athletics and Rays both rank in the bottom third of the AL in runs scored. Also note that prior to Tuesday’s rough outing, Santana had allowed a combined three runs over his last two starts spanning 14 innings. The 33-year-old’s inconsistency this season makes him a somewhat risky fantasy option, but when it comes to next week, the reward outweighs the risk.

Deeper mixed leagues

Jeremy Hellickson (vs. WAS, vs. MIL)

Since capturing AL Rookie of the Year honors in 2011, Hellickson has turned in mostly mediocre results. This year has been a different story, however, as the Phillies righty carries a solid 3.97 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.1 K/9 into next week’s two starts. While the matchup against the Brewers is favorable (Milwaukee ranks 10th in the NL in OPS), the Nationals present a tougher challenge, as Washington ranks 3rd in the Senior Circuit in runs scored this month. For this reason, Hellickson is more of a deep-league option, but his 2.25 ERA and 0.95 WHIP over his last three starts makes him well worth considering in those formats.

To read the full article, CLICK HERE

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Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, May 28-30

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Brandon Finnegan

ZACH’S PICKS

SATURDAY

Porcello @ Stroman

Rodon @ Ventura – I’m encouraged by what I’ve seen from Rodon over his last two starts. Ventura cannot be trusted in mixed leagues for the time being.

Eickhoff @ Hendricks – Eickhoff a little risky though.

Boyd @ Hahn – Hahn worth monitoring.

Jimenez @ Salazar

Simon @ Ch. Anderson – Anderson has been very inconsistent this year.

Chen @ Blair

Pineda @ Moore – Both make me too nervous.

Bumgarner @ Rusin

Maeda @ Syndergaard – I’ll take a chance on the slumping Maeda here.

Nicasio @ Darvish – Darvish will be on pitch count but you might as well trot him out there.

Wainwright @ G. Gonzalez – Wainwright pitching just well enough to hang onto mixed league starter status.

Keuchel @ Weaver – Finally taking a break from Keuchel.

Hughes @ Miley – Miley a decent option in deeper formats.

Vargas @ Greinke – Playing it safe with Vargas in hitter-friendly park.

SUNDAY

Price @ Dickey

Tillman @ Clevinger

Eovaldi @ Odorizzi – Eovaldi is on a roll.

Wacha @ Strasburg – Wacha a toss-up but he’s been terrible lately and this is a tough matchup.

Finnegan @ Nelson – Finnegan has been so-so this season and Brewers rank 5th in NL in OPS at home.

Latos @ Volquez

Velasquez @ Lackey

Liriano @ M. Perez – Both are a bit too risky in this matchup.

Fister @ Tropeano

Pelfrey @ Hill

Nolasco @ Walker

Pomeranz @ TBD (ARI)

Cueto @ Butler

Koehler @ Teheran – Koehler not a bad play here in deeper leagues.

Kershaw @ Colon

MONDAY

Sale @ Harvey – Tough to pitch Harvey at this point.

Samardzija @ Foltynewicz – Not a great matchup for Foltynewicz.

S. Wright @ T. Wilson

C. Martinez @ Guerra – Guerra should be owned in most deep mixed leagues by now but pitching him here is asking for trouble.

Big Erv @ Graveman – I like this matchup for Erv.

TBD (CIN) @ Bettis

McHugh @ R. De La Rosa – De La Rosa is tempting but there’s just too much downside involved here.

Cashner @ Karns – Cashner has some more rust to shake off.

Wood @ Hammel

Lewis @ Tomlin – Hard to trust Lewis in less than favorable matchup. Still not sold on Tomlin but Rangers rank 13th in AL in both runs scored and OPS on the road.

Roark @ Hellickson – Hellickson has been very impressive but I’ll sit this one out.

Nova @ Estrada

Locke @ Nicolino

Andriese @ Kennedy – I’ll pitch Andriese versus Royals team that ranks next to last in AL in runs scored.

Verlander @ Chacin

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Pitch or Ditch for Friday, May 27

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Robbie Ray

ZACH’S PICKS

Morgan @ Lester

Garcia @ Scherzer – Garcia was terrible his last time out but he deserves a mulligan.

Kelly @ Ar. Sanchez

M. Wright @ Bauer – I don’t trust Bauer.

Urias @ deGrom – Let me first see one quality start from Urias.

Tanaka @ Archer – I’ll continue to stick with Archer, though benching him is totally understandable.

Conley @ W. Perez – Conley should get back on track here.

Niese @ Hamels – Niese has been solid of late but I don’t like this matchup.

Lamb @ Davies – Keep an eye on Lamb going forward.

