Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, May 7-9

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Yankees Orioles Baseball

ZACH’S PICKS

SATURDAY

Price @ Eovaldi

Kershaw @ Dickey

Griffin @ Pelfrey – Griffin has been outstanding so far but this matchup scares me.

Locke @ Wainwright – Wainwright continues to be mediocre but I’m still not ready to give up on him.

J. Gray @ Cueto – Gray coming off gem but he needs to show more consistency.

G. Gonzalez @ Hammel

Kennedy @ Co. Anderson

Hahn @ M. Wright – Hahn worth monitoring but this isn’t a great matchup.

Miller @ Teheran – Shelby cannot be trusted against any team, even the Braves.

Nelson @ Finnegan – I’ll take a chance on Finnegan here.

Big Erv @ Sale

Hellickson @ Koehler – Favorable matchup for Hellickson but he’s too risky.

Karns @ Keuchel – Karns fared quite well against the Astros back on 4/26 (7 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 6 K).

Colon @ Shields

Odorizzi @ Weaver

SUNDAY

Stripling @ Estrada

Volquez @ Tomlin – I will never trust Volquez.

Guerra @ Lamb – Keep an eye on Lamb but I’m not comfortable starting him just yet.

Nola @ Nicolino – This could backfire but I’ll take a chance on Nicolino in favorable matchup.

M. Perez @ Verlander – Could be 2-1 or 10-9. Pass.

Corbin @ Foltynewicz – Corbin has been shaky at times this year but I do expect him to pitch well here.

Graveman @ Tillman – Tillman’s last two starts: 2-0, 0.66 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 18 K’s in 13 2/3 IP.

Duffey @ Quintana – Duffey a decent option in deeper formats.

Iwakuma @ McHugh

Cole @ Wacha

Roark @ Arrieta – Might seem crazy to bench Roark right now but he’s due for regression and this is a very tough matchup.

Moore @ Tropeano – I’m still a believer in Moore. Tropeano? Not so much.

Butler @ Samardzija

Harvey @ Cashner – Cashner a toss-up but I’m going to err on the side of caution.

S. Wright @ Severino – Wright is on a roll and Yankees offense is in a funk.

MONDAY

An. Sanchez @ Strasburg – Too much downside to starting Anibal in this matchup.

Young @ Nova

Peralta @ Fernandez

S. Gray @ Buchholz – Buchholz fresh off his best overall outing of the season but he still worries me.

Niese @ Straily – Straily remains strictly a deep-league option.

M. Gonzalez @ Lewis

Vargas @ Lester – Monitor Vargas but this isn’t the spot to pitch him.

T. Wilson @ Berrios – Challenging matchup for Berrios but I like what I’ve seen thus far.

Kluber @ Fiers

Bradley @ Chatwood – Definitely consider Chatwood in deeper leagues though.

Matz @ Kazmir

Moore @ King Felix

Ar. Sanchez @ Peavy

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Pitch or Ditch for Friday, May 6

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Braves Cubs Baseball

ZACH’S PICKS

Scherzer @ Lackey

Porcello @ Pineda – Pineda coming off decent outing at Fenway but it’s still tough to trust him right now.

Hill @ Jimenez – Hill is equally tough to bench.

Maeda @ Stroman

Ventura @ Salazar

Cravy @ Adleman

Velasquez @ Chen – Four straight quality starts for Chen.

Hamels @ Zimmermann

Greinke @ Blair – Blair has been solid thus far and Diamondbacks offense has struggled on the road (12th in NL in runs scored).

Nolasco @ Latos – Not a big believer in Latos but this is a favorable enough matchup.

Walker @ Fister

Liriano @ Martinez

Archer @ Rasmus – Archer has been much better lately.

Bettis @ Bumgarner – Bettis a viable option in deeper formats though.

Syndergaard @ Pomeranz

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Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, May 5

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Michael Fulmer

ZACH’S PICKS

Eickhoff @ Garcia – Tough matchup for Eickhoff but I have confidence in him.

Fulmer @ Bauer – Let me see more than just one start from Fulmer.

Tanaka @ Gausman

Holland @ Happ – Both of these guys have pitched well so far, but this has the makings of a slugfest.

Ray @ Conley – Ray could bounce back here in favorable matchup, but I’ll play it safe with him for now.

Ch. Anderson @ Simon

J. Ross @ Hendricks

Owens @ E. Johnson – Keep an eye on both though.

Miley @ Devenski

deGrom @ Rea

Rusin @ Cain

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Pitch or Ditch for Wednesday, May 4

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Mike Leake

ZACH’S PICKS

Lester @ Nicasio – Tough matchup for Nicasio. I’ll play it safe.

Peavy @ Straily

Chacin @ Matz – I’m not comfortable pitching Chacin here.

