Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, September 11-13
Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.
__________________________________________________________________________________
SATURDAY
Davis @ Romero
Guthrie @
Scherzer
Davies @ Jackson
Blackburn @
Carrasco
Burnett @ Hunter – too risky for
either
Lackey @
Anderson
King Felix @ Big
Erv – overall Big Erv has been solid
this year if a little erratic
An.
Sanchez @
Marquis
Kendrick @
Pelfrey
Bumgarner @
Stauffer
Westbrook @
Hanson
Ely @ Wandy
Dempster @ Wolf – Dempster very
risky, only if chasing K’s and wins
Morton @
Harang
R. Lopez @ Jimenez
ZACH’S PICKS
SUNDAY
Tillman @
Verlander
Slowey @
Talbot – Not a Slowey fan but this is a decent matchup for him if you need wins
Niemann @
Marcum – Niemann absolutely awful of late
O’Sullivan @ F.
Garcia – Favorable spot for Freddy but let’s take the conservative route
Moseley @
Lee – Lee no sure thing vs. Yanks but how can you bench him?
Vargas @
Haren – Vargas slumping lately and much better at home (2.58 ERA) than on the road (5.27 ERA)
Beckett @
Braden – Still don’t trust Beckett but this is a great matchup
Oswalt @
Niese – Niese = high-risk medium-reward…ditch
Burres @
Cueto
Volstad @
Zimmermann – Zim not a bad gamble if you’re willing to roll the dice
Padilla @
Figueroa – Figueroa a decent option in deeper formats vs. erratic Dodgers lineup
Coleman @
Gallardo
Kennedy @
Chacin – Kennedy on a roll but I’m passing on the HR prone pitcher at Coors
Lincecum @ Latos
Lohse @ T.
Hudson
MONDAY
Gonzalez @
Bannister
Rzepczynski @
Matusz – Matusz pitching well but he’s a risky play here
Sabathia @
Price – Cy Young showdown!
Lester @
Fister - Fister great at home but I’d be careful here
Maya @
Lowe – Lowe extremely inconsistent this year and offers little upside
Enright @
Arroyo - Enright coming off his worst start of the year
McDonald @ TBD - McDonald an OK option in deeper formats
Blanton @
Miller – Blanton locked in right now but too erratic to trust
Narveson @
Myers – Narveson worth using here
Silva @ J.
Garcia – I’m willing to give Garcia another chance
Luebke @ Francis
Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, September 9
Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Floyd @ Porcello -
Porcello OK if risking ratios to chase wins
Lewis @ S. Hill -
Lewis should bounce back but play it safe here
Wood @ Hammel – see
Porcello… high-risk, high reward on both, Hammel in
particular
Wainwright @
Jurrjens – hang with
‘em
Lilly @ Norris – can’t
risk Bud right now
Cain @
Garland – Garland fine at
home
***Siano says “Agree
on all. CS says it so smoothly I can’t make it any better.”
Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, September 4-6
Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.
__________________________________________________________________________________
SATURDAY
Rzepczynski @ Vazquez
- not risking Vazquez in his rotation return
Weaver @
Cahill
Lewis @
Pavano
Shields @ Guthrie -
both present plenty of risk and reward… gamble accordingly
Floyd @
Lackey – Siano-style
gut-check on Lackey… strong finisher
Porcello @
Chen
Talbot @
Pauley
Mejia @
Coleman
Wood @
Wainwright – conservatism dictates “ditch” on Wood
Hammel @ Garland -
Johnny Sinkers worth using at home
Bush @
Halladay
Lannan @
Maholm
Jurrjens @
Johnson – Jair coming off terrible start and struggles on the
road
Norris @ R. Lopez – Norris
risky in Arizona but big upside here
Cain @
Lilly
SUNDAY
Cecil @ Hughes -
high-risk,
high-reward on both
Buehrle @
Beckett
Davis @ Matusz
- Matusz is on a roll, go with it
Galarraga @ Davies – Galarraga
hot and Royals not
Wilson @
Blackburn
Big
Erv
@ Mazzaro – don’t trust Erv but it’s the A’s
Masterson @ King
Felix
Minor @
Sanabia
Wolf @
Kendrick
Marquis @
Morton
Bailey @
Carpenter
Niese @ Zambrano -
don’t trust Zambrano AT ALL
De La Rosa @
Richard
Happ @ Saunders – Happ
risky but has been red hot with Astros
J. Sanchez @
Kuroda
MONDAY
Jackson @
Scherzer -
awesome
Arrieta @ Burnett -
don’t trust A.J. just yet
Hunter @
Romero – don’t trust Hunter vs. homer-happy Jays
O’Sullivan @
Liriano
Vargas @
Anderson
Niemann @
Lester
Carrasco @
Haren – Carrasco sharp his first time, let’s see it
again
Pelfrey @ Zimmermann
- both risky but Zimmermann has upside
An. Sanchez @
Oswalt
Hanson
@
Karstens – hope you didn’t give up on Hanson!
