Archive for the ‘ Uncategorized ’ Category

Pitch or Ditch for Friday, May 1

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Rubby De La Rosa

CORY’S PICKS

Peralta @ Lester

Colome @ Tillman – can’t trust Tillman right now; can’t risk Colome vs. the O’s

Sabathia @ Masterson – great matchup in 2012 maybe

Buehrle @ Carrasco

Scherzer @ Harvey – aaawww yeeaaahhh

Williams @ Koehler

DeSclafani @ Foltynewicz

Kazmir @ Lewis

Lobstein @ Young

Quintana @ Gibson

Elias @ Deduno

Burnett @ Lynn

R. De La Rosa @ Frias – Rubby has been excellent lately but play it safe in this matchup

Butler @ Kennedy

Wilson @ Heston

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The Inaugural Pitch or Ditch Category Chart of 2015 (4/29)

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Bartolo Colon wasn't even drafted in most 12-team mixed leagues. He's already a Grad.

Bartolo Colon wasn’t even drafted in most 12-team mixed leagues. He’s already a Grad.

Zach here,

With the month of April drawing to a close, what better time to release our first Pitch or Ditch category chart of the 2015 season!

POD Chart 4-29-15

For those of you who are unfamiliar with the chart, this is something we started doing a few years ago (special acknowledgment to longtime 411 fan Big Barry for the framework of the idea) to help guide you not only in your Pitch or Ditch decisions but also in knowing whether or not dropping a certain pitcher would be a mistake.

We’ve divided all of the current starting rotation pitchers into five groups: Aces, Grads, PoD, DTM and Indifferent.

Aces: Fairly straightforward. Elite starting pitchers with the track record to prove it.

Grads: Not ace-caliber but also not worth dropping under any circumstances. Grads should almost always be started.

PoD: These pitchers do not deserve a permanent roster spot but should be picked up and started in favorable matchups. If their next matchup is not so favorable, feel free to drop them. Some PoD guys could earn Grad status if they string together several consecutive strong outings.

DTM: An old 411 acronym for “dead to me”, DTM pitchers are guys that we might have once liked but have repeatedly let us down to the point where we’ve had enough of them. It takes a lot to become DTM, but once you become DTM, it’s very tough to escape that category!

Indifferent: Pitchers who are just not that good and should not be rostered.

***Note that this chart is geared towards standard 12-team mixed leagues.

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Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, April 30

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Alfredo Simon

CORY’S PICKS

Buchanan @ Cooney – sounds like a mid-19th-century New York Mayoral debate!

Richards @ Chavez – loveloveloving Chavez in the A’s rotation

D. Norris @ House

Leake @ Miller – Leake throwing well and the Braves aren’t scary

Strasburg @ deGrom

Simon @ Duffy – Duffy has not been sharp this year

Sale @ May

Paxton @ Feldman

***ZACH SAYS “Simon is tempting since he’s been so good this season, but ultimately I’ll agree with Cory and say ditch. He’s due for a blowup and the Royals rank 4th in the Majors in runs scored and 1st in batting average.”

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Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, April 29

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Shane Greene

ZACH’S PICKS

Garza @ Lorenzen – Tough to trust Garza right now.

Smyly @ Pineda – Smyly was solid in pitch count limited debut.

Greene @ Hughes – Great opportunity for Greene to bounce back, but I wouldn’t blame you for ditching. Hughes a risky play as well.

Samardzija @ Jimenez

Keuchel @ Cashner

Dickey @ Porcello – Rough matchup for both.

Ventura @ Salazar

Zimmermann @ Al. Wood

Colon @ Latos – Not sold on Latos just yet.

Harang @ C. Martinez – Tough to bench Harang right now.

King Felix @ Wandy

G. Cole @ Hendricks – Keep an eye on Hendricks though.

Lyles @ Collmenter – I’ll go with Collmenter at home.

Shoemaker @ Hahn – Consistency has been lacking for Shoemaker. Chavez might fill in for Hahn. I’ll pass on both A’s.

