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Zach’s Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 4/25

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Twins Brewers Baseball

Hey everyone,

As is the Friday custom, here’s a sampling of my latest two-start pitcher article. To read the full version, click on the link at the bottom of this post.

12-team mixed leagues

Jimmy Nelson (@CHC, vs. MIA)

After posting a solid 3.95 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in the second half last season, Nelson has gotten off to a strong start in 2016, going 3-1 while notching three quality starts in his first four outings. His first matchup next week is a tough one, as the Cubs lead the NL in runs scored heading into Thursday’s games. But the Marlins offense is far less formidable, ranking 14th in the Senior Circuit in runs, 11th in OPS and 13th in homers. Nelson’s overall performance this season makes him a worthy play for next week, and he should be considered an automatic start in two-start weeks going forward. If the 26-year-old righty can improve his control (3.5 BB/9) and do a better job limiting home runs (six homers allowed through four starts), he could earn a permanent spot on most 12-team mixed league rosters.

Deeper mixed leagues

Ross Stripling (vs. MIA, vs. SD)

In his first taste of the big leagues, Stripling opened the 2016 campaign by posting a 2.03 ERA and 0.75 WHIP through two starts. He wasn’t nearly as effective on Wednesday, however, lasting just 3 2/3 innings despite facing a Braves lineup that ranks near the bottom of the NL in most categories. The good news for the 26-year-old is that he will get a chance to redeem himself next week, as the Marlins and Padres both rank in the bottom half of the NL in runs, homers and OPS. Stripling’s lack of a big league track record relegates him to deep mixed league status for now, but he certainly has the potential to become a factor in 12-team mixed leagues sooner rather than later.

For the complete article, CLICK HERE 

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Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, April 23-25

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Derek Holland

ZACH’S PICKS

SATURDAY

Hughes @ Roark – Hughes has been pitching pretty well but I don’t like this matchup. Not buying into Roark just yet.

Snell @ Tanaka – Playing it safe with Snell in his MLB debut. Let’s see how he does.

Bassitt @ Happ

Kluber @ An. Sanchez

Lewis @ Rodon – Giving Rodon another chance following meltdown on Monday.

Buchholz @ Fiers – Both scare me here.

Lackey @ Straily

Matz @ Chacin

Morton @ Ch. Anderson – Morton a viable deep mixed/NL-only league option though. Great matchup for Anderson, as Phillies rank last in Majors in both runs scored and batting average.

Worley @ Medlen – Medlen has been solid.

Maeda @ Chatwood

Nicasio @ R. De La Rosa – Passing on Nicasio in far from ideal matchup.

Wacha @ TBD (SD)

Fernandez @ Peavy

King Felix @ Santiago – Mariners hoping Felix can make this start after getting pushed back a day due to illness. Really liking what I’m seeing from Santiago.

SUNDAY

Smyly @ Pineda

Surkamp @ Hutchison

Hammel @ Simon

Carrasco @ Greene

Big Erv @ Strasburg – Challenging matchup for Erv but I’ll take a chance.

deGrom @ TBD (ATL)

Eickhoff @ Peralta

Holland @ Latos – I’m finally ready to start both. White Sox offense has struggled so far (14th in AL in runs and 15th in batting average). Latos is pitching extremely well.

M. Wright @ Ventura

Miley @ Shoemaker – Shoemaker a toss-up, though in a 12-team mixed league, I’d lean towards sitting him.

Conley @ Cain – I’m still bullish on Conley. Cain? Not so much.

Wood @ Lyles

Liriano @ Ray

Leake @ Rea – Leake has been disappointing but I love this matchup.

Owens @ Feldman

MONDAY

M. Gonzalez @ Stroman

Gausman @ Archer – Gausman worth adding in deeper mixed leagues but I wouldn’t start him yet. Sticking with Archer, though I’m starting to get concerned.

Porcello @ Teheran – I really like Porcello here. Teheran a borderline call but I’ll say ditch in 12-team mixed leagues.

Iglesias @ Syndergaard

Graveman @ Zimmermann

Eovaldi @ Ramos

Salazar @ Milone

Locke @ Bettis

Garcia @ Greinke

Kennedy @ Richards – Gotta go with Kennedy.

Fister @ Walker – Walker has arrived!

Chen @ Stripling – Nice matchup for Stripling.

Pomeranz @ Bumgarner

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Pitch or Ditch for Friday, April 22

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Nick Tropeano

ZACH’S PICKS

Gibson @ G. Gonzalez – Gibson worth monitoring but this matchup is too difficult.

Moore @ Sabathia – Moore has been very impressive.

S. Gray @ Ar. Sanchez – Sanchez has now earned must-start status.

Lester @ Moscot

Tomlin @ Verlander – I’m a bit concerned about Verlander but I’ll pitch him here.

Harvey @ B. Norris – Great opportunity for Harvey to right the ship in favorable matchup.