Westbrook @
Gallardo – Gallardo should be
OK, hang with ‘em
Wandy @
Dempster
Harang @
Jimenez
Bumgarner @
Kennedy
Volstad @
TBD
Monasterios @ LeBlanc
- LeBlanc too homer-prone right now, even at home
***Siano says:
SAT:
Pitch Shields (red hot), ditch Norris (don’t trust enough here). Agree on
rest.
SUN:
Wade Davis looks like he has his feet back under him. I’d trot him out there.
Agree on all, even Big Z.
MON:
I’m sticking with AJ coming off season high 8 Ks. Agree on
rest.
***Zach says “Pitch Shields (on a roll), ditch Norris (don’t trust him), pitch Big Z (I like picking on the Mets lineup). Agree on the rest of Cory’s picks.”
Updated POD Category Chart (9/2)
Hey guys,
Hot off the press, here’s our updated Pitch or Ditch category chart:
Notice that we’re becoming stricter graders as the season winds down. As Cory likes to say, now is the time to be conservative since many of you are rapidly approaching innings limits.
Just a reminder as to how the chart works:
We’ve
divided all the starting
pitchers in the Majors into four groups:
Aces, Pitch or Ditch graduates, Pitch or Ditch guys and DTM’s (players
you shouldn’t even think about starting right now). Keep in mind that these
classifications are geared towards 12-team mixed leagues. In all likelihood, we’ll be making one more update to the chart before the 2010 campaign comes to a close.
Agree? Disagree? Let’s hear from you!
-Zach
Pitch or Ditch for Friday, September 3
Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.
__________________________________________________________________________________
PoD chart August 10.pdf UPDATED CHART COMING SOON!
Morrow @ Nova – go with
Morrow in his final start
Garza @
Millwood
Danks @
Buchholz – did you know
Buchholz leads the MAJORS in ERA?!
Bonderman @
Greinke
Holland @
Blackburn
Kazmir @ G.
Gonzalez
Carmona @
Pauley
Dickey @ Wells
-
Wells erratic but good matchup.
Capuano @
Hamels
Livan @ Duke -
Livan’s ERA at a season high… finally going pumpkin?
Kawakami @
Miller
Arroyo @ J.
Garcia
Myers @ D.
Hudson
Cook @
Luebke
Zito @
Billingsley
***Siano says:
Ditch
on Morrow. Yanks have given him some decent beatings in NY.
Yes
I did know Clay led MLB in ERA.
Pitch Carmona. Mariners literally can’t hit.
Agree
on rest.
Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, September 2
Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.
__________________________________________________________________________________
PoD chart August 10.pdf UPDATED CHART COMING SOON!
Braden @
Sabathia – Braden risky but he’s on a roll…pitch if you’re willing to gamble
Dice-K @
Bergesen – Dice-K a bit shaky of late but K rate consistently strong
Verlander @
Baker – Baker coming off two straight stellar outings and at home
Tomlin @
Fister – Fister excellent at home this year (2.99 ERA)
J. Santana @ T.
Hudson – Nice!
Blanton @
Chacin – Blanton pitching well lately but this could get ugly
CORY’S PICKS
Braden
@ Sabathia – Braden too risky at the Yankees
Dice-K
@ Bergesen – Dice-K a reasonable gamble for chasing K’s and wins
Verlander @ Baker – Baker a
big disappointment this year and not trustworthy
Tomlin
@ Fister – good matchup for Fister at home vs. weak offense
J.
Santana @ T. Hudson
Blanton
@ Chacin – Blanton pitching well, but risky in COL
Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, September 1
Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.
__________________________________________________________________________________
PoD chart August 10.pdf UPDATED CHART COMING SOON!
F.
Garcia @ Tomlin – good
matchup for the Chief to get back on track
Lester @
Arrieta
Anderson @ Burnett – A.J. is
no longer trustworthy
Marcum @
Price
Scherzer @
Liriano
Hunter
@
Bullington – Hunter very risky but K.C. is a weak matchup
Bell @ Vargas
- gotta take Vargas at home
Suppan @
Figueroa
McDonald @ Gorzelanny
- both worth gambling if chasing K’s and willing to risk the ratios
Oswalt @
Kershaw
Latos @
Enright – Enright >
Ely
Narveson @
Cueto
Pelfrey @
Hanson
Olsen @
Volstad
Jimenez @
Lincecum – Lincecum was
probably the 1st or 2nd SP drafted in most leagues so I’m sticking with
him
***Siano says:
-Anderson
showed up on 911, ditch.
-I’m OK with AJ even though it’s probably
a dumb move.
-My
sleeper pick of the year = Trevor Bell.
-I
like McDonald here but definitely risky, last start was not his fault, blame
Milledge.
-Pelfrey
hot hand and risky so quite the conundrum, I’m leaning towards
ditch.
Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, August 31
Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Beckett @
Matusz – I just don’t trust Beckett despite favorable matchup.
Jackson @
Masterson
Mazzaro @
Hughes – Mazzaro’s been pitching well enough of late that I’ll throw him out there, even @NYY.
Romero @
Niemann – After imploding last time out, I’m sitting Niemann vs. hard-hitting Jays.
