Archive for the ‘ Uncategorized ’ Category

Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, May 28

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Ian Kennedy

ZACH’S PICKS

Sale @ T. Wilson (Gm 1)

Beck @ M. Wright (Gm 2)

E. Rodriguez @ N. Martinez

Farmer @ Wilson – Farmer is a highly regarded prospect though, so keep an eye on him.

Sabathia @ Graveman – Hard to trust either right now.

Kluber @ Paxton – Paxton on an impressive run.

Burnett @ Kennedy – I’ll pitch Kennedy at home and coming off one of his better outings of the season.

Miller @ Heston

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Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, May 27

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Colby Lewis

CORY’S PICKS

Lewis @ Carrasco – Two straight rough starts for Lewis vs. tough offenses.

Kendrick @ Leake – Which Leake will show up? Don’t pay to find out.

Hand @ Cole

Samardzija @ Estrada – Tough matchup but Shark is starting to roll.

Young @ Pineda

Porcello @ Hughes – Porcello’s K rates are tempting but he’s been too erratic.

O’Sullivan @ Syndergaard

King Felix @ Archer – Must-see TV.

Vogelsong @ Fiers

Simon @ Kazmir – A’s actually can hit righties, and I don’t trust Simon.

McHugh @ Jimenez – One blowup by Ubaldo is enough for me to shy away.

Scherzer @ Lester

Collmenter @ Lynn

Cashner @ Richards – Yeah baby.

Al. Wood @ Greinke – Dodgers actually not hitting lefties much.

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Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, May 26

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Kyle Hendricks

ZACH’S PICKS

Zimmermann @ Hendricks – Going with Hendricks despite tough matchup.

Feldman @ Tillman

Vargas @ Warren – Keep an eye on Warren but I don’t like this matchup.

Urena @ Locke

Danks @ Dickey – More downside than upside with Dickey.

Wandy @ Salazar – More upside than downside with Salazar.

J. De La Rosa @ Lorenzen

Williams @ deGrom

Happ @ Colome – Colome a toss-up. Pitch only in deeper leagues.

Bumgarner @ Garza

Buchholz @ Pelfrey – I’m never going to recommend Buchholz.

Bradley @ Garcia – Bradley needs to be more consistent. Garcia needs to cut down on the walks.

Teheran @ Kershaw

Despaigne @ Shoemaker – Tough to trust Shoemaker right now.

Price @ Chavez – Challenging matchup for Chavez but he’s earned it.

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Zach’s Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 5/25

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David Phelps

PITCH

David Phelps  (@PIT, @NYM)

Prior to his most recent outing, Phelps had pieced together five straight starts in which he pitched at least six innings while allowing no more than two runs. And his performance on Wednesday was far from terrible. The Mets rank dead last in the NL in runs scored this month while the Pirates haven’t been much better, currently in a three-way tie for 11th. Oh, and Phelps is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 1.04 WHIP on the road this year compared to 0-1 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.67 WHIP at home. Good thing he will be making two road starts next week.

Wei-Yin Chen  (vs. HOU, vs. TB)

I’ve always been a fan of Chen and this year is no exception, especially considering his impressive start to the season. I’ll admit that some regression is on the way. His current .237 BABIP is unsustainable, and that’s a big reason why Chen sports a 7.2 H/9 this season compared to a career H/9 of 8.9. But one of Chen’s biggest strengths is that he doesn’t hurt himself with walks (career 1.25 WHIP). The Rays offense is sub-par and while the Astros rank 3rd in the AL in runs scored, they’re also a very undisciplined team, ranking 1st in the AL in strikeouts by a wide margin. So perhaps Chen can take advantage of that. The vs. HOU matchup makes pitching Chen a bit risky, but with four quality starts in his last five outings, I’d go for it in mixed leagues of 12 or more teams.

Brett Anderson  (vs. ATL, @STL)

Anderson is a much more appealing choice in deeper formats than in a standard 12-team mixed league, as starting him @STL is risky. But he deserves consideration nonetheless if you’re not happy with some of your one-start options. While Anderson is allowing well over a hit per inning, he’s issued a mere nine walks across 42 1/3 innings, and his strikeouts have picked up of late. Over his last two starts, Anderson has whiffed 15 batters.