M. Gonzalez @ Duffy – Let’s hope that the Royals at least let Duffy finish five innings this time.

Cain @ Chatwood – Starting to believe in Cain’s resurgence but I’ll pass at Coors.

Friedrich @ Ray – Ray has a 2.25 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over his last two starts and Padres rank 27th in Majors in runs and 29th in OPS.

Fulmer @ Manaea – Fulmer was very good in his last start but I’m not fully convinced yet.

Fiers @ Shoemaker – Both are intriguing options in deeper leagues though.

Dean @ King Felix

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Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, May 26

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Lance McCullers

ZACH’S PICKS

Corbin @ Cole

Fernandez @ Smyly

Happ @ Sabathia – Happ coming off solid bounceback performance and Yankees offense has been inconsistent thus far.

Leake @ J. Ross – Tough matchup for Leake but he’s now allowed a combined 2 ER over his last three starts (21 IP).

J. Gray @ Buchholz – Scary matchup for Gray and I don’t trust Buchholz.

Peralta @ Wisler – Wisler has been very impressive.

Gausman @ McCullers – Playing it safe with McCullers for one more start as he continues to shake off the rust. Also note that the Orioles rank 2nd in the AL in OPS.

M. Gonzalez @ Duffy (PPD)

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Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, May 25

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Colby Lewis

ZACH’S PICKS

Matz @ Roark

Gee @ Duffey – Duffey a decent option in deeper leagues though.

Nola @ An. Sanchez – Anibal not 12-team mixed league worthy but still deserves consideration in deeper formats thanks to the matchup.

Arrieta @ C. Martinez

Santiago @ Lewis – Six straight quality starts for Lewis and the Angels rank in the bottom half of the AL in both runs and OPS.

Kluber @ Quintana

Shields @ Peavy

R. De La Rosa @ Locke – Rubby pitching well lately but I don’t like this matchup.

Estrada @ Nova

Bettis @ S. Wright – Not a great matchup for Wright but I’ll go for it.

Nicolino @ Andriese – Andriese coming off shaky outing but I still have confidence in him.

Guerra @ Foltynewicz – Ideal matchup for Guerra.

T. Wilson @ McHugh – McHugh too risky here.

Straily @ Kazmir – Tough to bench Straily right now. Sticking with Kazmir.

Neal @ Iwakuma

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Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, May 24

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Ervin Santana

ZACH’S PICKS

Odorizzi @ Koehler – Koehler an intriguing play in deep mixed/NL-only leagues.

Miller @ Liriano – Liriano has been inconsistent this season but I still trust him.

Harvey @ Strasburg – Call me crazy but I’ll give Harvey one more chance, despite tough matchup.

Dickey @ Eovaldi – Not liking this matchup for Eovaldi.

Hammel @ Wacha

J. De La Rosa @ Price

Nelson @ Teheran

Hellickson @ Verlander – I’m not a big believer in Hellickson and this is a challenging matchup.

Chacin @ M. Perez – Perez a decent deep-league option.

Tillman @ Fister

Tomlin @ Sale – Tomlin has been impressive but I’m still skeptical.

Volquez @ Big Erv – I’ll never fully trust Volquez. Big Erv coming off strong outing vs. Blue Jays and Royals are surprisingly tied for last in the AL in runs scored.

D. Wright @ Bolsinger

Graveman @ Karns

Cashner @ Samardzija – Taking a wait and see approach with Cashner in his return from the DL.

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Zach’s Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 5/23

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Jimmy Nelson

Happy Friday everyone!

My latest two-start pitcher article has been posted on the site, but just to get you in the mood, here’s a sampling. Click on the link at the bottom of this blog post to read the full version.

12-team mixed leagues

Jimmy Nelson (@ATL, vs. CIN)

Nelson entered the 2016 campaign as a popular breakout pick. Seven weeks into the season, the Brewers righty is showing why he deserved the attention. Nelson heads into next week’s two starts boasting a 3.07 ERA and 1.18 WHIP, having allowed a combined two runs over his last two starts (15 1/3 innings). Expect the strong pitching to continue, as the Braves rank last in the Majors in runs and OPS while the Reds rank 19th in runs and 24th in OPS.

Deeper mixed leagues

Nathan Eovaldi (vs. TOR, @TB)

Eovaldi’s ability is undeniable. However, consistency has been the 26-year-old’s main obstacle throughout his major league career. The Yankees righty seems to be making progress in that area this season, especially of late. Following Wednesday night’s dominant performance against the Diamondbacks at hitter-friendly Chase Field (6 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 5 K), Eovaldi now sports a 2.84 ERA and 0.89 WHIP over his last three starts. The Blue Jays offense is still dangerous, but after leading the Majors in runs scored last season, Toronto ranks in the bottom half of the league in both runs and OPS so far in 2016. As for the Rays, they rank 22nd in the Majors in runs.

