Archive for the ‘ Uncategorized ’ Category

Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, September 9

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Updated Pitch or Ditch Category Chart (9/3)

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Jake Odorizzi

CORY’S PICKS

Lester @ C. Martinez – C-Mart may be running out of gas, but I’ll take the shot.

Teheran @ Buchanan – Teheran’s last three road starts were pretty good, so I’ll take the shot.

Jimenez @ Sabathia

deGrom @ Strasburg

Odorizzi @ Lobstein – Odorizzi’s post-All-Star ERA is scary but the peripherals are decent.

Pena @ Koehler

Happ @ Sampson

Hutchison @ Kelly – Hutchison has been awful on the road this year. Like, a 9.00 ERA awful.

Tomlin @ Samardzija – Time to move on from Samardzija.

Pelfrey @ Medlen

Rusin @ Shields

Heston @ Godley – Heston’s K’s have disappeared, so I’ll ditch.

McHugh @ Brooks

Latos @ Richards

M. Perez @ Nuno

***ZACH SAYS “Tom Koehler sports a 3.06 ERA and 1.20 WHIP at home this season and the Brewers are a so-so offense. He’s at least worth consideration in deeper formats. Agree on rest.”

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Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, September 8

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Updated Pitch or Ditch Category Chart (9/3)

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Raisel Iglesias

ZACH’S PICKS

Weber @ Nola – Great bounce back opportunity for Nola.

Gausman @ Tanaka – Still not trusting Gausman in tough matchups like this one.

Harvey @ Zimmermann

E. Ramirez @ Boyd

Jungmann @ Conley – Gotta keep trotting Jungmann out there.

Liriano @ Iglesias – Seven straight quality starts for Iglesias.

Dickey @ Owens

Carrasco @ Rodon – Liking what I’m seeing from Rodon of late.

Gibson @ Volquez

Hammel @ Wacha – Not giving up on Hammel despite recent inconsistency.

Hudson @ Ch. Anderson

Kazmir @ S. Gray

Kershaw @ Heaney – Heaney a bit risky here but I’ll go for it.

J. Gray @ Rea

Hamels @ Walker – Walker the ultimate risk/reward play. Use your league standings as the deciding factor.

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Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, September 5-7

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Updated Pitch or Ditch Category Chart (9/3)

Zach’s Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 9/7

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Mark Buehrle

ZACH’S PICKS

SATURDAY

Moore @ Eovaldi

Doyle @ Price

Peralta @ Lamb – Peralta still too inconsistent to trust in 12-team mixed leagues.

Ray @ Arrieta – Risk outweighs the reward with Ray.

Asher @ Miley – Miley worth considering in deep mixed/AL-only leagues though.

Morton @ Garcia – Morton’s road ERA this season is 5.62.

Miller @ G. Gonzalez – Tasty matchup for Gio despite his inconsistency.

Salazar @ Simon

Quintana @ Duffy

Big Erv @ McCullers – Erv has been a major headache for his owners this year.

Colon @ Hand – I’m expecting another strong outing from Colon.

Peavy @ Bettis

Al. Wood @ T. Ross

King Felix @ Chavez – I’ll give Chavez a try here (2.85 ERA at home).

Holland @ Weaver – I think it’s safe to say that Holland is back.

SUNDAY

Archer @ Nova – Nova a toss-up. Let the standings make the decision for you.

Tillman @ Buehrle – Buehrle has pitched well against O’s this year (3-0, 3.24 ERA in four starts).

TBD (CLE) @ Verlander – Verlander 2 ER or less in seven of his last eight starts.

Nelson @ Lorenzen – Nelson has struggled at times versus Reds this season but I’ll give it a go regardless.

Matz @ Narveson

Eickhoff @ E. Rodriguez – Eickhoff has been impressive but I’m not quite ready to pitch him at Fenway. Rodriguez a viable option in deeper leagues.

Banuelos @ J. Ross

E. Johnson @ Cueto

Duffey @ Keuchel

R. De La Rosa @ Hendricks – Rubby is 6-1 with a 3.32 ERA in nine starts since the All-Star break.

Lewis @ Santiago – I’m having a tough time trusting either of these guys.

Iwakuma @ Doubront

Greinke @ Cashner

Bumgarner @ Flande

Cole @ Lackey

MONDAY

W. Chen @ Pineda – Chen coming off shaky outing, so I’ll play it safe for this matchup.

Niese @ Scherzer – Niese struggling and Nats bats remain dangerous.

Smyly @ Wolf – Smyly was outstanding in his last start but he has yet to post back-to-back quality starts since returning from the DL.

Locke @ DeSclafani

Davies @ Nicolino – Four straight quality starts for Nicolino. I’ll give him a shot here.

Buehrle @ Porcello

Bauer @ Sale

Haren @ Lynn – I’ll pitch Haren versus mid-tier at best Cardinals lineup.

Fiers @ Doubront

Kendrick @ Kennedy – Kennedy is a PoD grad again.

