Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, May 28
ZACH’S PICKS
Maholm @ Morrow – Not trusting Morrow outside of very favorable matchups…this isn’t one of them
De La Rosa @ Lyles – Great matchup for DLR
Gomez @ Porcello – Porcello not a terrible play here but I’m just not a fan
Lee @ Dempster – Ditch on the struggling Dempster
Slowey @ Hellickson – I’m off the Slowey bandwagon
Jackson @ Sale – E-Jax is DTM for the time being
Lyons @ Big Erv
Kickham @ Parker – Parker on a nice roll now
Volquez @ Maurer
Kuroda @ Harvey
Gausman @ TBD (WAS) – Gausman showed me enough in his debut that I can trust him here
McAllister @ Latos – Not a good matchup for McAllister
Diamond @ Figaro
Blanton @ Ryu
Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, May 25-27
CORY’S PICKS
SATURDAY
F. Garcia @ Dickey – Dickey is rounding into form
Kazmir @ Lester – looks like the Kazmir experiment has already ended badly
TBD (LAA) @ Guthrie
Correia @ Fister
Sabathia @ Moore
Nolasco @ Peavy – Nolasco worth a look in deeper leagues, though
Griffin @ Harrell
Holland @ King Felix
Nicasio @ Zito – Nicasio still risky despite impressive outing last time
Locke @ Fiers
Wood @ Bailey
Gast @ Lilly
Pettibone @ Haren – Haren’s unpredictability making him unusable
Minor @ Gee – Gee is much better at home but starting him still takes #want
Cashner @ Miley
SUNDAY
M. Gonzalez @ Jenkins
Pelfrey @ Scherzer
Kluber @ Doubront
Hughes @ Cobb – still OK with using Hughes on the road
Sanabia @ Axelrod – Axelrod worth a look in deep and AL-only leagues
J. Williams @ W. Davis
Colon @ Keuchel
Tepesch @ Iwakuma
Garza @ Cueto
Hamels @ Strasburg – NICE
Wandy @ Gallardo – tough draw for Wandy but he’s been solid as usual
Garland @ Cain
S. Miller @ Kershaw – sell high on Miller. Just sayin’
Marquis @ Corbin
Teheran @ Marcum
MONDAY
Liriano @ Verlander – true test of Liriano’s hot start
Wainwright @ Shields
Chacin @ Norris
J. Fernandez @ Odorizzi – 2017 All-Star Game starters preview?
Bumgarner @ Straily – your call on Straily, I’ll pass
Volquez @ Harang
T. Hudson @ Buehrle – Hudson too hittable of late, I’ll pass
Cloyd @ Buchholz
Samardzija @ Quintana
Hammel @ G. Gonzalez – Nationals are struggling so go for it on Hammel
Jimenez @ Leake – toss-up on both, I’ll play it safe
TBD (MIN) @ Burgos
Darvish @ Kennedy (Gm 1 of doubleheader)
Nuno @ Niese – Niese seems to be turning it around and is at home
Wilson @ Greinke
Perez @ Cahill (Gm 2 of doubleheader)
Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 5/27
Hey everyone,
It’s Friday, so you know what that means! Time for another dose of my weekly two-start pitcher notes. As always, remember that these are geared towards standard, 12-team 5×5 mixed leagues. And of course, be sure to listen to today’s podcast, as Cory and JB will be joined by Todd “Lord” Zola of Mastersball to talk about some of these two-start pitcher options while answering a bunch of listener questions.
-Zach
Ervin Santana (vs. STL, @TEX)
This is a very tough test for Big Erv, who is fresh off a mediocre performance versus the Angels in which he allowed four home runs. But the strikeouts are still there and his walk rate is at a career-low level. With Erv, it basically boils down to whether the longballs he serves up will be solo shots or multi-run homers. Despite the scary matchups, I think he’s pitched well enough this year to earn our trust in a two-start week.
Brandon Morrow (vs. ATL, @SD)
More often than not, Morrow has disappointed this season. On any given day, he could either throw a two-hitter or allow six runs in three innings. This makes him incredibly frustrating to own. While the @SD matchup is enticing, in a 12-team mixed league I’m not going anywhere near him for the vs. ATL outing. The Braves rank 1st in the NL in homers and 5th in runs. No thanks. Ditch.