Vogelsong @ Greinke

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Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, April 28

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Drew Hutchison

CORY’S PICKS

Hutchison @ Buchholz – hard to trust either of these guys

Guthrie @ Bauer

CHW @ BAL PPD

Odorizzi @ Whitley

Cole @ Teheran – Playing it safe with Cole

Lohse @ Cueto

R. Montero @ Phelps – I like both of these guys in deep leagues

Happ @ Detwiler

Locke @ T. Wood

An. Sanchez @ Pelfrey

S. Gonzalez @ Wacha

Kendrick @ Bradley

Weaver @ Gray – Weaver is a home-only play right now IMO

Bumgarner @ Kershaw

R. Hernandez @ Ross

***ZACH SAYS “I’d play it safe and ditch on both Montero and Phelps. Montero has been erratic through four relief appearances (four walks in 4 1/3 IP) while a dominant performance against the Phillies by Phelps isn’t enough of a reason for me to trust him versus a far superior Mets team. Agree on rest.”

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Zach’s Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 4/27

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Check out Cory’s Tout Wars recap and Zach’s Tout Wars recap

Plus, our overrated and underrated teams for 2015

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Hey everyone,

By now, you all know that Friday is two-start pitcher day here on the blog, but if you’re in a 12-team mixed league, you’ll have a tough time finding an appealing two-start pitcher for next week via the waiver wire, with the possible exception of the guy in the first picture. And even when it comes to two-start pitchers that are already on rosters, there are a bunch of borderline calls. So let’s begin.

PITCH

Jered Weaver  (@OAK, @SF)

Yeah, Weaver hasn’t been all that reliable so far this season, and the days of him serving as a consistent source of strikeouts might be a thing of the past. But I’m encouraged by what I’ve seen from him over his last two starts, the most recent one coming against the same A’s team that he will be facing next week. The Giants offense has struggled in the early going, ranking 13th in the NL in runs scored. In mixed leagues of 12 teams or more, I’d give Weaver a shot.

Homer Bailey  (vs. MIL, @ATL)

After a shaky season debut, Bailey bounced back on Thursday, limiting the Brewers to two runs across 5 2/3 innings. Next week, Bailey again faces the Brewers, a team that ranks in the bottom five of the Majors in both runs scored and batting average. The Braves offense has exceeded expectations, but there’s a limited amount of talent in that lineup, so expect regression. It might take Homer a few more starts to fully shake off the rust, but pitching him next week is still a risk worth taking.

Chase Anderson

Chase Anderson  (vs. COL, @LAD)

Anderson is more of a deep mixed/NL-only league two-start option, as these matchups aren’t ideal, particularly @LAD. That said, he’s allowed three runs or less in each of his first three starts this season to go along with a 16-to-4 K/BB ratio across 18 innings. Also note that in his two starts at Dodger Stadium last season, Anderson registered a 3.27 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. So despite the challenging matchup, at least the splits are on his side!

DITCH

Drew Hutchison  (@BOS, @CLE)

Long term, I’m not overly concerned about the inconsistent Hutchison, and his superb performance on Thursday certainly bodes well going forward. But the @BOS matchup is scary, and it’s ultimately the reason why I’d play it safe and ditch him for next week. In three starts against the Red Sox last season, Hutchison pitched to a 6.28 ERA while allowing 21 hits in just 14 1/3 innings. If he can make it through next week in good shape, I’ll once again consider him to be an automatic pitch.

Taijuan Walker

Taijuan Walker  (@TEX, @HOU)

Walker finally gave his fantasy owners reason for optimism on Tuesday, holding the Astros to one run on four hits over 5 1/3 innings while striking out eight. The bad news is that he issued four more free passes, raising his season walk total to ten over his first 12 2/3 innings. Not good. But Walker owners need to be patient. Remember that he’s only 22 years of age, so continued inconsistency should be expected. In mixed leagues of 12 teams or more, he doesn’t belong on the waiver wire. However, he does belong on your bench for the time being. It’s not like the Rangers and Astros are high-end offenses, but there’s simply too much downside in pitching Walker right now. You’ll get strikeouts, but at what cost?