S. Wright @ McHugh – McHugh testing my patience though.

Nola @ Davies – Sticking with Nola.

M. Perez @ Quintana – Perez a decent option in deeper leagues but I still wouldn’t trust him in a 12-team mixed.

Gallardo @ Young

Kazmir @ J. Gray – Tough to pitch Kazmir at Coors right now.

Niese @ Corbin – Both have been solid so far.

Iwakuma @ Tropeano – Tropeano has a 0.84 ERA through two starts this season.

Cosart @ Samardzija

Wainwright @ Cashner – If Wainwright doesn’t pitch well here, I’ll really start to get nervous. Not an easy matchup for Cashner but at least he’s at home.

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Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, April 21

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Brandon Finnegan

ZACH’S PICKS

Kershaw @ Wisler

Karns @ Co. Anderson – Karns a decent play in deeper formats.

Scherzer @ Koehler

Odorizzi @ Price – Odorizzi coming off his best outing of the season.

Nolasco @ Jungmann

Weaver @ Danks – Slugfest alert!

S. Miller @ Cueto

R. Hill @ Severino – Hill has been too inconsistent to trust at Yankee Stadium. Sticking with Severino.

Estrada @ Tillman – Tough matchup for both. I’ll play it safe here.

Arrieta @ Finnegan – Finnegan very close to securing 12-team mixed league relevance but the walks still scare me and I don’t like this matchup.

Pelfrey @ Volquez

Keuchel @ Griffin

Cole @ Shields

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Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, April 20

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Ross Stripling

ZACH’S PICKS

Bettis @ Iglesias – Bettis a viable option in deeper leagues though.

Hendricks @ C. Martinez

Richards @ Sale

Walker @ Salazar

Colon @ Hellickson – Nice matchup for Colon. Hellickson fell back to earth his last time out.

Graveman @ Eovaldi – Graveman intriguing in deeper formats but this matchup would scare me off for 12-team mixed league purposes. Eovaldi too erratic to trust right now.

Dickey @ Jimenez

Stripling @ Teheran – Gotta go with Stripling in favorable matchup. Passing on Teheran here in 12-team mixed leagues.

Archer @ Porcello – Don’t give up on Archer. Rays rank last in Majors in runs scored, so I’ll take a chance on Porcello.

J. Ross @ Chen

Zimmermann @ Kennedy – Sitting Kennedy here but he’s deserving of a roster spot in the vast majority of leagues.

Fister @ Hamels

Milone @ Nelson – Nelson is on a roll.

Locke @ Pomeranz – I really like what I’ve seen from Pomeranz so far.

Greinke @ Bumgarner

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Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, April 19

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Logan Verrett

ZACH’S PICKS

Peralta @ Big Erv

Miley @ Carrasco

Verrett @ Velasquez – Verrett worth a shot here versus Phillies team that ranks last in the NL in runs and batting average.

Surkamp @ Pineda – Pineda bounced back nicely his last time out.

Stroman @ M. Wright

J. De La Rosa @ Stephenson

Wood @ W. Perez

Smyly @ Kelly

Strasburg @ Conley – Tough matchup for Conley but I’ll go for it.

Greene @ Ventura

Feldman @ Holland – Holland has been solid so far but I don’t like this matchup.

Shoemaker @ Latos – Shoemaker too inconsistent to trust. I might regret benching Latos but he still worries me, despite strong start.

Hammel @ Garcia

Liriano @ Rea

Ray @ Cain – Not giving up on Cain but it’s hard to pitch him with confidence coming off Coors Field collapse.

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Zach’s Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 4/18

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Eickhoff_two-start

Hey everyone,

As is the Friday custom, here’s a sampling of my latest two-start pitcher article. For the complete version, click on the link at the bottom of this post.

12-team mixed leagues

Jerad Eickhoff (vs. NYM, @MIL)

Coming off a dominant outing against the Padres in which he tossed seven shutout innings while striking out nine, Eickhoff should take advantage of a pair of favorable matchups in Week 3. Heading into Thursday’s games, the Mets rank last in the NL in runs, batting average and OPS and Eickhoff pitched fairly well against them in his first start of the season, allowing two earned runs across five innings. As for the Brewers, they rank in the bottom third of the Senior Circuit in both runs and batting average. The 25-year-old righty, who registered a stellar 2.65 ERA and 1.04 WHIP across eight starts in his first taste of the big leagues last season, should be considered a must-start for next week.

Deeper mixed leagues

Chase Anderson (@MIN, vs. PHI)

Anderson has yet to allow an earned run through two starts this season, and both of those outings came against upper-tier offenses in the Astros and Cardinals. His schedule eases up considerably next week, as the Phillies and Twins rank 23rd and 30th respectively in the Majors in runs scored entering Thursday. Anderson’s inconsistent big league track record and modest career strikeout rate limits his appeal to deeper mixed leagues for now, but it might not be long before he emerges onto the 12-team mixed league radar.