Francisco Liriano (@DET, vs. CIN)
Check out Liriano’s stats so far this year. They’re pretty good. The problem is that it’s only been three starts, and Liriano has teased us before. The other problem is that these matchups are flat-out frightening, with the Tigers leading the AL in runs and the Reds being the second-highest scoring team in the Senior Circuit. In an NFBC-style mixed league, maybe you want to take a chance on him due to the upside, particularly in the strikeout department. But in a standard sized mixed, you’re probably better off playing it safe and ditching.
Ubaldo Jimenez (@CIN, vs. TB)
Ubaldo, Ubaldo, Ubaldo. Just when we started to think (or hope) that he had turned the corner, he goes out and puts up a stinker. It was against the Tigers, so let’s give him a bit of a break. But the bottom line is that you just can’t trust this guy. And I’m not a fan of these matchups. At all. I view Jimenez as a lot like Liriano. High risk/high reward but to me, the high risk outweighs the high reward. I’ll pass.
Phil Hughes (@NYM, vs. BOS)
This is an interesting one considering that Hughes is coming off a strong showing vs. the Orioles and the @NYM matchup is rather tasty. But the Red Sox game has disaster written all over it and let’s not conveniently forget that Hughes had allowed a combined 13 earned runs over his previous two starts (6 1/3 IP) against a pair of weak offenses in the Mariners and Royals. Hughes, who currently sports an ugly 5.51 ERA and 1.50 WHIP through nine starts this season, still has a ways to go before I can feel comfortable pitching him, even in a two-start week.
Jarrod Parker (vs. SF, vs. CHW)
Finally, Parker seems to have righted the ship, with three straight quality starts. The overall stat line is still tough to look at, but I’m still a Parker fan thanks to his excellent rookie campaign last year. He’ll get a couple of home starts next week, one versus a White Sox offense that ranks dead last in the AL in runs scored and second to last in batting average and the other a Giants’ lineup that has surprisingly hit well so far but is still no one’s idea of Murderers’ Row. I’ll pitch on Parker.
Kevin Slowey (@TB, vs. NYM)
Just when it looked like Slowey was turning back into a pumpkin, he redeemed himself in his most recent start, but being that his only quality season came back in ’08, I remain skeptical. If you have him on your roster, you might as well pitch him, as the vs. NYM start is an enticing one, but generally speaking, he’s not someone I plan on owning anytime soon because, well, he’ll probably turn back into a pumpkin.
Edwin Jackson (@CHW, vs. ARI)
I expected better from E-Jax this season. I didn’t quite expect him to duplicate his performance from last year, but at the same time I didn’t expect him to be this erratic. Come on, a 6.11 ERA and 1.57 WHIP through 10 starts? The only positive is that he’s striking out a shade under a batter per inning, so at least he offers K’s in a two-start week. While I have yet to lose all faith in him, my patience is wearing very thin, and these are pretty bad matchups. In a 12-team mixed, I’m ditching until he shows some signs of righting the ship. But in deeper mixed leagues, rolling the dice on Jackson isn’t a terrible move if you’re chasing K’s.
Mike Leake (vs. CLE, @PIT)
Leake is hard to trust in general, but guess what his ERA is over his last two starts, spanning 13 2/3 innings? Yep, 0.00. The bad news is that the Indians’ lineup ranks 2nd in the AL in runs scored and is tied for 1st in homers, which makes this a tough call. But I do like the @PIT matchup, and Leake has been pitching well enough lately that I’m willing to take the risk. Plus, he’s backed by a strong offense, so chances are you’ll get at least one W.
Jose Quintana (vs. CHC, @OAK)
Although Quintana has had a few mediocre outings this season, on the whole he’s done a solid job. He doesn’t hurt himself with walks and has even shown considerable improvement in the strikeout department. Oh yeah, and he’s only 24. I’m a huge Quintana supporter, and next week is as good a time as any to roll him out there, as he’ll be facing two sub-par offenses. Pitch!
