Archive for the ‘ Uncategorized ’ Category

Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, June 15

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Derek Holland

ZACH’S PICKS

Nova @ Bettis

Kershaw @ Corbin – Corbin has been very inconsistent this year.

Nicolino @ Perdomo

Nelson @ Cueto

Hammel @ Strasburg

Estrada @ Hellickson – Scary matchup for Hellickson.

Gausman @ S. Wright

DeSclafani @ Norris – DeSclafani was solid in his season debut and this matchup is as good as it gets.

Locke @ Syndergaard

Karns @ Smyly – Karns has really struggled of late. I’ll play it safe here. Smyly not pitching too well either but I’m more confident in him.

McHugh @ Wainwright

Pelfrey @ Sale

Kluber @ Kennedy – My confidence level in Kennedy is very low right now.

Duffey @ Santiago

Holland @ S. Gray – Holland was disappointing in his last outing but he was coming off four straight quality starts and the A’s rank in the bottom third of the AL in runs, homers and OPS.

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Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, June 14

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Brandon Finnegan

ZACH’S PICKS

Eflin @ Stroman – Favorable matchup for the struggling Stroman but he’s still too risky right now for 12-team mixed league purposes.

Lackey @ G. Gonzalez

Tillman @ Price

Finnegan @ Teheran – Ideal matchup for Finnegan versus the lowest-scoring offense in the Majors.

Taillon @ deGrom

Walker @ Odorizzi

Zimmermann @ M. Gonzalez

Tomlin @ Young – I still don’t trust Tomlin.

Fister @ Garcia – Fister pitching very well but this matchup is too dangerous. Playing it safe with the recently inconsistent Garcia.

Eovaldi @ J. De La Rosa – Staying away from Eovaldi here.

Maeda @ Bradley

Big Erv @ Chacin

M. Perez @ Surkamp – Four straight quality starts for Perez and I like this matchup.

Koehler @ Pomeranz – Favorable matchup for Koehler, who has been solid of late.

Garza @ Bumgarner

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Zach’s Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 6/13

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Happy Friday!

After last week’s blog-only two-start pitcher post, we’re now back to the customary routine. Here’s a portion of my latest article. For the complete version, click on the link at the bottom of this post.

Wei-Yin Chen

12-team mixed leagues

Wei-Yin Chen (@SD, vs. COL)

The normally consistent Chen has been anything but consistent in his first season with the Marlins. The 30-year-old southpaw’s most recent outing (5 1/3 IP, 9 H, 5 ER @MIN) marked the third time in his last four tries that he has failed to notch a quality start. But Chen’s steady track record, which includes a career 3.80 ERA and 1.25 WHIP, suggests that going forward, better results are likely. And those better results could come as soon as next week. The Padres rank 28th in the Majors in OPS, and while the Rockies rank 3rd in this category overall, the Colorado lineup has been far less potent on the road, placing 16th in OPS away from Coors Field.

Deeper mixed leagues

Chase Anderson (@SF, @LAD)

Since allowing six earned runs over five innings in a May 5 outing against the Reds, Anderson has pieced together six straight starts of three earned runs or fewer. Both the Dodgers and Giants have gotten off to slow starts offensively this month, ranking 12th and 15th, respectively, in the NL in OPS. Anderson is a must-start in all deep mixed leagues for next week and even deserves consideration in some 12-team formats.

To read the full article, CLICK HERE

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Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, June 11-13

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Tigers Orioles Baseball

ZACH’S PICKS

SATURDAY

Nola @ Roark

M. Wright @ Happ – I don’t like this matchup for Happ.

E. Rodriguez @ Gibson – Favorable matchup for Rodriguez.

Young @ Quintana

Arrieta @ Wisler – Wisler could struggle here.

Fiers @ Archer – Archer continues to make me nervous though.

Verrett @ Peralta – Verrett an intriguing deep-league option.

Graveman @ Straily

E. Johnson @ Chatwood – Pitching Chatwood at home is risky but the Padres rank in the bottom third of the NL in runs, batting average and OPS.

Verlander @ Tanaka

Kazmir @ Samardzija

C. Martinez @ Liriano – Liriano cannot be trusted right now, especially in a difficult matchup like this one.

Bauer @ Shoemaker – Bauer is on a roll and the Angels are not. I’ll stick with Shoemaker.

Fernandez @ Godley

Lewis @ Paxton – Lewis too risky versus potent Mariners lineup. I need to see one more strong outing from Paxton before I can feel comfortable pitching him in 12-team mixed leagues.

SUNDAY

Jimenez @ Ar. Sanchez

Keuchel @ Moore – Favorable matchup for the inconsistent Keuchel.

Manaea @ Lamb – Lamb has been dominant over his last two starts and the A’s offense is sub-par.

Lester @ C. Kelly

Fulmer @ Pineda – Fulmer’s last four starts: 4-0, 0.32 ERA, 0.64 WHIP, 27 K’s in 28 1/3 IP. Enough said.

