Archive for the ‘ Dailies ’ Category

MLB Network Preview Show Date and Tout Wars News.

Hey everyone here is some info for upcoming Fantasy 411 related news.

 

The 2011 preview show on MLB Network is slated for the evening of March 20th. It’s part of a huge fantasy weekend for us because that is also Tout weekend. Below is some info about Tout Wars that you’ll be interested in including some new rule changes you may want to use in your leagues, I love them.

 

 


toutwars.gifMarch 18th is Tout night at Foley’s in NYC so come by say hello and buy us beers. Due to space limitations we won’t be able to have fans attend Tout drafts this year but Sirius/XM’s fantasy channel is planning on broadcasting some if not all of the drafts live so keep an ear out for that.

 

Here’s the rest of the info make sure if you want to get into writing or get noticed that you read all the way to the bottom……..Siano

 

Tout AL: March 19th at 9am.

Tout Mixed: March 19th at 3pm.

Tout NL: March 20th at 10am.

 

The league lineups are as follows (#=new league, *=Tout rookie):

 

TOUT AL

Jason Grey

Larry Schechter #

Jeff Erickson

Todd Zola #

Dean Peterson

Steve Moyer

Mike Siano

Jason Collette

Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton

Ron Shandler

Matt Berry

Lawr Michaels

 

TOUT NL

Nate Ravitz

Brian Walton

Lenny Melnick/Paul Grecco

Mike Gianella

Peter Kreutzer

Phil Hertz

Rob Liebowitz #

Scott Pianowski

Tristan Cockcroft

Scott Wilderman

Cory Schwartz

Chris Liss

Steve Gardner #

 

TOUT MIXED

Andy Behrens

Charlie Wiegert

Scott Swanay *

Fred Zinkie *

Eric Mack

David Feldman *

Nicholas Minnix

David Gonos

Derek Carty

Tim Heaney *

Paul Petera 

Nano Di Fino

Seth Trachtman

Gene McCaffrey #

JP Kastner

 

RULES CHANGES

 

We want there to be something at stake apart from the SABR Trophy and bragging rights for winning, so we’ve added a couple of wrinkles (effective 2012):

 

Reserve round draft order will be based on the previous year’s finish. Last year’s first place team gets first reserve pick, second gets second, and so on. Players who change leagues will be slotted into the spot they finished in the league they played. Rookies will have the last picks. Ties will be broken by a random tiebreaker.

 

Teams will be penalized one FAAB-dollar for each point (rounded down) that they finish below league-specific thresholds. The thresholds are 60 points for AL, 65 points for NL and 75 points for Mixed. For instance, a Tout NL team that finished with 52 points would start the following year with 87 FAAB dollars, rather than 100. 

 

So, some small incentives to keep pushing for points all season long.

 

THE TOUT WARS WEBSITE

 

We seek interested fantasy baseball writers to cover the Tout Wars action. This can be on a regular or semi-regular basis. All ideas will be considered. This is an excellent chance for young writers to meet and suck up to industry veterans, and get on the radar for future Tout Wars invitations. Make recommendations or have interested parties send proposals to webmaster@toutwars.com.

411 Retrospective

Hey everyone,

As the 2011 season approaches, we here at the 411 thought it would be a cool idea to take a journey through the past, gathering up the links to some of the more notable blog posts dating back to the blog’s inception. Below you’ll find every List of 12 along with Mike and Cory’s preseason overrated and underrated picks, the All-Surprise, All-Disappointment and All-Fantasy teams and the end of season grades.

-Zach

 
Lists of 12

Cory explains the theory behind the List of 12:

For those of you unfamiliar with the List of 12, the concept is pretty simple: we look for starting pitchers who crossed the 500 career innings barrier during the previous season, and focus on them as breakout candidates for the upcoming season. The theory behind this is that it takes pitchers at least a couple of seasons to fully adjust to pitching in the Majors, so in fantasy we want to find guys who are ready to have breakout seasons but might still be a little under the radar. Some of these guys stink and will continue to stink, but if you’re looking for guys who are ready to take the next step, this list is a good place to start.

