Zach’s Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 5/16

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J.A. Happ

Hey everyone,

Friday is two-start pitcher day here on the blog, so you know the routine. Below is a sampling of my latest two-start pitcher article. For the complete version, click on the link at the bottom of this post.

12-team mixed leagues

J.A. Happ (vs. TB, @MIN)

With seven quality starts in seven tries to go along with a 2.05 ERA and 1.16 WHIP, Happ has been one of the most consistent starting pitchers in baseball so far in 2016. Although his career 4.04 ERA and 1.36 WHIP hint that significant regression is likely, it is unlikely that the Blue Jays southpaw will experience regression next week. Entering play on Thursday, both the Rays and the Twins rank among the bottom five teams in the Majors in runs scored. Plus, in two starts against the Rays this year, Happ has pitched to a solid 3.55 ERA.

Deeper mixed leagues

Juan Nicasio (vs. ATL, vs. COL)

Highly effective at times this season, Nicasio’s inconsistency makes him more of a deep-league option for next week. The Pittsburgh righty has yet to post back-to-back quality starts, and although the matchup at home versus the Braves is favorable, the Rockies rank among the top seven teams in the Majors in runs, homers, batting average and OPS. That said, Nicasio has whiffed nearly a batter per inning, so he should continue to help owners in need of strikeouts.

To read the full article, CLICK HERE

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Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, May 14-16

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Sonny Gray

ZACH’S PICKS

SATURDAY

McHugh @ Buchholz – Bad matchup for both.

Quintana @ Nova

Nicolino @ Roark (Gm 1) – Nicolino tempting but I’ll play it safe here. Gotta go with Roark.

Fernandez @ A.J. Cole (Gm 2)

Locke @ Arrieta

Big Erv @ Kluber – I have faith in Erv. Not worried about Kluber.

Graveman @ Moore – Taking a break from Moore. Watch him throw a gem.

An. Sanchez @ M. Wright – Anibal has been too inconsistent to trust in this matchup.

Adleman @ Nola

Cashner @ Peralta – Cashner a borderline call. I’ll pass in 12-team mixed leagues.

Foltynewicz @ Gee – Gee an intriguing deep-league option though.

Estrada @ Lewis

Verrett @ Butler

Peavy @ Corbin

Chacin @ Iwakuma

C. Martinez @ Kazmir – Sticking with Kazmir.

SUNDAY

M. Gonzalez @ Tanaka

Duffey @ Bauer – I’ll give Duffey a shot. Bauer a decent option in deeper formats.

S. Gray @ Smyly – If Gray struggles here (Rays rank 28th in Majors in runs scored), I’ll officially be very concerned.

Fulmer @ Gausman

Devenski @ O’Sullivan

Fernandez @ J. Ross

Straily @ Morgan – Favorable matchup for Straily.

Vargas @ Davies

Wisler @ Duffy – Not sold on Wisler yet. Duffy deserves the nod here.

G. Cole @ Lester

Ar. Sanchez @ Ramos

Santiago @ King Felix – Santiago has been erratic lately.

deGrom @ Chatwood

Cain @ R. De La Rosa

Leake @ Wood – Need to see a bit more from Leake. I’m benching Wood versus Cardinals team that leads the NL in runs and OPS.

MONDAY

Lamb @ Co. Anderson – Lamb should definitely be owned in deeper mixed leagues though.

Porcello @ Ventura – Scary matchup for Ventura. (PPD)

Conley @ Eickhoff – Look for Eickhoff to get back on track here.

W. Perez @ Niese – Niese coming off quality start and this is an ideal matchup. He’s risky but I’ll take a chance.

Smyly @ Happ

Berrios @ Zimmermann – Berrios no sure thing right now but he seems to be making some progress.

Green @ Ray – I’m avoiding this matchup altogether.

Holland @ Manaea

Shoemaker @ Maeda

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Pitch or Ditch for Friday, May 13

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Justin Verlander

ZACH’S PICKS

Liriano @ Hammel

Sale @ Severino

Finnegan @ Hellickson – Finnegan has been shaky at times, but this is a nice matchup.

Verlander @ Tillman – Verlander still capable of throwing a gem in any given start but I don’t like this matchup. Orioles rank 4th in Majors in OPS at home.

Koehler @ G. Gonzalez

McCullers @ S. Wright – Tough matchup for McCullers in his season debut. I’ll play it safe and sit this one out. Wright a little risky here as well but he’s been excellent all year.

Nolasco @ Tomlin – Tomlin a decent play in deeper formats but there’s not a whole lot of upside here.

Hill @ Odorizzi

Dickey @ M. Perez – Slugfest alert!