Roenis Elias  (@TB, vs. CLE)

Looking for a rotation fill-in who happens to be scheduled for two starts next week? Elias, who is likely still available in most 12-team mixed leagues, might just be your best option. The 26-year-old lefty boasts a 2.76 ERA and 1.26 WHIP through five starts this season, and don’t forget that he was solid last year over the course of his 29-start rookie campaign. Next week, Elias gets to face one below average lineup followed by one mid-tier lineup. Sounds good to me.

Shane Greene

DITCH

Shane Greene  (@OAK, @LAA)

By now, Greene is firmly in the YPNM (your problem, not mine) group. The window to trade him for a useful player is pretty much closed, so Greene owners have no choice but to either hang onto him and devote a roster spot to a guy who cannot be trusted or simply cut him. In mixed leagues of 12-plus teams, I’d be hesitant to drop him being that he’s pitching a lot better of late and perhaps that trade window can reopen. But Greene should be glued to your bench until further notice, even in a two-start week. The disaster outing risk is too high.

Carlos Rodon  (@TOR, @HOU)

The upside is undeniable, but 19 walks in 22 1/3 innings simply isn’t going to cut it at the big league level. It sounds like the White Sox will stick with Rodon in their rotation for the time being, and if you are a Rodon owner in a deeper mixed league, don’t rush to drop him, as patience is a must. But as long as he continues his wild ways, he cannot be trusted as a fantasy starter. And don’t even think about pitching him next week, as the Blue Jays and Astros both rank in the top-3 among AL clubs in runs scored and homers.

Nathan Eovaldi  (vs. KC, @OAK)

Inconsistency has been the name of the game for Eovaldi, who has yet to toss back-to-back quality starts this season. The Yankees off-season acquisition continues to give up a ton of hits and he’s just not worth the trouble for mixed league purposes, especially next week. The Royals and A’s rank 2nd and 4th in the AL respectively in runs scored.

Chase Anderson  (@STL, @MIL)

Although Anderson remains a quality Pitch or Ditch option when the matchups are right, these matchups would scare me off. It seems like every time I start a non-elite pitcher against the Cardinals, he gets rocked, and while the Brewers rank in the bottom third of the Majors in runs scored, the Milwaukee lineup has been much more productive at home, ranking 13th in the Majors in runs. Outside of NL-only leagues or very deep mixed formats, I’d take the conservative route and ditch Anderson for next week, despite his stellar pitching of late.

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Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, May 23-25

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Carlos Frias

ZACH’S PICKS

SATURDAY

N. Martinez @ Sabathia – Encouraged by Sabathia’s recent outings but this isn’t a great spot to use him.

Paxton @ Buehrle – Taking a chance on Paxton despite scary matchup.

DeSclafani @ Kluber – DeSclafani has been shaky lately. I’ll sit this one out.

Hamels @ Strasburg – Ultra-favorable matchup for the slumping Strasburg.

Harvey @ Burnett

McCullers @ Lobstein – Keep an eye on McCullers though.

May @ Sale

Fiers @ Miller – Fiers coming off back-to-back strong outings.

Graveman @ Karns

Heston @ Lyles

Wilson @ S. Wright

Lackey @ Duffy

N. Wright @ Haren

Kennedy @ Bolsinger – Sticking with Kennedy.

Arrieta @ R. De La Rosa

SUNDAY

Cueto @ Bauer

Walker @ Ar. Sanchez – Bench but don’t cut Walker in deeper mixed leagues.

R. Hernandez @ An. Sanchez – Not concerned about Anibal.

M. Gonzalez @ Koehler – Gonzalez a toss-up but I do like this matchup.

Gray @ E. Ramirez

Santiago @ Miley – Tough challenge for Santiago but he’s been outstanding lately. Miley worth considering but he’s been a lot better on the road than at home.

Nelson @ Foltynewicz

Harang @ G. Gonzalez – Hard to sit Harang right now. Golden opportunity for Gio to get back on track.

Niese @ Liriano – Niese has been too erratic lately.

Gibson @ Quintana

Wacha @ Volquez – I’ll have to pitch Volquez sooner or later but not chancing it here.

