Archive for the ‘ Uncategorized ’ Category

Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, June 8

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Reds Brewers Baseball

ZACH’S PICKS

Lackey @ Velasquez – Velasquez struggling of late and this is a dangerous matchup.

Dickey @ Zimmermann

Teheran @ Pomeranz

Odorizzi @ Bradley – Bradley has earned it.

Volquez @ Tillman

Weaver @ Eovaldi – Weaver worth considering in deeper formats though.

Syndergaard @ Taillon – Taillon has dominated in the Minors this year, so I’ll go for it in his MLB debut.

Garcia @ Simon

Fister @ Darvish – Fister has been on quite a roll but Rangers rank 2nd in the Majors in runs scored at home. I’ll pass.

Chen @ Nolasco

Hahn @ Ch. Anderson – Anderson sports a 2.97 ERA and 0.73 WHIP over his last five starts and the A’s rank in the bottom third of the Majors in both runs and OPS.

Scherzer @ Shields – Tough matchup for Shields in his ChiSox debut.

Carrasco @ Walker – Not concerned about Walker yet.

Rusin @ Maeda

Price @ Bumgarner

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Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, June 7

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Adam Conley

ZACH’S PICKS

Hendricks @ Eickhoff – I like Eickhoff but I’ll steer clear of him for this matchup.

Ventura @ Jimenez – Slugfest alert!

Huff @ Pineda – Need to see more consistency from Pineda.

Matz @ Niese (Gm 1) – Niese is on a roll.

deGrom @ Nicasio (Gm 2) – Nicasio cannot be trusted in 12-team mixed leagues.

Leake @ Lamb – Lamb worth monitoring but this is a scary matchup.

Ar. Sanchez @ Boyd

Keuchel @ Hamels – Keuchel still risky but he seems to be getting back on track.

Conley @ Dean – Conley has been inconsistent but this is a favorable matchup. Twins rank 27th in Majors in runs scored.

Manaea @ Davies – Manaea a toss-up here but I’ll play it safe.

J. Ross @ Latos

Moore @ Greinke

Blair @ Rea

Co. Anderson @ Miley

Butler @ Urias – Urias still a work in progress at the big league level.

Porcello @ Suarez

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Updated PoD Category Chart (6/3)

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Blue Jays Yankees Baseball

Zach here,

It’s been roughly a month since our last Pitch or Ditch category chart, which means it’s time for an updated version!

PoD Chart 6-3-16

For a number of years now, we have been posting these charts roughly once per month during the season, and longtime 411 fan Big Barry deserves a special acknowledgement for suggesting the framework of the idea. For those unfamiliar with the format, in an effort to help you make those all important Pitch or Ditch decisions and determine whether or not a certain player deserves to remain on your roster, we have divided all of the pitchers currently in starting rotations into four groups: Aces, Grads, PoD and Indifferent. Note that I’ve tweaked the definitions for this year, mainly lowering the bar for Grads. Also keep in mind that the chart is geared towards standard 12-team mixed leagues. And of course, a pitcher’s designation will likely fluctuate throughout the season (especially between PoD and Grad). With each updated version of the chart, we will list the changes made since the previous version.

Aces – Elite starters with the track record to prove it. These pitchers should be in your active lineups regardless of the matchup.

Grads – Pitchers who aren’t ace material but should not be dropped and should be started in the vast majority of matchups.

PoD – Consider adding these guys off the waiver wire to start in favorable matchups, but feel free to drop them afterwards if you need the roster spot.

Indifferent – These pitchers are too risky to trust in any matchup and should remain on the waiver wire.

Here are the notable changes since the last version from late-April:

PROMOTIONS

Tillman PoD to grad
S. Wright PoD to grad
Eovaldi PoD to grad
Hill PoD to grad
McHugh PoD to grad
Roark PoD to grad
Pomeranz PoD to grad
Happ PoD to grad

Sabathia indifferent to PoD
Fister indifferent to PoD
Locke indifferent to PoD
Foltynewicz indifferent to PoD
T. Wilson indifferent to PoD

DEMOTIONS

Keuchel ace to grad
Archer ace to grad

Pineda grad to PoD
Moore grad to PoD
Ventura grad to PoD
Eickhoff grad to PoD
Liriano grad to PoD
Corbin grad to PoD

Jimenez PoD to indifferent
Graveman PoD to indifferent

As usual, feel free to post your questions and/or comments.