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

Overrated/Underrated

2010 Overrated

2010 Underrated

2009 Overrated and Underrated

2008 Overrated and Underrated

2007 Overrated and Underrated

All-Surprise and All-Disappointment Teams

2010 All-Surprise and All-Disappointment

2009 All-Surprise

2009 All-Disappointment

2008 All-Surprise

2008 All-Disappointment

2007 All-Surprise and All-Disappointment

2006 All-Surprise

2006 All-Disappointment

All-Fantasy Teams

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

Final Grades

2010

2009

2007

2011 List of 12

Happy New Year!

I probably should’ve done this much sooner after the season ended, but no time like the present… without further delay, here is the 2011 List of 12!

2011 List of 12.xls

For those of you who don’t know what it is, or how we pick it, check out the posts from last year or 2009, which explain it pretty well. This year, we have 15 pitchers to choose from, in alphabetical order:


Blackburn, Nick -
He posted two decent seasons in 2008 and 2009 but could not repeat the effort
again last year as his K/9 dropped to a pitiful 3.8. No matter how good his
ground ball rate, or how favorable his home ballpark, a starting pitcher simply
cannot earn fantasy value with so few strikeouts.


Cueto, Johnny -
He faded badly after a great start in 2008, and didn’t appear to step forward
much in 2009. The strikeout rate dipped a little further in 2010, but he cut
the walks and got some better luck on the homer ratio, and voila, his ERA
dropped over three-quarters of a run. I’m not convinced he’ll be a stud, but he’s
growing into a solid mid-rotation starter.


Dickey, R.A. -
One of the biggest surprises of 2010, Dickey finally qualified for his first
ERA title after spending parts of seven other seasons in the Majors.
Breakthrough or fluke? He kept the walks low, got plenty of grounders and wasn’t
hurt by the longball, though his strikeout rate was barely serviceable. The
same formula would make him a solid end-of-rotation risk in 2011, but he’s no
sure thing.


Feldman, Scott -
Not dissimilar to Blackburn, with a few more strikeouts, but a few more walks,
fewer grounders and a much less forgiving home ballpark. Pitch or Ditch
material at best.


Gallardo, Yovani (below) -
Cons: Stalled around 185 innings for the second straight year, and still gives
up a few too many walks. Pros: Dominant strikeout rates coupled with major improvement
in command, and solid home run rates despite ordinary ground ball rates. With
health and better defensive support he could have a breakout season, and oh
yeah, he only turns 25 in February!

Gallardo.jpg
Gorzelanny, Tom
-
Posted an up-and-down season, including a stint in the bullpen, but finished
with his best season since his 2007 campaign in Pittsburgh. The walk rate
spiked 50% from 2009, but I’m expecting improvement there based on what he did
in 2007, 2009, and in the minors, and he’s not terribly homer-prone despite an
ordinary ground ball rate. A sneaky sleeper for 2011.

Hammel, Jason
– Maintained
solid strikeout rates all season, and was dominant in a five-start stretch
throughout late May and into June, but otherwise very ordinary. His K/BB rate is
encouraging, but the ground ball and homer rates hold him back. Still, a solid
mid-rotation starter whose strong strikeouts give him decent upside.

Johnson, Josh
-
Just missed this list last year, but earned a nod as a major breakout candidate,
and he did just that despite missing a few late-season starts. Even if he “slips”
back to his 2009 level, he’s entered the soft ace category and will move into the
elite with another season like 2010. Still, the disconnect between his ground
ball and homer rates, combined with the Marlins’ mediocre team defense, suggest
more of the former than the latter.

Jurrjens, Jair
-
He essentially repeated his 2009 season, minus the BABIP good luck and health. His
true level is probably an ERA in the upper 3’s, making him a useful
end-of-rotation option but not an ace by any measure.

Lannan, John
-
Pros: He’s from Long Beach, NY, not far from the home of our own Mike Siano. Cons: His
strikeout rate makes him the left-handed NL version of Nick Blackburn. Sorry, that’s
not intended as high praise.

Liriano.jpg

Liriano, Francisco
(right) – Despite a 5.80 ERA in 2009, he carried a huge buzz into drafts last season
thanks to a monster winter league campaign, and didn’t disappoint. Most
importantly, he stayed healthy enough to make 31 starts, just missing 200
innings, and returned his walk and ground ball rates near the levels of his
2006 breakout. He turned 27 this winter and pitches in a very favorable home
park, so expect another big step towards stardom this year.