Leake @ Corbin – The matchup isn’t great for Leake but I’ll go ahead and pitch him anyway.

Gallardo @ Elias – Gallardo is too risky right now.

W. Perez @ Harang – This has slugfest written all over it.

Milone @ Ventura – Ventura 2 ER or less in each of his last five starts.

Greinke @ Tropeano

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Zach’s Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 9/7

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CLICK HERE for our updated Pitch or Ditch Category Chart

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Aaron Nola

Hey everyone,

It’s Friday, also known as Two-Start Pitcher day. Here’s a sampling of my latest article. For the complete version, click on the link at the bottom of this post.

Looking to improve your fantasy starting rotation? Need to gain ground in wins and strikeouts? Then consider these pitchers, who are each scheduled to make two starts in Week 23.

12-team mixed leagues

Aaron Nola (vs. ATL, vs. CHC)

Despite a pedestrian 4.02 ERA, Nola has performed rather well through his first nine big league starts, proving that he is major league ready. Although not an elite strikeout pitcher, one of Nola’s biggest strengths lies in his control, and he has successfully managed to carry over that strength to the big league level, posting a 44-to-14 K/BB ratio across 53 2/3 innings. The matchup against the Cubs (4th in the NL in both runs and OPS since the All-Star break) is far from favorable, but the risk is softened by the first matchup, a home date versus a Braves club that ranks last in the Majors in runs, homers and OPS.

Deeper mixed leagues

Jon Niese (@WAS, @ATL)

Niese has struggled mightily of late (9.92 ERA, 1.96 WHIP over his last three starts), which is why I would be hesitant to start him next week in 12-team mixed leagues. He is worth consideration in deeper formats, however, as it was not too long ago that he strung together 12 quality starts over a 13-start stretch. As far as these matchups are concerned, in three combined starts versus the Nationals and Braves this season, Niese sports a 1.45 ERA.

CLICK HERE to read the full article.

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Updated PoD Category Chart (9/3)

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Nathan Eovaldi

Zach here,

Time for one more Pitch or Ditch category chart before the 2015 season comes to an end.

PoD Chart 9-3-15

For those of you who are unfamiliar with the chart, this is something we started doing a few years ago (special shout out to longtime 411 fan Big Barry for the framework of the idea) to help guide you not only in your Pitch or Ditch decisions but also in knowing whether or not dropping a certain pitcher would be a mistake.

We’ve divided all of the current starting rotation pitchers into five groups: Aces, Grads, PoD, DTM and Indifferent.

Aces: Fairly straightforward. Elite starting pitchers with the track record to prove it. Aces should be started 100% of the time, regardless of the opponent or the venue.

Grads: Not quite ace-caliber but also not worth dropping under any circumstances. Grads should be started 99% of the time. Or maybe 96%.

PoD: These pitchers do not deserve a permanent roster spot but should be picked up and started in favorable matchups. If their next matchup is not so favorable, feel free to drop them. Some PoD guys could earn Grad status if they string together several consecutive strong outings.

DTM: DTM pitchers are guys that we might have once liked but have repeatedly let us down to the point where we’ve had enough of them and will never pitch them again, no matter what.

Indifferent: Pitchers who are just not that good and should not be rostered.

***Note that this chart is geared towards standard 12-team mixed leagues.

And here are the changes we’ve made since the last version from late-July:

PROMOTIONS

Eovaldi PoD to grad

Verlander PoD to grad

Fiers PoD to grad

Kennedy PoD to grad

DEMOTIONS

Samardzija grad to PoD

Bauer grad to PoD

Santana grad to PoD

Weaver grad to PoD

Santiago grad to PoD

Teheran grad to PoD

G. Gonzalez grad to PoD

As always, feel free to chime in.

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Pitch or Ditch for Friday, September 4

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Joe Kelly

ZACH’S PICKS

Godley @ Lester

Teheran @ Roark – Just when you thought Teheran had figured things out…

Odorizzi @ Severino – Sticking with Odorizzi.

Jimenez @ Hutchison – Hutchison has been better lately but I’m still not convinced.

Tomlin @ Lobstein

Garza @ Sampson – Garza a mess right now.

deGrom @ Koehler – Koehler is at home but Mets have hit him hard this season (14.73 ERA).

Morgan @ Kelly – Four straight quality starts for Kelly and it’s the Phillies. Why not?

Danks @ Medlen

Pelfrey @ McHugh – McHugh is on a roll.

Happ @ C. Martinez

Heston @ J. De La Rosa

Olmos @ Brooks

M. Perez @ Richards – Perez worth monitoring going forward though.

Bolsinger @ Shields

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Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, September 3

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Kyle Gibson

ZACH’S PICKS

Samardzija @ Gibson – Samardzija cannot be trusted right now. Favorable matchup for Gibson as White Sox rank last in AL in runs and OPS.

Wisler @ Zimmermann

Liriano @ Jungmann – Jungmann due for regression but I’ll go for it here nonetheless.