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Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, June 4-6

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Marlins Rays Baseball

ZACH’S PICKS

SATURDAY

Escobar @ Hammel

Guerra @ Hellickson – I’ll take a chance on Guerra here in favorable matchup.

Tropeano @ Locke – Not a real believer in either of these guys.

Stroman @ S. Wright – Playing it safe with Stroman in tough matchup.

Sale @ Pelfrey

Colon @ Nicolino – Nicolino has been inconsistent for awhile now.

Hill @ McHugh – McHugh has pitched to a 3.38 ERA with 26 strikeouts over his last three starts (21 1/3 IP).

Andriese @ Big Erv – Four quality starts in five tries for Andriese and Twins rank next to last in the AL in OPS and are tied for last in runs scored. Erv a bit risky but I’ll go for it.

Strasburg @ Straily – Straily has been impressive overall but this is a dangerous matchup.

Kennedy @ Tomlin – Tomlin beginning to fall back down to earth.

Nova @ T. Wilson – Wilson a decent play in deeper leagues though versus struggling Yankees offense.

Samardzija @ Wacha – Wacha’s last start was somewhat encouraging.

Karns @ M. Perez – Tough matchup for Karns though. Perez a viable PoD option going forward but Mariners offense is too hot.

Foltynewicz @ Kershaw

Bettis @ Cashner – I’ll try Cashner at home.

SUNDAY

Quintana @ Verlander

Young @ Kluber – Not concerned about Kluber.

Harvey @ Fernandez – Is Harvey finally back?

Roark @ Moscot

Chacin @ Cole – Still wary of Chacin.

Peralta @ Nola

Sabathia @ Gausman – Not a good matchup for the resurgent Sabathia.

Estrada @ E. Rodriguez – Rodriguez was solid in his season debut.

Graveman @ McCullers – McCullers a toss-up due to high walk rate. Pitch only if you really need the K’s.

Smyly @ Duffey – Great opportunity for Smyly to bounce back.

Corbin @ Arrieta – Scary matchup for Corbin.

Iwakuma @ Holland – Holland a borderline call but I’ll pass in 12-team mixed leagues.

Wisler @ Kazmir – Gotta keep pitching Wisler.

Peavy @ C. Martinez

J. Gray @ Shields – Favorable matchup for Gray. Maybe I’m crazy pitching Shields coming off Tuesday’s meltdown but I’ll do it anyway.

MONDAY

Lester @ Morgan

Shoemaker @ Tanaka

Duffy @ M. Wright – Duffy more of a deep-league option for this start.

Matz @ Niese (PPD)

Happ @ Fulmer – Fulmer has been lights out over his last three starts.

Fiers @ Lewis – Lewis coming off strong bounceback performance.

Archer @ Ray – If you’d rather bench Archer, that’s fine too.

Bauer @ Paxton – Paxton clearly needs to shake off the rust.

Chatwood @ Bolsinger – Chatwood is 4-0 with a 0.53 ERA in five road starts this season.

W. Perez @ Friedrich

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Pitch or Ditch for Friday, June 3

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Doug Fister

ZACH’S PICKS

Bradley @ Lackey – Keep an eye on Bradley but this is a very tough matchup.

Weaver @ Liriano – Liriano coming off shaky outing @TEX but I’m willing to give him another chance.

Nelson @ Velasquez

Eovaldi @ Tillman – Challenging matchup for Eovaldi but he’s on a roll.

Rodon @ Zimmermann – Rodon 2 ER or fewer in each of his last three starts.