Marcum, Shaun – A
draft-day afterthought after missing all but five minor league starts in 2009
while recovering from Tommy John surgery, Marcum was one of the biggest
surprises of 2010, posting strong numbers while going wire-to-wire in the brutal
AL East. The only major flaw on his resume was a weak ground ball rate and a
correspondingly poor homer rate, but moving to the NL Central should help
address those concerns. At 29 he’s a little old to be considered a breakout candidate,
but if healthy he should easily match or could even improve upon his strong 2009
performance.


Matsuzaka, Daisuke
– Four full seasons and nearly 600 innings of gut-wrenching, nauseating roller
coaster rides prove he’s definitely not one for the squeamish. The strikeout rates make him awfully tempting, and with his
stuff, he could dominate if he ever decides to challenge hitters and throw more
strikes. But it’s best to not watch.


Pelfrey, Mike -
Throw out a brutal seven-start summer stretch in which his strikeouts utterly evaporated, and Big Pelf acquitted himself nicely as a solid mid-rotation
starter in 2010. However, his overall numbers don’t show any real growth over the
last three seasons, so this is probably as good as it gets. Not that an ERA in
the high 3’s is bad, but he’s not someone to target.

Sanchez.jpg


Sanchez, Jonathan
(right) – Siano’s pet pitcher finally makes the list! He threw a no-hitter last
year and has dropped his ERA nearly two full runs over the past two seasons,
despite a dip in his groundball rates and no meaningful improvement in his walk
rates. With an improved offense and a strong defense behind him in a great pitchers’ park,
Sanchez should be at least be a solid #3 this season, but without cutting his
walk rate from the mid-4’s at least to the mid-3’s, he could see his ERA
stagnate in the mid 3’s.

So, to summarize, here’s how
I rank them for 2011:

 

1. Johnson,
Josh

2. Liriano,
Francisco
(by a nose over Gallardo)

3. Gallardo,
Yovani

4. Sanchez,
Jonathan

5. Cueto,
Johnny (edges out Marcum on youth and upside)

6. Marcum,
Shaun

7. Hammel,
Jason

8. Jurrjens,
Jair

9. Gorzelanny,
Tom

10. Pelfrey, Mike

11. Matsuzaka, Daisuke

12. Dickey, R.A.

13. Lannan, John

14. Blackburn, Nick

15.
Feldman, Scott

 

As
mentioned above, we pointed out Johnson last year as a top
“near-miss” from the list, and this year’s list of close calls is
particularly intriguing. While none of these five pitchers have the 500 career
innings we use for the List of 12 cutoff, all are close enough, and trending in
the right direction, to be excellent choices for this season: Dallas Braden (473.1
career IP), Clayton Kershaw (483.0), Hiroki Kuroda (497.0 IP),
Anibal Sanchez
(477.0) and C.J. Wilson (484.2).

 

Enjoy!

Cory

 

Thanks from the 411!

Hey
everyone,

Just wanted
to thank all of you who participated in the 411 this year, whether it be
through the blog, Twitter or e-mail. The best part of the shows, in my opinion,
were the viewer question segments, and there were plenty of great questions to
choose from throughout the season. No Network show during the offseason but the
podcasts will return in November, probably on a twice a week basis. Until then,
feel free to post your questions and/or comments right here on the blog or
contact us on Twitter @fantasy411, @schwartzstops or @jbmlb. Below are links to a bunch
of recent blog posts:

Top 10 by position for 2011

2010 All-Surprise and All-Disappointment Teams

2010 All-Fantasy Team

Zach unveils his 2010 All-Comeback Team

And last
but certainly not least, congratulations to our listener league winners:

411 league:
Zack Stair (aka Zack from Philly)

Ron Cey
league: Zach Steinhorn (Me) 

Paul C.
Smith league: Steve Burkett

Marzano
league: Fred Moseley (aka Fred in Cali)

 

Thanks
again,

Zach

2010 All-Comeback Team

Soto.jpg
By Zach Steinhorn

It’s no secret that drafting proven players while their
value is low is one of the keys to building a championship team. Every season,
there are plenty of guys who, despite boasting solid big league track records,
are undervalued on draft day due to either health concerns or poor performance
the previous year. Owners should never be afraid to take a chance on these
players so long as the price is right. Now presenting the 2010 All-Comeback Team.
 