Santiago @ Davies – Favorable enough matchup for Santiago.

Strasburg @ Medlen – I need to see more from Medlen, and this is a very challenging matchup.

King Felix @ Manaea – Taking the conservative route with Manaea for now.

Chatwood @ Vargas – Both are intriguing options in deeper formats though.

An. Sanchez @ Kluber – Anibal got roughed up by Cleveland two starts ago. I’ll sit this one out.

Sabathia @ T. Wilson

Lewis @ Ar. Sanchez – Sanchez 1 ER or less in four of his first five starts this season.

R. De La Rosa @ Fernandez – Favorable matchup for De La Rosa, who is pitching extremely well of late.

Wood @ Smyly – Wood is hard to trust.

Buchholz @ Rodon – Buchholz has been terrible for the most part.

Hughes @ Fiers – Both are a little risky, but I’m willing to take the risk.

Morgan @ Leake – Leake has been very disappointing so far but he’s worth a shot here (Phillies rank 14th in the NL in runs and 13th in OPS).

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Pitch or Ditch for Tuesday, May 3

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Steven Wright

ZACH’S PICKS

Verlander @ Tomlin

Arrieta @ Niese

Severino @ Tillman – Severino a borderline call. Tillman pitching well of late and Yankees offense has been inconsistent this year.

M. Perez @ Estrada – Perez has been decent but this matchup is too tough.

Corbin @ Nicolino – Great opportunity for Corbin to bounce back.

Wisler @ Harvey

Kazmir @ Moore – Interesting matchup between former and present Tampa Bay stud lefties.

Samardzija @ Lamb – Keep an eye on Lamb though.

S. Wright @ Quintana – Wright 2 ER or fewer in each of his first four starts this season and White Sox rank last in Majors in runs scored at home.

Tropeano @ Guerra – Hitters beginning to have more success versus Tropeano. I’ll pass.

Meyer @ McHugh – Sticking with McHugh for now.

Nola @ Wacha

Roark @ Young – Tough matchup for Roark but equally tough to bench him right now.

Iwakuma @ S. Gray

Butler @ Cashner – Cashner more of a deep league option in this far from ideal matchup.

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Zach’s Two-Start Pitcher Notes – Week of 5/2

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Bartolo Colon

Happy Friday everyone!

You know the deal. Here’s a portion of my latest two-start pitcher article. To read the full version, click on the link at the bottom of this post.

12-team mixed leagues

Bartolo Colon (vs. ATL, @SD)

The owner of a solid 3.42 ERA and 1.23 WHIP through five games (four starts), Colon has been one of the better No. 5 starters in baseball this season, providing the Mets with quality innings at the back end of their rotation. The 42-year-old can provide a lift to fantasy teams as well, especially when the matchups are favorable, as is the case next week. Heading into Thursday’s games, the Braves rank last in the Majors in OPS, 29th in batting average and are tied for last in runs scored. Meanwhile, the Padres rank 28th in OPS. Colon should be started with confidence in all league formats.

Deeper mixed leagues

Steven Wright (@CHW, @NYY)

Wright’s thin big league track record (30 games, 15 starts) limits his appeal to deeper mixed leagues for now, but a 1.37 ERA to go along with nearly a strikeout per inning through four starts this season is hard to ignore. The 31-year-old righty could continue his impressive early-season performance next week, as the White Sox and Yankees both rank in the bottom third of the Majors in OPS.

For the complete article, CLICK HERE

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Pitch or Ditch for Saturday-Monday, April 30-May 2

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Chase Anderson

ZACH’S PICKS

SATURDAY

Zimmermann @ Duffey – I don’t like this matchup for Duffey, though I’d consider adding him in deeper formats.

J. Ross @ Garcia

Teheran @ Lackey – Teheran is risky here, but I’m a lot more confident in him after his last outing.

Devenski @ Hahn – Keep an eye on Hahn, but I’ll take a wait and see approach for now.

Cain @ deGrom

Happ @ Archer – Taking a chance on Happ versus weak Rays offense. Can the schedule get a little easier for Archer already? Please?

Latos @ Gausman – The Latos stat correction could very well come here. I’m all in on Gausman.

Simon @ Liriano – Not concerned about Liriano.

Bauer @ Eickhoff – I don’t trust Bauer. Still a believer in Eickhoff.

Chen @ Ch. Anderson – Anderson has struggled of late but this is a favorable matchup (Marlins rank 13th in NL in runs).

Pineda @ Porcello – Passing on Pineda at Fenway.

Shoemaker @ Holland – Holland has been solid.

Rusin @ Greinke

Rea @ Stripling – I’ll give it a shot with Stripling in this matchup.

Ventura @ Miley

SUNDAY

Bumgarner @ Syndergaard – Nice!