Boyd @ Volquez – Pitch Volquez at your own risk.

Vogelsong @ Rusin

Latos @ Rea – Latos over his last three starts: 8.10 ERA, 1.73 WHIP.

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Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, September 2

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Kevin Gausman

CORY’S PICKS

Conley @ Jackson

Iglesias @ Hammel – Iglesias has been shovin’ it lately.

Heaney @ S. Gray

Tanaka @ Owens

E. Ramirez @ Gausman – Gausman has been outstanding (2.19 ERA) at home.

Bauer @ Dickey – I don’t want any non-ace in Toronto right now.

Nola @ Harvey

Scherzer @ Wacha – Gotta ride Scherzer, recent struggles notwithstanding.

Wolf @ Ventura – Yordano is tempting but do you trust him?

Locke @ Davies

Rodon @ Milone – Rodon on a nice run now, and Milone is at home.

Walker @ Kazmir – High risk/high reward on Walker.

Ch. Anderson @ J. Gray

Leake @ Kershaw – Dodgers aren’t scoring much lately so Leake is worth a shot.

Hamels @ Kennedy – Kennedy has a 2.32 ERA since All-Star?!

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Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, September 1

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Zach’s Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 8/31 

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Yovani Gallardo

CORY’S PICKS

Corbin @ Flande (Gm 1)

R. De La Rosa @ Kendrick (Gm 2)

Smyly @ Tillman

Co. Anderson @ Estrada

Nicolino @ Banuelos

Pineda @ Porcello

Harang @ Niese – Gotta like Niese at home, even vs. resurgent Phillies.

DeSclafani @ Haren

Sale @ Duffey

Verlander @ Cueto Verlander has allowed only 1 ER in his last 4 starts!

Cole @ Nelson

Elias @ Feldman

J. Ross @ Gonzales – Ross only has 2-3 more starts before being shut down.

Shoemaker @ Martin – Shoemaker’s last start doesn’t convince me.

Bumgarner @ Greinke

Gallardo @ Cashner – Good matchup for Gallardo, poor K-BB notwithstanding.

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Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, August 29-31

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Zach’s Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 8/31 

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Jeff Samardzija

ZACH’S PICKS

SATURDAY

Farmer @ Hutchison – Hutchison has been better lately but I still don’t trust him.

Kelly @ deGrom

Lynn @ Vogelsong

Medlen @ Odorizzi – Medlen a must-add in all leagues if still available.

Rusin @ Happ

Koehler @ Zimmermann – Only pitch Koehler at home.

Rea @ Morgan

Sampson @ Garza – Garza struggling lately.

Fiers @ Pelfrey

Richards @ TBD (CLE)

Severino @ Wisler

Iwakuma @ Samardzija – Samardzija continues to tease us, but I’m giving up on him.

Jimenez @ M. Perez

Doubront @ Chacin

Lester @ Latos – Latos is a ditch until further notice.

SUNDAY

Simon @ Buehrle – Buehrle is the ultimate chasing wins pitcher. I’ll give it a shot.

Miley @ Syndergaard – Miley too unpredictable and Mets offense is hot.

Duffy @ Karns – I’ve lost a lot of confidence in Karns.

Weaver @ Kluber – Weaver a toss-up but he hasn’t been good on the road and Indians are swinging the bats well of late.

J. De La Rosa @ Morton – Morton is 5-1 with a 2.82 ERA in eight home starts this year.

Hand @ Strasburg

Eovaldi @ Teheran – Eovaldi coming off his best start of the season. Teheran going for his sixth straight quality start, and he’s 7-1 with a 2.55 ERA at home.

Shields @ Williams

Lamb @ Peralta – Decent matchup for Peralta but he’s been way too inconsistent lately.

McCullers @ Big Erv – McCullers a bit risky though.

Montgomery @ Quintana

M. Gonzalez @ Holland – Benching Holland one more time in not so great matchup.

Garcia @ Heston – Heston has been out of whack recently.

Chavez @ Ray

Arrieta @ Al. Wood – Not overly confident in Wood, but I’ll pitch.

MONDAY

Nova @ E. Rodriguez – Taking a break from Nova.

Archer @ W. Chen – Chen has been pitching well enough to trust vs. Rays.

Salazar @ Price

Narveson @ Miller

Eickhoff @ Colon – Eickhoff isn’t 12-team mixed league material just yet. Favorable matchup for Colon, who dominated Phils on Wednesday.

Lorenzen @ Hendricks

Nuno @ Keuchel

G. Gonzalez @ Lackey – Gio a borderline call here, but for PoD purposes I’ll pass.

Ray @ Bettis

Santiago @ Doubront – Santiago has been very shaky lately.

Peavy @ B. Anderson – Peavy a viable option in deeper leagues though as Dodgers offense has been ice cold this month (13th in NL in runs).

Lewis @ T. Ross – Lewis could pitch well here, but I’ll never fully trust him.

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