To read the full article, CLICK HERE

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Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, April 16-18

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Nick Tropeano

ZACH’S PICKS

SATURDAY

King Felix @ Sabathia

Weaver @ Nolasco – Weaver very effective in his season debut but I’m still skeptical.

Finnegan @ Wainwright – Need to see one more strong outing from Finnegan before I can feel comfortable starting him in 12-team mixed leagues.

Bergman @ Arrieta

Young @ Bassitt

Estrada @ Price – There’s some risk with Estrada but he’s fresh off a gem versus these very same Red Sox.

Harvey @ Tomlin

Danks @ E. Ramirez – Ramirez a viable play in deeper formats though.

Jungmann @ Niese – Niese a worthy pitch versus sub-par Brewers lineup.

Scherzer @ Nola

Norris @ Koehler – Favorable home matchup for Koehler as Braves rank next to last in NL in runs, AVG and OPS.

Verlander @ McHugh – Sitting Verlander here in tough matchup. Now watch him throw a shutout!

Gallardo @ Lewis

Miller @ Cashner – Pitching Cashner at home, though he’s testing my patience.

Cueto @ Kazmir

SUNDAY

Iwakuma @ Tanaka

Chacin @ Cosart

Quintana @ Moore – Moore has earned this.

Matz @ Kluber – Not concerned about Matz quite yet.

Davies @ Nicasio – Not a believer in Nicasio.

Ar. Sanchez @ S. Wright – Sanchez has been great so far but this is a dangerous matchup, so if you choose to sit him in a 12-team mixed league, that’s fine too.

G. Gonzalez @ Morton

An. Sanchez @ Fiers – Tough matchup for Anibal but he’s been solid.

Tropeano @ Gibson – Tropeano was impressive in his season debut and the Twins aren’t hitting at all so far (last in MLB in runs).

Moscot @ Wacha

Chatwood @ Lester

M. Wright @ Holland – Holland worth monitoring but this matchup is too scary.

Medlen @ Gray – Medlen a decent play in deeper leagues for this one but his wildness is a concern.

Corbin @ Erlin

Samardzija @ Maeda

MONDAY

Happ @ Buchholz – This game has slugfest written all over it.

Syndergaard @ Eickhoff

Lyles @ Straily

Roark @ Fernandez – I still don’t trust Roark.

Lackey @ Leake – I’ve lost a lot of confidence in Leake.

Santiago @ Rodon – Santiago worth a try here.

Ch. Anderson @ Hughes – PoD delight!

Bradley @ Peavy

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Pitch or Ditch for Friday, April 15

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Jimmy Nelson

ZACH’S PICKS

Bettis @ Hendricks

Nelson @ Locke – Not an easy matchup for Nelson but I’m very impressed with him so far. Also note that he pitched to a 2.48 ERA in six starts vs. PIT last season.

Karns @ Severino – Karns an intriguing PoD option going forward but I’ll pass on him at Yankee Stadium.

J. Ross @ Hellickson – I still don’t trust Hellickson.

W. Perez @ W. Chen – I still trust Chen.

Sale @ Odorizzi

Colon @ Co. Anderson – Gotta go with Colon versus an Indians offense that has underachieved so far. Anderson a decent option in deeper leagues as the Mets have struggled to score runs as well.

Dickey @ Porcello – Slugfest alert! Stay away from this one.

Worley @ M. Perez

Pelfrey @ Keuchel

Richards @ Milone

Melville @ C. Martinez

Volquez @ R. Hill – I don’t like this matchup for Hill and I can never trust Volquez.

Bumgarner @ Kershaw – This is must-watch TV.

Greinke @ Shields

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Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, April 14

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Velasquez

ZACH’S PICKS

Zimmermann @ Cole

Pomeranz @ Velasquez – Velasquez coming off stellar season debut and has a favorable matchup here (Padres rank 12th in NL in OPS). Pomeranz is a breakout candidate this year and has an even more favorable matchup (Phillies rank 13th in NL in OPS).

Latos @ Big Erv – Not trusting Latos yet.

Salazar @ Archer – If you like strikeouts, don’t miss this one!

Peralta @ Garcia

Cain @ J. De La Rosa – Cain’s first start was encouraging, but I’m not pitching him at Coors.

Teheran @ Strasburg – Hanging with Teheran, though this matchup is far from ideal.

Eovaldi @ Stroman – There’s no way I’m pitching the inconsistent Eovaldi @TOR.

Tillman @ Hamels – Tillman could warrant mixed league attention soon, but this matchup is too tough.

Iglesias @ Hammel

Kennedy @ Fister – Kennedy very tempting here but I’ll play it safe for this matchup.

Ray @ Stripling – I need to see more from both before I can confidently recommend them in 12-team mixed leagues.

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