Volquez @ Salazar

Syndergaard @ Koehler

Dickey @ Price

G. Gonzalez @ Finnegan – Still waiting to see more consistency from Finnegan.

Walker @ Darvish

Hahn @ Fister – Fister went 3-0 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in six May starts and the A’s rank 13th in the AL in OPS.

Odorizzi @ Nolasco

Cueto @ Wainwright

Teheran @ Maeda

Rusin @ Pomeranz

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Zach’s Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 6/6

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Hey everyone,

Thursday is the new Friday, at least for this week. Rather than giving you a sampling of my full two-start pitcher article, here’s the whole thing, and you’re getting it a day early! What could be better than that?

OK, let’s get started.

12-team mixed leagues

Tyler Chatwood (@LAD, vs. SD)

Boasting a 2.99 ERA and 1.21 WHIP through 11 starts this season, Chatwood has earned mixed league consideration, but mostly for his road outings. In five starts away from Coors Field, the Rockies righty is 4-0 with a 0.53 ERA, this compared to a 2-4 mark with a 5.30 ERA in six home starts. Although there will always be some risk involved in pitching Chatwood at home, the risk next week will be minimal, as the Padres rank in the bottom third of the NL in both runs and OPS. Plus, the 26-year-old dominated the Padres in San Diego last month, tossing eight shutout innings.

Mike Leake (@CIN, @PIT)

All it took was three weeks for Leake to lower his season ERA from 6.03 to 3.82, thanks to a five-start stretch during which he has allowed a combined six runs. His second matchup next week will be a challenging one, as the Pirates rank 4th in the NL in runs and 3rd in OPS. But the Reds are only a mid-tier offense. Combine that with Leake’s exceptional results of late, and fantasy owners should feel comfortable starting the Cardinals righty.

Matt Shoemaker

Matt Shoemaker (@NYY, vs. CLE)

Shoemaker’s 2016 campaign got off to a shaky beginning, as the 29-year-old carried an ERA of 8.49 through seven starts. But the Angels righty has allowed a combined four runs over his last three starts to go along with a 31-to-0 K/BB ratio across 22 2/3 innings. Entering Thursday, the Yankees rank 14th in the AL in runs and 15th in OPS. While the Indians offense has been solid overall, Cleveland ranks 12th in the Junior Circuit in OPS on the road.

Adam Conley (@MIN, @ARI)

Despite being far from consistent this season, Conley has shown us why he is a highly-regarded prospect, sporting a 3.72 ERA and 8.8 K/9 rate with only three home runs allowed through 11 starts. After blanking the Pirates over six innings on Wednesday while tallying nine strikeouts, the Marlins southpaw will be rewarded with a matchup against a Twins lineup that ranks 28th in the Majors in runs. Minnesota also just lost their biggest power threat, Miguel Sano, to the DL. The Diamondbacks present a much tougher challenge (7th in the Majors in runs and OPS), but Conley has already faced Arizona once this season, tossing 5 1/3 innings of shutout ball.

Deeper mixed leagues

Jonathon Niese (vs. NYM, vs. STL)

Having allowed three runs or fewer in each of his last five starts, Niese heads into a two-start week during which he will face a Cardinals team that leads the NL in runs scored. For this reason, the Pirates lefty is too much of a risk for 12-team mixed league purposes. But for owners in deeper formats willing to take on this risk, his other matchup offers reward potential, as the Mets rank 13th in the NL in runs and 14th in batting average.

Robbie Ray (vs. TB, vs. MIA)

Although Ray holds a mediocre 4.74 ERA through 11 starts, he has whiffed 66 batters across 57 innings, so owners in deep mixed leagues and NL-only formats can count on him for strikeout help. Next week, the Diamondbacks southpaw might even help in ERA as well, as the Rays and Marlins both rank in the bottom third of the Majors in runs scored this season.

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Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, June 2

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Aaron Hill

ZACH’S PICKS

Bumgarner @ Blair – Blair worth owning in NL-only leagues though.

Greinke @ Keuchel – Keuchel’s last start was encouraging but he has yet to post back-to-back quality starts this season.