Pitch or Ditch for Friday, May 24
CORY’S PICKS
Kendrick @ Zimmermann
Medlen @ Hefner
Phelps @ R. Hernandez – why isn’t there more love for Phelps? Stats don’t lie
Milone @ Bedard – not starting Milone on the road
Lynn @ Capuano
Tillman @ Nolin
Feldman @ Arroyo – have to ride Feldman, even if the ride gets a little scary at times
Vargas @ Mendoza
Burnett @ Estrada
Grimm @ Saunders – yep, Saunders is a “pitch” at home, even vs. Texas
Deduno @ An. Sanchez
Masterson @ Lackey
Koehler @ Danks – keep an eye on Koehler in favorable matchups, though…
Stults @ McCarthy
Chatwood @ Lincecum
Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, May 22
CORY’S PICKS
Worley @ Maholm – Maholm is useful vs. weak offenses
Parker @ Tepesch – bench but don’t cut Parker; better of late but hasn’t handled a top offense yet
Hellickson @ Buehrle – K/BB says Hellickson will get better, but HR rate says not yet
Kuroda @ Hammel
Buchholz @ Sale – tasty
Latos @ Harvey – yummy
Cahill @ De La Rosa – DLR has four scoreless outings this year; I’ll take my chances
Samardzija @ Liriano – Liriano throwing well and Cubs are a good matchup
Maurer @ Wilson
Shields @ Lyles
Ryu @ W. Peralta – Peralta struggling too much to use even vs. Dodgers
G. Gonzalez @ Bumgarner
Verlander @ Jimenez – if Ubaldo can handle the Tigers, though…
Lee @ Slowey – well that ended badly
Lyons @ B. Smith
Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, May 21
CORY’S PICKS
Garza @ Wandy – great matchup for Garza’s return
Scherzer @ Kluber
Hughes @ M. Gonzalez – Hughes a better road play, but tough matchup… pass
Cobb @ Ortiz
Leake @ Niese – perfect home/away setting for both
Pelfrey @ T. Hudson – hang with ‘em on Hudson vs. weak Twins
Cloyd @ J. Fernandez – Cloyd an underrated prospect, and of course great matchup
Straily @ Darvish
Doubront @ Quintana – Quintana risky but plenty of upside
W. Davis @ Norris – Norris solid at home and Royals don’t’ score much
Greinke @ Burgos
Kennedy @ Chacin – playing it safe on Kennedy in Coors… bench but don’t cut
Harang @ Williams – Williams gets SEA/KC in weekly leagues, oh baby!
Wainwright @ Volquez
Strasburg @ Cain
Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 5/20
Hey everyone,
This week’s two-start pitcher choices were unappealing to say the least and for the most part, it’s more of the same for next week. Here are my notes, and as always be sure to listen to today’s podcast as we’ll have our usual two-start pitcher segment with Cory, Mike and special guest Nando Di Fino of CBS Sports!
-Zach
Julio Teheran (vs. MIN, @NYM)
After getting off to a shaky start to the season, Teheran has settled down nicely, allowing three runs or less in each of his last four starts while posting a superb 14-to-1 K/BB ratio. He gets a pair of appealing matchups next week, as the Twins are a mid-pack offense while the Mets’ lineup has struggled mightily of late. Pitch.
Scott Kazmir (vs. SEA, @BOS)
There’s no denying that Kazmir has pitched fairly well over his last four starts, but I still don’t trust him to the point where I’d roll him out there in a two-start week where one of the matchups (@BOS) is very scary. This is a situation where one blowup could ruin the entire week. I need to see more. Ditch.
Carlos Villanueva (@PIT, @CIN)
The month of May has not been kind to Villanueva, who has gone 0-2 with a 7.27 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in three starts. And he will likely be the odd man out once Matt Garza returns from the DL, which will probably happen sometime next week. While there’s no way I’d start him in a mixed league, you can do a lot worse in an NL-only. Villanueva still offers some strikeout upside, the @PIT matchup is a decent one, and he actually pitched very well at Great American Ball Park back in April. But like I said, in a mixed league I’m passing.
Bartolo Colon (@TEX, @HOU)
Colon’s the type of pitcher who can dominate or get roughed up by any lineup. His strikeouts are down this year but you’ve got to like the two walks over 47 1/3 innings! On the other hand, you can’t like the seven homers through eight starts. In a 12-team mixed league, I’d take the conservative route and ditch since the @TEX matchup certainly comes with disaster potential. But in a deeper mixed league and of course an AL-only, I think I’d give it a shot and hope he gets through the first outing in decent shape before tossing a gem @HOU. Then again, would you be at all surprised if the reverse happens?