Stroman @ Odorizzi

Sale @ Jimenez – Ubaldo always risky though.

Iglesias @ Locke

Pelfrey @ Milone

Koehler @ Peralta

Scherzer @ Martinez

Wisler @ Hammel

Salazar @ Velasquez – If you like strikeouts, you might enjoy this one.

Richards @ Hamels

Fister @ Hill – Not an easy matchup for Hill, but the Astros offense leads the Majors in strikeouts.

Bettis @ Miller – Bettis has pitched well overall, but his worst outing of the season came @ARI.

Kennedy @ Walker – I’ll pitch Kennedy, though I’m not super confident in him.

Pomeranz @ Kershaw – I still trust Pomeranz.

Eovaldi @ Price

MONDAY

Hammel @ Cole

Griffin @ Dickey

Foltynewicz @ Colon – Great matchup for Colon.

Cueto @ Finnegan – Finnegan a toss-up here, but I’d lean towards pitching him.

Weaver @ Nelson

Berrios @ Keuchel – Giving Berrios another shot, though benching him here is understandable.

Hellickson @ Wainwright – Beginning to lose patience with Wainwright but this is an ideal matchup.

G. Gonzalez @ Volquez

Karns @ Graveman – Karns needs to improve his control but he is striking out over a batter per inning.

J. Gray @ Shields

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Pitch or Ditch for Friday, April 29

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Adam Conley

ZACH’S PICKS

Blair @ Lester – Blair could be a solid PoD pick soon, but this is a scary matchup.

Rodon @ M. Wright – Rodon coming off strong bounceback outing.

Straily @ Nicasio – I don’t trust Nicasio.

Kluber @ TBD (PHI)

Tanaka @ Owens

Peavy @ Matz – Peavy too inconsistent these days.

Ar. Sanchez @ Smyly – Great opportunity for Sanchez to get back on track.

Santiago @ Lewis – Tough matchup for Santiago but he’s been very impressive.

Fulmer @ Hughes – Hughes has registered quality starts in each of his first four outings this season.

Conley @ Davies – Conley hasn’t been great lately but this is a favorable matchup (Brewers rank 12th in NL in runs and 14th in batting average).

Strasburg @ Leake – Staying away from Leake here.

Chatwood @ Ray – Sticking with Ray.

Fiers @ Manaea – Sitting Manaea in tough opening matchup.

Medlen @ King Felix

Vargas @ Wood – I’m intrigued by Vargas but need to see more.

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The Inaugural PoD Category Chart for 2016 (4/27)

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Robbie Ray

Zach here,

With the end of April comes the first Pitch or Ditch category chart of the 2016 season!

PoD Chart 4-27-16

For a number of years now, we have been posting these charts roughly once per month during the season, and longtime 411 fan Big Barry deserves a special acknowledgement for suggesting the framework of the idea. For those unfamiliar with the format, in an effort to help you make those all important Pitch or Ditch decisions and determine whether or not a certain player deserves to remain on your roster, we have divided all of the pitchers currently in starting rotations into four groups: Aces, Grads, PoD and Indifferent. Note that I’ve tweaked the definitions for this year, mainly lowering the bar for Grads. Also keep in mind that the chart is geared towards standard 12-team mixed leagues. And of course, a pitcher’s designation will likely fluctuate throughout the season (especially between PoD and Grad). With each updated version of the chart, we will list the changes made since the previous post.

Aces – Elite starters with the track record to prove it. These pitchers should be in your active lineups regardless of the matchup.

Grads – Pitchers who aren’t ace material but should not be dropped and should be started in the vast majority of matchups.

PoD – Consider adding these guys off the waiver wire to start in favorable matchups, but feel free to drop them afterwards if you need the roster spot.

Indifferent – These pitchers are too risky to trust in any matchup and should remain on the waiver wire.

That’s it for now. As always, your questions and comments are welcome.

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Pitch or Ditch for Thursday, April 28

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Tanner Roark

ZACH’S PICKS

Bassitt @ An. Sanchez – Not giving up on Anibal but I’ll play it safe in 12-team mixed leagues.

Jungmann @ Arrieta

Nicasio @ Chatwood – Nicasio continues to be decent, but decent isn’t good enough for Coors Field. (PPD)

Nola @ Roark – Tough matchup for Nola but I believe in him. Excellent matchup for Roark, as Phillies rank next to last in Majors in runs scored.

Danks @ T. Wilson – Keep an eye on Wilson but I’m not ready to use him just yet.

Chacin @ Buchholz – Chacin has been impressive but I’m not pitching him at Fenway. I don’t trust Buchholz versus anyone right now, even the Braves.

Wacha @ R. De La Rosa

Fernandez @ Maeda

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