Shields @ Frias – Frias getting it done.

Hudson @ Bettis – Hudson has poor career numbers at Coors.

Hammel @ Hellickson

Gallardo @ Capuano

MONDAY

Guthrie @ Eovaldi

Butler @ Marquis

S. Gonzalez @ Colon – Bartolo has struggled lately but Phils rank dead last in the Majors in runs scored and home runs.

Keuchel @ W. Chen – Chen very quietly having an outstanding season.

Lincecum @ Lohse – Tiny Tim still scares me but you have to respect the results.

Kelly @ Nolasco

Roark @ Wada

Greene @ Hahn – Greene pitching better lately but he’s too disaster-prone.

Klein @ Marcum

C. Anderson @ C. Martinez – Still a fan of Anderson but I’ll play it safe here.

Phelps @ Morton – Going for it with Phelps.

Noesi @ Hutchison

Elias @ Odorizzi – Elias 3 ER or less in each of his first five starts this season.

W. Perez @ B. Anderson – Anderson worth a shot.

Ross @ Weaver

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Pitch or Ditch for Friday, May 22

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Colby Lewis

CORY’S PICKS

Leake @ Carrasco – the K/BB and HR/FB rates say better days are coming for Carrasco

Lewis @ Pineda – tough matchup for Lewis but Yankees are slumping

O’Sullivan @ Scherzer

Syndergaard @ Cole

King Felix @ Estrada

McHugh @ Simon – not sold on Simon but results have been solid

Richards @ Porcello – Porcello quietly building another solid year

Jimenez @ Alvarez – Alvarez is almost a must-start at home, even vs. O’s

Kazmir @ Archer

Peralta @ A. Wood – Wood’s lucky HR/FB rate making up for unlucky BABIP

Hughes @ Samardzija

Lynn @ Young

Vogelsong @ Kendrick

Lester @ Collmenter – Collmenter almost a must-start at home

Cashner @ Greinke

***ZACH SAYS “I’m benching Collmenter until he shows more consistency. And with only two quality starts in five tries, it’s not like he’s been that great at home this year anyway. Agree on rest.”

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Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, May 21

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Clay Buchholz

CORY’S PICKS

Bradley @ Latos – Latos has been too erratic and the D-backs are starting to hit

Happ @ Tillman – hang onto Tillman though…I think a correction is coming

Feldman @ Price

Garcia @ deGrom

Williams @ J. De La Rosa

Kershaw @ Bumgarner

Shoemaker @ Dickey – this has slugfest written all over it

Garza @ Teheran – good matchup for Teheran to get back on track

Chavez @ Colome

Wandy @ Buchholz – I don’t have the courage to pitch Buchholz

Salazar @ Danks

Hendricks @ Despaigne

***ZACH SAYS “I agree with all of these, though I’d at least think about pitching Garza in deeper formats since it’s a favorable matchup. But it’s awfully hard to trust a guy who is coming off a 10 ER outing. So ultimately, I’d pass.”

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Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, May 20

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Tim Lincecum

CORY’S PICKS

Hahn @ Keuchel – Hahn has been a letdown so far, but keep him on the radar

Klein @ Kelly – Kelly has been a letdown so far, but keep him on the radar

Elias @ W. Chen

Warren @ Zimmermann – I like Warren but only trust him vs. weak offenses

Pelfrey @ Locke

Weaver @ Hutchison – scary to start Weaver in Toronto but have to after his last two dominant outings

Lohse @ Greene

Odorizzi @ W. Perez

C. Martinez @ Colon

C. Anderson @ Phelps

Marcum @ Rodon

Marquis @ Guthrie

S. Gonzalez @ Butler

Wada @ Ross – sticking with Ross despite ugly walk rates

B. Anderson @ Lincecum – not trusting Lincecum vs. the league’s best offense

***ZACH SAYS “Weaver @TOR is too risky for my liking. Save your innings for more favorable matchups. I’d roll the dice on Chase Anderson in Miami against a Marlins offense that has struggled this month (13th in NL in runs scored). Agree on rest.”