Friedrich @ Guerra

Teheran @ Volquez – I rarely have confidence in Volquez. This is an exception.

Harvey @ J. Gray – Continue to monitor Gray but this isn’t the spot to pitch him.

Samardzija @ Miller

Tropeano @ Karns

Wacha @ Stripling

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Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, May 12

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Jimmy Nelson

ZACH’S PICKS

Pelfrey @ Jimenez – Ubaldo too unpredictable for my liking.

Kennedy @ Eovaldi – Dangerous matchup for Kennedy but he’s been pitching too well to sit in most formats. I’ll take a chance on Eovaldi, though I’m not super confident.

Keuchel @ Price – Not concerned about Price.

Velasquez @ Blair – Great matchup for both.

Shields @ Nelson – Nelson is 3-1 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.15 WHIP through four home starts this season and Padres rank in the bottom third of the Majors in runs, AVG and OPS.

Cueto @ Greinke

Wainwright @ Weaver – Wainwright has pitched better of late and the Angels aren’t a very good offensive team right now.

Colon @ Kershaw

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Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, May 11

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Indians Phillies Baseball

ZACH’S PICKS

Rea @ Hendricks (Gm 1) – Rea has been impressive lately but I’m not risking it here.

Pomeranz @ Lackey (Gm 2) – Pomeranz is matchup proof right now.

T. Wilson @ Hughes

Latos @ Hamels – Latos beginning to fade and this is a tough matchup.

Salazar @ Fister

Ray @ Bettis – Not trusting Ray at Coors.

Archer @ Walker – Nice matchup for Walker.

Stroman @ Bumgarner

Zimmermann @ Scherzer – Not too long ago, these guys were teammates.

Ventura @ Pineda – Ventura way too inconsistent these days. Pineda a toss-up, but I’ll pass.

Ch. Anderson @ W. Chen

Surkamp @ Porcello

Eickhoff @ W. Perez – Eickhoff a must-start versus Braves team that ranks last in Majors in runs and OPS by a healthy margin.

Nicasio @ Simon

Garcia @ Shoemaker

Syndergaard @ Maeda

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Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, May 10

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Juan Nicasio

ZACH’S PICKS

Fulmer @ J. Ross

Medlen @ Tanaka

Davies @ Conley

Manaea @ O’Sullivan – Continue to monitor Manaea but this matchup is too tough.

Morgan @ Wisler – Both are intriguing options in deep mixed/NL-only formats. Phillies and Braves rank next to last and last respectively in NL in runs, AVG and OPS.

Nicasio @ Simon – Reds rank 1st in Majors in runs scored at home. I’ll pass on Nicasio. (PPD)

Rodon @ Holland – Still a believer in Rodon but this matchup is a little too scary.

Vargas @ Lester

Gausman @ Berrios

Bauer @ Devenski – I’m not comfortable pitching Devenski in 12-team mixed leagues just yet.

R. De La Rosa @ Rusin

Leake @ Santiago – Decent matchup for Leake but he’s more of a deep league option considering his overall inconsistency. Santiago a bit risky but he sports a 3.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP at home this season.

deGrom @ Wood

Smyly @ Miley – Miley worth considering in deep mixed/AL-only leagues thanks to favorable matchup.

Happ @ Cain – Six quality starts in six tries for Happ this season but Giants offense is strong. I just don’t have a great feeling about this.

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Zach’s Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 5/9

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White Sox Orioles Baseball

Hey everyone,

These weeks are certainly flying by, and we’ve already reached the point in the season when it’s actually OK to look at the standings. And if you’re falling behind in wins and strikeouts, you just might want to read my latest two-start pitcher article. Here’s a sampling. Click on the link at the bottom of this post for the complete version.

12-team mixed leagues

Kevin Gausman (@MIN, vs. DET)

Gausman has looked sharp in his three starts since coming off the DL, registering a 1.42 ERA and 0.68 WHIP. The 25-year-old former top prospect pitched fairly well down the stretch last season (3.90 ERA, 9.5 K/9) and could be poised for a breakout campaign with the Orioles in 2016. As for next week, the Twins rank 25th in the Majors in runs, and while the Tigers rank in the top half in runs and OPS, they also rank in the top third in strikeouts. For the time being, Gausman needs to be owned in all mixed leagues and started in all two-start weeks.

Deeper mixed leagues

Anibal Sanchez (@WAS, @BAL)

Sanchez has been inconsistent so far this season, and lack of command (5.6 BB/9) has played a large role in his struggles. Next week’s matchups are tough, so he is more of a deep-league option. But owners in need of strikeouts should strongly consider the Tigers’ righty, who has whiffed 33 batters through 30 2/3 innings. Plus, Sanchez’s proven big league track record along with his respectable 3.1 career BB/9 rate suggests that significant overall improvement is likely.