 

C  
Geovany Soto   Cubs

 

One of the
biggest busts of 2009, Soto redeemed himself in a huge way this season, looking
a lot more like the player who took home Rookie of the Year honors in ’08. The
Cubs backstop got off to a red hot start, batting .340 in April, and finished
2010 with a very solid line of .280-17-53. Although his streaky ways can be
frustrating, Soto is a safe bet for quality power numbers at a thin position
and is arguably a top-5 fantasy catcher heading into 2011. In other words,
don’t expect to draft him at a bargain this time around.

 

1B  
Aubrey Huff   Giants

 

You just
never know what you’re going to get from Huff from year to year. Maybe all he
needed was the excitement of playing for a postseason-contending team. Maybe
all he needed was the motivation of playing for a new contract. Whatever the
reason, Huff enjoyed one of his finest seasons to date. The first-year
Giant sported a career-best .385 on-base percentage and surpassed the 25-home run mark for just the second time in the last six seasons.
Having gone undrafted in the majority of mixed leagues following an awful 2009
campaign, Huff easily outperformed a number of mid-round first basemen,
including Derrek Lee, Lance Berkman and Carlos Pena. Go figure. Considering
Huff’s inconsistent track record, be careful not to overvalue him on draft day
2011.

 

2B  
Rickie Weeks   Brewers

 

Health, not
talent, has always been the question with Weeks, but in 2010 it wasn’t an
issue at all. Although Weeks doesn’t quite fit under the “established track
record” category, he had shown flashes of stardom before. The problem was that
he had yet to play more than 129 games in a season. Well, the 28-year-old
second baseman was finally injury-free and proved exactly why he was such a
highly regarded prospect, batting .269 with 29 homers, 83 RBIs, 112 runs scored
and 11 steals in 160 games. Look, there’s little doubt the guy can put up
strong numbers, but the number that will always matter most for Weeks is the
one under the column labeled “G”.

 

 SS   Jose Reyes  
Mets

 

Entering
drafts this past spring, nobody epitomized the term “high-risk high-reward”
much like Reyes, the former top-5 overall pick who was limited to just 36 games
in 2009 due to a myriad of leg injuries. Spending a fifth round pick on the
Mets’ speedster would either prove to be a huge steal (no pun intended) or a
huge waste. Turns out that fifth round is about where Reyes will go next year,
and I’d be more than glad to take him in that spot. While the days of 60-plus
steals are probably over, Jose remains a safe bet for 30-35 steals to go along
with double-digit homers and a solid average…and that’s a conservative
projection. Sure, he remains a health risk, but how many other shortstops can
offer that type of production?

Beltre_adrian_bos.jpg

3B  
Adrian Beltre   Red Sox

 

What a wise
decision by Beltre to sign a one-year deal with Boston coming off the worst
season of his career both performance-wise and health-wise. With the Red Sox,
the veteran third baseman would get the chance to restore his stock in hopes of
inking a lucrative long-term contract at year’s end. The plan worked to
perfection. Aided by a far superior supporting lineup than the one he had in Seattle, Beltre eclipsed the 100-RBI plateau for the first time since 2004. Oh yeah, then there’s
the 28 homers and gaudy .321 average through 154 games. Beltre’s a career .275
hitter, so a considerable drop-off in the average department can be expected in
2011. That said, aside from 2009, Adrian
has been one of the more consistent options at the hot corner over the past
decade. For owners willing to wait until the mid-rounds to draft their third
baseman, Beltre will make for a fine choice.

OF   Alex
Rios   White Sox

 

Words
cannot describe how poorly Rios performed following his trade to the Windy City
last August, so I’ll try to explain it through numbers. In 41 games, he batted
.199 with three homers, nine RBIs, 11 runs scored and a .530 OPS. We can now
safely call his entire 2009 season, in which he hit just .247, an aberration.
In 147 games this year, Rios batted .284 with 21 homers, 88 RBIs, 89
runs scored and 34 steals. While the chances are slim of Rios ever living up to
the 30-plus home run hype that came with his callup to the big leagues, he’s
established himself as a steady five-category contributor. Continue to think of
him as an annual 20/20 threat and expect an average in the .280-.290 range.