Jason Hammel  (vs. PIT, vs. MIL)

Hammel hasn’t been terrible this season. But at the same time, he’s been nothing special, posting a respectable 1.27 WHIP and exceptional 16-to-1 K/BB ratio across 17 1/3 innings but allowing 21 hits, including three home runs. Both the Pirates and Brewers have been below average offensively this season, which makes it tempting to pitch Hammel. I’d still lean towards ditching him until we see more consistency. In a deep mixed/NL-only league, he’s not a crazy gamble. In a 12-team mixed, I’ll let someone else take that gamble.

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Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, April 25-27

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CLICK HERE to listen to our latest podcasts (Thursday, 4/16 is most recent)

Check out Cory’s Tout Wars recap and Zach’s Tout Wars recap

Plus, our overrated and underrated teams for 2015

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Daniel Norris

ZACH’S PICKS

SATURDAY

Bauer @ Simon – Tough test for both but both have been lights out.

Arrieta @ DeSclafani

Volquez @ Danks – Volquez is deserving of this start but I’ll never trust him.

Harvey @ Sabathia – Sabathia decent so far but I’m sitting him vs. red-hot Mets.

Feldman @ Graveman – Graveman is a mess right now.

Strasburg @ Koehler – Not trusting Koehler in this matchup.

D. Norris @ TBD (TB) – Sticking with Norris for now.

Masterson @ W. Chen

Miller @ Buchanan

Wainwright @ Peralta – Peralta very erratic thus far and I don’t like this matchup.

Hudson @ J. De La Rosa – Sitting Hudson at Coors.

Burnett @ R. De La Rosa – Burnett a borderline call. His 2.00 ERA somewhat aided by good fortune.

McCarthy @ Kennedy – I’ll go for it with Kennedy in first start back.

Lewis @ Wilson – Wilson bounced back nicely his last time out but he still makes me too nervous.

May @ Paxton – Keep an eye on May in deeper formats. Paxton needs to earn back my trust.

SUNDAY

Carrasco @ Lobstein – Playing it safe with Lobstein, who has allowed too many baserunners to maintain his current 3.27 ERA.

T. Wood @ Marquis

G. Gonzalez @ Haren

Buehrle @ Archer – Buehrle worth consideration in deep mixed/AL-only leagues but he’s giving up a lot of hits.

Miley @ B. Norris – I’m expecting better results from Miley going forward but he’s too risky here.

Cahill @ Williams

Vargas @ Noesi

Lynn @ Fiers – Bench but don’t cut the struggling Fiers.

N. Martinez @ Santiago – As Cory likes to say, blue-plate special.

Wojciechowski @ Pomeranz – Not ultra-confident in Pomeranz but I’ll throw him out there.

Gibson @ Iwakuma – Very little upside with Gibson.

B. Anderson @ Morrow

Lincecum @ Matzek – Tiny Tim has been a pleasant surprise this year but no way am I chancing it at Coors.

Liriano @ Hellickson

Niese @ Eovaldi – Eovaldi pitching well enough to deserve a shot here.

MONDAY

Vargas @ Kluber

Ar. Sanchez @ Kelly – 9-to-12 K/BB ratio for Sanchez so far.

Fister @ Stults

Noesi @ Jimenez

Karns @ Warren – Warren could become mixed league relevant at some point this season, but not yet.

Nelson @ Marquis – Nelson outstanding his last time out vs. these same Reds.

Gee @ Cosart – Don’t forget about both of these guys though.

Walker @ Gallardo – This game could be 2-1 or 10-9. Pass.

Worley @ Hammel – Not giving up on Hammel but he’s been no better than mediocre.

Price @ Milone

Hamels @ Lackey

Matzek @ C. Anderson – Impressive results from Anderson so far.

Lincecum @ B. Anderson

McHugh @ Shields

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Pitch or Ditch for Friday, April 24

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CLICK HERE to listen to our latest podcasts (Thursday, 4/16 is most recent)

Check out Cory’s Tout Wars recap and Zach’s Tout Wars recap

Plus, our overrated and underrated teams for 2015

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Marcus Stroman

ZACH’S PICKS

deGrom @ Pineda

Porcello @ M. Gonzalez – Both are viable options in deeper leagues but tough matchups, so I’ll play it safe.