To read the full article, CLICK HERE

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Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, May 7-9

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Yankees Orioles Baseball

ZACH’S PICKS

SATURDAY

Price @ Eovaldi

Kershaw @ Dickey

Griffin @ Pelfrey – Griffin has been outstanding so far but this matchup scares me.

Locke @ Wainwright – Wainwright continues to be mediocre but I’m still not ready to give up on him.

J. Gray @ Cueto – Gray coming off gem but he needs to show more consistency.

G. Gonzalez @ Hammel

Kennedy @ Co. Anderson

Hahn @ M. Wright – Hahn worth monitoring but this isn’t a great matchup.

Miller @ Teheran – Shelby cannot be trusted against any team, even the Braves.

Nelson @ Finnegan – I’ll take a chance on Finnegan here.

Big Erv @ Sale

Hellickson @ Koehler – Favorable matchup for Hellickson but he’s too risky.

Karns @ Keuchel – Karns fared quite well against the Astros back on 4/26 (7 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 6 K).

Colon @ Shields

Odorizzi @ Weaver

SUNDAY

Stripling @ Estrada

Volquez @ Tomlin – I will never trust Volquez.

Guerra @ Lamb – Keep an eye on Lamb but I’m not comfortable starting him just yet.

Nola @ Nicolino – This could backfire but I’ll take a chance on Nicolino in favorable matchup.

M. Perez @ Verlander – Could be 2-1 or 10-9. Pass.

Corbin @ Foltynewicz – Corbin has been shaky at times this year but I do expect him to pitch well here.

Graveman @ Tillman – Tillman’s last two starts: 2-0, 0.66 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 18 K’s in 13 2/3 IP.

Duffey @ Quintana – Duffey a decent option in deeper formats.

Iwakuma @ McHugh

Cole @ Wacha

Roark @ Arrieta – Might seem crazy to bench Roark right now but he’s due for regression and this is a very tough matchup.

Moore @ Tropeano – I’m still a believer in Moore. Tropeano? Not so much.

Butler @ Samardzija

Harvey @ Cashner – Cashner a toss-up but I’m going to err on the side of caution.

S. Wright @ Severino – Wright is on a roll and Yankees offense is in a funk.

MONDAY

An. Sanchez @ Strasburg – Too much downside to starting Anibal in this matchup.

Young @ Nova

Peralta @ Fernandez

S. Gray @ Buchholz – Buchholz fresh off his best overall outing of the season but he still worries me.

Niese @ Straily – Straily remains strictly a deep-league option.

M. Gonzalez @ Lewis

Vargas @ Lester – Monitor Vargas but this isn’t the spot to pitch him.

T. Wilson @ Berrios – Challenging matchup for Berrios but I like what I’ve seen thus far.

Kluber @ Fiers

Bradley @ Chatwood – Definitely consider Chatwood in deeper leagues though.

Matz @ Kazmir

Moore @ King Felix

Ar. Sanchez @ Peavy

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Pitch or Ditch for Friday, May 6

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Braves Cubs Baseball

ZACH’S PICKS

Scherzer @ Lackey

Porcello @ Pineda – Pineda coming off decent outing at Fenway but it’s still tough to trust him right now.

Hill @ Jimenez – Hill is equally tough to bench.

Maeda @ Stroman

Ventura @ Salazar

Cravy @ Adleman

Velasquez @ Chen – Four straight quality starts for Chen.

Hamels @ Zimmermann

Greinke @ Blair – Blair has been solid thus far and Diamondbacks offense has struggled on the road (12th in NL in runs scored).

Nolasco @ Latos – Not a big believer in Latos but this is a favorable enough matchup.

Walker @ Fister

Liriano @ Martinez

Archer @ Rasmus – Archer has been much better lately.

Bettis @ Bumgarner – Bettis a viable option in deeper formats though.

Syndergaard @ Pomeranz

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Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, May 5

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Michael Fulmer

ZACH’S PICKS

Eickhoff @ Garcia – Tough matchup for Eickhoff but I have confidence in him.

Fulmer @ Bauer – Let me see more than just one start from Fulmer.

Tanaka @ Gausman

Holland @ Happ – Both of these guys have pitched well so far, but this has the makings of a slugfest.

Ray @ Conley – Ray could bounce back here in favorable matchup, but I’ll play it safe with him for now.

Ch. Anderson @ Simon

J. Ross @ Hendricks

Owens @ E. Johnson – Keep an eye on both though.

Miley @ Devenski

deGrom @ Rea

Rusin @ Cain

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