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Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, May 19

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Astros Angels Baseball

CORY’S PICKS

Nolasco @ Liriano
Eovaldi @ G. Gonzalez
Walker @ M. Gonzalez
Santiago @ Ar. Sanchez – very tough matchup for Santiago, play it safe
Nelson @ An. Sanchez
Hellickson @ Koehler
Wacha @ Niese
E. Ramirez @ Foltynewicz
Gallardo @ Miley
Cueto @ Ventura
Bauer @ Quintana – too much upside to pass on either of these guys
Gray @ R. Hernandez
Harang @ Bettis – not trusting Harang in Coors
Hammel @ Shields
Frias @ Hudson

***ZACH SAYS “Niese was roughed up a bit his last time out, but he does have a 1.35 ERA at home this season after posting a 2.74 ERA at home last season. The matchup is tough, but he’s at least someone to consider in deeper formats. I’m still not trusting Hutchison, so I’ll ditch him for the time being. Agree on rest.”

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Zach’s Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 5/18

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Rubby De La Rosa

PITCH

Rubby De La Rosa  (@MIA, vs. CHC)

Since allowing six runs across 5 1/3 innings in his season debut, De La Rosa has pitched to a 3.72 ERA and 1.11 WHIP while registering a 37-to-10 K/BB ratio over 38 2/3 innings. The fact that Rubby is showing considerable improvement in the strikeout department (8.59 K/9 this season compared to 6.55 K/9 in 2014) is encouraging, and keep in mind that this is a guy who whiffed just under a batter per inning over the course of his minor league career, so I don’t think this is a fluke. The Marlins and Cubs have both been middle of the pack offenses so far. In mixed leagues of 12 teams or more, I’d pitch him.

Nathan Karns  (@ATL, vs. OAK)

Through eight starts, Karns’ first full season in the big leagues has been a success, as he’s gone 3-1 with a 3.77 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 44 strikeouts over 45 1/3 innings. Although the 4.2 BB/9 leaves a lot to be desired, Karns is displaying much improved control of late, posting a 2.6 BB/9 over his last three starts. The @ATL matchup is a favorable one but the vs. OAK matchup isn’t great. All in all, however, I think the risk outweighs the reward. If you’re in a mixed league of 12 or fewer teams, feel free to go with a more established one-start option. But if you’re looking for an under the radar waiver wire addition in a deep mixed format, Karns might just be your best bet.

Mike Foltynewicz  (vs. TB, vs. MIL)

Continuing on the theme of potential deep league waiver wire gems, Foltynewicz makes for an intriguing choice. Overall, I’m slightly more optimistic about Karns, as Foltynewicz’s control issues have been more severe (5.3 BB/9), but Mike’s matchups are more appealing and he’s coming off his most effective outing of the season (6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 K in hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park). The Rays and Brewers both rank in the bottom third of the Majors in runs scored.

C.J. Wilson

DITCH

C.J. Wilson  (@TOR, @BOS)

It’s nice to see that Wilson has finally gotten back on track, with three straight outings of at least seven innings and no more than two earned runs. But his matchups next week are about as bad as they get, with the Blue Jays leading the Majors in runs scored and Wilson sporting a 5.87 ERA over his last three starts at Fenway Park. Wilson still deserves a roster spot in the majority of 12-team mixed leagues, but I wouldn’t feel comfortable pitching him in any mixed league for next week.

Aaron Harang  (@COL, @WAS)

Harang owners have to be plenty pleased with what they have gotten from him so far this year, but when it comes to next week, it’s probably a good idea to take a break from him. Among NL clubs, the Nationals trail only the Dodgers in runs scored and they rank 3rd in the Senior Circuit in home runs. Even if we forget about that matchup, starting a non-elite pitcher in Coors Field is always very risky, especially an extreme fly-ball pitcher like Harang. Outside of NL-only leagues, there’s just too much downside here.

Drew Pomeranz  (@HOU, @TB)

This one is pretty simple. While Pomeranz is 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA and 0.74 WHIP in three home starts this season, he’s 0-3 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in four road outings. So with a pair of road starts looming, he’s a ditch, though it’s possible that Pomeranz can eventually break the pattern and graduate to automatic start status for two-start weeks. But for now, I’ll pass.

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