Al. Wood @ Harang – Harang has earned it.

Salazar @ Greene – Ditto for Salazar.

Lester @ Leake – Difficult matchup for Leake but he was very impressive last time out.

Zimmermann @ Latos – Not trusting Latos yet.

Dickey @ Smyly – Sitting Smyly for first start back. Scary matchup as well.

Duffy @ Quintana – Duffy worth monitoring but he needs to show us something. Giving Quintana another chance.

C. Martinez @ Garza – Garza 9-to-9 K/BB ratio so far.

Heston @ Butler – Heston has been lights out, but Coors Field? No thanks.

Cole @ Collmenter – For 12-team mixed league purposes, better safe than sorry with Collmenter.

Wandy @ Richards

Keuchel @ Kazmir

Hughes @ King Felix – Hughes a ditch until further notice.

Greinke @ Cashner

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 CORY’S PICKS

deGrom @ Pineda

Porcello @ M. Gonzalez – Porcello in the midst of a rough stretch of matchups, but don’t forget him

Al. Wood @ Harang

Salazar @ Greene – good test for hot-starting Greene, and walk-prone Salazar

Lester @ Leake

Zimmermann @ Latos

Dickey @ Smyly – tough debut matchup for Smyly, but gotta go for it

Duffy @ Quintana – Duffy has not been sharp and ChiSox righties are tough

C. Martinez @ Garza

Heston @ Butler – not testing Heston in Coors, not yet

Cole @ Collmenter yes on Collmenter at home

Wandy @ Richards

Keuchel @ Kazmir

Hughes @ King Felix

Greinke @ Cashner – stay up late!

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Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, April 23

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CLICK HERE to listen to our latest podcasts (Thursday, 4/16 is most recent)

Check out Cory’s Tout Wars recap and Zach’s Tout Wars recap

Plus, our overrated and underrated teams for 2015

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Tyson Ross

CORY’S PICKS

Hendricks @ Locke

Phelps @ McGowan

Tanaka @ An. Sanchez – tough test but Tanaka looked revitalized last time

Teheran @ Colon

Bailey @ Lohse – can’t trust any Brewers right now

Ross @ Lyles – yep, I’ll stick with Ross in Coors

Bolsinger @ Vogelsong

Wacha @ Scherzer

Chavez @ Tropeano – Chavez is borderline but the Angels aren’t hitting much

Tillman @ Hutchison – don’t like the matchup for either based on how they’ve been throwing

Buchholz @ Odorizzi

Ventura @ Sale

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Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, April 22

***NOTE: If you haven’t already, make sure to subscribe to this blog by hitting the Follow button on the right panel. You will then get an e-mail as soon as each new post goes up.

CLICK HERE to listen to our latest podcasts (Thursday, 4/16 is most recent)

Check out Cory’s Tout Wars recap and Zach’s Tout Wars recap

Plus, our overrated and underrated teams for 2015

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Jeremy Guthrie

CORY’S PICKS

Kluber @ Samardzija

Lackey @ Fister

Cosart @ Hamels

Hammel @ Worley – Pirates are scuffling big-time right now

Jimenez @ Ar. Sanchez

Warren @ Price

Stults @ Gee – hard to trust Gee at this point… too bad for too long

Kelly @ Karns – playing it safe with Karns vs. BoSox bats

Pelfrey @ Guthrie – home start vs. a weak offense, why not?

Cueto @ Nelson

Shields @ Kendrick

Gallardo @ Bradley

Gray @ Weaver – Weaver was better last time out but the A’s are too scary for now

R. Hernandez @ Happ

Kershaw @ Bumgarner – stay up late for this one!

***ZACH SAYS “In deeper leagues, I’d consider Cosart versus a sub-par Phillies lineup. He pitched well in his season debut before getting roughed up by the Mets his last time out, but the Mets have roughed up a number of pitchers so far this season.”

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