 

OF  
Corey Hart   Brewers

 

Talk about
a value pick, you’d be hard-pressed to find a better example than Hart. Fresh
off an injury-plagued 2009 campaign, the 28-year-old’s fantasy stock plummeted
as he went from top-25 outfielder to late-round flier. Remember, this is the
same guy who strung together two consecutive 20/20 seasons from 2007-2008.
Forgetting about him proved to be a huge mistake. While Hart’s speed all
but disappeared (just seven steals in 145 games), he took a huge step
forward in the power department, posting career highs in homers, RBIs and runs.
Owners who bought low on Hart deserve a round of applause.

  

OF  
Vernon
Wells   Blue Jays

 

Good year,
bad year, good year, bad year. This has been the story of Wells’ career. By
now, most fantasy GMs are tired of riding the Wells roller-coaster, but in 2010
the ride was a rather smooth one. The talented Toronto outfielder enjoyed just his second 30-home
run season in seven years and his .515 slugging percentage was his highest
since 2006. That said, I personally will not be targeting the inconsistent Wells
in drafts next spring. Roller-coasters are not my thing.

 

SP  
Cole Hamels   Phillies

 

World
Series MVP hangover, hidden injury? Whatever it was, Hamels just wasn’t himself
in ’09, looking nothing like the dominant ace who carried the Phillies to their
first title in 28 years. This is exactly why it’s never a good idea to
overvalue starting pitching on draft day. Even the upper-tier guys are
unpredictable from season to season. On the other hand, it is a good idea to
draft ace-caliber pitchers at a discount. Hamels rewarded his clever owners
with a 3.06 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP to go
along with 211 strikeouts in 33 starts. Greinke in the 3rd
round or Hamels in the 10th? Back in March, the decision was tough.
Now, it’s easy.

 

RP  
Brad Lidge   Phillies

 

We were all
scared to death to draft Lidge this year, and for good reason. His 2009
performance was, plain and simple, the worst 31-save season ever. The fact that
the club for the most part stuck with him defied all common sense. I hate to
use clichés but I’ll say it anyway: what a difference a year makes! While he is
far from the lights out closer who went a perfect 41-for-41 back in ’08, Lidge
has re-established himself as a solid mid-tier fantasy stopper, sporting a 2.96
ERA and a 1.23 WHIP in 50 appearances. He’ll still have those dreadful outings
from time to time, but I don’t anticipate another dreadful season.

Pitch or Ditch for Friday, October 1

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 15.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

2010 All-Surprise and All-Disappointment Teams

2010 All-Fantasy Team

Richard_clayton.jpg
CORY’S PICKS

Porcello @
Tillman

Pettitte @ Matsuzaka
– do you trust either? Not me!

Weaver @
Holland

Carmona @ Pena – solid
comeback year for Carmona (Lo12 guy!)

Shields @ Chen – good
matchup for Shields

Romero @ Pavano -
spike in Romero’s walk rate suggests he’s gassed

Cahill @
French

Rogers @
Wood

Maholm @
Mendez

Zimmermann @
Misch

Kendrick @
Beachy

Coleman @
Norris – one more shot on Bud

De La Rosa @
Westbrook

Kroenke @
Ely

Richard @ Zito
– Richard too erratic lately, and on the road, to trust

***Zach says “I’d ditch Pavano in a tough matchup vs. TOR. He’s been flat out awful over his last two starts (12.00 ERA). Richard is a tough call but coming off poor outing I’ll agree with Cory and say ditch.”

Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, September 29

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 15.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

2010 All-Surprise and All-Disappointment Teams

2010 All-Fantasy Team

Cueto_2.jpg
CORY’S PICKS

Vargas @ Harden -
time to draw the curtain on the surprising hit that was the Vargas
show

Cramer @
Pineiro

Verlander @
Tomlin

Pettitte @ Cecil -
Cecil is 3-0 in September with a 7.40 ERA. Don’t chase
wins!

Millwood @
Niemann

Beckett @ F.
Garcia

Baker @
Hochevar

McDonald
@
Walters

Kershaw @
Chacin
– Chacin could shut
out the offensively putrid Dodgers

Gallardo @
Dickey

Bush @
Niese

Miller @
Lowe

Blanton @
Detwiler

Figueroa @ Cueto -
Cueto a huge coin-toss, I’d play it safe

Wells @ Young – Wells is
hot again, so pick on the weak Padres offense

Kennedy @
Bumgarner

***Zach says “I’d be careful with Beckett @ home run haven U.S. Cellular…pitch only if you have to. Pitch on Cueto. Last outing was as bad as it gets but he was coming off five straight quality starts and Astros’ lineup still mediocre. Agree on rest.”