For the complete article, CLICK HERE

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Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, May 21-23

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Cardinals Angels Baseball

ZACH’S PICKS

SATURDAY

Duffy @ M. Gonzalez – Keep an eye on Duffy though.

Happ @ Dean – Happ should bounce back here as he’s facing a Twins offense that ranks last in the AL in both runs scored and OPS.

W. Perez @ Morgan

Ray @ Leake – Ray has been too inconsistent to trust while Leake sports a 1.29 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over his last two starts.

Bauer @ Kelly – Not chancing it with Bauer at Fenway.

Chatwood @ Niese

Tanaka @ Manaea – Manaea a bit too risky for my liking.

Davies @ deGrom

King Felix @ Lamb

Smyly @ Fulmer

Lester @ Cain – Cain has been dominant lately but this is a tough matchup.

Ramos @ Fiers

J. Ross @ Fernandez

Gausman @ Shoemaker

Wood @ Vargas – Vargas still worth holding onto in NL-only leagues.

SUNDAY

Ch. Anderson @ Syndergaard – Anderson is one more quality start away from getting back into my good graces.

Miley @ Simon – Miley has been solid of late but Reds rank 1st in NL in runs scored at home.

Archer @ Zimmermann

Scherzer @ Conley – Playing it safe with Conley in challenging matchup.

TBD (ATL) @ Eickhoff – Seriously, what are the odds that Eickhoff struggles twice in a row versus Braves?

Salazar @ Porcello

Bettis @ Nicasio – I’m not overly confident in either.

Ventura @ Rodon – Rodon bounced back nicely his last time out.

Hamels @ Keuchel – Sticking with Keuchel despite his inconsistency.

Stroman @ Hughes

Greinke @ Garcia

Jimenez @ Weaver – Slugfest alert!

Pineda @ Hahn – I’ve lost all faith in Pineda.

Maeda @ Rea

Hendricks @ Bumgarner

MONDAY

Lyles @ Vogelsong

Clevinger @ Latos (Gm 1)

Co. Anderson @ E. Johnson (Gm 2)

Colon @ G. Gonzalez – I’ll pass on Colon, who has struggled lately.

Velasquez @ Pelfrey

Moore @ Chen

Tropeano @ Holland – I need to see a little more consistency from both.

Kennedy @ Nolasco

Lackey @ Wainwright – Wainwright’s last outing was encouraging.

Hill @ Walker – Walker not as sharp of late but he still deserves the nod here.

Finnegan @ Kershaw – Not a good matchup for Finnegan.

Pomeranz @ Cueto

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Pitch or Ditch for Friday, May 20

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Matt Wisler

ZACH’S PICKS

Wisler @ Nola – Wisler holds a 1.93 ERA and 0.90 WHIP over his last three starts and Phillies rank 29th in Majors in runs scored.

Butler @ Cole

Kluber @ Buchholz

Andriese @ An. Sanchez – Tough to bench Andriese right now. Anibal a borderline call, but I do like this matchup.

Iwakuma @ Straily – Straily a decent play in deeper formats though.

Peralta @ Matz

Roark @ Nicolino – Roark just got roughed up by these very same Marlins but he’s been impressive overall. Nicolino just got roughed up by these very same Nationals and I don’t trust him.

Gee @ Quintana

Ar. Sanchez @ Duffey – Not concerned about Sanchez. Duffey an intriguing option in deeper leagues but this is a scary matchup.

Lewis @ McCullers – Waiting for McCullers to shake off the rust.

Corbin @ C. Martinez – Corbin has been shaky at times this season and he struggled versus Cardinals last month.

Sabathia @ S. Gray – Sticking with Gray.

M. Wright @ Santiago – Santiago a little risky here but I’ll go for it.

Arrieta @ Peavy

Kazmir @ Friedrich

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Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, May 19

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Jon Gray

ZACH’S PICKS

Karns @ T. Wilson – Four straight quality starts for Karns.

Hammel @ Guerra

Foltynewicz @ Locke – Foltynewicz should be owned in all NL-only leagues though.

Tomlin @ Adleman – Tomlin a decent deep-league option but there isn’t much to get excited about here.

Strasburg @ Harvey

J. Gray @ Wacha – Gray is on a roll but I don’t like this matchup. Cards rank 1st in NL in OPS and 2nd in runs scored.

McHugh @ Sale – McHugh is tough to trust right now.

Estrada @ Big Erv – Challenging matchup for Erv. I’ll play it safe.

Samardzija @ Shields

Stripling @ Chacin – I’m not a big believer in Chacin.

Nova @ Graveman

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