Porcello @ Dean

Duffy @ Carroll – Going for it with Duffy. White Sox rank in the bottom third of the AL in runs, batting average and OPS.

Matz @ Davies

Salazar @ Huff

Morgan @ J. Ross

Conley @ Ray – Tough matchup for Conley but he’s been pitching better of late.

Friedrich @ Butler

Hamels @ Miley

Leake @ Niese – Both are more suitable for deeper leagues for this matchup.

Urias @ Peavy

MONDAY

Hendricks @ Scherzer

Eickhoff @ Dickey – Tough matchup for Eickhoff though. Dickey worth considering in deeper formats.

D. Wright @ Blair

Boyd @ Shields – Anyone feel comfortable pitching Shields right now? Anyone?

Carrasco @ Volquez

Bolsinger @ Greinke

Nolasco @ Weaver

Ramos @ Manaea

Chen @ Rea – Great matchup for Chen.

Ch. Anderson @ Cain – Anderson 3 ER or fewer in each of his last six starts.

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Pitch or Ditch for Friday, June 10

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Cubs Brewers Baseball

ZACH’S PICKS

Pelfrey @ Sabathia – CC is on quite a roll but this matchup is a bit too scary for my liking.

Hellickson @ Strasburg – Not a good matchup for Hellickson.

Wacha @ Cole – I’ll play it safe and sit Wacha here.

Gausman @ Estrada

McCullers @ Andriese – I’m now confident enough in McCullers to pitch him here.

S. Gray @ DeSclafani – Keep an eye on DeSclafani going forward though.

Hammel @ Norris

S. Wright @ Duffey

Kennedy @ Sale – Dangerous matchup for the home run prone Kennedy. I’ll pass.

Harvey @ Guerra – Gotta go with Guerra versus Mets offense that ranks 28th in the Majors in runs scored this season.

Cashner @ J. Gray – Gray a decent option in deeper formats though.

Nicolino @ Corbin – Need to see a little more consistency from Corbin.

Kluber @ Santiago

Holland @ Iwakuma – Holland a toss-up but I’m wary of the M’s offense.

Kershaw @ Cueto – Nice!

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Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, June 9

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Tom Koehler

ZACH’S PICKS

McHugh @ M. Perez – Too risky of a matchup for both.

Locke @ Bettis

Chacin @ Nova

T. Wilson @ Stroman – Stroman is struggling and this is a tough matchup.

Wainwright @ Finnegan – Wainwright has looked much better of late. Finnegan worth monitoring but this matchup scares me.

Koehler @ Big Erv – Koehler 3 ER or fewer in each of his last six starts and the Twins rank 27th in the Majors in runs scored.

Colon @ Nelson

G. Gonzalez @ M. Gonzalez

Tomlin @ Karns – I don’t trust Tomlin. I still trust Karns.

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Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, June 8

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Reds Brewers Baseball

ZACH’S PICKS

Lackey @ Velasquez – Velasquez struggling of late and this is a dangerous matchup.

Dickey @ Zimmermann

Teheran @ Pomeranz

Odorizzi @ Bradley – Bradley has earned it.

Volquez @ Tillman

Weaver @ Eovaldi – Weaver worth considering in deeper formats though.

Syndergaard @ Taillon – Taillon has dominated in the Minors this year, so I’ll go for it in his MLB debut.

Garcia @ Simon

Fister @ Darvish – Fister has been on quite a roll but Rangers rank 2nd in the Majors in runs scored at home. I’ll pass.

Chen @ Nolasco

Hahn @ Ch. Anderson – Anderson sports a 2.97 ERA and 0.73 WHIP over his last five starts and the A’s rank in the bottom third of the Majors in both runs and OPS.

Scherzer @ Shields – Tough matchup for Shields in his ChiSox debut.

Carrasco @ Walker – Not concerned about Walker yet.

Rusin @ Maeda

Price @ Bumgarner

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Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, June 7

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Adam Conley

ZACH’S PICKS

Hendricks @ Eickhoff – I like Eickhoff but I’ll steer clear of him for this matchup.

Ventura @ Jimenez – Slugfest alert!

Huff @ Pineda – Need to see more consistency from Pineda.

Matz @ Niese (Gm 1) – Niese is on a roll.

deGrom @ Nicasio (Gm 2) – Nicasio cannot be trusted in 12-team mixed leagues.

Leake @ Lamb – Lamb worth monitoring but this is a scary matchup.

Ar. Sanchez @ Boyd

Keuchel @ Hamels – Keuchel still risky but he seems to be getting back on track.

Conley @ Dean – Conley has been inconsistent but this is a favorable matchup. Twins rank 27th in Majors in runs scored.

Manaea @ Davies – Manaea a toss-up here but I’ll play it safe.

J. Ross @ Latos

Moore @ Greinke

Blair @ Rea

Co. Anderson @ Miley

Butler @ Urias – Urias still a work in progress at the big league level.

Porcello @ Suarez

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Updated PoD Category Chart (6/3)

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Blue Jays Yankees Baseball

Zach here,

It’s been roughly a month since our last Pitch or Ditch category chart, which means it’s time for an updated version!