 

Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, September 28

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 15.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

2010 All-Surprise and All-Disappointment Teams

2010 All-Fantasy Team

Wolf_2010.jpg
CORY’S PICKS

Scherzer @
Talbot

Sabathia @
Drabek

Bergesen @
Price

King
Felix
@ Feldman – Felix
could lead the Majors in ERA and K’s

Lackey @ Jackson -
gambling on Lackey as White Sox play out the string

Blackburn @
O’Sullivan

Braden @
Haren

Oswalt @
Marquis

An. Sanchez @ Minor -
both might be toast this year, play it safe

Wandy @
Volquez

Wolf @ Niese – Wolf on
fire down the stretch

Burres @
Suppan

Kuroda @
Francis

Dempster @ Latos -
Dempster’s last 6 starts: 3 shutout, 3 disaster. Flip the
coin.

R. Lopez @ J.
Sanchez

***Zach says “Blackburn cruising of late. I’d pitch him @ KC. Agree on rest.”

***Siano saysBlackburn
is red hot and it’s the Royals, pitch. Agree on rest.”

 

A Few Articles to Check Out

Hey everyone,

Over the past several weeks I’ve written a series of articles for Fantasy Goodness, a blog run by the guys at our fantasy department. Just thought I’d share these with 411 Nation!

Good luck to all of you who are still in contention. Remember, every extra run and RBI counts. 10 days left…

-Zach

Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, September 25-27

Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.

__________________________________________________________________________________

PoD chart September 15.pdf

Top 10 by position for 2011

2010 All-Surprise and All-Disappointment Teams

2010 All-Fantasy Team

Jurrjens.jpg
ZACH’S PICKS

SATURDAY

Guthrie @
Romero - Guthrie coming off rough start vs. NYY…I’m sitting this one out

Holland @
Gonzalez

Lester @
Nova – Playing it safe and ditching Nova

Greinke @
Gomez

Pavano @
Bonderman

Fister @
Garza – Fister great at home but awful on the road this year (4.96 ERA)

Danks @
Kazmir – Kazmir pitching OK lately but he’s still DTM in my book

Carpenter @
Coleman

Lowe @
Maya – Lowe 8 IP 0 ER 12 K last start vs. Nats

Wood @
Garland – Johnny Sinkers excellent at home (3.10 ERA)

Gee @
Kendrick

Norris @
Duke – Great matchup for Norris

Volstad @
Narveson – Both high-risk medium-reward

Zito @
Hammel – I don’t trust Zito in Coors

Ely @ D.
Hudson

 

SUNDAY

Chen @
Carmona

Duensing @
Porcello

TBD @
Marcum

French @
Shields – Big Game James so inconsistent but it’s the Mariners!

Pena @
Weaver

Lewis @
Cahill

Matsuzaka @
Hughes – I don’t trust either

Jurrjens @
Livan – Jurrjens too erratic right now

Pelfrey @
Hamels – Tough test for Big Pelf but I think he’s up for it

Happ @
Maholm

Mendez @
Capuano

Westbrook @
Samardzija

Cain @ De La
Rosa

Bailey @
Richard
– Pitch Homer if you’re feeling lucky

Billingsley @
Saunders – Saundo not a bad gamble vs. awful Dodgers’ lineup

 

MONDAY

Galarraga @
Carrasco – Galarraga too inconsistent lately

Burnett @
Rzepczynski – This one could get ugly for Burnett

Matusz @
Davis – Davis lights out in September (3.10 ERA)

Pauley @
Wilson

Buchholz @
Buehrle – Buehrle slumping lately…I’ll pass

Baker @
Davies – Baker a worthy risk vs. weak lineup

Anderson @ Big
Erv

Halladay @
Lannan

Sanabia @
Minor

Bush @
Niese – Good spot for Bush…Niese breaking down

Morton @
Lohse

Lilly @
Jimenez

Zambrano @
Stauffer

 

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