Maeda @ Hendricks – Tough matchup for Maeda, but I trust him.

Porcello @ Jimenez

Ch. Anderson @ Eickhoff – Anderson a decent option in deeper formats.

Ventura @ Carrasco – Carrasco will be on a pitch count but he’s still a must-start.

Nicasio @ Chen

Pineda @ Boyd

Moore @ Hughes – Favorable matchup for Moore but the consistency just hasn’t been there.

Simon @ Butler

Miley @ Rea

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Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, June 1

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Jonathon Niese

ZACH’S PICKS

M. Gonzalez @ deGrom

Garcia @ Davies

Dean @ Manaea – Both are intriguing deep-league options for this favorable matchup.

Hamels @ Bauer – I’m still finding it hard to trust Bauer.

Kelly @ M. Wright

Fulmer @ Shoemaker – I might regret this but both are pitching very well lately.

Scherzer @ Morgan

Tanaka @ Ar. Sanchez

Niese @ Conley – Four straight quality starts for Niese and Marlins rank 22nd in the Majors in runs scored. Taking a break from Conley.

Suarez @ W. Perez

Bolsinger @ Lester

Ray @ Fiers – Ray has been very inconsistent so far.

Archer @ Duffy – I’ll take a chance on Duffy here.

Lamb @ Chatwood – Chatwood is tempting but he has a 5.10 ERA at home this season compared to a 0.53 ERA on the road.

Paxton @ Friedrich – Paxton a viable play going forward though.

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Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, May 31

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J.A. Happ

ZACH’S PICKS

McCullers @ Corbin – Both are a little risky though.

Shields @ Iwakuma

Lewis @ Kluber – Lewis fell back to earth in his last start but I’ll give him another chance.

E. Rodriguez @ Gausman – I’ll take a wait and see approach with Rodriguez in his season debut.

J. Ross @ Nola

Sabathia @ Happ – Happ is 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two starts vs. Yankees this season.

Latos @ Matz

Cole @ Fernandez

Peavy @ Wisler – Peavy an intriguing NL-only option here. Tough to bench Wisler right now.

Kazmir @ Arrieta – Kazmir hasn’t been consistent enough to trust for this matchup, unless you’re desperate for K’s.

Leake @ Peralta – Four straight quality starts for Leake.

Smyly @ Gee

Moscot @ J. Gray

An. Sanchez @ Santiago – Passing on both in 12-team mixed leagues.

Duffey @ Surkamp – Duffey’s most recent two starts have scared me off.

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Zach’s Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 5/30

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Ervin Santana

Hey everyone,

As is the Friday ritual, here’s a sampling of my latest two-start pitcher article. For the complete version, click on the link at the bottom of this post.

12-team mixed leagues

Ervin Santana (@OAK, vs. TB)

Fresh off his worst performance of the season (3 2/3 IP, 9 H, 6 ER vs. Royals on Tuesday), Santana will look to regroup next week. Considering these matchups, the Twins righty has a good chance of getting back on track, as the Athletics and Rays both rank in the bottom third of the AL in runs scored. Also note that prior to Tuesday’s rough outing, Santana had allowed a combined three runs over his last two starts spanning 14 innings. The 33-year-old’s inconsistency this season makes him a somewhat risky fantasy option, but when it comes to next week, the reward outweighs the risk.

Deeper mixed leagues

Jeremy Hellickson (vs. WAS, vs. MIL)

Since capturing AL Rookie of the Year honors in 2011, Hellickson has turned in mostly mediocre results. This year has been a different story, however, as the Phillies righty carries a solid 3.97 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.1 K/9 into next week’s two starts. While the matchup against the Brewers is favorable (Milwaukee ranks 10th in the NL in OPS), the Nationals present a tougher challenge, as Washington ranks 3rd in the Senior Circuit in runs scored this month. For this reason, Hellickson is more of a deep-league option, but his 2.25 ERA and 0.95 WHIP over his last three starts makes him well worth considering in those formats.

To read the full article, CLICK HERE

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