PoD Chart 6-3-16

For a number of years now, we have been posting these charts roughly once per month during the season, and longtime 411 fan Big Barry deserves a special acknowledgement for suggesting the framework of the idea. For those unfamiliar with the format, in an effort to help you make those all important Pitch or Ditch decisions and determine whether or not a certain player deserves to remain on your roster, we have divided all of the pitchers currently in starting rotations into four groups: Aces, Grads, PoD and Indifferent. Note that I’ve tweaked the definitions for this year, mainly lowering the bar for Grads. Also keep in mind that the chart is geared towards standard 12-team mixed leagues. And of course, a pitcher’s designation will likely fluctuate throughout the season (especially between PoD and Grad). With each updated version of the chart, we will list the changes made since the previous version.

Aces – Elite starters with the track record to prove it. These pitchers should be in your active lineups regardless of the matchup.

Grads – Pitchers who aren’t ace material but should not be dropped and should be started in the vast majority of matchups.

PoD – Consider adding these guys off the waiver wire to start in favorable matchups, but feel free to drop them afterwards if you need the roster spot.

Indifferent – These pitchers are too risky to trust in any matchup and should remain on the waiver wire.

Here are the notable changes since the last version from late-April:

PROMOTIONS

Tillman PoD to grad
S. Wright PoD to grad
Eovaldi PoD to grad
Hill PoD to grad
McHugh PoD to grad
Roark PoD to grad
Pomeranz PoD to grad
Happ PoD to grad

Sabathia indifferent to PoD
Fister indifferent to PoD
Locke indifferent to PoD
Foltynewicz indifferent to PoD
T. Wilson indifferent to PoD

DEMOTIONS

Keuchel ace to grad
Archer ace to grad

Pineda grad to PoD
Moore grad to PoD
Ventura grad to PoD
Eickhoff grad to PoD
Liriano grad to PoD
Corbin grad to PoD

Jimenez PoD to indifferent
Graveman PoD to indifferent

As usual, feel free to post your questions and/or comments.

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Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, June 4-6

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Marlins Rays Baseball

ZACH’S PICKS

SATURDAY

Escobar @ Hammel

Guerra @ Hellickson – I’ll take a chance on Guerra here in favorable matchup.

Tropeano @ Locke – Not a real believer in either of these guys.

Stroman @ S. Wright – Playing it safe with Stroman in tough matchup.

Sale @ Pelfrey

Colon @ Nicolino – Nicolino has been inconsistent for awhile now.

Hill @ McHugh – McHugh has pitched to a 3.38 ERA with 26 strikeouts over his last three starts (21 1/3 IP).

Andriese @ Big Erv – Four quality starts in five tries for Andriese and Twins rank next to last in the AL in OPS and are tied for last in runs scored. Erv a bit risky but I’ll go for it.

Strasburg @ Straily – Straily has been impressive overall but this is a dangerous matchup.

Kennedy @ Tomlin – Tomlin beginning to fall back down to earth.

Nova @ T. Wilson – Wilson a decent play in deeper leagues though versus struggling Yankees offense.

Samardzija @ Wacha – Wacha’s last start was somewhat encouraging.

Karns @ M. Perez – Tough matchup for Karns though. Perez a viable PoD option going forward but Mariners offense is too hot.

Foltynewicz @ Kershaw

Bettis @ Cashner – I’ll try Cashner at home.

SUNDAY

Quintana @ Verlander

Young @ Kluber – Not concerned about Kluber.

Harvey @ Fernandez – Is Harvey finally back?

Roark @ Moscot

Chacin @ Cole – Still wary of Chacin.

Peralta @ Nola

Sabathia @ Gausman – Not a good matchup for the resurgent Sabathia.

Estrada @ E. Rodriguez – Rodriguez was solid in his season debut.

Graveman @ McCullers – McCullers a toss-up due to high walk rate. Pitch only if you really need the K’s.

Smyly @ Duffey – Great opportunity for Smyly to bounce back.

Corbin @ Arrieta – Scary matchup for Corbin.

Iwakuma @ Holland – Holland a borderline call but I’ll pass in 12-team mixed leagues.

Wisler @ Kazmir – Gotta keep pitching Wisler.

Peavy @ C. Martinez

J. Gray @ Shields – Favorable matchup for Gray. Maybe I’m crazy pitching Shields coming off Tuesday’s meltdown but I’ll do it anyway.

MONDAY

Lester @ Morgan

Shoemaker @ Tanaka

Duffy @ M. Wright – Duffy more of a deep-league option for this start.

Matz @ Niese (PPD)

Happ @ Fulmer – Fulmer has been lights out over his last three starts.

Fiers @ Lewis – Lewis coming off strong bounceback performance.

Archer @ Ray – If you’d rather bench Archer, that’s fine too.

Bauer @ Paxton – Paxton clearly needs to shake off the rust.

Chatwood @ Bolsinger – Chatwood is 4-0 with a 0.53 ERA in five road starts this season.

W. Perez @ Friedrich

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