Wade Davis (@HOU, vs. LAA)
Although Davis has managed to piece together a few quality performances this year, he’s also gotten lit up on a bunch of occasions. I’m not a big fan of these feast or famine types, especially when their strikeout rate is nothing special and their WHIP is 1.89. Even in a deeper mixed league and despite the semi-attractive matchups, I’d let Davis be someone else’s problem. Ditch.
Shaun Marcum (vs. CIN, vs. ATL)
I had high hopes for Marcum heading into the season, as one of the more consistent yet underrated hurlers in the Majors over the past few years would get a chance to pitch his home games at Citi Field. But neck and shoulder injuries kept him sidelined for almost the entire month of April and he’s kicked off his Mets’ career in mediocre fashion. And that’s being kind. The good news is that his latest outing (6 2/3 IP, 2 ER) on the road against the Cardinals was his best one to date, so maybe Marcum is finally putting it together. That said, both of these matchups are very tough, even at home. In an NL-only league, you probably don’t have many better options, so you’ll have to start Marcum out of necessity. But in a mixed league, I’m staying away. Keep an eye on Marcum though. He could be mixed league relevant rather soon.
Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, May 18-20
CORY’S PICKS
SATURDAY
Saunders @ McAllister
Morrow @ Phelps – playing it safe on Morrow ‘til he proves he’s healthy
R. Hernandez @ Jurrjens
Santiago @ Blanton
Dempster @ Diamond
An. Sanchez @ Grimm – tough matchup for Grimm, play it safe
Big Erv @ Milone – love Milone at home
Hefner @ Feldman
Arroyo @ Kendrick – Kendrick has to be trusted until he proves otherwise
Bedard @ Burnett
Capuano @ Medlen
McCarthy @ Koehler – McCarthy appears to be “back”
Estrada @ Lynn – Estrada was superb last time, but this ain’t the Pirates
Lincecum @ Nicasio
Zimmermann @ Stults
SUNDAY
King Felix @ Masterson
Dickey @ Sabathia
Moore @ Tillman
Lackey @ P. Hernandez – Lackey has been solid, back on the radar
Peavy @ Vargas – Vargas worth a look in deeper leagues, though
Mendoza @ Griffin
Fister @ Holland
Miley @ Nolasco
Magill @ Minor
Bailey @ Pettibone
Norris @ Locke – Locke worth a shot at home vs. Astros
Lohse @ Gast
Gee @ Wood – Gee a pure home/away matchup play
Haren @ Cashner
Zito @ Chatwood
MONDAY
Iwakuma @ Kazmir – gotta go with Kazmir at home vs. Mariners
TBD (TB) @ Ortiz
Hughes @ F. Garcia – tough matchup for Hughes, but I’ll take the shot on the road
Colon @ Lindblom
Lester @ Axelrod
Guthrie @ Harrell
Correia @ Teheran
Cueto @ Marcum – whose spot is Cueto taking, Cingrani or Leake??
Hamels @ Sanabia – mismatch of the day, so Marlins will probably win 7-2
Kershaw @ Gallardo
Corbin @ Garland
S. Miller @ Marquis
Detwiler @ Vogelsong – Detwiler not 100%, Vogelsong simply terrible
***ZACH SAYS “For Sunday, I’d take a chance on Tillman. He’s now strung together five straight quality starts and the Rays’ offense currently ranks next to last in the AL in runs scored on the road. For Monday, there’s no way I’m starting Hughes coming off his dreadful performance vs. the Mariners. In fact, I wouldn’t be opposed to flat out dropping him in any mixed league. He’s been way too erratic this year.”
Pitch or Ditch for Friday, May 17
CORY’S PICKS
Hellickson @ Hammel – both have pitched better than the ERA would show
Maurer @ Jimenez – Ubaldo’s velocity is up, mechanics are tighter and it’s the Mariners
Buehrle @ Kuroda
Porcello @ Tepesch
Buchholz @ Worley
Sale @ Wilson – Wilson isn’t very good, but frankly neither are the White Sox
Shields @ Parker – Parker slowly rounding into form
Harvey @ Jackson
Cingrani @ Lee – important outing for Cingrani with Cueto back on Monday
Lyles @ Gomez
Cahill @ Slowey – back on Slowey train at home despite blowup in L.A.
Ryu @ Maholm
W. Peralta @ J. Garcia
Bumgarner @ De La Rosa – not sold on DLR yet, not at home
G. Gonzalez @ Smith











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