Galarraga @
Duensing – Galarraga’s home/road ERA splits are drastic…3.11 at home vs. 6.44 on road.
Lee @
O’Sullivan
Haren @ King
Felix
Gallardo @
Harang – Welcome back, Harangatang! Now let’s see you earn PoD consideration.
Niese @
Minor
Zimmermann @ An.
Sanchez
Karstens @
Dempster
Carpenter @
Wandy
Correia @
Kennedy – Can Kennedy dominate Pads in back-to-back starts? We’ll see.
Kendrick @
Monasterios
Rogers @
Bumgarner
CORY’S PICKS
Beckett @ Matusz – Matusz
better lately, but conservatism rules this time of year
Jackson @
Masterson
Mazzaro @
Hughes – Hughes better on the road, but it’s the
A’s
Romero @ Niemann – Niemann
fading even before the DL stint
Galarraga @
Duensing – Duensing very tough at home
Lee @ O’Sullivan -
perfect fit for Lee to rebound
Haren @ King
Felix
Gallardo @
Harang
Niese @ Minor
- Niese very erratic, OK only if chasing wins over
ERA/WHIP
Zimmermann @ An.
Sanchez
Karstens @
Dempster
Carpenter @
Wandy
Correia @
Kennedy
Kendrick @
Monasterios
Rogers @ Bumgarner
- Bumgarner strangely struggling at home, but Rox awful on the
road
Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, August 28-30
Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.
__________________________________________________________________________________
SATURDAY
Bonderman
@ Morrow
Blackburn @
Fister
Greinke @
Gomez
Sabathia
@ Danks
Buchholz
@ Garza
Braden
@ Harden
Millwood
@ Kazmir
Blanton
@ Garland
Lohse @
Livan
Wells @
Arroyo
Nolasco
@ T. Hudson
Myers @
J. Santana
Duke @
Capuano
Billingsley @
Chacin
D.
Hudson @ Zito
SUNDAY
Chen @
Carmona
Porcello @
Rzepczynski – Porcello still too erratic to trust
Nova @
Floyd
G. Gonzalez @
Lewis
Guthrie @
Weaver – Guthrie OK if chasing wins/K’s while risking
ERA/WHIP
Pavano @
Fister
Lackey @
Shields – I don’t trust either, but if you are in gambling mode, gamble
here
Coleman @
Volquez
Norris @
Dickey – Bud Norris
baby!
Johnson @
Lowe
Wainwright @
Lannan
Ohlendorf @
Bush
Lilly @ Hammel – Hammel a
decent gamble here if you must
R. Lopez @
Cain
Hamels @ Richard -
Richard still getting
it done at home
MONDAY
Buehrle @ Talbot – good
matchup for Buehrle
Cahill @ Moseley -
have to trust Cahill’s results, and gamble on Moseley vs. the
A’s
Cecil @ Davis – have to
trust Cecil’s results
Wilson @ Davies – Wilson
surprising me by lasting this late into the season
Big Erv @ King
Felix – I don’t trust Big
Erv, but it’s the M’s
Misch @
Jurrjens
Wolf @
Wood
Marquis @
Sanabia
Maholm @ Zambrano -
do you trust Zambrano? Not me
Westbrook @ Happ – Westbrook
loving life in the NL so far
LeBlanc @ Saunders -
not using LeBlanc on the road
Halladay @
Kuroda
De La Rosa @ J.
Sanchez
Pitch or Ditch for Friday, August 27
Pitch
or Ditch is a strategy for (ideally) daily mixed leagues in which you
pick up
starters on a day-to-day basis based on how well they are pitching and
their
upcoming matchups, then cut them in favor of new guys the next day. The
concept
is that the shallower the league, the more quality starting pitching is
available on the free agent wire, so rather than drafting expensive
starters,
it’s better to build a strong offense and bullpen and let the free agent
wire
populate your starting staff during the season. As a bonus, a handful of
“PoD”
guys emerge each year as worth keeping all year long, like Jair Jurrjens
last
year or Cliff Lee in ’08.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Bullington @
Tomlin
Verlander @
Marcum
Lester @
Price
Anderson @
Hunter – bounceback for
Hunter last time makes him safe vs. A’s
Burnett @ F. Garcia -
cover up the names; Burnett’s inconsistency makes him
untrustworthy
Bergesen @
Bell
Baker @ Vargas -
see above, then substitute “Baker” for “Burnett”
J.
Garcia @
Olsen
Gorzelanny @
Cueto – Gorzo OK for those who can risk ERA/WHIP to chase K’s and
wins
Figueroa @
Pelfrey – not sure Pelfrey is “back” but 3 straight QS earn this
one
Volstad @
Hanson
McDonald @
Narveson
Kershaw @
Jimenez
Oswalt @
Latos – enjoy Latos while
he lasts!
Enright @
Lincecum – I’ll take my
chances with Lincecum to the end
***Zach says “I might gamble on Baker in a very favorable matchup @ SEA, but then again he’s burned me so many times this year that I wouldn’t blame you for ditching him. Agree on rest.”

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